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1answer
19 views

Yield Curve Movement: Risk/Reward versus Safe Haven Demand & Monetary Policy Expectations

UK leaves Europe, credit rating get's downgraded. High uncertainty, higher perceived risk - based on just risk/reward, would expect yields on UK debt to increase. They did the opposite. UK government ...
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2answers
40 views

Do yield curves only show market expectations, or is there more to them?

I am hoping to understand 'Brexit' impact on UK yield curves. Specifically, government liability yield curves (so yields based on UK government bonds - Gilts): The Background On 24th of June - the ...
1
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1answer
116 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
1
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0answers
74 views

Bonds with embedded options pricing via binomial model

Notation: t - time; G(t) - zero-coupon yield curve; $r$, $r_d$, $r_u$ - interest rates. The task is to find market price of a bond for today, while knowing the price of a number of other bonds. ...
1
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1answer
72 views

Generating random yields

I would like to test different methods for fitting a yield curve, like the Nelson-Siegel, cubic splines etc. I would like to generate random yield to maturity data, that somehow reflects the common ...
3
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1answer
123 views

Quantlib FuturesRateHelper triggers not a valid IMM date error

I'm beginning to use QuantLib with Python SWIG, and trying to build a EUR yield curve. I face this error which frankly I don't understand; I looked at the code of bool IMM::isIMMdate in imm.cpp and ...
4
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1answer
201 views

Wrong discount factors when finding Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non- Linear Optimization problem to do this. Some of the code I have written is below and this is where my ...
1
vote
1answer
267 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
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0answers
29 views

Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
7
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1answer
411 views

How does one estimate theta in the Ho-Lee model from a yield curve?

I have a yield curve constructed using linear interpolation with data points every 3-months for US treasuries. I would like to use that calibrate a Ho-Lee model, but I can't wrap my head around how ...
2
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1answer
2k views

Calculate the “ten year zero rate” given two bonds with two prices

I have a little question and need some help with the notation. So, the question goes as follows: A bond with a maturity of ten years that pays annual coupons of 8% has a price of \$90. A bond with ...
1
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1answer
50 views

Discount factor taking into account yield curve shape

I have always been told that the discount factor formula is just: $$ DF(T) = \frac{1}{(1+L_{t_0})^T} $$ where $L_{t_0}$ is the LIBOR rate on one period (the first one I guess) and $T$ the number of ...
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0answers
64 views

Cubic spline interpolation in excel (yield curve from forward curve)

I have an excel spreadsheet that I'm trying to make sense of that uses the data from a forward curve to project a yield curve through the use of cubic spline interpolation. The sheet has 6 different ...
0
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0answers
23 views

Why does the forward rate curve lies above the spot rate curve and the yield to maturity curve?

I saw a picture of 3 different yield curves, a spot rate curve, a forward curve, and a yield to maturity curve. The forward curve was at the top, the YTM curve at the bottom. I don't understand why.
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0answers
32 views

Deriving the yield curve from the HJM dynamics

If I know that my model follows a no-arbitrage HJM model: \begin{equation} df(\tau) = \left(\sigma(\tau)\int_0^{\tau}\sigma(u)du\right)dt +\sigma(\tau)dW_{\tau} \end{equation} (where $\tau:=T-t$, ...
0
votes
1answer
75 views

Strategies on steepen yield curve

Believe that the yield curve is going to steepen very soon. It may be fall in short-term rates, a rise in long-term rates, or some combination of these. What strategy should we pursue in the bond ...
1
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1answer
132 views

Deriving a 3M libor curve from 6M libor swaps and 3M-6M libor basis swaps

If I had a set of 6M Libor instruments and another set of 3M-6M basis swap instruments, how would I derive the 3M Libor curve? Just bootstrap the 6M curve and the basis curve and add up the zero ...
0
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1answer
201 views

Zero rate curve USD Libor

Good day, I gave following inputs of Libor rates : ON 0.3731 1W 0.3939 1M 0.4265 2M 0.5148 3M 0.6176 6M 0.8655 1Y 1.1336 How can I build zero-rate curve ?
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5answers
25k views

how to derive yield curve from interest rate swap?

According to some textbooks, to derive the yield curve, quote overnight to 1 week: rates from interbank money market deposit, 1 month to 1 year: LIBOR; 1 year to 7 years: Interest Rate Swap; 7 ...
5
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1answer
184 views

Is trading mean reversion of small principal components of prices profitable?

Many have told me that it is a good idea to look at the third principal component (PC) of yield curve movements, as well as third and fourth PC of G10 currencies. They claim these PCs represent "...
1
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0answers
57 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
3
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1answer
165 views

Cubic spline interpolation function within Matlab

I want to use the Cubic spline interpolation technique so I can interpolate yield curve points. Now I wonder if I can use the standard matlab function interpl1 (and then using the 'spline' method) or ...
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0answers
31 views

HJM model, existence of arbitrage:

The Setup: Suppose I know the yield curve of a Bond satisfies: f (0, t) = 0.04 for t ≥ 0 and f (ω, 1, t) = 0.06, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 1 , 0.02, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 2 , where Ω = {ω 1 , ω 2 } with P[ω i ] > 0, i = ...
0
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0answers
38 views

Simulated bond index returns based on term structure changes

The J.P. Morgan European Monetary Union Index (EMU) 5-7Y (which is rebalanced monthly) currently (1-Jan-16) has the following characteristics: ...
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0answers
46 views

Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields

The Fed publishes Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields here. These yields are not broken out by maturity. According to this website, the yields represent "long-term" bonds, with minimum and ...
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0answers
46 views

Turn of the year

I understand the basics of "Turn of the year" effect. But I am wondering why does this effect sometimes cause overnight rates around year end to dip below normal overnight rate levels (i.e. negative ...
1
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1answer
83 views

How to get real interest rate from Nominal spot rates?

I have the nominal spot rates. Based on the Fisher equation , how to get the real interest rate ($r$) and the "expected inflation" ($\pi$) ?
0
votes
1answer
75 views

Using Forward or Spot rates for NPV?

I have to calculate the NPV for Capital Budgeting in a project with annual cash flows discounted by a risk - free interest rates 1.Instead of using a constant interest rate, should it better to use ...
0
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2answers
55 views

Yield curve interpolation at (very) short horizons

I'm struggling to find much information about yield curve interpolation for sub-yearly horizons. Say, one-two months. It seems to be the area where the curvature is usually nontrivial, while after ...
2
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0answers
64 views

Data source for a corporate bond yield curve?

Yield curves are a valuable tool for economic analysis. It is particularly interesting to analyse the difference between Government Debt yields and Corporate Debt yields (credit spreads). This gives ...
1
vote
0answers
52 views

state space for affine yield curve

i would like to reproduce in R the working paper " Affine free arbitrage class of Nelson Siegel term structure". The authors considering the equation of nelson siegel plus an adjustment term(C(t,T)) ...
0
votes
1answer
2k views

Bloomberg Zero Coupon Rates

As some of your may know from my other posts, I am working on a Dynamic Nelson Siegel (DNS) based relative value trading model. On simulated data (which satisfies all the assumptions) of the DNS it ...
1
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0answers
50 views

affine arbitrage free class of nelson siegel yield curve

I'm studying statistics for finance at university. Last week i read the working paper on "The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models". I would like to reproduce in R ...
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2answers
55 views

Is it possible to derive a reasonable USD yield curve using only publicly/freely available data sources?

Background I'm a corporate financial analyst with a small derivatives portfolio (amortizing interest rate swaps and FX forwards) looking to value these derivatives "properly" (which, in my case, ...
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2answers
1k views

Why isn't the Nelson-Siegel model arbitrage-free?

Assume $X_t$ is a multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, i.e. $$dX_t=\sigma dB_t-AX_tdt$$ and the spot interest rate evolves by the following equation: $$r_t=a+b\cdot X_t.$$ After solving for $X_t$ ...
0
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1answer
146 views

Quantlib bootstraping fails on 5y swap

I'm trying to build a euro swap curve with real up to date data. I should say that examples provided in github work fine. as soon as I add the 5y swap, I got the following error : ...
1
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0answers
60 views

Will rolling-down-yield-curve bond strategy work if interest rates remain unchanged?

Suppose I have 2 strategies; A) Buying A One Year Bond And Holding To Maturity (Buy & Hold To Maturity) B) Buying A 3 Year Bond and Selling After One Year (Rolling Down The Yield Curve) Assume ...
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0answers
36 views

Relationship between yield spread and stock returns

I would like to ask the following question: Do yield spreads generally have a relationship with stock market indices like the S&P 500? If so, what kind of relationship? I have looked at numerous ...
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2answers
254 views

Why QuantLib computes the fixed-leg swap rate by this formula?

I'm trying to understand how QuantLib creates (bootstraps) a yield curve from a vanilla swap at the source level. I have the following test code: ...
1
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0answers
53 views

Smoothening yield curve by minimizing forward curve slope

I am using government bullet bond data and have bootstrapped a yield curve by solving the following optimization which minimizes unweighted price error: $$\text{min}\sum_i\left(P_i-\sum_t\frac{F_{it}}...
0
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1answer
49 views

Constructing NS-Svensson parameters with zero coupon AND coupon bonds

I am in the process of calculating sovereign zero coupon yield curves using the NS-Svensson parameter for a number of countries. Due to data constraints, I would like to use the information from price ...
0
votes
1answer
228 views

Understanding how to obtain Nelson Siegel Svensson parameters

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non- Linear Optimization problem to do this. I am using the procedure presented in this paper. The way I ...
0
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1answer
279 views

Setting input parameters for Nelson Siegel Svensson model

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non-Linear Optimization problem to do this. I am trying to solve: $$ \min_\theta{\sum{(p_i - \hat p_i)^2}...
0
votes
1answer
70 views

Looking for the conventions for EONIA swaps used to define EONIA swap rates

I'm trying to recreate some historical curves using EONIA swap rates. Unfortunately I can't find a concrete specification for the swaps. Without knowing if there are intermediate coupon payments, I ...
3
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2answers
365 views

IR Yield Curve and Fixing Dates

Consider two FRAs. 3x6 , Effective 3 months from now, terminates in 6 months. The floating leg payer pays 3-month LIBOR. Fixing date for LIBOR 40 business days. To price this at par, the fixed leg ...
1
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1answer
179 views

Forward Curves and Par Yield Curves

I'm recently reading a research paper on the yield curve by Salomon brothers and in it it states that when the forward curve is above the par yield curve, it is seen as cheaper. If for example, the ...
1
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1answer
61 views

Arbitraging upward sloping yield curve

I read from various sources that yield curve is normally upward sloping. If that's the case, if we borrow short term and lend long term, won't we always make money on average? Let's say 1-year ...
3
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2answers
327 views

Basic LIBOR curve question

I'm new to the quant finance and have a very basic question about LIBOR curve. LIBOR is published every day for 4 different tenors (1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y), and each rate means how much annual interest ...
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0answers
257 views

Zero rate vs. yield on coupon bearing bond

in Hull's solutions manual of Options, Futures & Derivatives (8th edition), there's question 4.7, in which is asked to put the following in descending order: a) the five-year zero rate, b) the ...
0
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1answer
48 views

How do I interpret yield curve data points given by the US Treasury?

Given the Daily US Treasury Yield Curve Rates for a specific date I will fit the curve with the cubic spline method, but first I need to know how to use the data points given by the Treasury. For ...