2
votes
0answers
110 views

Stochastic Volatility CIR estimation

Would anyone have a code (pref. Matlab or R) for any type of estimation (QML, GMM) not using option prices of a stochastic volatility model driven by a CIR process described below? \begin{equation} ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

Shorting a Synthetic Long [on hold]

I have the following information: Call Premium: 0.30 Put Premium: 40.4 Strike: 130 1-Month Risk-Free Rate: 0% Market Price: $85.00 If I use the Synthetic Long ...
1
vote
0answers
6 views

How to optimize return in a moving average crossover algorithm

Moving average crossover strategy is a widely used strategy in algo trading. Is there a way to optimize return in a moving average crossover stratergy. I have used this site to backtest MA crossover ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

Problem with Naive Bootstrapping (US Government Bonds)

I am using the formula here to determine the discount factor function and eventually the zero-coupon yields for the yield curve. I get the data for the Coupons, Face Values and Closing Prices from ...
1
vote
0answers
8 views

In this scenario could gamma be higher for OTM options?

Let's say there is a $1 stock, with say 1 day to expiration. The 1.5 strike call, is probably a 0 delta at this point; however, a 1 point increase would mean the stock would be at trading at 2 ...
0
votes
2answers
60 views

Fractals indicator (Bill Williams) R Quantstrat

Hi has anyone seen or know how to create an indicator for fractals in quantstrat? fractals explained http://forex-indicators.net/bill-williams/fractals example code (only interested in type 1 ...
1
vote
1answer
54 views

Transaction costs on option trades

It looks like the commissions alone for a non-index option trade is around 2-5%. For example, a BAC June ATM Call is currently trading at \$0.20; Interactive Brokers charges $0.7 per contract, which ...
3
votes
1answer
120 views

Covariance structure of call option surface

Assume the observed call option prices $C(K_i,T_i)$ for $i = 1,\dots,N$ are disturbed by some unknown measurement noise $\epsilon$. What would an appropriate covariance structure be for $\epsilon$? ...
2
votes
1answer
20 views

According to Lo and MacKinlay (1990), momentum profits can be divided in 3 parts. What do they represent exactly?

At first, Lo and MacKinlay (When are Contrarian Profits Due to Stock Market Overreaction?, 1990) didn't do it for momentum precisely. However,Kyung-In Park and Dongcheol Kim (Sources of Momentum ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

Geometric Brownian Motion in a general interval $[t_1,t_2]$

I know that the Geomtric Brownian Motion, with the expresion $dX_t = v X_t dt + \sigma X_t dW_t$ has the next solution $$X_t = X_0 e^{\sigma W_t+ (v-\frac{\sigma ^2}{2})t}$$ on the interval [0,t]. ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

Time discretisations, FDM vs FEM

I am interested in adaptive mesh methods for numerical solution of PDEs with applications to finance. As part of a school project, I have been pricing vanilla European call and put options using 2D ...
-3
votes
1answer
59 views

How do you calculate P&L based on trade history? [on hold]

Given a series of trades Symbol,Quantity,Price,Side SPY,100,127,Buy SPY,87,125,Sell SPY,109,115,Sell SPY,122,95,Sell SPY,66,89,Buy SPY,101,175,Sell How do you ...
3
votes
2answers
164 views

What are the main market anomalies/inefficiencies detected in quantitative finance?

I wondered about the existence of a complete list of the anomalies detected in quantitative finance. Generally, a market anomaly or inefficiency is a asset price and/or rate of return distortion on a ...
2
votes
1answer
34 views

What is the machine learning language of choice in this industry for unsupervised learning

I was wondering from those with commercial machine learning financial experience, what the machine learning language of choice in this industry in the most general sense. Also, what would be the ...
-6
votes
0answers
20 views

What's the best proffesional forex market data feed out there?

I trade forex latency arbs and find it harder and harder to get a reliable New York market data feed to server my purpose. Reuters and EBS send timesliced updates every 500ms for 5k/month which is ...
4
votes
1answer
54 views

Extended CIR and discretization

Did someone know how to discretize this process efficiently : $dX(t) = \kappa [\theta(t)-X(t)]dt + \sigma \sqrt{X(t)}dW(t)$ I am looking for something more sophisticated than the trivial Euler ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Examples using PyOpenCL for backtesting trading strategies?

Anyone used PyOpenCL for backtesting trading strategies? Any qualitative/quantitative benchmarks of implementations in Python, Cython, PyOpenCl? Is it worth it spending time implementing extra Lines ...
5
votes
2answers
79 views

Derivation of Stochastic Vol PDE

A couple questions regarding stochastic vol PDE derivation. Following Gatheral, a general stochastic vol model is given by \begin{align*} dS(t) & = \mu(t) S(t) dt + \sqrt{v(t)}S(t) dW_1, \\ dv(t) ...
3
votes
1answer
108 views

Closed form solution of PDE of Option Price

Let $V=V(S_t,t)$ be the option price and \begin{align} V_t+\mu\,S\,V_S+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2\,S^2\,V_{SS}=0\\ V(S_T,T)=\ln (S_T)^{2}. \end{align} My question: How can I obtain a closed form solution of ...
8
votes
2answers
130 views

Deriving the definition of stochastic integrals with respect to Ito processes from first principles

When I first encountered the definition of integrals with respect to Ito processes (Shreve's Stochastic Calculus for Finance Vol II), I didn't think twice. However, I wanted to see if the definition ...
6
votes
3answers
437 views

Do hedge fund trading desks use portfolio optimization?

I tend to think that hedge funds that actively trade (and most of the ones I have seen trade very actively), don't use optimization methods like MVO or ...
2
votes
1answer
42 views

What is the best data structure/implementation for representing a time series in C#?

I'm looking for a tick by tick high performance container. So far I've been using List where Tick is a simple struct with a DateTime and double field. I'm using Linq for date lookups but it's ...
2
votes
1answer
102 views

How to get around flat likelihood function when calibrating GBM parameters

(Hope this is the correct place for this question - I posted it first on stackoverflow:) I want to calibrate jointly the drift mu and volatility sigma of a geometric brownian motion, ...
2
votes
2answers
70 views

Q regarding amortization of 500,000 loans

I am brand new to this forum. I asked this question on the main StackOverflow site and it was suggested that I ask here. My task is to find a method to quickly calculate the monthly cash flow on ...
3
votes
1answer
173 views

How to calculate implied volatility smile of basket using correlations?

For a basket, the realized volatility can be calculated using: $$\sqrt{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2 + 2 \sigma_1 \sigma_2 \rho}$$ If I have the volatility surface of two underlyings S1,S2 (strike space). ...
3
votes
1answer
84 views

Regression model when samples are small and not correlated

I received this question during an onsite interview for a quant job and I'm still scratching my head on how to solve this problem. Any help would be appreciated. Mr Quant thinks that there is a ...
2
votes
1answer
11 views

Is probability implied by binary FX options risk neutral or real world?

If we consider binary FX options in the market and estimate the market implied probabilities of certain FX rates occurring, would these resulting probabilities be risk neutral or real world? I hear ...
7
votes
0answers
68 views
+50

Pricing an American call under the CGMY model

I am pricing an American call under the CGMY model ($0 < Y < 1$) with strike $K$ at grid point $(x_i,\tau_j)$ where $x_i=x_{min}+i\,\Delta x $ for $i=0,1,...N$ and $\Delta ...
3
votes
1answer
43 views

Do futures follow physical or risk-neutral distributions

I've spent a while looking for an answer to this question and while I feel it is a simple question I have not found an answer. I know prices of option contracts follow an implied, risk-neutral ...
14
votes
13answers
8k views

Is “eoddata” a good data source?

Not sure if this is a relevant question for site, but I am looking to move to www.eoddata.com as my data source. If anyone has used it, can you tell me how the data quality is ? I am currently ...
2
votes
1answer
32 views

Distribution of stochastic integral

Suppose that $f(t)$ is a deterministic square integrable function. I want to show $$\int_{0}^{t}f(\tau)dW_{\tau}\sim N(0,\int_{0}^{t}|f(\tau)|^{2}d\tau)$$. I want to know if the following approach is ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

What are the different algorithmic trading strategies available for an individual trader [on hold]

I am new to algorithmic trading (automatic or semi-automatic) and i am really curious about its working. To understand more about algo trading I am reading the book An introduction to algorithmic ...
5
votes
1answer
26 views

Boundary Condition for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate

I want to find Boundary conditions for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate.The portfolio contains stock where stochastic differential equation for the stock price is \begin{align} ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

Proving $\mathbb{E}(g(X)) = \int_{\mathbb{R}} g(x) f(x) dx$

Let $X$ be a random variable on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ and let $g$ be a Borel-measurable function on $\mathbb{R}$. In Shreve II (p 28) he proves, using the standard machine, ...
9
votes
2answers
240 views
+100

Why do people always seek finite-variance models for option pricing

For the purpose of getting fatter tails than the Guassian, I have seen people for example use $\alpha$-stable processes to model the stock. But in that case they end up using 'tempered' versions of ...
3
votes
2answers
51 views

Stochastic Calculus Rescale Exercise

I have the following system of SDE's $ dA_t = \kappa_A(\bar{A}-A_t)dt + \sigma_A \sqrt{B_t}dW^A_t \\ dB_t = \kappa_B(\bar{B} - B_t)dt + \sigma_B \sqrt{B_t}dW^B_t $ If $\sigma_B > \sigma_A$ I ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Historical Daily NAV for Closed End Funds

Does anyone know where to get historical, daily net asset values for closed end funds from the date of inception to the present? Yahoo finance has daily opening, high, low, closing values, but no NAV ...
4
votes
0answers
61 views

pdf of simple equation, compound Poisson noise

I would like to find the probability density function (at stationarity) of the random variable $X_t$, where: \begin{equation*} dX_t = -aX_t dt + d N_t, \end{equation*} $a$ is a constant and $N_t$ is a ...
1
vote
2answers
95 views

Speed of mean reversion of an interest rate model

I would like to have a bit more of intuition about the concept of "speed of mean reversion" for an interest rate model, e.g. Vasicek or CIR. In particular, is a negative speed of mean reversion ...
-1
votes
0answers
11 views

Total market cap in country, and average p/e per country and continent(europe) [on hold]

I want to invest my monthly saving on index fund. However, I am not sure to pick which country index fund that I want to invest. I am afraid i am investing in an index fund that is so overvalued goes ...
4
votes
1answer
54 views

volatility factor

I am trying to add a volatility factor to Fama-French factor model. Does anybody know of a source where I can get data for "volatility mimicking factor" or suggest a simple methodology for ...
-3
votes
1answer
39 views

Long-Term Government Bond Yields

On the Federal Reserve of St. Louis FRED website we can find the 10-year government bond yields: https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/IRLTLT01USM156N.txt. I chose monthly frequency and percent ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

Can you tell me what this RBloomberg formula means?

I've been asked to re-create a spreadsheet that used RBloomberg using a different data source. But I'm having trouble figuring out exactly what one of the spreadsheet's formulas does. Can anyone tell ...
1
vote
1answer
15 views

Range options in BS

I know how barrier options are priced in Black-Scholes scheme. I'm wondering if an analytical formula exists also for range (corridor) digital options i.e. options paying only if the price remains ...
0
votes
1answer
195 views

Factoring risk premium in to Forward Rate calculation

This is a self study question. I'm calculating a forward rate. Specifically, I have that in a country X, the Spot Rate is 5X/1US. I also have that the 1 year interest rate is 13% in country X and ...
6
votes
2answers
92 views

Reflection Principle

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ be a probability space and $\{W_t ∶ t ≥ 0\}$ be a standard Wiener process. By setting $\tau$ as a stopping time and defining \begin{align} ...
12
votes
5answers
2k views

Why is the VIX futures market usually in a state of contango?

I'm a VIX newbie and I'm trying to understand why the VIX futures market is usually in a state of contango. All I can figure is that the sellers of VIX futures contracts demand high "prices" (because ...
-1
votes
1answer
28 views

Conversion of SPY prices to ES prices

I have a system that I use intraday that works great on SPY. Due to the extra leverage available plus other benefits I am thinking about trading the system using ES. Is there a conversion factor ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

Garch model newbie. help needed with variables

I am very new to using stata and very new to using Garch models. I am currently doing my final dissertation for my MSc in Finance studies and regarding my topic I understood that i had to use garch to ...
3
votes
1answer
96 views

Best simplified way to model volatility in returns of an investment in a risky fixed income asset

I am currently working on a project where I have analyzed a certain category of fixd income instruments, and I now have the gross aggregate yield as well as the theoretical gross-aggregate ...

15 30 50 per page