1
vote
1answer
277 views

Excel to Java for Interactive brokers

I have a working excel workbook connected to Interactive brokers DDE API. I am struggling to upgrade to a more robust environment like Java. I tried to change it to ActiveX for Excel but the ...
0
votes
0answers
4 views

Value a structured note with Black-Scholes

Apologies in advance if this seems like a straight forward question but I'm really unsure how to go about it. Say I have the payoff for a structured note benchmarked against an index and I have a ...
1
vote
1answer
42 views

Stock Returns Distribution in Heston Model

There is a paper by Dragulescu and Yakovenko (DY) in 2002 proposing a pdf for the stock returns in the Heston model. However, in a paper by Daniel, Bree and Joseph, they actually perform statistical ...
0
votes
0answers
5 views

Garch for covariance matrix?

I have seen plenty of literature about GARCH on estimation volatility. how about covariance? There are plenty of risk models depending on the covariance matrix. I guess we can assume the correlation ...
0
votes
0answers
10 views

How to forecast bond price with time series

I have the goal of being able to develop a model that can forecast the future prices of european government bond (or other private bonds), particularly from the historical prices and returns of the ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Implied Vol vs. Calibrated Vol

Consider the Black-Scholes model, in which the log stock return over a time period $\Delta t$ is given by $$ \log(S_{i+1}/S_i) = (\mu - \sigma^2/2)\Delta t + \sigma \sqrt{\Delta t} Z_i, \qquad Z_i ...
1
vote
0answers
16 views

How can I do a dynamic GARCH model using extended Kalman filter in R?

Today I was reading an article quoted here, in this article is proposed an adaptive (dynamic) Garch model. How can I do it in R? The use of extended Kalman filter or particle filter is indifferent. I ...
4
votes
3answers
156 views

Why is Brownian motion merely 'almost surely' continuous?

Why is Brownian motion required to be merely almost surely continuous instead of continuous? For example, this is stated as condition 2 in this article in section 1, Characterizations of the Wiener ...
2
votes
5answers
242 views

Is there any way to easily estimate and forecast seasonal ARIMA-GARCH model in any software?

I use R to estimate a seasonal ARIMA(8,0,0)(5,0,1)[7] model for the seasonal differences of logs of daily electricity prices: ...
0
votes
1answer
9 views

Lease Accounting / FX Embedded Derivatives

I have a lease agreement where the functional currency is USD, domestic currency is UAH. Lease agreement is written in EUR (rent rate) and payments are to be done in UAH in the amount of rent rate ...
0
votes
1answer
19 views

How to fit a SARIMA + GARCH in R?

I'd like to fit a non stationary time series using a SARIMA + GARCH model. I have not found any package that allow me to fit this model. I'm using rugarch: model=ugarchspec( variance.model = ...
0
votes
5answers
369 views

API-based equity screeners?

I know there are APIs from different brokers that allows you to trade and also obtain information about specific companies, but I wonder if there are equity/asset screeners that are API-based and can ...
1
vote
1answer
33 views

Proving there exists no arbitrage opportunities given 3 states and 2 assets

Assume there are 3 states of the world: w1, w2, and w3. Assume there are two assets: a risk-free asset returning Rf in each state, and a risky asset with Return R1 in state w1, R2 in state w2, and R3 ...
1
vote
0answers
23 views

Effect of massive volatility on BS formula

I am experimenting with very high volatility on the standard Black-Scholes formula. I set risk free to zero, time to expiry to 1, volatility to 1 (=100%), and underlying to 1. Then I simulate the ...
0
votes
1answer
44 views

Can I do a GARCH model to forecast a time series?

I read this paper https://research.aston.ac.uk/portal/files/240393/AURA_2_unmarked_Energy_demand_and_price_forecasting_using_wavelet_transform_and_adaptive_forecasting_models.pdf the two authors ...
0
votes
1answer
24 views

What are good online resources for credit portfolio managers?

I am aware that this question is not the typical stackoverflow question, BUT I couldn`t find any site/forum/wiki, where credit portfolio managers hang out to share their experience and their methods. ...
-2
votes
0answers
28 views

Stock market prediction [on hold]

Good Afternoon group members. My research area is financial data mining. My research topic is Stock market prediction using artificial neural network. I have implemented Back propagation algorithm. I ...
3
votes
0answers
24 views

Please give a step-by-step explanation on how to build a factor model

Factor models such as Fama-French or the other's that are partially summarized here work on the cross-section of asset returns. How are the factors built, how are sensitivities/coefficients ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

What is the difference between a benchmark yield curve, funding curve and a basis spread curve?

I am trying to understand why these curves are important, and what they are used for in the industry today (if not at all).
1
vote
1answer
53 views

Effect of vol smile on risk neutral probability of ITM

I was asked in an interview about how the vol smile affect the price of a binary option, which is essentially the Prob(ITM) under risk neutral measure. My thought is that the implied vol at spot ...
2
votes
2answers
92 views

Time-independent local volatility

Suppose somebody provides us with a surface of European call prices $C(\tau,K)$ where $\tau$ stands for time-to-maturity and $K$ for the strike. By Dupire's results, there is a unique local volatility ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

What are the different Credit Portfolio Management models and what are their advantages?

CreditMetrics, RiskMetrics(Algorithims), etc. are all different risk methodologies used by many banks. However, what are their advantages/disadvantages? I would appreciate your replies!
1
vote
1answer
249 views

ex ante tracking error correlation between funds

I have two portfolio's called Comb & Global. They both have the same investable universe lets says 3000 stocks & are measured against the same benchmark. So it is possible that both funds hold ...
-1
votes
0answers
15 views

Error: could not find function “covEWMA” [on hold]

During the code I've got a problem Error: could not find function "covEWMA" What is the problem?
0
votes
1answer
40 views

binomial option pricing model - problem with risk-neutral probability

I have a little problem: in the binomial option pricing model, the price of a european derivative security $V_{n}$ satisfies: $V_{n}=[1/(1+r)]*[\tilde{p}*optionUp +\tilde{q}*optionDown]$ where: ...
0
votes
1answer
40 views

What is the difference between a book value and a market value?

0 down vote favorite I would like to understand the following problem. A 2yr zero-coupon bond has an annual yield rate of 11% per year. A 4yr zero-coupon bond has an annual yield rate of 19% ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

How do I get a list of yahoo tickers for NYSE

I use Yahoo finance to get financial data. How do I get a list of all the ticker symbols in NYSE, NYSEMKT and NASDAQ stock exchanges. (Or even just one of the exchanges)
0
votes
0answers
16 views

About OpenMAMA, OpenMAMDA and OpenMDM

In the Linux Foundation are hosted the OpenMAMA and OpenMAMDA (found in that link too) projects and I'm wondering if has someone worked with those projects and if he/she could give me a more detailed ...
2
votes
1answer
98 views

Feature Selection Effect on Deep Multi-Layer-Perceptron for Financial Applications

I am trying to build a machine learning system for financial price prediction. I am using a 3 layer MLP (a deep network) with 3 outputs (buy,hold,sell). I am using different features such as price ...
0
votes
0answers
27 views

Impact of Implied skew variations on future prices

I want to test the relationship between of the oil implied volatility skew and oil future prices. I'm lost regarding the method to test the relationship. I was thinking about a regression but I'm ...
-1
votes
0answers
15 views

No data in get symbols [on hold]

I found DCCGARCH Model code over the internet, I'd like to try to apply this code for my indexes, but I can't get them by using getsymbols, because there is no data in yahoo Finance, but I've got ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

CAPM Model Required Return Calculations

In a CAPM model how would one calculate p given sigma, beta, and required return? How would one calculate beta given sigma and p. and how would one calculate required return only given sigma and p?
4
votes
1answer
66 views

Is this application of Ito's lemma correct?

Suppose that $S$ follows a geometric brownian motion $$dS=S(\mu dt+\sigma dB).$$ It is well understood that $$S_{T}=S_{0}exp((\mu-\dfrac{\sigma^{2}}{2})T+\sigma B_{T}).$$ Method 1 (I have no ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving with Newtons Method

Hi I am currently working on implementing my newtons method to guess implied volatility and I have the same code as you do. However, my vol result goes to infinity and I have not figured out why my ...
1
vote
0answers
14 views

Charting order depth over time periods

I do a lot of analysis on order flow, tape reading, as it gives insight into what market participants want, or may be willing to do. In comparison, price charts show what happened, and technical ...
1
vote
1answer
59 views

Fitting transition matrices in R by solving for coefficient

I'm using various matrices to impute a fitted transition matrix for credit ratings by solving for a variable [S]. Essentially the idea is to determine a base matrix and stress matrix to compare to a ...
2
votes
4answers
77 views

Local volatility surface corresponding to the implied volatility surface

In Derman/Kani/Zou paper about local vol they rebuilt a local vol surface from an implied vol surface. Each implied volatility depicted in the surface of the "implied Vol" is the Black-Scholes implied ...
2
votes
1answer
68 views

Forecast 3m LIBOR USD. Budget purpose

How can I calculate/budget/find a expectation for the 3 month LIBOR for the next 3monts-4 years? I am calculating a CF scenario on USD 3month Libor + margin. With swaps and fixed rate this is easy, ...
5
votes
3answers
186 views

What is the fair price of this option?

Without having to use Black-Scholes, how do I price this option using a basic no-arbitrage argument? Question Assume zero interest rate and a stock with current price at \$$1$ that pays no dividend. ...
3
votes
5answers
265 views

Why the Black-Scholes formula can be used in the real world?

The BS formula is deduced using the risk neutral measure. Why can it be used in the real world?
2
votes
1answer
93 views

Is printing money really a bad thing?

I have 2 related questions about increasing money supply: (I know high school level economics.) 1) In an economy which has low growth and deflation, is it at all a bad thing to print money? In fact, ...
2
votes
1answer
48 views

How to account for correlation between strategies when they are added linearly?

There are n strategies which are going to be combined linearly. Using a pre-exisiting model I get a set of n weights which will be used to combine the strategies. But the model does not take ...
0
votes
1answer
17 views

Build spot rate curve with multiple treasuries for each maturity

I have the following treasuries: T 0 1/4 01/31/15 at 100.1236 T 2 1/4 01/31/15 at 101.1257 T 0 1/4 02/15/15 at 100.1251 T 4 02/15/15 at 101.9994 T 11 1/4 02/15/15 at 105.6269 T 0 1/4 02/28/15 at ...
0
votes
3answers
349 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
12
votes
4answers
3k views

What is a “coherent” risk measure?

What is a coherent risk measure, and why do we care? Can you give a simple example of a coherent risk measure as opposed to a non-coherent one, and the problems that a coherent measure addresses in ...
0
votes
1answer
45 views

Building curves using onshore or offshore JPY overnight rates?

I am trying to build Japanese Yen interest rate curves. When defining the curve instruments for the 'OIS' (discount) curve (aka TONAR), I am uncertain as to which rate to use for the overnight deposit ...
1
vote
2answers
54 views

Numerical delta of Bond Options

I'm trying to calculate the delta for bond Call options. I'm using the vasicek model which gives the following solution for a Zero-coupon bond call option: $Z = N P(t,S) \Phi(d_1) - K P(t,T) ...
5
votes
2answers
305 views

Pricing options under restricted domain

How would I price an option when the underlying security is unable to trade above a certain price? I assumed this would be as simple as restricting the limits of integration of the PDF to B (the ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

How do I show that there is no tangency portfolio?

Question: Suppose that the risk-free return is equal to the expected return of the global minimum variance portfolio. Show that there is no tangency portfolio. A hint for the question states: Show ...
0
votes
1answer
28 views

Financial Mathematics essay topic

I have a mathematics background and I am currently doing a Masters in Financial Mathematics. I am required to write an essay in a financial mathematics area but I have little knowledge about it since ...

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