0
votes
1answer
9 views

Can I do a GARCH model to forecast a time series?

I read this paper https://research.aston.ac.uk/portal/files/240393/AURA_2_unmarked_Energy_demand_and_price_forecasting_using_wavelet_transform_and_adaptive_forecasting_models.pdf the two authors ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

How to fit a SARIMA + GARCH in R?

I'd like to fit a non stationary time series using a SARIMA + GARCH model. I have not found any package that allow me to fit this model. I'm using rugarch: model=ugarchspec( variance.model = ...
0
votes
1answer
19 views

What are good online resources for credit portfolio managers?

I am aware that this question is not the typical stackoverflow question, BUT I couldn`t find any site/forum/wiki, where credit portfolio managers hang out to share their experience and their methods. ...
-2
votes
0answers
11 views

Stock market prediction

Good Afternoon group members. My research area is financial data mining. My research topic is Stock market prediction using artificial neural network. I have implemented Back propagation algorithm. I ...
2
votes
0answers
13 views

Please give a step-by-step explanation on how to build a factor model

Factor models such as Fama-French or the other's that are partially summarized here work on the cross-section of asset returns. How are the factors built, how are sensitivities/coefficients ...
0
votes
0answers
2 views

Lease Accounting / FX Embedded Derivatives

I have a lease agreement where the functional currency is USD, domestic currency is UAH. Lease agreement is written in EUR (rent rate) and payments are to be done in UAH in the amount of rent rate ...
1
vote
1answer
31 views

What is the difference between a benchmark yield curve, funding curve and a basis spread curve?

I am trying to understand why these curves are important, and what they are used for in the industry today (if not at all).
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Effect of vol smile on risk neutral probability of ITM

I was asked in an interview about how the vol smile affect the price of a binary option, which is essentially the Prob(ITM) under risk neutral measure. My thought is that the implied vol at spot ...
2
votes
2answers
87 views

Time-independent local volatility

Suppose somebody provides us with a surface of European call prices $C(\tau,K)$ where $\tau$ stands for time-to-maturity and $K$ for the strike. By Dupire's results, there is a unique local volatility ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

What are the different Credit Portfolio Management models and what are their advantages?

CreditMetrics, RiskMetrics(Algorithims), etc. are all different risk methodologies used by many banks. However, what are their advantages/disadvantages? I would appreciate your replies!
1
vote
1answer
243 views

ex ante tracking error correlation between funds

I have two portfolio's called Comb & Global. They both have the same investable universe lets says 3000 stocks & are measured against the same benchmark. So it is possible that both funds hold ...
-1
votes
0answers
12 views

Error: could not find function “covEWMA” [on hold]

During the code I've got a problem Error: could not find function "covEWMA" What is the problem?
0
votes
1answer
33 views

binomial option pricing model - problem with risk-neutral probability

I have a little problem: in the binomial option pricing model, the price of a european derivative security $V_{n}$ satisfies: $V_{n}=[1/(1+r)]*[\tilde{p}*optionUp +\tilde{q}*optionDown]$ where: ...
0
votes
1answer
39 views

What is the difference between a book value and a market value?

0 down vote favorite I would like to understand the following problem. A 2yr zero-coupon bond has an annual yield rate of 11% per year. A 4yr zero-coupon bond has an annual yield rate of 19% ...
0
votes
1answer
23 views

How do I get a list of yahoo tickers for NYSE

I use Yahoo finance to get financial data. How do I get a list of all the ticker symbols in NYSE, NYSEMKT and NASDAQ stock exchanges. (Or even just one of the exchanges)
0
votes
0answers
15 views

About OpenMAMA, OpenMAMDA and OpenMDM

In the Linux Foundation are hosted the OpenMAMA and OpenMAMDA (found in that link too) projects and I'm wondering if has someone worked with those projects and if he/she could give me a more detailed ...
2
votes
1answer
96 views

Feature Selection Effect on Deep Multi-Layer-Perceptron for Financial Applications

I am trying to build a machine learning system for financial price prediction. I am using a 3 layer MLP (a deep network) with 3 outputs (buy,hold,sell). I am using different features such as price ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Impact of Implied skew variations on future prices

I want to test the relationship between of the oil implied volatility skew and oil future prices. I'm lost regarding the method to test the relationship. I was thinking about a regression but I'm ...
-1
votes
0answers
15 views

No data in get symbols [on hold]

I found DCCGARCH Model code over the internet, I'd like to try to apply this code for my indexes, but I can't get them by using getsymbols, because there is no data in yahoo Finance, but I've got ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

CAPM Model Required Return Calculations

In a CAPM model how would one calculate p given sigma, beta, and required return? How would one calculate beta given sigma and p. and how would one calculate required return only given sigma and p?
4
votes
1answer
62 views

Is this application of Ito's lemma correct?

Suppose that $S$ follows a geometric brownian motion $$dS=S(\mu dt+\sigma dB).$$ It is well understood that $$S_{T}=S_{0}exp((\mu-\dfrac{\sigma^{2}}{2})T+\sigma B_{T}).$$ Method 1 (I have no ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving with Newtons Method

Hi I am currently working on implementing my newtons method to guess implied volatility and I have the same code as you do. However, my vol result goes to infinity and I have not figured out why my ...
1
vote
0answers
12 views

Charting order depth over time periods

I do a lot of analysis on order flow, tape reading, as it gives insight into what market participants want, or may be willing to do. In comparison, price charts show what happened, and technical ...
1
vote
1answer
58 views

Fitting transition matrices in R by solving for coefficient

I'm using various matrices to impute a fitted transition matrix for credit ratings by solving for a variable [S]. Essentially the idea is to determine a base matrix and stress matrix to compare to a ...
2
votes
4answers
72 views

Local volatility surface corresponding to the implied volatility surface

In Derman/Kani/Zou paper about local vol they rebuilt a local vol surface from an implied vol surface. Each implied volatility depicted in the surface of the "implied Vol" is the Black-Scholes implied ...
2
votes
1answer
66 views

Forecast 3m LIBOR USD. Budget purpose

How can I calculate/budget/find a expectation for the 3 month LIBOR for the next 3monts-4 years? I am calculating a CF scenario on USD 3month Libor + margin. With swaps and fixed rate this is easy, ...
5
votes
3answers
177 views

What is the fair price of this option?

Without having to use Black-Scholes, how do I price this option using a basic no-arbitrage argument? Question Assume zero interest rate and a stock with current price at \$$1$ that pays no dividend. ...
3
votes
5answers
258 views

Why the Black-Scholes formula can be used in the real world?

The BS formula is deduced using the risk neutral measure. Why can it be used in the real world?
2
votes
1answer
93 views

Is printing money really a bad thing?

I have 2 related questions about increasing money supply: (I know high school level economics.) 1) In an economy which has low growth and deflation, is it at all a bad thing to print money? In fact, ...
2
votes
1answer
48 views

How to account for correlation between strategies when they are added linearly?

There are n strategies which are going to be combined linearly. Using a pre-exisiting model I get a set of n weights which will be used to combine the strategies. But the model does not take ...
0
votes
1answer
17 views

Build spot rate curve with multiple treasuries for each maturity

I have the following treasuries: T 0 1/4 01/31/15 at 100.1236 T 2 1/4 01/31/15 at 101.1257 T 0 1/4 02/15/15 at 100.1251 T 4 02/15/15 at 101.9994 T 11 1/4 02/15/15 at 105.6269 T 0 1/4 02/28/15 at ...
0
votes
3answers
349 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
12
votes
4answers
3k views

What is a “coherent” risk measure?

What is a coherent risk measure, and why do we care? Can you give a simple example of a coherent risk measure as opposed to a non-coherent one, and the problems that a coherent measure addresses in ...
0
votes
1answer
44 views

Building curves using onshore or offshore JPY overnight rates?

I am trying to build Japanese Yen interest rate curves. When defining the curve instruments for the 'OIS' (discount) curve (aka TONAR), I am uncertain as to which rate to use for the overnight deposit ...
1
vote
2answers
54 views

Numerical delta of Bond Options

I'm trying to calculate the delta for bond Call options. I'm using the vasicek model which gives the following solution for a Zero-coupon bond call option: $Z = N P(t,S) \Phi(d_1) - K P(t,T) ...
5
votes
2answers
305 views

Pricing options under restricted domain

How would I price an option when the underlying security is unable to trade above a certain price? I assumed this would be as simple as restricting the limits of integration of the PDF to B (the ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

How do I show that there is no tangency portfolio?

Question: Suppose that the risk-free return is equal to the expected return of the global minimum variance portfolio. Show that there is no tangency portfolio. A hint for the question states: Show ...
0
votes
1answer
26 views

Financial Mathematics essay topic

I have a mathematics background and I am currently doing a Masters in Financial Mathematics. I am required to write an essay in a financial mathematics area but I have little knowledge about it since ...
0
votes
1answer
268 views

IB with R which package?

I want to implement my models in R and trade according to them with my IB account. Now I am wondering, how I should solve this problem? Do I need to program with C an access ...
0
votes
1answer
23 views

Downloading Data from Interactive Brokers using IbPy

I am trying to download data from Interactive Broker using the code below and I am able to create the connection with the Trader Work Station (I get a "True" after ...
1
vote
2answers
42 views

Euler discretization of Heston SDE in Mathematica

Below is an implementation of the numerical solution of the Heston SDE using Euler discretization. It takes under a second to run on Mathematica. The calibration parameters give a good fit to the ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Use of Stochastic Calculus in QF [on hold]

What are some of the areas of stochastic calculus are used in QF, and what are some of the applications? If this question is maybe too broad, please provide references instead. Please provide ...
2
votes
1answer
60 views

The use of GARCH

I have a conceptual question that I haven't managed to grasp yet and is most likely a econometrics 101 question by here it goes: If we estimate a GARCH model for a time series, how do we then use ...
1
vote
2answers
296 views

Why is that a risk averse consumer buys the optimum insurance when there is actuarially fair insurance?

I think I understand the fact that when marginal utilities of the same function are equal (a consequence of the actuarially fair insurance), the independent variables in it must be equal -- right? But ...
0
votes
2answers
71 views

For Probability of Default in retail credit what is more popular logistic regression or GLM with Poisson distribution and why?

Trying to understand which regression model is more popular in retail credit card industry Logistic regression or GLM with Poisson distribution and why?
0
votes
4answers
292 views

Intermarket analysis - related time series?

I'm about to embark on training a neural network on daily forex data, with a view to obtaining a predictive network. I'm also interested in using data other than the forex currency pair data itself, ...
0
votes
1answer
94 views

Get market cap by ticker on 1.7.2013?

I have a list of all S&P500 tickers, e.g. AAPL, GOOG, JPM. I would like to get their market cap on 1.7.2013 (I don't have Bloomberg, only free internet). Is there an excel addin or other ...
11
votes
6answers
6k views

Should I use an arithmetic or a geometric calculation for the Sharpe Ratio?

What are the advantages/disadvantages of using the arithmetic Sharpe Ratio vs the geometric Sharpe Ratio? Is one more correct? Or is one better in certain circumstances?
4
votes
1answer
129 views

Rich Volatility, Poor Volatility

I have been thinking very hard about properly pricing volatility. Outside of naive AR,ARCH,GARCH forecasting model which employs past data to forecast future vol, how does one "fundamentally" value ...
0
votes
1answer
53 views

How to pull stock exchange names for a list of tickers, bloomberg?

How to pull stock exchange names for a list of stocks with tickers, on bloomberg? Please advise the steps so as to paste the list of tickers without having to type tickers one by one.

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