0
votes
0answers
4 views

Game theory and antagonistic games in trading

In one of the topic here, particularly in the comments, i saw a link to the page describing connection between Antagonistic Games and finances but i cannot find it now and would appreciate if somebody ...
2
votes
2answers
75 views

Approximation of different volatilities

Suppose I model the forward swap rate lognormal $$dS_t = \sigma_{ln}S_tdW_t$$ On the other hand we could model it simply by a normal assumption: $$dS_t = \sigma_{n}dW_t$$ I would like to know if ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate

Question about forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate.Some definitions $P(a,b)$ a zero coupond price at time $a$ and maturity $b$ $L(a,b)$ simply compounded spot interest rate set at ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

Why most of apple stock price since 10years have been gained overnight?

I've been playing with stock data and I've discovered a terrible truth : in 10 years apple stock price passed from roughly 3\$ to 100$. However this gain isn't due to intraday price variation ...
2
votes
8answers
152 views

Why would there be a positive risk-free rate?

Most financial models include a risk-free rate or risk-free asset. Why should there be such thing as a positive risk-free rate? I dont see why an asset would provide a positive (real) return if it ...
7
votes
1answer
161 views

How to price a Swing Option?

I'm working in the commodity market and I've to price Swing Options with MATLAB, preferably with finite element. Has anyone already priced these kind of derivatives? I'm thinking about using the ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Different ways of portfolio optimization

There are different ways to optimize portfolios: $$ \max R^Tw\tag{1}$$ or $$ \min w^T \Sigma w\tag{2}$$ and finally using a risk tolerance $\lambda$: $$ \min{(w^T\Sigma w-\lambda R^T ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Which certificate course is better for risk analytics professional or willing to have a career in risk management? [on hold]

Which certificate course is better for risk analytics professional or willing to have a career in risk management ?. FRM certification versus PRM certification.
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Create Two Correlated Random Series [on hold]

I am trying to create two random return series, with defined mean return, variance (standard deviation of return), and correlation. I am using the below method, by imposing the parameters on X1 and ...
5
votes
1answer
401 views

Testing the validity of a factor model for stock returns

Consider the following m regression equation system: $$r^i = X^i \beta^i + \epsilon^i \;\;\; \text{for} \;i=1,2,3,..,n$$ where $r^i$ is a $(T\times 1)$ vector of the T observations of the dependent ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

What is Equity Asian Hybrid?

As listed in http://www.vectorrisk.com/Views/Solutions/ProductList.aspx What's an Equity Asian Hybrid? Any references? What is exactly a hybrid product?
49
votes
10answers
33k views

How can I go about applying machine learning algorithms to stock markets?

I am not very sure, if this question fits in here. I have recently begun, reading and learning about machine learning. Can someone throw some light onto how to go about it or rather can anyone share ...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

What is some prerequisite book that can help me to read “mathematical methods for financial markets”

What is some prerequisite book in mathematics or finance that can help me to read "mathematical methods for financial markets"? I found a lot of difficulties when try to start to read the PDF of this ...
13
votes
3answers
928 views

How does one analyze diversification if stock prices follow a Cauchy distribution?

How does diversification actually lead to less variance in a portfolio? I'm looking for a formal reason why this is the case. There are a number of explanations I have been able to find, but they make ...
1
vote
1answer
58 views

Pricing a bond contract from the yield curve

When giving a particular class in financial mathematics for a student I saw a problem in a list of exercises that says: How to calculate the price at 15 December 2010 of a bond paying a coupon of ...
2
votes
2answers
56 views

Predict Futures Prices based on weather + agricultural data

I’m working in the area of Data Mining and have come up with the following idea for my Masters project.The text may not be the best structured but it’s a working draft to give you a quick idea. ...
3
votes
6answers
204 views

Why should we expect geometric Brownian motion to model asset prices?

Disclaimer: I am a complete ignoramus about finance, so this may be an inappropriate forum for me to ask a question in. I am a mathematician who knows nothing about finance. I heard from a popular ...
3
votes
1answer
180 views

Is it possible to model general wrong way risk via concentration risk?

General wrong way risk (GWWR) is defined as due to a positive correlation between the level of exposure and the default probability of the counterparty, due to general market factors. (Specific wrong ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Stress Testing Methods

I'm working on the following task: Given quarterly data: a time series representing the 1-year realized (10 years of data) rates of default on a portfolio of mortgages a slew of ...
-2
votes
1answer
41 views

Two assets with the same mean and standard deviation - Would there be any benefit? [on hold]

If I have two assets in a portfolio with the same standard deviation and mean and the correlation between the assets is 0, theoretically could there be a situation where it would be beneficial to ...
0
votes
1answer
34 views

Does the correlation of matrices has explanatory power when building a pattern recognition model?

I'm using 8 different variables (with daily observations) with the purpose to compare different months across the historical data. For that purpose I calculate the correlation between each month and ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

Explain drop in Correlation between two time series in consecutive periods

I have a time series for a security list with 2 parameters calculated for each time period. For example, for a stock XYZ, I have Param1 and Param2 calculated over various time periods stacked against ...
1
vote
1answer
166 views

what is a typical way forex brokerages can provide cheap leverage for their customers?

I'm not very well read in the area of high finance but I'm curious how forex brokerages are able to provide the backing for leverage that they can provide to customers. Is it possible to do this ...
1
vote
1answer
53 views

In what kind of stochastic process Ito's lemma is adopted?

I have been told that Ito's lemma serves as the stochastic calculus counterpart of the chain rule. And yet again my tutor mentioned it is not used for all stochastic processes. Is this statement ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Analog - Pattern Recognition model using KNN

I'm building a pattern recognition model for my master thesis. The idea is to build a framework with some Macro variables (long/short term rates; rates differential; equity; fx; vix) in order to find ...
5
votes
1answer
77 views

Solving Black-Scholes PDE using Laplace transform

I'm trying to obtain the Laplace transform of Call option price with repect to time to maturity under the CEV process. The well known Black scholes PDE is given by $$ ...
5
votes
1answer
51 views

Girsanov Theorem and Quadratic Variation

Girsanov theorem seems to have many different forms. I've got a problem matching the form in wiki to the one in Shreve's book, due to the difficulty of quadratic variation calculation. Below is the ...
3
votes
3answers
139 views

How to work out weights for a portfolio based on an inverse ratio with positive and negative values?

I am trying to work out how to determine weights for the assets in order to form a portfolio. The ratio I am using is EV/EBIT, hence the smaller the better. The problem is I don't know how to handle ...
2
votes
0answers
91 views
+100

Scale of Market Quakes Computation

I would like to reproduce the results in the paper "The scale of market quakes", from T. Bisig, But I am getting stuck at the computation of the Fourier Coefficients in equation (4). They are defined ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

What data should be used for regression-based model backtesting?

I ran regressions using historical valuation data and now want to backtest the models I came up with. Are there any issues with using the same historical data set for the backtest that I need to be ...
2
votes
1answer
54 views

What is the best way of updating data while using Empirical Mode Decomposition to analyze

I have a question about EMD updating new data points. For an entire time series, from beginning to the end, the EMD preforms quite good using the cubic spline function. The problem happens when new ...
2
votes
2answers
344 views

Robust Returns-Based Style Analysis

Sharpe's Return-Based Style Analysis is an interesting theory but flawed in practice when working with long-short funds or funds that are changing strategies over shorter periods of time due to the ...
2
votes
2answers
44 views

Is this a reasonable approach to determine the relative importance of valuation factors?

I am trying to come up with a measure of relative importance of a number of valuation factors. I am wondering whether correlation coefficients can't be used for determining this. More on the issue: ...
0
votes
2answers
105 views

How can I calculate Fama-French betas for a particular stock?

For a particular stock, what's the simplest way to calculate betas for the Fama-French factors SMB and HML?
1
vote
2answers
34 views

How to combine Gaussian marginals with Gaussian copula to obtain multivariate normals?

in the book "Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance" I red the following: "Combining the Gaussian copula with Gaussian marginal gives a fancy way of expressing multivariate normals. However, ...
3
votes
3answers
98 views

Capital Allocation for Portfolio of Multi-Strategy and Multi-Instrument

I would like to know if there is a way (or theory) to manage a multi-strategy, multi-instruments portfolio that would calculate the optimal weight to allocate capital for each combination of strategy ...
0
votes
1answer
22 views

Why does the price of a convertible bond go up if the CDS spread goes up?

Looking at convertible bond prices in a commercial pricing tool, which is based on a model of Black-Scholes volatility plus a Poisson process of jump to default, I noticed that increasing the spread ...
2
votes
1answer
92 views

Why is two-factor model so popular for bond futures?

Given that which bond in the basket becomes CTD depends massively on idiosyncratic moves among different bonds, should we not be always using N factor model instead of 2 Factor model? By using only ...
2
votes
2answers
104 views

Logic behind Gordon Growth Model in a DCF analysis?

Sorry, I wanted to ask this on the finance/money forum, but they don't support LaTeX there. Let's say we are valuing a company using the DCF methodology with a 5-year projection period. We project ...
4
votes
3answers
129 views

multiperiod optimization using R

I'm interested in multistage optimization problems. Are there any good R packages around to solve such problems over time? I'm not at all an expert in it, so maybe someone knows a good paper / lecture ...
5
votes
2answers
867 views

How is the default probability implied from market implied CDS spreads for CVA/DVA calculation?

From point 38 on P.17 the default probability can be implied from market implied CDS spreads. "Macro Surface" method is mentioned, but I cannot get any clue of what it is? Where do I get the acedemic ...
0
votes
1answer
32 views

Why is the duration of a bond is important?

I know what it measures, but now in the age of computers why is it useful? If the yield changes, we could just simply plug the new yield into a program, or excel or something like that, and calculate ...
0
votes
1answer
65 views

How to select optimal betting strategy from backtest?

I have written a model for predicting the winner of UFC fights. My model calculates the probability of each fighter to win a given match. I have back tested the model and found it to be very ...
2
votes
1answer
76 views

Does anyone have a C# implementation of the Barone Adesi Whaley options pricing model?

Thanks. Can't seem to find it through google. Worst case, if you can provide me the code in Java or C++ I can convert it to C#.
1
vote
1answer
30 views

Hedging using relative values

Consider I have two stocks $A$ and $B$, $A$ is trading at $\$40$ and $B$ at $\$30$. The standard deviation of its returns are $\sigma_A=25\%$ and $\sigma_B = 30\%$. Correlation between the returns is ...
11
votes
5answers
1k views

How to optimally allocate capital among trading strategies?

I'm trying to find an optimal way to allocate capital among trading strategies. "Quantitative Trading" by Ernie Chan claims on page 97 that the optimal fraction of capital to allocate to a given ...
1
vote
2answers
175 views

Why is “full” Yield Curve (term structure of interest rates) 3 component based?

I am trying to understand bond-valuation and construction of yield curve. I don't have any exposure to bootstrapping or what-so-ever as of now. So it's appreciated to have an example but not too ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Is there a way to adjust R PerformanceAnalytics function VaR with EWMA or GARCH method?

Is there a way to upgrade R PerformanceAnalytics function VaR with more risk sensitive approaches like EWMA or GARCH? Or is there another R package which can handle the issue?
2
votes
1answer
60 views

Do people hedge with leveraged ETFs intraday? How?

Seems that the answer to the first part should be yes, but haven't seen any references or examples. E.g. suppose I want to hedge XLF position with FAZ. Do people use close to current returns, or just ...
1
vote
1answer
34 views

Calculating short/long order percentages?

I have a feed in real time that lists the ask and bid orders. Each order consists of a value and a quantity. I want to calculate the percentage of short orders from the total orders in terms of ...

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