0
votes
0answers
4 views

$\frac{1}{p(T_{i-1},T_i)}(A-p(T_{i-1},T_i))^+$ at time $T_i$ is equivalent to a payment of $(A-p(T_{i-1},T_i))^+$ at time $T_{i-1}$

How can I show that payment of $\frac{1}{p(T_{i-1},T_i)}(A-p(T_{i-1},T_i))^+$ at time $T_i$ is equivalent to a payment of $(A-p(T_{i-1},T_i))^+$ at time $T_{i-1}$ ? Where A is a deterministic ...
1
vote
0answers
21 views

How to calculate the probability of 2 options ending in money with different expiration dates?

Lets say I make a trade that consists of buying one put and 2 calls of the same underlying but with different expiration dates and different strikes. Example trade: ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Using Technical Indicators for forecasting Financial time series using Machine learning models

Hi I am trying to use financial technical Indicators for forecasting, using machine learning models. The usual approach in time series cross validation is to use a moving window or growing window. ...
0
votes
0answers
10 views

Impulse Response Function, VAR

I calculated VAR coefficients and got stability coeficients. But then I calculated Impulse Response function and it turned out to be spike-shaped function (like cos(x)*exp(-x) with acute extremuma ...
0
votes
2answers
25 views

Implied probability from CDS spread

I have two tasks: 1) Given country's CDS spread draw implied probability of default. 2) Given probability of default calculate CDS spread. If possible, refer to any papers. Thank you in advance.
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Credit Rating or Probability of Default from Financial Ratios

Does anyone know of any papers about credit rating development or probability of default estimation done based on financial ratios that also include methodology and maybe good/bad criteria? Something ...
2
votes
0answers
13 views

Best simplified way to model volatility in returns of an invstment in a risky fixed income asset

I am currently working on a project where I have analyzed a certain category of fixd income instruments, and I now have the gross aggregate yield as well as the theoretical gross-aggregate ...
0
votes
1answer
23 views

Key rate duration - Bond trading at par

I am reading the CFA L2 curriculum Bond Analysis section and it mentions that for a bond trading at par, the maturity-matched rate is the only rate that affects the bond's value and therefore the key ...
2
votes
0answers
19 views

Life annuity and the use of Gompertz-Makeham

The question goes as follows: Consider a life annuity contract that pays the holder a yearly fixed amount from a certain time until the death of the holder of the contract. (a) Suppose ...
0
votes
1answer
33 views

VIX options historical data

I'm looking at these data: call and put options on VIX. I'm interested in daily quotes (all strikes and maturities) for - at least - 2009/10. Could you list link of possible sources? and possibily ...
1
vote
1answer
16 views

Multicasting with FIX

I have a scenario in which a FIX server will send to multiple clients. I have found examples in which this is done by sending to each session round-robin fashion however, is there any facility in FIX ...
1
vote
1answer
55 views

derivation of heston pde in gatheral

Following Gather (the volatility surface, chapter 2) we assume the following process: $$ dS_t = S_t(\mu_t dt+\sqrt{\nu_t}dZ^1_t)$$ $$ d\nu_t= -\lambda(\nu_t-\bar{\nu})dt+\eta\sqrt{\nu_t}dZ^2_t$$ ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

Stochastic Volatility CIR estimation

would anyone have a code (pref. Matlab or R) for any type of estimation (QML, GMM) not using option prices of a stochastic volatility model driven by a CIR process described below? \begin{equation} ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

short-sale constraint with nonpositive-definite matrix in portfolio optimization

I need help about portfolio optimization in R. I have inverted matrix and I want to use it as an input in portfolio optimization. It was non-positive definite before I have handled it. In portfolio ...
4
votes
1answer
74 views

How to price a futures spread option?

Let's say I have two futures contract $F_1(0,T)$ and $F_2(0,T)$ on two different correlated underlyings. If I assume that both underlying follow a GBM with volatility $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

Get: Historic S&P500 Market Cap

I need the market cap of the S&P500 components on 2.6.2013. It should be easily downloadable via Bloomberg, but I dont have this databank. E.g. you could use ...
4
votes
2answers
59 views

Distinction between “risk factor” and “market anomaly”

What are some of the general rules to decide whether a particular factor is a "risk factor" or "anomaly?" Naively speaking, can't you put any anomaly factor on the right-hand-side of the regression ...
2
votes
1answer
79 views

Ho and lee derivation for short rates model

A silly question that is bugging me. I am working my way through Baxter and Rennie (again) and I am getting my wires crossed on the short rate models in particular the straight forward Ho and Lee ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Exercise on American call option and dividends

Consider an americal Call option on an underlying paying dividends. Then it is often argued that it is only optimal to exercise right before the dividend is paid out, otherwise one will not exercise. ...
2
votes
1answer
63 views

Two correlated time series - driver and follower

Say that there are two time series of highly correlated stocks one of which is the driver and the second one follows the first one. What mathematical meassure of formula would you use to identify ...
-1
votes
0answers
26 views

What packages are out there to extract trading signals from time series data [closed]

I have lot's of time series that I would like to compare. Similar time series shall be grouped together. Is there a decent package out there to extract significant features that I could use to ...
1
vote
1answer
68 views
+50

Aren't Technical Indicators calculated on Adjusted Close Price?

I would assume that day to day movement in stock can be accurately compared with the Adjusted Close Price and not simply the Close Price, taking into account Stock Splits Dividends etc. ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

VIX-implied Volatility calculator

Does anybody know any implied volatility calculator for VIX Options, possibily in Matlab? For Vanilla Options, I'm currently employing this function which is very fast and reliable (much more than ...
0
votes
1answer
13 views

How to use WACC for investment?

How to use a value of WACC? I have calculated WACC of company to be 7%. What if company had smaller or bigger WACC? Which one would attract investment?
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Applying the Bayesian Information Criterion for Stepwise Selection Algorithms on Time Series [migrated]

The title sounds rather complicated for fairly simple statistics issue. I've created a factor model that tests adding additional factors by checking if the improvement in the mean squared error ...
1
vote
2answers
28 views

comparing modified VaR to ordinary VaR

What inferences can one draw when given a modified VaR at x% confidence and an ordinary VaR at x% confidence level. If the two are equal one inference can be that returns are gaussian but that also ...
-1
votes
1answer
18 views

How should I interpret MDD and ASD? [closed]

I'm studying hedge funds and I'm looking at two figures that I'm not sure how to interpret: The first is Max Drawdown, which I see scaling from 0 to -30ish. Is Fund A with a MDD of -15 more or less ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

How do I track implied volatility of specific delta?

I'm a newbie with respects to volatility trading and options. I recently purchased a book on the topic called "Trading Implied Volatility -An introduction" by Simon Gleadall. It's been one of the most ...
-1
votes
0answers
19 views

Self financing portfolio with safe position $X_t$ and $\phi_t=\Delta _t$ number of shares [closed]

How to prove: If just the $\Delta_t$ delta at time t is given, how we can write down the safe position $X_t$ and then the portfolio is self financing.
-1
votes
0answers
25 views

how to obtain optimal portfolio with different borrowing and lending rates?

I have some risky assets and risk free assets and I am trying to find out optimal portfolio with constraints like following. Suppose I wish to obtain an expected return of 12%, what portfolio will ...
4
votes
1answer
66 views

Historical Financial Statement to Backtest in R

I would like to preface this by saying I am preparing for an upcoming internship this summer so I am extremely new to Quant Finance. At my university we have access to Datastream by Thomson Reuters ...
3
votes
1answer
35 views

Why Beta Distribution for Credit Migration

When modelling credit migration probabilities (e.g. AAA to AA), research has indicated the use of the Beta Distribution simply because it fits empirical data. My question is; What are some other pros ...
2
votes
4answers
111 views

Is there any way to easily estimate and forecast seasonal ARIMA-GARCH model in any software?

I use R to estimate a seasonal ARIMA(8,0,0)(5,0,1)[7] model for the seasonal differences of logs of daily electricity prices: ...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Ibrokers: reqMktData extremely slow when adding tickers

I am trying to snap prices in R for the latest price for a list of stocks (around 150). When I snap them for 2 stocks, it's almost instantaneous: ...
1
vote
2answers
88 views

Which risk free rate is assumed by market when pricing american options?

I'm just started with finance, so maybe my question is dumb or answered elsewhere. Please guide me to relevant materials. According to put-call parity more time to expiration means more difference ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

How to reduce the variability of investment returns by increasing average expected return? [closed]

I will illustrate my question with a simple example: Say a stock called ABC is currently trading at 100.00, with an average expected return of 0% per year, and has a 50% probability of touching 90.00 ...
0
votes
0answers
9 views

Overnight charges for brokers holding stocks [migrated]

I'm trying to learn about stock markets. I eventually want to invest a small amount over a long period. I notice on a lot of broker sites they charge an overnight fee for any stock held over night. I ...
1
vote
1answer
32 views

Median value for geometric brownian motion simulation

I'm trying to simulate stock prices using GBM. I am using the following formula, and MATLAB function, to determine the stock prices: $\nu = \mu - \frac{\sigma^{2}}{2}$; $S = S0*\text{[ones(1,nsims); ...
-1
votes
0answers
29 views

How much less likely is a stop loss to be touched/hit after increasing expected return?

Firstly, let's say we have a stock ABC currently trading at $100.00 that has: (A) an expected return of 0% per year and (B) standard deviation of 20% per year Given these stats, the stock has a 50% ...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Log returns and GARCH models

I try to model currency rates volatility using GARCH models through the RUGARCH package in R. Starting from the observed currency rate series, I compute the log-return through: ...
2
votes
1answer
45 views

Do we need Feller condition if volatility process jumps?

It is fairly known that in affine processes, as Heston model \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} dS_t &= \mu S_t dt + \sqrt{v_t} S_t dW^{S}_{t} \\ dv_t &= k(\theta - v_t) dt + \xi \sqrt{v_t} ...
3
votes
1answer
46 views

What are the empirical limitations to testing market efficiency?

I have encountered a rather elegant argument about the limitations of empirically testing for market efficiency, involving the central point that we do not know whether a result is due to the "true ...
1
vote
2answers
53 views

Free access to official real-time and intraday data for exchanges [duplicate]

Where can I obtain all official real-time and intraday data for exchanges — NASDAQ, NYSE, AMEX, OTC, CME, etc? I feel like the raw data is out there to be consumed and parsed at no cost (except the ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

How does Reuters quote caps?

I'm wondering which curves should I use when passing from the Implied volatility to prices. When I read an implied volatility (for instance 3Y Cap strike 0.5%) the discounts and forward rate ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

What is the best real time data feed - IQFeed, kinetick.com, etc?

This is my first post, and I know of quant's vast knowledge base of the users. Thanks in advance for any assistance. Any quantitative testing, benchmarking, expected lag, true numbers comparing all ...
1
vote
1answer
45 views

What are the units of the variables appearing in a standard stochastic differential equation for a Wiener process?

The Black Scholes model assumes the following form for the Wiener process describing the evolution of the stock price S: $dS=\mu S dt + \sigma S dX$ Clearly $S$ ...
1
vote
1answer
87 views

Python code to download historical firm data

I am looking for a Python code that scraps a website to download historical firm data such as market capitalization, dividend-yield, and so on. I have a code that downloads the current firm data from ...
1
vote
1answer
48 views

Am I in a long or short position in this case? (Cross hedging)

An airline expects to purchase 2 million gallons of jet fuel in 1 month and decides to use heating oil futures for hedging. The variance of the heating oil futures price is 1,5 times bigger then the ...
0
votes
1answer
50 views

Is this process predictable or not?

Consider a market model with two assets which are modeled as usual by the stochastic process $S^0$ and $S^1$, that is adapted to the filtration. Can anyone tell if this process is predictable or ...
-1
votes
0answers
40 views

How to calculate implied volatility of an american call option in excel VBA?

I am looking for a macro which calculates the implied volatility of an american option in excel. My approach is to use secant method with lower bound of zero and upper bound as IV of european call ...

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