0
votes
2answers
2k views

Par Yield Curves vs Zero Curves

Does it make sense to look at par yield curve for German bonds in the current environment? Because low rates mean that a lot of bonds are trading above much above par (even around 150!). I would ...
0
votes
2answers
138 views

Do people actually use VaR in professional settings?

VaR seems like such an obviously flawed metric, I am surprised that it seems to be used so much in the private sector. First, the way it is named and the way it is presented often imply it is the ...
0
votes
1answer
225 views

Level II market data (equities)

I have been playing around with some equities historical market data and I understand that different exchanges have different definitions of what Level II (Limit Order Book) data means. What I'm ...
0
votes
1answer
218 views

Why most of apple stock price since 10years have been gained overnight?

I've been playing with stock data and I've discovered a terrible truth : in 10 years apple stock price passed from roughly 3\$ to 100$. However this gain isn't due to intraday price variation ...
0
votes
1answer
227 views

What data should be used for regression-based model backtesting?

I ran regressions using historical valuation data and now want to backtest the models I came up with. Are there any issues with using the same historical data set for the backtest that I need to be ...
0
votes
2answers
241 views

Can selling put equity options be a good business?

In one of his last books Jack D. Schwager suggested that selling equity puts can be a good business. The puts are like insurance policies against market downturns and there is a natural demand. ...
0
votes
3answers
417 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
0
votes
1answer
200 views

Book recommendation for time series analysis

I have been trying to wrap my head around Engel-Granger test and jcitest etc. I have failed thus far. If possible can someone guide me about which books to start with and possibly reach to ...
0
votes
1answer
65 views

Is there any relationship between investment return of a stock, for individual year (Yearly return) and multiple years (Overall annualized return)

currently, I'm calculating the return of a stock, for individual year and multiple years. I tend to answer the following question. Return of a stock for end of year 2010 (Individual year) Return of ...
0
votes
3answers
174 views

Divergence between binomial pricing and monte carlo simulation for vanilla european call?

I notice a divergence in my own code, but it's evident even in public code: http://www.thalesians.com/finance/index.php/Knowledge_Base/Finance/Option_Pricing_in_Python_and_Simple_English Pricing a ...
0
votes
2answers
285 views

Trading days or Calendar days for Compound Annual Growth Rate?

When calculating CAGR for intervals shorter than a year (or intervals that are longer than, but not integer years in length), should you use the 252 trading days or the 365.25 calendar days? The ...
0
votes
2answers
159 views

Why long power and short gas for Merchant power plant

Merchant power plant is one that can be turned on whenever you want. Suppose it is generating electricity from natural gas and we have a spark-spread option. Why is that the person who owns plant is ...
0
votes
2answers
194 views

Use of geometric mean for average return of several indices

Can anyone give any reference for using the geometric mean to average the returns from several indices? Note, this question is not about the usual use of geometric mean to obtain the average return ...
0
votes
2answers
83 views

Wiener process proof

Can someone prove to me how $dW_t=W_t-W_s$, where $t=s+1$, the difference of the Wiener process eventually equates to $dW_t=z*(dt)^{(1/2)}$ where $z$ is standard normal, $N(0,1)$ in the following ...
0
votes
2answers
103 views

SEC XBRL Context Dates

In SEC XBRL financial filings, why do the date ranges for duration contexts not match the context's quarter? e.g. The markup for the context "D2012Q3" may look like: ...
0
votes
1answer
106 views

decoding this formula about nominal and real return [closed]

I am sorry if the following question is not quantitative finance. I am reading this thing badly written lecture notes, which says $W^r_1 \equiv W_1/P_1^g = (W_0^rP_0^g)(1+R)=/P_1^g$ $(1+R^r)\equiv ...
0
votes
1answer
121 views

How to convert trasaction log to bid-ask ticks

I have data from exchange in transaction log format that indicating: price volume timestamp That element indicating that timestamp transaction was made on price of size volume. My question is how ...
0
votes
1answer
148 views

Parameters for numerically fitting t-distribution to log-returns

I am fitting the t-distribution to log-returns numerically (not using R, MATLAB, Stata, etc.), but rather using general programming. Assuming the log-return values are $r_t$, and the $t$-variates are ...
0
votes
1answer
204 views

Quantitative finance mentality for success [closed]

I have a strong statistical background (particularly in Time Series analysis) and previously have spent a lot of time modelling sports, Baseball in particular. After reading "Analysis of Financial ...
0
votes
1answer
406 views

Where does CME store Security IDs for FIX messages?

Where does CME store Security IDs for FIX messages? I cannot find them anywhere? So given Security ID XX I can go and work out what product this actually is?
0
votes
1answer
88 views

Increasing Market Depth

Are there any sure-fire ways to increase market-depth that people have experience with? Has much research been done/published on this subject?
0
votes
1answer
756 views

Japan day count conventions

I am after a good comprehensive resource on Japanese day count conventions. By that I mean, is actual/360 or actual/365 used for pricing various options, forwards, futures, etc.
0
votes
2answers
525 views

garchOxFit in R

Could someone please help me with trying to get the Ox interface to work in R. I followed the steps outlined in this paper (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1752095), but I get the ...
0
votes
2answers
985 views

30360 Daycount Count Convention to find NPV for Bonds

Using a 30/360 day count convention, how can you value the NPV of these cash flows and the discount factor? I know how to discount cash flows but how does it differ using a 30/360 approach? What is ...
0
votes
1answer
3k views

Stock prices using a monte carlo simulation with a normal inverse gauss distribution

I am supposed to model daily stock prices with a normal inverse gauss distribution in excel. I feel like I am misssing some basics because I cant transform the information from the academic papers ...
0
votes
1answer
62 views
0
votes
2answers
237 views

Quality of GAINDATA timestamps

Does anyone have a view on the quality of the timestamping of GAINCAPITAL's free historical data. There is non-FX data there and I wonder if the timestamps are in sync?
0
votes
1answer
1k views

Matlab - Differences between rng and rand

I was trying to run some Monte-Carlo simulations and if I used: rng(seed, 'Twister'); For some reason I would get "Option Values Can not be Negative" errors in the blsimpv function, but if I just ...
0
votes
2answers
550 views

Why the implied volatilities calculated are so different

I Calculated facebook option(expired in 12/4/13) Implied Volatility with the Bisection Method. The program will be attached at the end. The results for different strike prices are so different: ...
0
votes
1answer
300 views

compute FX forward from broker's data

assume I have following delta-term vol data from broker: ...
0
votes
1answer
113 views

Reference on SDE driven by jump processes

Are there reference on SDE driven by jump proccesses? e.g. Shepard-Nielson Model
0
votes
2answers
209 views

Interpretation of PCs

I have computed PC1 and PC2 wts on future contracts derived from cumulative log differences. How can I use them to get back the theoretical price of each contract using those 2 pcs? Thanks in ...
0
votes
1answer
145 views

how to quantify non-fundamental risk if variance is 100% discounted?

If there's better vocabulary, forgive me. If you were required to ignore variance as risk, how would you quantify non-fundamental risk? Many thanks in advance!
0
votes
2answers
382 views

What stock market indicators to model based on twitter feed? [closed]

We are developing an algorithm that models twitter users and groups of words that may indicate real world events. One application is modelling elections, i.e which party is likely going to win. ...
0
votes
1answer
6k views

What does “Inst. Own” mean on Google Finance, and how can AOL be 103% “Inst. Own”'d?

https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AAOL&ei=yZCpUODEMsKqqgHPzQE Previously, I assumed "Inst. Owned" meant the percentage of the company's stock that was owned by the company (viz. not ...
0
votes
1answer
298 views

Where to find introductory material on leveraged loans?

What are some good, preferably free, introductions to leveraged loans, also known as syndicated loans or bank loans? The introduction should describe the basic mechanics and very importantly provide ...
0
votes
1answer
160 views

How do I check whether OAS value is correct?

How do I check whether the Option-adjust spread value I have retrieved from external calc utility is correct? Can you please tell me the steps to verify this?
0
votes
1answer
233 views

What are the rules for quoting option prices on the market?

I have implemented a monte carlo pricer for an option. I simply don't know how many decimals I need to include in the quoted price. Can anyone please provide guidelines?
0
votes
1answer
42 views

What is the formula that determines when VIX futures expire?

Or a source that will allow me to just get the list of dates into a program, I'm trying to do this in python but I want it to be able to figure out the next expiration automatically, or something like ...
0
votes
1answer
40 views

What is the formula for variance in estimating exchange rate?

I was watching this Youtube Video. He used a exchange rates of Euro to Dollar for a few days and apply GARCH(1,1) to get the predicted price. However, I didnt understand variance that he calculates ...
0
votes
1answer
30 views

method/technique for finding arbitrage

I was able to solve this problem and find the arbitrage but only after spending a long time on it and trying out different possibilites, is there a method or technique that can help me find the ...
0
votes
1answer
29 views

Binomial Model, Number of nodes from $t = 0$ to $t = n$

How many paths are there in a binomial model from time $t = 0$ to time $t = n$? How many nodes (states) are there? Intutively it seems that there are $2^n$ paths and $2n - 1$ nodes. But I am not sure ...
0
votes
1answer
65 views

RiskMetrics VaR Volatility Sample Size

RiskMetrics calculates volatility using an exponentially weighted moving average. For a decay factor of 0.94, they advise a sample size of 74 past returns. Does this mean the entire calculation should ...
0
votes
2answers
86 views

Price of an equity

An equity has a value of 100 Euros, and pay a dividend of 5 Euros in 6 months. The interest rate of 6 months is 5% and the interest rate for 1 year is 6%. I would like to compute the value of the ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

ABS vs covered bonds vs CDO [closed]

What is the difference between asset-backed securities(ABS), covered bonds and collateralized debt obligations (CDO)?
0
votes
2answers
110 views

Discrepancy between binomial model, Black-Scholes and Monte-Carlo Simulation

I try to use Monte-Carlo Simulation to price a 10-year call option. Based on below parameter, S = 1, X = 1, volatility = 80%, T = 10, risk-free rate = 0.22% The option value based on Monte-Carlo ...
0
votes
1answer
30 views

Equitable Allocation

This questions borders on the actuarial side of things but the general solution should have relevance in several situations. Suppose we have a set of $k$ people who will retire in $\{n_1,...,n_k\}$ ...
0
votes
1answer
70 views

Ratio of gaussian CDFs in Black-scholes option pricing formula

What is meant by $\frac {\Phi (d_2)}{\Phi (d_1)}$ in the Black Scholes call option price? I found it in a solution as $\frac{\text{short position in cash}}{(\text{number of shares})(\text{strike ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

Volatility of monthly performances, where the last month is short

I'd like to calculate the vol of a return series of, say, 25 months. However, the last of those months is not completed yet. The last data point only refers to the first 21 days of the month (say, ...
0
votes
1answer
64 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - ...

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