All Questions

2k views

How are risk management practices applied to ML/AI-based automated trading systems

A potential issue with automated trading systems, that are based on Machine Learning (ML) and/or Artificial Intelligence (AI), is the difficulty of assessing the risk of a trade. An ML/AI algorithm ...
292 views

Application of ACD models

I have been playing around with autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models and I have a nicely working R based implementation using real high frequency data (trades only data). However, what's ...
261 views

How to assign equity analyst recommendations to a common, numeric scale?

Yahoo finance conveniently provides historic ratings from a number of analysts. Unfortunately, each analyst seems to use a different scale: buy/hold/sell, perform/outperform/neutral, overweight/equal ...
3k views

Monthly data for popular indices (constituents).

Trying to be concise: I am interested in the most popular indices (SP500, FTSE100, DAX30, CAC40, SMI30, etc). For each index I want to know its constituents in a monthly basis. For each constituent ...
594 views

Distribution for High Kurtosis

Can you please advise which distribution to follow when your skewness is 0.28 and Kurtosis value is 51. Since it's leptokurtic and positively skewed I would like to fit distribution and also wanted to ...
349 views

Is there any measure that is a non-trivial combination of VWAP and TWAP?

Is there any measure that is a non-trivial combination of VWAP and TWAP? For example: $$\textrm{VTWAP} = \frac{\textrm{VWAP}+\textrm{TWAP}}{2}$$ I'm thinking about ...
4k views

Is there a quantitative finance ranking system for universities?

I am a PhD student in stochastic analysis/control and had a MSc degree in Financial Mathematics. I am interested in determining there is a quantitative finance ranking system for universities like ...
2k views

Looking for a recommendation for a real life volatily trading book.

Recently I started working in an algotrading company as a programmer. After I studied that subject a little in the university and read a book or two in that field I gained a little knowledge in that ...
1k views

Is Visual Basic a fast enough for millisecond orders

I have an API that for an order routing platform that is in visual basic. The maximum frequency or orders to exchanges will be milliseconds, where the underlying systems are expected to be able to ...
480 views

calculating arbitrage-free ranges based off outright, spread, and fly prices

This may be more applied math rather than finance focused, but I'm curious about using linear algebra techniques for generating possible arbitrage signals among outright instruments and spreads/flies ...
618 views

Tests that any system must pass to be taken seriously

In an interview from '96 Bill Eckhardt points out that there are tests that any system must pass to be taken seriously. That is: tests for (1) overfitting, (2) post-dictiveness, (3) maldistribution ...
530 views

Choosing the time-frame to test for cointegration

Is there a technique to choose the time-frame for a cointegration test (eg Augmented Dickey-Fueller's)?
471 views

A few questions about signs of the Greek letters

Rho is the partial derivative of the value of call option, $C$, w.r.t the riskfree interest rate $r$: $$\rho \equiv \frac{\partial C}{\partial r}$$ In the standard B-S formula this term is positive, ...
551 views

Does put-call parity hold for a compound option with underlying American option?

Say there is an American put option that expires $N$ months from today. A call-on-put (CoP) option provides the owner the right to buy the American put option in exactly $M < N$ months (but no ...
1k views

Constructing an approximation of the S&P 500 volatility smile with publicly available data

Besides of the VIX there is another vol datum publicly available for the S&P 500: the SKEW. Do you know a procedure with which one can extrapolate other implied vols of the S&P 500 smile with ...
456 views

Creating an n-factor Certainty Equivalent Discounting Formula

Brealey & Myers provide a certainty-equivalent version of the present value rule, using CAPM, as follows: $$PV_0=\frac{C_1 - \lambda_m *cov(C_1, r_m)}{1 + r_f}$$ $PV_0$ - Present Value of cash ...
520 views

Suppose you backtest the EUR/USD (or GBP/USD) forex pair with this system on the 1min timeframe: 1) Enter the market at any time n: go long if the "future" bar n+1 has a higher close as the close ...
267 views

Do weights from portfolio theory contain bias?

I want to experiment with some portfolio modelling and I was wondering if you guys could help me with something. If I try to estimate and implement the traditional two-fund portfolio consisting of one ...
2k views

Why is the first principal component a proxy for the market portfolio, and what other proxies exist?

Let's say that I have a universe of stocks from a certain sector. I want to compute the market portfolio of this sector. Beta is the covariance between each stock and the market. But how do you ...
461 views

I'm analyzing trades from several participants in a trading competition, and I was wondering - are there known mechanisms for analysis and inference of the logic in a set of trades done by one ...
2k views

C++ training from scratch to quantitative trading? [closed]

I have been trading for decades, and I have a solid knowledge of technical analysis but also VB as professional programmer. I would like to start learning C++ from scratch, then specialised in C++ ...
497 views

What is the minimum history data size to get an accurate EMA/ MACD for latest history point

Currently, I have history data for 10 years. Most of the time, I only interested in getting EMA/ MACD for the last history point (means yesterday point). Instead of using entire 10 years history, I ...
763 views

Financial Mathematics - Martingales example

Was hoping somebody could help me with the following question. Prove that under the risk-neutral probability $\tilde{\mathsf P}$ the stock and the bank account have the same average rate of growth. ...
175 views

Parameter estimation using martingale measures - include real world data?

Please note: I posted this in nuclearphynance first, but didn't get any replies. For desks which sell exotics it is common practice (as far as I know it) to calibrate the model (Stochastic ...
342 views

looking for regulations regarding stock symbol reuse in the US

in june 2009, GM has filed for bankruptcy. trading has moved from NYSE to OTC pink sheets, and the symbol changed to GMGMQ and later to MTLQQ. in november 2010 a new GM symbol started trading on NYSE. ...
178 views

How companies choose earnings release dates, & effect on Implied Volatility

A company's earnings release date significantly affects weekly or monthly option prices/implied volatility. For companies that typically release earnings on the cusp of monthly options expiration, ...
328 views

I have historical trade data for every trade on a forex exchange, whcih includes the following data: Time the trade was made Amount, in currency A Price, in currency B I have also used this to ...
189 views

what are the most common explanations of the January effect?

The "january effect" is one of the most widely recognized market anomalies. In a nutshell, it refers to the empirical observation that January appears to have systematically higher returns than other ...
3k views

Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP)

In the spirit of canonical questions please state here versions of the FTAP in the following form (please only one theorem by answer) : Necessary definitions (or a direct link to definitions) ...
1k views

Are there ways to measure the risk aversion of a representative investor, based on publicly available market data?

Are there ways to measure the risk aversion of a representative investor, based on publicly available market data? Public available data could include asset price, volume, and flow data, and may be ...
122 views

Are there canonical test cases for testing of pricing engines

Short intro: We are developing pricing engines for the calculation of market risk in a Solvency II solution, including bonds, callable bonds, cds, options, futures and so on. Are there any canonical ...
332 views

Creating a financial market

Let's say I wanted to create my own financial market where people could buy with real money shares in a real physical product such as, for example, a rock band. If the value of the rock band goes up, ...
9k views

What type of investor is willing to be short gamma?

As far as I understand, most investors are willing to buy options (puts and calls) in order to limit their exposure to the market in case it moves against them. This is due to the fact that they are ...
405 views

NASDAQ TotalView ITCH order reference number number characteristics

I am building a custom hash implementation for storing NASDAQ ITCH order messages. Obviously this is keyed on the order reference number and I am wondering if these numbers are sequential, random or ...
619 views

Reduce correlation in output of Minimum Variance Portfolio Optimization

After running a minimum variance portfolio optimization on a universe of ETF's I see the resulting portfolios tend to be composed of bond ETF or related treasuries/government ETFs. I suppose that ...
320 views

central limit theorem and VAR

If I have a lot of data points and number of different dependent variables, can I use central limit theorem to assume data is multivariate normal and compute my VAR? Is this the appropriate use of ...
710 views

a simpler test for normality given skewness, kurtosis and autocorrelation and size of time series

I typically do a JB (Jarque Bera) test and DW (Durbin Watson) tests for check for normality given skewness, kurtosis and autocorrelation of the data. However this requires a CHI distribution table ...
3k views

Do you have historical tick data you want to donate?

Do you have historical market/pricing ticket data that you would like to donate to the Open Source Trader project (OST)?? Please: upload your files! Once we gather some data, we'll do our best to ...
1k views

Optimizing a portfolio of ETFs

I am aware of how to do mean-variance or minimum-variance portfolio optimization with constraints like weights must add to 1.0 no short sells max weight in any ticker using basic quadratic ...
238 views

Eurodollar Options Stike Price > 100 bps

Looking at Eurodollar IR options market data coming down from CME, I can see a whole host of options where the strike is > 100 bps. My understanding in this case is that puts will always be in the ...
227 views

Market order quantity greater than quantity of the inside quote at the exchange

If I send a market order to an exchange with quantity greater than the quantity of the inside quote at this exchange, and if another exchange has quantity to fill the residual portion at NBBO, will my ...
3k views

Vanna - any practical uses for risk or pnl attribution purposes?

What is the practical use for Vanna in trading? How can it be used for a PnL attribution?
284 views

How to think about pricing this weather call option

So as opposed to the normal structure using a reference temperature and HDD/CDD, I'm looking at pricing a call option with a structure similar to the following: Daily option on maximum daily ...
158 views

How do I check whether OAS value is correct?

How do I check whether the Option-adjust spread value I have retrieved from external calc utility is correct? Can you please tell me the steps to verify this?
1k views

What does leverage cost?

Let's say I've developed a strategy that always outperforms the S&P-500, let call it the "magic strategy". Now I should be golden. All I need is to always have the S&P shorted with the same ...
307 views

age-sensitive correlation measurements in finances

When it comes to comparing returns or prices of instruments like stocks/ETFs, are there any well-established formulas, or ones in common use, that place stronger emphasis on recent correlations more ...
90 views

how to identify similar assets based only on a few price samples

Using quantitative finances techniques on limited information, how might one go about finding similar(highly correlated) assets whose public information is available? The only data offered on a list ...
432 views

Is it possible to demonstrate that one pricing model is better than another?

Take the classic GBM (geometric Brownian motion) model for equities as an example: ds = mu * S * dt + sigma * S * dW. It is the basis for the classic ...