# All Questions

1answer
492 views

### How to look for fractals/harmonics patterns in time series?

I want to build trading systems based on two things: 1)Fractal Theory 2)Harmonics Pattern I have read the book : The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence By Mandelbrot ...
2answers
241 views

### Question on an approximation in pricing formula

I am reading the book An Introduction to Financial Option Valuation. The following on page 58 makes me confused: For the formula: $\exp \left\{ -1.96\sigma \sqrt{t}+(\mu-0.5 \sigma^2)t \right\}$,...
1answer
232 views

### DCF Zero Coupon Bond

Using a 30/360 day count what is the exact formula to discount this single zero coupon bond? ...
0answers
855 views

### fetch from yahoo! finance database - varying number of ticks

To test a model with real-life data, I used the fetch-function in matlab to connect to the database of yahoo! finance. My code to try and get 7 different assets' returns is the following: ...
1answer
447 views

### Definition of risk factors for market risk scenario testing

I am doing a research for stress testing in market risk. The usual process I found out for scenario testing is: Define risk factors upon the portfolio Define the desired scenarios Vary the risk ...
1answer
122 views

### right benchmark for an incompletely diversified international portfolio (for a CAPM): MSCI World or MSCI ACWI IMI?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on the ...
2answers
77 views

### different amount of information on return correlations from shorter and longer periods?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly (total) returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on ...
1answer
2k views

### how to chain monthly excess returns into annual?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on the ...
1answer
429 views

### comparing total returns from various data vendors

I need to use various data sources to cover all of my data, and I am concerned by the discrepancies in total returns. Data vendors were helpful, but their simple documentation did not help resolve why ...
2answers
5k views

### How to tune Kalman filter's parameter?

I plan to use Kalman filter to estimate saving account amount. However, I'm a bit lost at how to tune the filter's parameters. Taking as the example from the Wikipedia page, basically there are ...
1answer
82 views

### Total number of currency transactions [closed]

All of the Forex volume/transactions are always reported in total dollar amount. I am interested in the number of individual trades. Where can I find this? Granularity doesn't matter, transactions/...
2answers
1k views

### 30360 Daycount Count Convention to find NPV for Bonds

Using a 30/360 day count convention, how can you value the NPV of these cash flows and the discount factor? I know how to discount cash flows but how does it differ using a 30/360 approach? What is ...
1answer
2k views

### Cointegrating relationships - Johansen in R

I read the posts, How to interpret results of Johansen Test? and How to interpret the eigenmatrix from a Johansen cointegration test? But still I am quite confused by the output. I have a project with ...
1answer
118 views

### What is the smart way to reallocate money?

We are running a portfolio of fund managers in our fund. When one of the managers hits the max DD constraint we pull money from this manager. This may happen in the middle of the allocation period and ...
1answer
485 views

### Convexity adjustment

I have a problem with the underlying assumption in the future/forward convexity adjustment. If I understand correctly, the assumption is, if I am long ED, I earn money when rates go down and invest ...
1answer
2k views

### Normal vs Lognormal Short Rate models

Are there any general arguments to decide whether it is better to use a model with a normal or a lognormal distribution of the short rate? E.g. Hull-White with a normal and Black-Karasinski with a ...
1answer
352 views

### Recovery rate in a structured bond

I need to model the recovery rate of a structured bond whose expected cash flows, if the issuer remains solvent, will be very low. For instance, assume that I need to estimate the recovery amount of a ...
1answer
135 views

1answer
106 views

### Analyst Forecasts for monthly unemployment rate

Are there any resources that tabulate past analyst forecasts for the monthly unemployment rate along with the dispersion of the forecasts
1answer
151 views

### Estimating investor's utility from the trades data

Is it possible to infer investor's utility function from the set of decisions she is making? Let's assume for simplicity that the market consists of a single traded asset whose return distribution is ...
2answers
184 views

### Risk theory is a part of financial mathematics

In my program on Financial mathematics we studied such topics as pricing, portfolio management, risk theory (probability of ruin of an insurance company) etc. However, now I often see a line between "...

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