15
votes
1answer
416 views

Measuring Behavioral Finance Effects in Fund/Portfolio Manager Analysis

I want to know if there are some standardized measures to evaluate how irrationally human a portfolio manager is. Are there any performance measures or scorings for behavioral finance effects? How ...
7
votes
1answer
163 views

How to price a Swing Option?

I'm working in the commodity market and I've to price Swing Options with MATLAB, preferably with finite element. Has anyone already priced these kind of derivatives? I'm thinking about using the ...
7
votes
1answer
535 views

Applicability of PCA to get historical volatilities to calibrate interest rates trees

My question in short is as follows: can I take main principal component of historical covariance matrix and use it as historical volatilities when fitting a binomial tree? Here's more detailed ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

Index Price Simulation Volatility Bands

I am building a simple stochastic model for learning purposes in excel. I took daily data for the SPY since 1/1/1993. I computed the daily log returns and found that the SPY has had an average daily ...
0
votes
0answers
51 views

I want to optimize an equity portfolio for the four central moments can anyone help me with the problem formulation

Basically i am confused as to which formula to use for portfolio skew and kurtosis and how to use the same in the optimization problem. I would also like to know the options available regarding the ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Mapping Futures Data Into Mantas

Can anyone please help me figure out how to map 'Futures Data' into Oracle Mantas. I believe 'Futures Data Feed' will have a different 'Format' from the one acceptable to 'Mantas' risk management.
0
votes
0answers
70 views

UAC- Unbiased Average Correlation for a Matrix of stocks

Once I have computed a correlation matrix for a portfolio of stocks, how do I calculate the UAC for the correlation matrix? ie, how do I strip out any auto correlation among the names?
0
votes
0answers
282 views

R or Matlab code for Multi-Barrier-Options (3 or more underlyings)

I am looking for R or Matlab code examples of multi-barrier-options (or multi-barrier reverse convertibles) with at least 3 underlyings. Do you have such code or can you point me to a place where I ...
0
votes
0answers
103 views

The basic principle of the construction a portfolio of options

I have a question like this. Assume today's date is 9 January 2016 and XYZ's share price stands at $10. On 8 November 2016 there is a Presidential election and you believe that depending on who is ...
0
votes
0answers
51 views

why does graphic of log differenced of renminbi look similar to hkd?

this is CNY to US$ this is HKD to US$ while below are the log differenced of both graph above you can see tha apparent similarity on the mid of graph i thought that they were managed by ...
0
votes
0answers
119 views

Question on Barrier Option and Skew

If you bought an Equity Call Option with a Down-and-In Barrier, are you Long Skew or Short Skew? Please provide explanation as well. Thanks.
0
votes
0answers
151 views

EOD Options data provider - optiondata.net

Does anyone have any experience with optiondata.net as data provider for EOD options data? How would they be compared to historicaloptiondata.com?
0
votes
0answers
184 views

How to think about dollar volume in Eurodollar futures?

This is a very basic question: Computing the notional volume for futures contracts usually consists of something like: $V_F = N * P * M * FX$ Where $V_F$ is the dollar volume of the futures ...
0
votes
0answers
135 views

stock option strategies long vs short

What makes an option strategy long or short? I got the impression that if it is a net debit (you pay to open the strategy) it is classified 'long' (strangle, straddle) Then I learned about the call ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

beginner hurst exponent question

2 simple questions about the hurst exponent. I am using the R/s method to calculate and I've been able to logic it out with no prior experience with time series hence my beginner questions. I've ...
0
votes
0answers
72 views

Problem with setting up an arbitrage

I have a problem setting up an arbitrage table. I have to prove this relation: $$C_0 + P_0 \geq (k_2 − k_1) e^{−rt}$$ where $C_0$ is the price of a call with strike $k_1$, $P_0$ is the price of a ...
0
votes
0answers
94 views

Modelling interest rate: AR(2) modelling

I have a time series of spread that follows an $AR(2)$ (Autoregressive model of Order 2). I need an interest rate model that represents that dynamics. What model should I use?
0
votes
0answers
1k views

Are DV01 (or PV01) and IR01 one and the same?

IR01 measures the sensitivity of a portfolio or derivative to a parallel shift in the yield curve. Sometimes this is DV01 Dollar value (or PV01 present value). Is it always?
0
votes
0answers
123 views

Should the standard deviation points of CML x-axis be calculated with excess returns?

By excess returns, I'm referring to the current nominal treasury rate minus the log returns of the security. I'm working to construct a dynamic CML / CAPM application, but am uncertain how standard ...
0
votes
0answers
163 views

Easier references to understand “The Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory” of Back Kerry

I'm trying to read the excellent book "The Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory" of Back Kerry, but find it too much difficult. I really need to read it but before I assume that I may need to ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

What mean factor behind a yield?

When quoting a yield of a transaction e.g. yield 3.8% behind the yield it is quote "factor" - in this case of a yield of 3.8% it is mentioned in brackets (factor 26.11) . The lower the yield the ...
0
votes
0answers
121 views

“Real” DMA to Options Markets

I'm looking for a broker with DMA to large options markets (CME, ISE, CBOE). Broker should be HFT friendly, i.e. offer fast API, low fees for huge amount of trades and so on. Price is not an issue. ...
0
votes
0answers
63 views

Input for unanticipated risk premium estimation

In the paper "Economic Forces and the Stock Market" by Chen, Roll and Ross, unanticipated risk premium (URP) is tested as a potential risk factor for stock returns. This factor is commonly calculated ...
0
votes
0answers
57 views

Inferring the maximum drawdown depth for a different sample size

Let's say there's a trading system that has a 10 % chance of getting a maximum drawdown >= 50 % over a sample of ...
0
votes
0answers
96 views

Black (1976) model: boundary conditions with non-convergence of spot and forward prices

Let's suppose we have a futures contract F in a market where the relation $$F(t,T)=S(t)e^{r(T−t)}$$ doesn't hold. What are the the boundary conditions for the derivation of the Black (1976) ...
0
votes
0answers
87 views

DCF of Arbitrary Dates Cash Flows

I am having a problem understanding discounted cash flows. I appreciate your patience and help. Lets say I have a bond that I want to price. ...
0
votes
0answers
195 views

CME historical option data provider

Is there any other historical end-of-day CME option data provider rather then CME DataMine? I've searched all the internet and found only CBOE traded options.
0
votes
0answers
86 views

Is there a strong solution to $\frac{dS}{S}=\sigma(S)dw$?

Does someone know if there is a strong solution for this SDE : $$\frac{dS_t}{S_t}=\sigma(S_t)dW_t$$ where $$\sigma(S)=\begin{cases} 1\;\;\;S>1\\2\;\;\;S\leq 1 \end{cases} $$ $S_0=1$ and $W_t$ is ...
0
votes
0answers
178 views

what is a reasonable beta in CAPM?

I want to predict expected returns for assets using a CAPM, to calculate unexpected (unpredictable, idiosyncratic, non-systemic) returns in portfolios. My CAPM estimated on monthly total gross ...
0
votes
0answers
212 views

Time-varying correlation via state-space representation and Kalman filter

Let a linear time-varying mode like this one: $y_{t}=\alpha_{t}+\beta_{t}x_{t}+\epsilon_{t}$. You can also suppress the constant term to simplify this example: $y_{t}=\beta_{t}x_{t}+\epsilon_{t}$. ...
0
votes
0answers
69 views

Real value of small numbers of shares of company stock

What is the real value of a single share of company stock? Let's ignore the "the value is what someone is willing to pay for it" angle. At some point, there has to be a real inherent value to ...
0
votes
0answers
486 views

fetch from yahoo! finance database - varying number of ticks

To test a model with real-life data, I used the fetch-function in matlab to connect to the database of yahoo! finance. My code to try and get 7 different assets' returns is the following: ...
0
votes
0answers
99 views

close form for stochastic integral

I am new to stochastic calculus. Can I know how to compute the close-form solution for $$\int_0^t \exp(\alpha s - \sigma W_s) \; ds$$ and $$\int_0^t \exp(\alpha s - \sigma W_s) \; dW_s.$$ I encounter ...
0
votes
0answers
245 views

Fluid dynamics for order book depth modelling

Would someone be able to give me an idea what type of fluid dynamics I could look at for modelling the order book? My background is more signals-related maths (correlation, covariance, fourier etc). ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

How to make a historical index of a group of materials in which the set of materials changes every month?

The question may sound simple however for the moment it is a brainteaser to get it right, let me explain: the exercise is to be done on +/- 200 groups of materials (matgroups) one matgroup can ...
0
votes
0answers
236 views

Simple EOD computations for tick data

As part of End-Of-Day calculations once a particular market/exchange has closed for all the tickers traded on that market one may typically compute the following properties: OHLC Bid/Ask Price ...
0
votes
0answers
77 views

Can the equity premium puzzle be explained by volatility-induced financial growth?

Citing the paper Volatility-induced financial growth (2007) by Dempster et al.: when asset returns are stationary ergodic, their volatility, together with any fixed-mix trading strategy, generates a ...
0
votes
0answers
61 views

% Return on backtest with variable positions and notional amounts

I have a 14 year backtest for a systematic strategy that uses a static notional per each position. On any given day I could have multiple positions long and short and notional long and short. How do ...
0
votes
0answers
120 views

Exact value of mean reversion rate knowing terminal value of the process

Let you have the following mean reverting process: $\text{d}x_{t}=a(\theta-x_{t})\text{d}t$, where the diffusion term is absent, that is this process is not stochastic. Let you know the value of ...
0
votes
0answers
68 views

Mean-variance minimizser

I am working on a project that involves pricing european call options in incomplete markets. Now I need to find a unique measure $Q^*$ such that $$Q^* = \min_{M_e} E_Q [V(T)-F(w)]^2 = \min_{u} E_Q ...
0
votes
0answers
323 views

Mean Reverting Spread

I have constructed a mean reverting spread using two indexes. I know they have to be mean reverting, but when plotted side by side they are mean reverting for a little bit and then deviate and head ...
0
votes
0answers
179 views

Correlation Sensitivity

Suppose I have 2 stocks $S_{1}$ and $S_{2}$: \begin{align} & dS_{1}=rS_{1}dt+\sigma_{1}S_{1}dB_{1}\\ & dS_{2}=rS_{2}dt+\sigma_{2}S_{2}dB_{2}\\ & dB_{1}dB_{2}=\rho dt \end{align} Then I ...
0
votes
0answers
203 views

How to calculate cf and interest accruals of the swap?

How to calculate to calculate daily interest accruals and cashflows for the full term of the swap, given notional, effective date, maturity date: (total one year), accrual: ACT/360 payment: ...
0
votes
0answers
97 views

forward- and backward adjusting stockprices

Do you guys know if a paper has been published that discusses forward- and backward adjusted stockprices, and the look ahead bias coming from backward adjusted data?
0
votes
0answers
104 views

Textbook / Reports on Alphanomics

Look at ACCT 340 @ http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/research/courses/acctg.html I've read some of the research papers written by the Professor, and the material is very interesting. However, I'm looking ...
0
votes
0answers
56 views

Should portfolio be optimized by marking to the future than marking to market (excluding currencies)?

Observing the negative interest bonds in Switzerland, Denmark, GErmany the value of higher presently (credit-free) outgoing cash flows seems less important than the value of lower future (credit-free) ...
0
votes
0answers
150 views

Looking for FpML best practices

We want start using FpML within our organisation; where message will be sent using FpML. What are best practices to do this ? If anyone who have used Tools as well as; i want to use FpML for ...
-1
votes
0answers
20 views

Long Return - of a Long/Short Equity Fund

How do I calculate the return of only my long portfolio? The fund holds both long and short positions (and I can calculate total fund return) however, I need to figure out the return of only the long ...
-2
votes
0answers
36 views

What is the difference between a “cross-currency swap” and “two interest rate swaps (with principal exchange)”?

I'm currently valuing a cross-currency swap using two offsetting interest rate swaps (with principal exchange). However, I got different results. Using SWPM function of Bloomberg, I created a fix-fix ...
-4
votes
0answers
35 views

Reference on risk measures

I want some reference book on risk measures and their comparisons. Thanks in advance.

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