# All Questions

35 views

### What is a good statistical test on stock prices to indicate a company's value has changed?

My current test is to take monthly proportional price changes for stock XYZ and subtract out the proportional changes of the S&P500. Then compare the mean of a sample of XYZ-S&P (e.g. trailing ...
22 views

34 views

### How do most arbitrage opportunities account for unknown volume at a ticker price?

So, from a conceptual level, arbitrage seems quite forward... buy at one place at one price, and sell somewhere at a higher price. However, after doing some initial digging it appears to be not quite ...
47 views

### Las vegas method?

In one of his winning paper, backward induction for future values, A. Antonov, quant of the year 2016, refer to the American Monte-Carlo method as the Las Vegas method. Is this name used appart from ...
27 views

### What I find if I bootstrap a binary logistic regression?

I want to describe the direction of some stock returns, using as predictors several independent variables which are uncorrelated. The relation in which I am interested is between the stock returns and ...
17 views

### Does the FF 3-Factor model work with unadjusted prices?

I am trying to investigate some trading strategies based on the Fama French 3-factor model, for which I assumed I need to use adjusted prices to account for dividends and splits. However, my ...
25 views

### Embedding the naive portfolio into economic decision theory

I am trying to gain some insights about the vast literature of portfolio optimization and I hope to get some help when it comes to embed the most standard allocation strategies into a coherent ...
45 views

### To calculate shift in the shifted lognormal model

I tried to calculate the shift for CHF interest rates (tenors with negative rates) using MLE, but as the shift is increased the MLE value increases(or decreases depending on whether positive or ...
50 views

### Euler discretization bias, heston model

I am performing option pricing using Heston model and Euler discretization. I'm getting the following result: ...
31 views

### Inverse Smile Volatility Ibex35

I was analysing ibex implied volatility and when I draw it I found it was reversed: X axis are the strikes and Y axis implied volatilities calculated by BS. The blue line is the spot price. Data ...
17 views

### how to specify given model on Eviews?

I am still struggling to estimate my model on Eviews. I know it should be really simplistic to do it,but without in depth Eviews knowledge it can be rather tricky. For instance, looking at the ...
59 views

### Higher moments arbitrage

Is there concrete evidence that statistical arbitrage (historical vs. implied) on higher moments, specifically skewness and kurtosis, can be (significantly) done? Working from this source, the author ...
58 views

### Computing Overall Return for A Single Asset Given Inflows & Outflows

I am creating a portfolio tracking model in Excel and have run into difficulty on how to track the overall performance of a single asset, given that over time more and less capital (shares) has been ...
35 views

81 views

### How to fit a VAR + GARCH in R

I should create a VAR model with Garch error in R but i don't know how to do it and which package to use. The Vector Autoregressive model (or VECM) should also have covariates in it. Then I should ...
31 views

### How to combine regression models?

Say I have three data sets of size $n$ each: $y_1$ = heights of people from the US only $y_2$ = heights of men from the whole world $y_3$ = heights of women from the whole world And I build a ...
36 views

### Credit Valuation adjustment (CVA) Hedges

I need to understand once CVA Desk has CVA number(Bilateral or Unilateral) for a Counterparty, how does it take hedge position. for Eg: if CVA charge for my bank to JPM is 100K Dollars. What does ...
28 views

Is there a major article or even better a comprehensive recent review article showing quantitative evidence for the existence of the business cycle and measuring the trending and mean reversion on ...
45 views

### Valuation Method for CASH in S.06.02 QRTs

Extract from the latest spec for C0150 (Valuation Method) of S.06.02: Identify the valuation method used when valuing assets. One of the options in the following closed list shall be used: ...
18 views

### Do you know any CFD broker with super cheap stock CFD that pays out dividends?

Do you think, it would be possible to buy stock prior its dividend date at some very cheap CFD broker, then wait 1 day, get dividend compensation credited and then sell the CFD back and end up in ...
52 views

### Interest Rate Risk - The Greeks

IR Delta and Gamma. Can someone please explain if my understanding is accurate as relates to a 2yr interest rate swap? You are considered to be long Delta in an interest rate swap if you are ...
42 views

### How to find or calculate 30-day constant maturity price of a future?

Question, pretty much says it. Is there a reliable place where this data can be found or, if not, is there a reliable place where the underlying data needed to calculate the constant maturity price ...
17 views

### Relative merits of Adjusted versus Closing prices for market predictions

Basic question I am familiar with the data returned from Yahoo. For indices and the like (e.g. ETFs) there are seven columns of data: Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, Adjusted. We only need ...
54 views

### What is the maximum of a brownian motion with drift over the interval [t_1,t_2]

I am having a problem deriving the equation: $$P(max_{(t_1 \leq t \leq t_2)} S(t) > B | S(t_1),S(t_2))= e^{-\frac{2}{T}ln\bigg{(}\frac{B}{S(t_1)}\bigg{)} ln\bigg{(}\frac{B}{S(t_2)}\bigg{)}}$$ ...
27 views

### Different ways to discretize forward rate in HJM

I've come across couple of different ways to discretize the forward rate equation in HJM. If somebody could please help me understand why is it possible to have multiple ways here and how to pick up ...
26 views

### Finding metal price data from LME

Does anyone know any sites that allows you to download free historical monthly metal (copper and aluminium) price data, the best would be LME data. I need historical spot prices, inventory, ...
34 views

### Are there alternatives to the Box-Tiao decomposition in identifying mean reverting portfolios?

As documented in this paper, Box-Tiao decomposition (a way to decompose multiple time series into components with different speeds of mean reversion) can be used to identify mean reverting portfolios. ...
135 views

### Historical volatility on bloomberg API

Is there a way to obtain the historical volatility of a stock from the bloomberg API? I would be looking for the data in the HVT table. Actually 3-months historical volatility from now would be ...
24 views

### Data on interest rate differentials (lending on own vs. foreign currency)

I'm looking for data on (inner country) interest rate differentials between lending in own and foreign currency. Is there any data publicly available? If yes, where? If not, which non-free sources are ...
30 views

### Determining rate of interest

If I have trade prices of 10Y futures contract (ZNH6) is it possible to derive the interest rate from it? Or is there a better way to obtain historical 10 year rates?
131 views

### How to backtest Value at Risk Models using Conditional and Unconditional tests?

I am trying to carry out backtesting on a number of Value at Risk figures i obtained using var/covar, historical, and monte carlo simulation. The two methods im using are the Kupiec test ...
66 views

### School project about Black Scholes with stochastic volatility

In a university project I am looking at Black Scholes model with a stochastic volatility. I’m still not quite sure about my focus (I am in the beginning 'Idea phase'). I want to explain the theory ...
57 views

### Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
64 views

### How was this probability of negative U.S rates by end 2017 calculated?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-26/bets-on-negative-u-s-rates-by-end-2017-jump-above-10-chance Options markets show some investors are taking out protection in case rates instead ...
54 views

### Estimating Daily Dynamics using Hourly Data

This article gives a nice outline of how daily data can be used to estimate cointegration on a monthly horizon. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1404905 I'd like to use the same ...
86 views

### Market Making Literature

I am not sure if this is the correct site to ask this, if not I apologize. I have noticed some markets that lack in liquidity, and wonder why market makers in these markets cannot provide liquidity ...