14
votes
4answers
13k views

Why are GARCH models used to forecast volatility if residuals are often correlated?

The answers to this question on forecast assessment suggest that if the sequence of residuals from the forecast are not properly independent, then the model is missing something and further changes ...
11
votes
3answers
694 views

What is the most effective way of determining & measuring the level of HFT activity in a stock in (close to) real time?

On a security by security basis, I want to be able to quantify the level of HFT activity (and later institutional & retail activity). Is it higher than it normally is? How much so? What would you ...
7
votes
2answers
1k views

Which risk-free rate to use to price a bond issued in one currency but convertible into equity in another?

A convertible bond denominated in USD is issued by an Indian company (with equity traded in INR). The bond will be repaid in USD and if converted into equity in the company, the conversion price will ...
5
votes
2answers
747 views

How do I incorporate time-variability in a pair trading framework?

Recently I have been looking at pair trading strategies from a cointegration perspective, as described in chapter 5 of Carol Alexander's Market Risk Analysis volume 2. As most quantitative finance ...
11
votes
3answers
900 views

How does UBS hedge its exposure to XVIX ETN?

I am wondering how UBS hedges its exposure to its ETN XVIX. Unless I am grossly overestimating the trading costs, executing the strategy they describe in their prospectus with futures would be quite ...
8
votes
3answers
638 views

Price of Brent versus West Texas Intermediate

As of right now, the price of Brent Crude is $\$$111.59/bbl and the price of WTI Crude is $\$$98.36/bbl. I'm well aware that futures markets don't set the spot price for oil, but actual ...
4
votes
2answers
427 views

Need advice on finding forward spot rates

So this is a "work homework" question. As part of my job they are sending us through sort of a training course. I'm looking for advice, or a link to a site that explains how to do this with maybe some ...
7
votes
1answer
367 views

How do you calculate the implied liquidity of an option?

How does one calculate the implied liquidity of a specific option contract given a set of vanilla puts and calls with various strikes and maturities on a single underlying?
3
votes
3answers
243 views

estimating the accuracy of a method for forecasting the distribution

Say for a stock I want to do a simulation using 30 days of historical returns, and maybe generate 1000 paths, with 2 days as the forecast horizon. Say I have 100 of these 5 day blocks used for ...
14
votes
2answers
2k views

How to update an exponential moving average with missing values?

Say you have an Exponential Moving Average being continuously updated over a time series using 1-second-long time periods. What should happen if there is no value for the next second, e.g. there were ...
12
votes
3answers
696 views

Discrete-time model: stock dynamics

I am working in the area of probability theory and for a case study I would like to make some calculations in finance. Since I am developing theory for the discrete time, I am interested in models for ...
4
votes
1answer
1k views

Simple model for option premium (for covered call simulation)?

Given a historical distribution of weekly prices and price changes for a stock, how can I estimate the the option premium for a nearly at-the-money (ATM) option, say with an expiration date 3 months ...
7
votes
1answer
779 views

What SABR $\beta$ to use for EURIBOR swaption smiles

I am currently wrapping up my thesis. My final chapter is on applying the SABR model model for pricing purposes. I am valuing a constant maturity swap by replicating its value using plain vanille ...
24
votes
5answers
8k views

What is a good broker for HFT?

Currently I trade trough IB. I run my HFT strategies (100 roundtrips per hour) but I think that latency is killing me and my profits are shrinking. I need the fastest possible brokers out there which ...
6
votes
2answers
1k views

Free/cheap source of structured historical quarterly filings?

What is a good place to acquire cheap/free historical quarterly filings data for US Companies? Specifically, I'm interested in the consolidated financial statements. The data should be well-structured ...
8
votes
4answers
4k views

Quanto CDS modeling

What is the market standard for pricing quanto CDS (i.e. CDS which pays the contingent leg in different currency than the pricing leg)?
5
votes
5answers
3k views

Technology stack used in Bloomberg

I figure this perhaps the best place to ask this. What technology stack is used in Bloomberg? I'm C++ developer, and I definitely prefer C++ to C, so I don't want to touch C unless it's strictly ...
23
votes
12answers
11k views

How fast is QuickFix ?

In my firm we are beginning a new OMS (Order Management System) project and there is a debate whether we use Quickfix or we go for a professional fix engine? Because there is a common doubt that ...
9
votes
3answers
462 views

How would you test the hypothesis “There are no idiosyncratic returns available in the market”?

A commentary attributed to Matt Rothman had recently (in the past six months) been making the rounds of the internet echo chamber claimed "There are no idiosyncratic returns available in the market". ...
10
votes
2answers
2k views

Drawbacks & Caveats of using (N)Esper for ESP/CEP in trading systems?

Esper and its .NET port NEsper are components that enable Complex Event Processing (CEP) and Event Stream Processing (ESP) engines. They are especially suitable for trading applications. They can, ...
59
votes
13answers
12k views

Innovative ways of visualizing financial data

Finance is drowning in a deluge of data. Humans are not very good at comprehending large amounts of data. One way out may be visualization. Traditional ways of visualizing patterns, complexities and ...
39
votes
9answers
17k views

How useful is the genetic algorithm for financial market forecasting?

There is a large body of literature on the "success" of the application of evolutionary algorithms in general, and the genetic algorithm in particular, to the financial markets. However, I feel ...
2
votes
0answers
948 views

Which CEP platform is most popular for trading systems? [closed]

I heard that trading firms employ CEP platforms such as StreamBase, Marketcetera, JBoss Drools, and etc., to implement trading systems. I wonder which one is most popular and the recent trend of ...
9
votes
1answer
177 views

Breaking Transactions Down into Derivatives

We were talking about merger arb in a class I had last night, and when we got do deal construction it was mentioned that the different ways can be viewed as different options. For instance a fixed ...
25
votes
8answers
15k views

Digital Signal Processing in Trading

There is a concept of trading or observing the market with signal processing originally created by John Ehler. He wrote three books about it. Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures Rocket Science ...
18
votes
2answers
2k views

How to quickly estimate a lower bound on correlation for a large number of stocks?

I would like to find stock pairs that exhibit low correlation. If the correlation between A and B is 0.9 and the correlation between A and C is 0.9 is there a minimum possible correlation for B and C? ...
7
votes
4answers
33k views

What are some examples of non-financial risks and contingency plans?

There are many online sources about common risk factors in investing and trading e.g. market risk, credit risk, interest rate risk. There are various factor models (Fama-French, Carhart) and risk ...
11
votes
2answers
2k views

Is there a standard method for quantifying mean-reversion for use in directional trading?

Assuming a directional strategy (no pairs or spread trades) is there a "standard" method for quantifying mean-reversion? Should auto-correlation, variance ratios, hurst exponent, or some other measure ...
10
votes
1answer
267 views

How do you characterize dividends for equity options?

While many systems like to treat dividends as a continuous yield when pricing equity options, it works quite poorly for short-dated options. In the short run, deterministic dividends are clearly the ...
25
votes
5answers
3k views

Random matrix theory (RMT) in finance

The new kid on the block in finance seems to be random matrix theory. Although RMT as a theory is not so new (about 50 years) and was first used in quantum mechanics it being used in finance is a ...
10
votes
2answers
742 views

Missing step in stock price movement equations

Assuming a naive stochastic process for modelling movements in stock prices we have: $dS = \mu S dt + \sigma S \sqrt{dt}$ where S = Stock Price, t = time, mu is a drift constant and sigma is a ...
5
votes
4answers
1k views

How can I select the least correlated portfolio of assets?

Can anyone explain the process and the calculations needed to select a portfolio of liquid futures assets with the least correlation? Given a set of returns for a series of assets, how do I select the ...
10
votes
2answers
1k views

What are some computational bottlenecks that quants face? [closed]

What are the current computational (non-network) bottlenecks now in a quant's workflow? What computational tasks would be revolutionary with a 10-100x improvement in performance using general purpose ...
7
votes
2answers
526 views

What are the major models for energy derivatives, particularly electricity derivatives?

Aside from Black-Scholes with crazy skews, what major models are used for energy derivatives? I'm thinking particularly of electricity derivatives, but I'm also interested in natural gas and other ...
11
votes
2answers
2k views

Where to find Greeks for futures to form delta-hedged futures portfolio of S&P 500 index/futures

I can't find S&P 500 index (SPX) futures data with Greeks to create delta-hedged portfolios. Do these data exist? I have access to most of the common data sources. In the meantime, I am trying to ...
12
votes
2answers
4k views

How does left tail risk differ from right tail risk?

How does left tail risk differ from right tail risk? In what context would an analyst use these metrics?
8
votes
4answers
1k views

What approaches are there to order handling in automated trading?

I am currently developing a commercial automated trading program in which users can write their own proprietary code and develop strategies, like in NinjaTrader, MetaTrader etc. Right now I am working ...
13
votes
3answers
13k views

Correlation between prices or returns?

If you are interested in determining whether there is a correlation between the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and PPI, would you calculate the correlation between values (prices) or period-to-period ...
8
votes
1answer
506 views

What are the main differences in Jump Volatility and Local Volatility

Is a JV model simply Local Vol + Jump Diffusion? If so, it seems logical that an existing JV model be able to be used for valuation of both Vanilla and Exotic options. Is this true? Does a Local ...
5
votes
2answers
610 views

System Development / Optimization

I have been testing a trend following strategy. The results shows massive drawdowns which makes the equity curve very unstable. I just wanted to know what are some ways in which I can reduce the ...
5
votes
3answers
854 views

Pricing callable range accruals on spreads

What is an efficient method of pricing callable range accruals on rate spreads? As an example: A cancellable 30 year swap which pays 6M Libor every 6M multiplied by the number of days the spread of ...
7
votes
2answers
413 views

Stochastic recovery rates

How do I model the randomness of recovery rate given default when pricing credit derivatives?
12
votes
3answers
1k views

Rate interpolation in Libor Market Model

Libor Market Model (LMM) models the interest rate market by simulating a set of simply compounded, non-overlapping Libor rates which reset and mature on predefined dates. How do I obtain from them a ...
6
votes
1answer
411 views

Correlation skew mapping

What methods can be used to map the correlation skew of a credit index on a bespoke CDO portfolio?
22
votes
8answers
18k views

How should I store tick data?

How should I store tick data? For example, if I have an IB trading account, how should I download and store the tick data directly to my computer? Which software should I use?
7
votes
1answer
375 views

Reject inference

What are the most effective techniques for reject inference in the context of retail credit scoring. Parcelling is something I use frequently... Any other approaches out there?
12
votes
3answers
6k views

Free intra-day equity data source

Are there any free data source for historical US equity data? Yahoo finance has daily prices but I'm looking for something more granular and goes back 2 or more years (doesn't have to be close to tick ...
5
votes
5answers
854 views

Free data on swap options

I am trying to analyze valuation methods for swaptions. Does anyone know of free example data for these OTC-traded securities?
2
votes
0answers
284 views

How to calculate correlations(COT report) in R ? [closed]

First thing i want to do is load data(.csv) into R. The data i am concentrating are the COT reports. Want to load a single column into R and calculate the correlation with the proper instrument.
67
votes
15answers
12k views

Video lectures and presentations on quantitative finance

What are your favourite video lectures, presentations and talks available online? A few rules: Must be related to quantitative finance. No Economics 101 courses, please. Try to avoid DIY lectures ...

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