1
vote
0answers
54 views

Performance of 1X0/X0 funds vs. traditional benchmarks?

Some years ago there was a proliferation of new products touting the ability of active managers to take short bets on securities: 130/30 funds, 150/50 funds, and the like. What is the empirical ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

Shrinkage Estimator giving unrealistic portfolio variances

I have a historical covariance matrix which is invertible for daily and monthly returns. I used the Ledoit,Wolf shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix and now I get really small portfolio ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

The calculation of NIBID rate from 2013 by using NIBOR rate (UIP)

I need to calculate the NIBID rates from 2013. I have the NIBOR as a starting point and some indications but I am still quite confused. I found some advices online, but it does not seem to get me the ...
0
votes
0answers
10 views

Expectation Hypothesis: forward variance

I am trying to understand the Expectation Hypothesis from Campa and Chang (1995). In the paper of Byoun et al. they use this formula to estimate the forecast biasness of options. $$ V_{1,k} - V_{0,k} ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

What to expect when switching from backtesting to live trading?

I am back-testing my model using the closing price of 5 minute candle-bars. I am trading S&P 100 stocks. I simulate executions with the assumption I can get them 2 ticks away from the closing ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Historical UK Gilt 2-year and 5-year data

Data on the Medium (approx. 5-years) and Short (approx. 2-years) futures contract listed on ICE only goes back to 2009. Is anyone able to point me towards where I can get a longer time series, perhaps ...
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0answers
12 views

Mutual Fund Cash Level Data

I look for a source to download historical monthly mutual fund cash level data from. Is there any free/cheap source available?
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votes
0answers
24 views

How are Quandl monthly S&P500 earnings estimates derived?

Can someone explain how the monthly earnings estimates are derived for S&P500? Quandl sources multpl.com, who state: ...
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0answers
18 views

reference for elementary mortgage math

I have a student doing a project on default rate & prepayment rate for mortgages. She would like to include a section on how the quantities affect pricing, & so would like to reference a ...
0
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0answers
20 views

how best to equalize individual pair risk in a portfolio of stock pairs?

I am building a portfolio of stock pairs in which each pair is individually hedged via beta/hedge ratio adjustment. I am looking for a method to ensure that I am taking the same risk in each pair that ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Stiffness of numerical methods for SDE

What can I do with stiffness of numerical methods for SDE? I want to use numerical approach for solving SDE in market's scenarios generation. Is there any general approach to handle it?
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votes
0answers
24 views

Smoothening yield curve by minimizing forward curve slope

I am using government bullet bond data and have bootstrapped a yield curve by solving the following optimization which minimizes unweighted price error: ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

VIX Calculation - weighting of strikes

The formula for calculating the VIX from SPX options is given on page 4 of this document: https://www.cboe.com/micro/vix/vixwhite.pdf My question is, why is the option price at each strike weighted ...
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votes
0answers
23 views

Whats the formula to calculate the FV, incorporating monthly deposits?

I need a Formula to calculate the future value of an investment based on current principal, interest, number of years, compounding interval (times annually) and monthly deposit. So basically ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Heston Model using Matlab

My question is based on the MLE of the Heston model discussed in this paper URL: http://www.princeton.edu/~yacine/stochvol.pdf with Matlab code: http://www.princeton.edu/~yacine/closedformmle.htm ...
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votes
0answers
33 views

Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
0
votes
0answers
62 views

stochastic calculus and multidimentional itos lemma

I am considering a number of assets (N) in a portfolio. each asset follows a geometric Brownian motion process therefore the stochastic differential equation is dS(i) = S(i)μdt + S(i)σdX(i). The ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

How to evaluate data handlers

How would I go about evaluating CME data handlers? Looking at:how to define and measure latency Two colo servers should have the same Order to Accept times. If the algorithm to generate the order ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

Where can I find historical P/E values of Russell 2000 Value and Russell 2000 Growth index?

I have no problems finding the current values, but historical (ie yearly) is harder and even my commercial databases have failed. Only need the last ~15 years or so, and yearly is enough. Do any one ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Choosing Optimum Sampling Frequency

There was an interesting post made by Jonathan Kinlay where he discusses the use of a Fourier Transform to discover a potentially optimum bar frequency to choose as an input to a trading system. I am ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

GARCH filtering and extreme value theory

We are evaluating a model for risk management based on extreme value theory using peaks over threshold and markov chain monte carlo methods. In doing this, we are firstly fitting a GARCH (we have ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

ROC — Output from Calculating Stock Returns Producing Lower Numbers Than Actual

I tried this on stack exchange, but think it is a better question here. I am beginning user and I need help with an error / bad output I am getting when calculating returns (using ROC) on stock ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

Is this R back-testing code correct

I am new to R back-testing and I have tried to make a back-testing strategy (a modified simple moving average crossover)in quantstrat and it failed. My skills in programming is average and the syntax ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

2-step estimation of DCC GARCH model in Python

Embedded in this thread are multiple questions. I'm currently im the process of implementing a DCC GARCH forecast model on quantopian (a python-powered trading platform). The two step consists of ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Effects of Subprime crisis on M&A?

I was wondering, besides the drastic drop (although not that much) in the number of deals and the total value of deals between 2007 and 2008, how did the Subprime crisis affect the M&A industry? ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Future value of the debt under Merton model

The author Malz states the future value of the firm's debt under the Merton model can be found from: $$ D_{t} = D - max(D - A_{t} , 0) $$ (where D is the par value of the debt, $A_{t}$ is the ...
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votes
0answers
30 views

GARCH estimation does not work, error in my returns?

Hey everyone and I hope that there are some smarter people out here that can help me out with my problem...: I have trouble with my implementation of a GARCH(1,1) model and I do not know how to move ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Return.portfolio error from PerformanceAnalytics package

When using the PerformanceAnalytics package of R, I am getting an error from the Return.portfolio function whenever I ask it to rebalance_on any frequency. If the rebalance parameter is removed, the ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

optimal look back period for cointegration analysis on daily prices

I'm running some cointegration tests on 2 stock pairs and was wondering, generally speaking, what would be the optimal look back period to test considering I am using daily prices and the average ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

Examples for the option model validation

When implementing a code for the new model, even if it provides sensible price, it is still a good idea to compare it against some benchmarks, even in the special case of constant volatility ...
0
votes
0answers
89 views

predict next day's close price using hmm

I am reading this paper(Stock market forecasting using hidden Markov model: a new approach) and get confused about how they predict the next day's close price. Below is what the authors say about how ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

Calculate Forward Rate under CIP - differs from qouted rates, why?

Hello everyone out there, I am quite new here, but hope you are helping me out, nevertheless. By assuming that we have CIP I want to calculate the 3M Forward rate for EURUSD. I use the known formula ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

where can I get the intraday data for S&P 500

I am trying to analysis the price of S&P 500 during the flash crash in 2010. Where can I get the data?
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Can a large OpenInt of calls cause a stock to go down?

I read forum post from another site. Which stated... ...
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votes
0answers
8 views

NZX market depth data

Can someone point into the right direction for NZX market depth data specifically for individuals? I have tried many vendors but seem to be coming up with "institution-only" responses.
0
votes
0answers
18 views

coefficient of determination of an autocorrelation

Ok this is a very quick question, the Coefficient of Determination (power(R;2)) of a simple Pearson Correlation value (r) can be interpreted as the percentage of the total variation in Y that can be ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Overstating Interest Rates?

I'm fact checking my analysis, so there's only one possible answer in that I'm either right or way out in left field (wrong). A friend of mine mentioned this bitcoin lending site and I looked at it ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Poor investment preformance in early years impacting on final fund value

I am currently doing some work on the performance of funds across different models of the economy. I am trying to find some work that looks at the impact of poor/lower returns at the early years of ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Is there a limit to the number of Spot rates than can be calculated from Par Yields

I am just trying to calculate Spot Rates from Par yields. I find that the code below gives very similar spot rates for the data here, yet if I increase the size of the ...
0
votes
0answers
28 views

Is there a considered floor for variation the 1st principal component must explain?

I am wondering if there is a considered floor to the percentage variation the 1st principal component must explain in general for PCA - ie. any lower and it is not worth doing PCA at all? Is the floor ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

Influencing factors on credit

There was the following question on an exam: Which factors are influencing the effective interest rate of a credit? loan amount fees interest rate running time I would have said ...
0
votes
0answers
53 views

Ledoit-Wolf portfolio weights calculation

I am trying to implement the Ledoit-Wolf minimum variance portfolio strategy on a real-world stock dataset. ...
0
votes
0answers
41 views

Estimate volatility in forecast

I have a model with a rolling forecast. In each time step $t$, I predict the price for the next periods, e.g. $\hat{p}(t, t+1)$ and $\hat{p}(t, t+2)$. If I start in $t=0$ and arrive at $t=2$, I ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

calibration of Gaussian two factor short rate model

I am trying to calibrate the gaussian two factor short rate model whose dynamics is given by r(t)=x(t)+y(t)+phi(t) Now to calibrate the model to term structure ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Merton Jump Diffusion Model: Influence of lambda

I use Monte Carlo to simulate sample paths of Merton's jump diffusin model. By plotting a histogram of the log returns and using kerneldensity to approximate the density function I try to look at the ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

How difficult/easy it is to migrate from CME FAST to CME MDP3.0?

Has anyone gone through this migration? Just wanted to have an idea of the amount of effort required.
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Consumption Based Asset Pricing

I am working on some consumption based asset pricing models. I am modelling consumption growth in several different ways. An obvious one is to model consumption growth as an AR(1) process: $g_{t+1} = ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Issues with +100 symbols in Quantstrat, Erratic Trades

I've tested my code against individual symbols and very small groups of symbols. I'm finding the more symbols I add the fewer trades I get. For instance, if I just include the first five symbols, all ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

Forecast of ARMA-GARCH model in R

I managed to forecast a GARCH model yesterday and run a Monte Carlo simulation on R. Nevertheless, I can't do the same with an ARMA-GARCH. I tested 4 different method but without achieving an ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

What are commercial impact models and transaction cost analysis models out there for simulation?

I have heard that ITG, LiquidMetrix, MarkIT and TradingScreen has good Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA) research. I wonder which firm one would choose to have an impact model formula inside his ...

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