# All Questions

146 views

### How to calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability

I would calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability. I want to know how they are related. This is how I think they are related: ...
285 views

### Cointegration Test: Residual is stationary but not random?

I am testing cointegration relationship on various pairs of stocks by this following these steps. Test for I(1) on a pair of stocks, says X and Y, using Dickey-Fuller test. If both time series are ...
70 views

### Value of an option to exchange an asset for another

I'm working out the examples in the paper "Changes of Numeraire, Changes of Probability Measure and Option Pricing", corollary 3. An option of exchanging asset 2 against asset 1 at time T, its time-0 ...
186 views

### Get: Historic S&P500 Market Cap

I need the market cap of the S&P500 components on 2.6.2013. It should be easily downloadable via Bloomberg, but I dont have this databank. E.g. you could use ...
57 views

### Jensen's alpha with timing activities

Why is Jensen’s Alpha not an appropriate measure of performance anymore, if the fund manager is a perfect market timer as stated for example in the Treynor-Mazuy-model or the Henriksson-Merton-model?
58 views

### For futures contracts, do we need to do price adjustment during live testing?

I am trying to do pair trading on a pair of future contracts, e.g. CME gold and silver. During the training of my trading model, I do forward adjustment on the pair of future contracts. Let the ...
132 views

### Risk measures, Risk Management and Financial Risk Area

I'm currently searching material about market risk and I learned about coherent risk measures, VaR, CVaR (or expected shortfall), volatility. All that because I have to make a Financial Risk Area for ...
87 views

### Review of Excel Stock Simulator

I am currently a senior in high school and I built a stock simulator using knowledge gained from a semester of AP Statistics. I was wondering if someone could tell me if my simulation is ...
26 views

### Correct term for position accumulation relative to price?

I've been looking at various accumulation algos and it appears that the greater majority are predicated on building a position largely relative to a time component or market volume for obvious ...
57 views

### Opposite of hard to borrow?

If market participants are certain a stock will suffer a huge decline, the shares will become hard to borrow and an interest fee will be applied to borrow the stock. This interest fee eliminates the ...
23 views

### What to do when I do not get enough fill in cash leg during cash - future arbitrage

Futures have fixed lot sizes in my exchange, but cash do not. When I am spread trading the cash - future pair, what should I do if I am unable to get enough fill on the cash side.
97 views

### How to prepare data for superior predictive ability (SPA) test?

Can anyone please let me know how to prepare data to compute superior predictive ability (SPA) test in R? I am working on forecasting volatility in stock markets, the context is, I used ...
31 views

### Total demand under logit model

The setting is simple, i.e. formula for demand of service/product is linear $$d = \alpha - \beta p$$ where $\alpha$ is maximum demand, $\beta$ is some coefficient, and $p$ is price. There ...
27 views

### What is the future value of a growing annuity with different periods for payment growth and monthly payments?

How can I modify the formula in this answer so that the frequency of payment growth is also a variable? For example, instead of payments growing by 2% each year I would like them to grow 2% every two ...
55 views

### Price 3m libor autocap with LMM calibrated on 1y swaption data

I need to calculate a price of an autocap contract which is An autocap is similar to a cap, but at most γ ≤ β caplets can be exercised, and they have to be automatically exercised when in the ...
72 views

### Model-independent dynamic portfolio optimization techniques

For a problem where we need to optimize the portfolio based on the data, going for Markowitz MPT has the following advantage: we only have to estimate mean and covariance to find optimal weights. I'd ...
25 views

### Index tracker and inflation

I'm trying to get my head around how inflation really affects index trackers. I've been looking at this question, but somehow misses the point I want (How To Account For Inflation Over Historical ...
39 views

### Historical list of Primary Dealers in Europe

I would be interested in a list of all the banks and financial institutions that have been Primary Dealers in the European Union from the 1980s until today. For a current list you can check this pdf ...
43 views

### Pricing inflation lags

I've been looking into a short piece of maths I found on pricing inflation with payment delays, and was hoping someone could confirm whether my understanding was correct or if the maths isn't quite ...
830 views

### Calculating the efficient frontier from expected returns and SD

I'm trying to calculate the efficient frontier (and the optimal portfolio at the Sharpe ratio) given two vectors for a portfolio: (1) expected returns and (2) historical standard deviations. I would ...
65 views

### PerformanceAnalytics and Annual Charting

I have seen a charts that look's like Is it possible to do something like this with PerformanceAnalytics or is there any other package for doing this? Thanks in advance
114 views

### run time error 424 in IB TWS Excel DDE API; failed to add combo orders

I'm using an Excel DDE to connect to Interactive Brokers TWS via their API 9.72 sample, excel 2013. When I tried to create a combo order, the rum error code 424 said "object required". It seems that ...
67 views

### Transform MPT optimization problem

I am trying to teach myself about MPT and optimization. I understand that MPT solutions can be found using three equivalent optimization problems: Minimizing variance for given return limit ...
189 views

### How to implement the herding measure proposed by Lakonishok et. al (1992) in python

I would like to test for herding behaviour using the herding measure developed by Lakonishok et. al (1992) on a dataset containing trader transactions during 2013, however, i am having some trouble ...
51 views

### How to map shocks from VAR to news? (Academics)

I am trying to map shocks from VAR to discount-rate and cash-flows news following the paper of Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004). It is said that news are a linear combination of shocks from VAR at ...
56 views

### What is Equity Asian Hybrid?

As listed in http://www.vectorrisk.com/Views/Solutions/ProductList.aspx What's an Equity Asian Hybrid? Any references? What is exactly a hybrid product?
112 views

### In what kind of stochastic process Ito's lemma is adopted?

I have been told that Ito's lemma serves as the stochastic calculus counterpart of the chain rule. And yet again my tutor mentioned it is not used for all stochastic processes. Is this statement ...
35 views

### Collateralized Loan Obligation - reliable source of information

Can someone provide me with some reliable source of information about CLOs? Especially some scientific articles etc. Google or wiki are good for starters and I would like to get some examples, ...
170 views

### Asian option numerical pricing method generates a negative time value

I use R to write a function which simulates price path and calculates the value of an arithmetic Asian option. I found sometimes the value of the option can be lower than its intrinsic value, i.e., ...
18 views

### Standard errors clustered along the time dimension in pooled panel logit model

I'm trying to estimate a logit model on pooled panel data set (unit of observation is firm-year). My dependant variable is default indicator and I have several macro variables as independant ...
55 views

### how to find CVaR/AVaR for triangular fuzzy no

While going through different methods of risk measure i came across AVaR/CVaR, while i was calculating AVaR/CVaR in credibilistic environment using VaR, i got stuck in the calculations eg. For ...
59 views

I am trying to find any references to cross-currency inflation-linked swaps. Have anyone encountered them and can describe how they work and how they differ from standard year on year inflation swaps? ...
67 views

### Rule of Thumb for minimum length of time series for AR(1) estimation

I have a data set of 350 points, I want to estimate the lag 1 auto correlation for different sub-sets of the data. More precisely I want to take non overlapping windows of length 1,2,3....n and ...
46 views

### Intensity Function of Stochastic Processes

I'm fitting some financial data to a model based on a stochastic process and evaluating the fit of it by looking at the compensator. However, I cannot understand well what does it mean to take the ...
31 views

### Earnings Quality for a large group of stocks

Does anyone have any recommendations for how to track earnings quality for a large number of stocks (500+) on a quarterly basis? I am familiar with the M-Score for detecting earnings manipulation but ...
36 views

### Doubt on risk cost criterion

I want to minimize some kind of risk sensitive cost. But, I am confused what cost criterion should I use. I am aware of only expected exponential utility. I want to know what are the other such ...
80 views

### CVA formula proof

I'm struggling to prove the CVA formula in this paper. Equation (3) is the result of computing the expectation of formula (1). Could you please show me how to prove that?
196 views

### one-step-ahead Stochastic Volatility for 5-minute VWAP prices

I'm trying to run an SV model against prices of Euro/USD. For those not familiar with SV, its a volatility model in which each point gets its own volatility parameter $h_t$ with 3 main parameters that ...
53 views

### How to value a portfolio of non-mature consumer loans?

I'm looking for the best way to value a portfolio of consumer loans that have NOT reached maturity and for which I do observe the payment/default history to date? I'm working with a large database of ...
298 views

### Autoregressive distributed lag models ADL(p,q) howto in preferably matlab (stata/R/python/C# etc)

Could anyone provide me the details of how to determine the lag order of the distributed lags for an ADL(p,q) model in Matlab or another statistical package (and very much preferably in combination ...
67 views

### Understanding Price Elasticities in Discrete Choice Models (Derivative)

I'am in the midst of a paper on mutual fund product differentiation by Li and Qiu. Here, the authors model the utility an investor derives from investing in a mutual fund using a Discrete Choice Model ...
108 views

### Handling IQFeed events in Matlab

I need to get some specific market data for my studies, and it seems like the most convenient way for me to do this is to use IQFeed data feed and MATLAB. But unfortunately, since I'm not a seasoned ...
195 views

### Models for volatility estimation of high frequency data?

I have read on several news articles and research papers, "Contrary to popular belief, high frequency trading reduces volatility in stock markets rather than exacerbates it". Do you know the models ...
52 views

### proper choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion

Suppose I want to minimize certain risk sensitive cost. Is it a valid question to ask what is the proper (also in which sense) choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion ? ...
70 views

### Underlying changes impact on implied volatility

What are some valid techniques that can be used to simulate how changes in the underlying are most likely to impact implied volatility along with the skew of all strikes for options with the same ...
341 views

### where to find historical option prices?

I have a dataset of options (traded in European exchanges such as NYSE Euronext) and I would like to find their price history. Where to find it? I see that ...
45 views

### Questions related to the banking crisis during the European sovereign debt crisis

I am studying the European Sovereign Debt crisis and I have the following questions which I am struggling to find examples for: 1) I have heard that during the sovereign debt crisis, European ...
79 views

### forecasting crash time of KLSE index (1991-1994)

Price deviation = financial bubbles. i try to fit the following stock price index to predict recession. I couldn't fit the model with the data(Data are not available in yahoo finance for the ...