1
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0answers
33 views

Market risk calculation for Fixed income position

I have come across a somewhat strange formula (atleast to me) for Value at Risk calculation for a Bond position. This typical formula looks like below: PnL = Beta * "Some industry Credit spread" * ...
1
vote
0answers
55 views

Modelling turnovers with a random walk. Is it right?

I need to analyse a bunch of weekly time series that reflect the turnovers of various companies. I already read that return rates or share prices show stochastic patterns that can be modelled by a ...
1
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0answers
36 views

comparison of speech signal processing and financial data

I have read that in speech signal processing analysis when voice is segmented in brief temporary segments the series segments transitions from being non stationary to stationary. My question is if ...
1
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0answers
67 views

Confused on interpretation of betas/alphas in regression in finance

I ran a regression on two stocks. I don't have the data in front of me, but it is a more conceptual question. Let's say SP500 returned a total 23% return over this time period and MSFT returned ...
1
vote
0answers
147 views

Monte Carlo simulation returns not normal distributed

I am generating 100,000 paths of SPX out to 1 year using Euler discretization. I look at how S is distributed for 100,000 paths at the 1 year point and I find it is lognormally distributed. I look at ...
1
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0answers
65 views

Implementing Minimum Leverage in an SOCP Portfolio Optimization

I'm optimizing a portfolio of n assets and my optimization variable is of the form $$x = [t,w,w_L,w_S]$$ where $$t:= \text{slack variable for turning my QP objective into SOCP constraint}$$ ...
1
vote
0answers
309 views

Implied volatility from American options using python

I am currently trying to construct volatility surface from american option prices (using Cox-Ross-Rubinstein tree) in Python 2.7. Below you can find the code I came up with. Any corrections would be ...
1
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0answers
63 views

Calculating Asset Returns

The question pertains to a simple phenomenon. There is gold futures listed on Exchange A and Exchange B. Exchange A and Exchange B overlap times with A and B starting 8 hours later and A and B ...
1
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0answers
39 views

Calculate minimum IV increase to offset theta

How would one calculate the minimum implied volatility increase necessary to offset theta decay? IV is typically a percentage, while theta is a dollar value. In theory I think I could look at what ...
1
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0answers
34 views

EDGX, EDGA, Nasdaq and Bats-Z Pricing in 2011

I'm trying to find the fee and rebate structure of these 4 exchanges during year 2011, in the specific, I'm interested in the cost of posting a hidden Limit Order, in the cost of removing a visible ...
1
vote
0answers
64 views

Forward Credit Spreads

I have a beginner question in credit quantitative modelling. I would like to know how we can derive forward credit spread curve, i.e the counterparty of forward yield curves. Indeed, for deriving a ...
1
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0answers
64 views

How to make the algo decide over a optimal selling point?

Please don't bully if its a basic question.Kinda new to the topic hence experimenting. Problems to construct trading algorithm.For the example I assume I am getting a buy signal from the DMI/ADX ...
1
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0answers
50 views

Hedge volatility decreases

My particular options positions are typically a long delta, and long vega. Decreases in implied volatility, or specifically the VIX, can drastically alter the profitability of my position. Is there a ...
1
vote
0answers
91 views

Create Markets Bubble Indicator

I am trying to replicate a Bubble Indicator described here. The indicator is strictly based on calculating the regularity of price behavior to determine herding in multiple time frames. I tried the ...
1
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0answers
62 views

About OpenMAMA, OpenMAMDA and OpenMDM

In the Linux Foundation are hosted the OpenMAMA and OpenMAMDA (found in that link too) projects and I'm wondering if has someone worked with those projects and if he/she could give me a more detailed ...
1
vote
0answers
103 views

modeling regime switching for Correlation matrix

I am trying to estimate covariance in multiple time series. However, I want to do this using a regime-switching framework. So, I start with fitting a GARCH(1,1) model and then de-volatalize the ...
1
vote
0answers
93 views

is there a limit on how many times i can access fxcm xml feed

i'm writing an python application that uses fxcm's xml feed. here is the link http://rates.fxcm.com/RatesXML does anyone know if there are limits on how many times you can access this data? right now ...
1
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0answers
97 views

Estimating the next tick movement in Chinese markets

I'm working on high frequency trading in the Chinese Futures market and I've been having a bit of trouble with getting orders to go through due to the lack of liquidity and large fluctuations. To ...
1
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0answers
29 views

Alternatives to CDSs for default term structure?

The CDS market seems to be drying up, funding&liquidity issues are now prevalent over credit, so other sources for default probabilities are needed. What else is commonly used to obtain a ...
1
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0answers
63 views

is there any calibration method to calculate FX forward rate? How Bloomberg define FX forward rate

there is any calibration method to calculate FX forward rate? How Bloomberg define FX forward rate
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0answers
71 views

How to measure interest rate risk of an equity?

What is the best method to measure interest rate risk of an equity? For example: I am looking to determine the change in price based on a change in yield. I currently have a position in XLU and ...
1
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0answers
49 views

Investing in all assets with positive expected return and allowing for positive correlation

How does the answer to this question Risk minimization by investing in all assets with positive expected return change if assets can be positively correlated (but not perfectly) and short sales are ...
1
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0answers
169 views

Tangent portfolio weights without short sales?

Consider a mean-variance investor in a world with a risk-free asset. Let $R_f>0$ be the return of the risk-free asset, $\mathbb{E}(R_i)>R_f$ the expected return of the risky asset $i$ and ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

MLE estimate of normal distribution

Probably a naive question. I am quoting this from Greene's econometrics book: "The occasional statement that the properties of the MLE are only optimal in large samples is not true, however. It can ...
1
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0answers
104 views

Conversion stock symbols Google Finance vs. Reuters

I'm working on a project that will fetch data from Google Finance and Reuters. In order to avoid keeping two separate lists of stock symbols, I'm looking for some kind of conversion or database or API ...
1
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0answers
196 views

How to calculate global exposure via commitment approach for FX swaps?

How would you calculate global exposure for FX swaps using the commitment approach? In particular, would you take into account both legs? CESR guidelines (CESR/10-788) defines that the exposure for ...
1
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0answers
27 views

Using Forward Equity Returns to Value Stream of Equity Return Cash Flows

Can I value the equity leg of an equity swap using the projected forward equity returns? In other words, for a sequence of times $t_{0}<t_{1}<\ldots<t_{n}$, where $t_{0}$ begins a brand new ...
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vote
0answers
44 views

Please recommend a book regarding Monte Carlo simulation in OAS

I couldn't find a book that explains in details how to use Monte Carlo Simulation to generate a number of interest rate scenarios. And then based on the interest rate scenarios, how to calculate the ...
1
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0answers
37 views

Reputational Harm

How would you measure the reputational harm incurred on an individual by an organization. How is Market Pricing in the expected payout resulting from the law suit by an individual ? The news breaks ...
1
vote
0answers
59 views

forward curve and cap/floors in nowadays environment

I'm currently trying to get the implied volatility of a vanilla Euro floor with maturity 1Y with data from bloom. I have the price ( which is not supposed to take into account the first floorlet ...
1
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0answers
112 views

Method to combine trading signals to achieve higher sharpe

There are a few thread with the question of methods to combine different trading signals/strategies. But is there any method that can ensure that by combining two signals, we can achieve a better ...
1
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0answers
129 views

How to hedge a long stock with the corresponding volatility ETF

Let us say I want to establish a market neutral position. So if I buy 50 shares of stock (SPY) and I want to delta hedge, I sell an ATM covered call. So that brings the position delta to 0. Now, I ...
1
vote
0answers
51 views

How to estimate constrained a constrained VAR(1) with MATLAB?

Suppose I want to estimate the following VAR(1) model: $$ Y_t = \mu + \Phi Y_{t-1} + \varepsilon_t $$ where $Y_t=(y_{1t}, y_{2t},…,y_{kt})'$, $\mu=(\mu_1,…,\mu_{k})’$ and $\Phi$ a matrix of ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Why the growth of the American Economy is going to cause the Fed to raise interest rates?

Due the growth of the American economy the Fed have published that interest rates are likely to increase. Why is that the response of the Fed?
1
vote
0answers
84 views

Time-Varying Copulas (GAUSS)

Could anyone suggest me how to begin with Time-varying Copulas or Stochastic Copulas? I'm looking for the GAUSS code, however it seems there are only MATLAB code available over the internet. I'm ...
1
vote
0answers
15 views

Annuity Duration Based on Closed Derivative is half of Effective Duration?

I am analyzing an annuity with a stub. I calculate the effective duration as (P(-10bps) - P(+10bps))/(2*Principal * (.001)) I then take the derivative of the standard annuity formula discounted by ...
1
vote
0answers
58 views

How to apply the chain rule for partial derivatives to transformations?

I'm currently working to solve the Black-Scholes model partial differential equation (it's a model for a.o. stock option prices). The Black-Scholes equation for a calloption C(S,t) is given by $ ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

Comparing cost of two alternative given their distribution

I have distribution for cost of two alternative through Monte Carlo simulation. The distributions are not normal. Given the benefit of the two alternatives is the same but ungiven, I want to choose ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

Interpretation of Correlation Matrix

I have past data which is in vector form. The information shows the probabilities of a AAA rated company to migrate to another credit rating. So for example, (x1, x2, x3) has the probabilities of ...
1
vote
0answers
60 views

Convolution of inverse gaussian and power law distributions

I am trying to understand how the first passage time density of Brownian motion with drift is modified by the presence of waiting times that are distributed as a power law In other words, what is the ...
1
vote
0answers
67 views

Straddle neutral strategy

What does it mean to implement a delta-neutral strategy for straddle ? A straddle consists in buying a call and a put simultaneously, at the same date, on same underlying, with same maturity and ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

Convertible bonds market data

My question is twofold. First, what are the key informations used to describe a convertible bond market ? I'm thinking about market size, conversion rate, appropriate index, ... Second, where to ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Multi-objective optimization: Where to find qualified examples for portfolio management?

I am looking for qualified examples of multi-objective optimization applied to a portfolio management situation in non-normal markets. Where can I find one or more examples of such a multi-objective ...
1
vote
0answers
84 views

CDS credit spreads vs default probability

What is the relationship between a CDS credit spread (as set by the CDS issuer) and the instantaneous default probability (as estimated by the CDS issuer)? I hear they are similar but not the same. ...
1
vote
0answers
155 views

R TTR/RSI does not behave like a Bloomberg RSI

The implementation of TTR:RSI differs slightly from the RSI calculated in Bloomberg, see more details here. I use in TTR the SMA, which simply calculates the mean, that is a walking window of: ...
1
vote
0answers
117 views

Using the R package “ termstrc ”

I am attempting to use the function estim_nss from the termstrc package in R. However, I am experiencing the following error: ...
1
vote
0answers
111 views

Fixed Income risk attribution in the historical simulation of a sovereign bond portfolio

We use historical simulation for risk analysis. I.e. for each bond there is a repricing of the form $$ P_j = PV(\text{yield curve in scenario } j), $$ where the yield curve is the zero rates curve of ...
1
vote
0answers
46 views

Should I use a correlation coefficient formula or a multiple regression formula?

I have an assignment dealing with the stock market and I'm a little lost. My instructions are to come up a method to create a score for a stock then compare the score against what the stock actually ...
1
vote
0answers
183 views

How to calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability

I would calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability. I want to know how they are related. This is how I think they are related: ...
1
vote
0answers
315 views

Cointegration Test: Residual is stationary but not random?

I am testing cointegration relationship on various pairs of stocks by this following these steps. Test for I(1) on a pair of stocks, says X and Y, using Dickey-Fuller test. If both time series are ...

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