2
votes
0answers
24 views

Interplay of statistical factors (PCA) and market factors (value, momentum, low vol, …)

Is there any research done on the interplay between statistical factors (as a result of principle component analysis PCA) and the market factors (especially value, size, low vol, momentum, quality)? ...
11
votes
1answer
515 views

Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also the short term EURIBOR has ...
1
vote
2answers
31 views

How do companies forecast revenue and earning estimates for a quarter or year in advance?

I'm sure there are models and they have low and high estimates. But how to do they decide on the percentage growth? A bit of art + science?
1
vote
0answers
29 views

calculating long short portfolios currency exposure

I have calculated the currency exposures of a long short portfolio simply by summing the weights of each stock. However I was told that I need to incorporate the dollar borrowing (short dollars), I ...
8
votes
2answers
163 views

Stochastic Calculus Rescale Exercise

I have the following system of SDE's $ dA_t = \kappa_A(\bar{A}-A_t)dt + \sigma_A \sqrt{B_t}dW^A_t \\ dB_t = \kappa_B(\bar{B} - B_t)dt + \sigma_B \sqrt{B_t}dW^B_t $ If $\sigma_B > \sigma_A$ I ...
0
votes
1answer
33 views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot ...
6
votes
1answer
758 views

How to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio

Anyone have a clue how to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio? Let's say I want to compare the Relative strength for these: EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund EWD ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
6
votes
5answers
303 views

Thoughts on how quantitative hedge funds use machine learning to invest in the stock market (algorithms, examples of data, etc.)

I believe there are several post on this general topic but I thought I would start my own thread. I'm a former fundamental hedge fund investor (i.e. modeling a company's financials, forecasting the ...
0
votes
2answers
54 views

Portfolio return for assets held for different lengths of time

How does one calculate the return on a portfolio if the assets in that portfolio were held for varying periods of time? For Example: $t_0$ Buy AAPL at 100 $t_5$ Buy MSFT at 20 $t_1$$_0$ Sell MSFT at ...
4
votes
1answer
56 views

What are the answers to these questions on card deck and option pricing?

here are 3 questions I have some trouble dealing with. Your help will be greatly appreciated! 1 - We have a deck card: 26 red, 26 black. we play a game: you draw a card from the deck without putting ...
0
votes
2answers
14 views

How can you find change in working capital and capital expenditures without a balance sheet?

I'm working with the following information trying to work through a valuation exercise and I'm absolutely stuck. How can I find ∆WC and CAPX with this information?
2
votes
0answers
27 views

Ledoit-Wolf, expected order of optimal shrinkage intensity

I have a question regarding the optimal shrinkage intensity derived in the Ledoit-Wolf method. Specifically, I'm referring to their version concerned with the target defined as the single index factor ...
4
votes
2answers
267 views

Where can I get equivalent of 3 months libor or swap historical data?

Please note: I have already checked your standard "Historical data sources" link, but it does not have the data I need: I am looking for 5 years of libor/swap data for major currencies. Daily, or ...
0
votes
1answer
21 views

shifted SABR - ATM vol

quick question guys. I know that for Shifted SABR (or any other Shifted model), we simply model the underlying price process (lets say the forward interest rate F), as F' = F + x, x being the shift. ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

investor terminal value of portfolio with two risky assets 1) correlated 2)not correlated $\phi_t^1=S^{2}_{t}, \ \phi_t^2=S^{1}_{t}$

I am analyzing a problem where I have two stocks described by the equations $$ \frac{dS^{1}_{t}}{S^{1}_{t}}=\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_{1} dW^{1}_{t}$$ $$ \frac{dS^{2}_{t}}{S^{2}_{t}}=\mu_{2} dt + ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

combining returns in portfolio analysis

In portfolio analysis, can anyone think of a reason it might be a bad idea to simply combine all the past returns into a single return based on your asset allocation and then determine portfolio and ...
5
votes
2answers
7k views

What is the “leverage effect” for stocks?

I've read the so-called "leverage-effect" for stocks models the fact that if a company is leveraged, its volatility should increase as the stock price moves lower and closer to the level of debt. Can ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

2 Ito processes - $d(X_{t} + X^{'}_{t})^2 = (Y_t + Y^{'}_{t})^2 dt$ why it is true?

Having two Ito processes $dX_{t} =z_{1} dt + Y_{t} dB_t $ $dX^{'}_{t} =z^{'}_{1} dt + Y^{'}_{t} dB_t $ I am analyzing a proof of the product rule $d(X_t X_t^{'})=X_t dX_t^{'}+ X_t^{'} dX_t + ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Integration in the Hull-White SDE

I'm stuck in solving the SDE in Hull-White interest rate model. I do not have a thorough background in math (only Real Analysis during my blissful undergrad years), so I am having trouble ...
0
votes
1answer
37 views

Stress Testing for VaR

I am trying to perform stress testing for VaR and have taken into consideration two methods:- 1. Sensitivity analysis 2. Historical scenario analysis. According to the Derivatives Policy group we ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

What is the importance behind an efficient frontier to be a straight line in the standard deviation-mean plane for Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection?

I'm currently working on a research project regarding Continuous-Time Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection problem. I got curious on why is it important for the efficient frontier to be a straight line ...
3
votes
1answer
101 views

What is the heat-map method of calculating VaR?

I'm familiar with the historical full revaluation, VcV, and Delta-gamma methods, but a client keeps talking about a heat-map method and I'm not sure what he's talking about. Any ideas?
0
votes
2answers
111 views

Step By Step method to calculating VaR using MonteCarlo Simulations

In trying to find VaR for 5 financial assets with prices over a long period of time(2000 days worth of data) how would I do the following: Carry out monte-carlo simulation in order to find a VaR ...
1
vote
1answer
22 views

Cash Flow for Operating Cost, Sheldon Ross Question

In his An Elementary Introduction to Mathematical Finance, 3rd Edition book, pg. 55, Sheldon Ross has a question - A company needs a certain type of machine for the next five years. They ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

Is there a way to meaningfully generate daily returns from monthly?

I have a set of 7 investments in a portfolio and I need to optimize the weightings based on some exposures to various markets/styles/economic factors. I was hoping to do some sort of simple exposure ...
0
votes
1answer
37 views

Deduce expected exposure profile from option/structure delta?

I am thinking about whether there exists a relationship between the delta of an option (or any structured derivative) and it's expected positive/negative exposure? An intuitive question would be ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

Error using ghyp-distribution function

I want to fit multivariate GH distribution on my data, and then generate simulations for that distribution. Using the instructions given in ghyp package, I wrote following lines of code in R. ...
0
votes
1answer
192 views

Can I use PyAlgoTrade for Forex?

Is it possible to use PyAlgoTrade for Forex related algorithms? If it is, please point me in the right direction on how to get PyAlgoTrade to work on Forex data.
5
votes
1answer
163 views

Calibration Merton Jump-Diffusion

Consider the following SDE $dV_t = rV_tdt +\sigma V_t dW_t + dJ_t$ where $J_t$ is a Compound poisson process with log-Normal jump size $Y_i$. How am I supposed to calibrate this model to CDS ...
8
votes
2answers
3k views

SPX options vs VIX futures trading

Forward volatility implied by SPX options, and that of VIX futures get out of line. If there existed VIX SQUARED futures they could easily be replicated (and arbitraged) with a strip of SPX options. ...
4
votes
1answer
86 views

Where to find daily European value factor data?

Kenneth R. French website only provides monthly European factor data. I want to track this data daily. Here's what I tried: MSCI Europe Barra Value Index - it's long short 130/30, not 100/100. ...
6
votes
1answer
133 views

How to perform risk budgeting for non-linear portfolios?

I am using this question to compute optimal weights following a risk budgeting approach. The problem is I am using non-linear portfolios (options,equity,fixed income,fx). What I am looking for is ...
3
votes
1answer
52 views

Yahoo data meaning of “close” and “adjusted close”

When there's a 2-for-1 stock split, the number of shares doubles, while the value of the stock halves For symbol 2154 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, there was such a 2-for-1 split on 2016/3/29. ...
4
votes
1answer
72 views

How to express the volatility of two correlated Ito processes $Wt_1, Wt_2$ expressed in terms of $W_t$?

Having two correlated Ito processes ($W_t^1$ and $W_t^2$ are correlated Brownian motions with correlation $\rho$) $dX_{t} =\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_1 dWt_1 $ $dY_{t} = \mu_{2} dt + \sigma_2 dWt_2 $ ...
0
votes
0answers
46 views

Easy question (?) - how to measure if volatility for two samples is significantly different?

For my bachelor thesis I'm doing a research where at one point I want to measure if volatility for a certain sample of stocks in period A is significantly different from i) the same sample of stocks ...
4
votes
1answer
611 views

Open source equity/bond index data

I have been using the tseries package of R (get.hist.quote) to get historical quotes for various indices from yahoo finance. I am interested in DAX, VDAX, EB.REXX ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Non-contractual accounts behavioural study

I need to carry a non-contractual accounts behavoiural study for a bank. The objective is to estimate core/non core ratios and then bucket and ftp them. Any recipe where to start? I have 3yrs of ...
1
vote
1answer
59 views

Calculation of Bond Carry from Synthetic future prices

I have only government bond yields with different maturities. How can I obtain sythetic future prices on bonds? After obtained the future prices, I am supposed to compute the return and carry returns. ...
0
votes
1answer
41 views

Compiling QuantLib example

I have followed the guidlines for installing QuantLib for mac from here http://quantlib.org/install/macosx.shtml and also fixed the flags using the commands: export CXXFLAGS = -stdlib=libstdc++ ...
2
votes
1answer
90 views

SABR Implied Volatility and Option Prices

I am trying to understand SABR model. I am having difficulty to understand how to calibrate ABR a) the initial variance b) the volatility of variance c) the exponent for the forward rate d)the ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Convert 90-Day Tbill to risk free rate on continuous basis

I am trying to use the BS formula to compute the value of a call option. To do that I need the risk free rate on a continuous basis. As far as I know, people typically use the 90 day TBill as a proxy ...
0
votes
2answers
107 views

How to automatically get all options data for a particular stock into microsoft excel?

I'm looking for a way to get the entire options chain (All options expiries) for a particular stock in excel without manually copy pasting anything. It does not have to be real time and I will only be ...
0
votes
1answer
31 views

how to measure a event driven strategy?

How to measure an event driven investment strategy? Say I have a strategy which I assume that if a firm has positive momentum and it has a refinance corporate action, it's value will increase. For ...
1
vote
1answer
25 views

arbitrage proof question

prove the condition $D<R<U$ is equivalent to the absence of arbitrage: R = risk free investment rate of return. U and D are returns corresponding to the upward/downward price movements of a ...
5
votes
1answer
221 views

Up and Down days in GBPUSD and a Filter

I want to study if the odds of an up or down day in a forex pairs is 50-50. I just count the total number of up and down days in X years and compare it with the total days. The results are very ...
2
votes
1answer
80 views

VEC GARCH (1,1) for 4 time series

I have to estimate a VEC GARCH(1,1) model in R. I already tried rmgarch, fGarch, ccgarch, mgarch, tsDyn. Has somebody estimated a model like that? ...
5
votes
1answer
145 views

DCC GARCH - Specificating of ARCH and GARCH parameter Matrices STATA

The command in STATA to calculate the DCC model of two variables is: mgarch dcc ( x1 x2=, noconstant) , arch(1) garch(1) distribution(t) $$ \begin{bmatrix} ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Historical volatility from non-uniform samples

The way I compute historical volatility is that I take two parameters $dt$ and $T$, get a list of stock prices with the step of $dt$ over the window $T$ (so $T/dt+1$ samples in total), compute $T/dt$ ...

15 30 50 per page