2
votes
0answers
37 views

Testing Statistical Significance of Various Portfolio Simulations

I'm trying to determine which of my portfolio simulations/backtests if any are good enough to put some money into. I outline an approach below and I'm interested in knowing: What problems are there ...
1
vote
1answer
144 views

ex ante tracking error correlation between funds

I have two portfolio's called Comb & Global. They both have the same investable universe lets says 3000 stocks & are measured against the same benchmark. So it is possible that both funds hold ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views

Is linear programming important for quant?

I'm thinking about taking a course on Linear and Convex Programming, but I don't know how useful it is in the real world finance. Which areas in finance is mathematical programming used?
1
vote
0answers
16 views

How to compute for basis adjusted forward rate?

To give you a brief background, I'm valuing a fixed-for-float Interest Rate Swap (IRS) using Bloomberg. I put in a notional amount in (USD) and a assigned 6MO USD LIBOR as the reference index for the ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

detecting and measuring lead lag effect

Given two time series data. I remember there is one statistics that tells you one is the leading factor while the other is the lagging factor. However, i do not remember the exact details. correlation ...
1
vote
1answer
160 views

stock option strategies long vs short

What makes an option strategy long or short? I got the impression that if it is a net debit (you pay to open the strategy) it is classified 'long' (strangle, straddle) Then I learned about the call ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Wholesale credit risk management

Trying to read up on "Wholesale credit risk ", can't find any useful references, why the emphasis on wholesale? - Any help greatly appreciated.
0
votes
0answers
18 views

How to compare the volatility of quarterly p&l of two firms in the same sector?

I want to compare the volatility of the historical quarterly profit and loss data of two or more firms operating in the same sector and determine whether the volatility of p&l of these firms is ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

negative probabilities in the bivariate tree heston model

I am trying to implement the bivariate tree approach for the Heston model by Beliavea & Nawalkha. I currently have the problem that given the specifications in their examples, I always obtain ...
3
votes
1answer
95 views

factor models and using cross section regression

I have been doing some reading on factor models. In the literature it mentions that when creating a portfolio that maximises particular attributes it may lead to unwanted bias to other factors. I ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

how to determine the Cost of Fund (FTP rate) for Saving Account?

Saving Account are the deposit account that gives customers very low, almost 0%, interest. Currently the calculation of its cost of fund is, in a simplified way: assume a deposit duration, e.g. 1 ...
6
votes
3answers
5k views

Why does the adjusted closing price take into account dividends?

I'm trying to get an intuition as to why the adjusted closing price includes a dividend adjustment: \begin{equation} 1 - \frac{dividend}{close} \end{equation} I understand why the adjusted closing ...
3
votes
9answers
302 views

Why would there be a positive risk-free rate?

Most financial models include a risk-free rate or risk-free asset. Why should there be such thing as a positive risk-free rate? I dont see why an asset would provide a positive (real) return if it ...
0
votes
3answers
143 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

Historical Value At Risk on option portfolio

I am new to Value at Risk subject in fact everything related to quant. Can any body validate the Value at Risk Model on the option price ? I am using a below explained approach . our portfolio ...
0
votes
2answers
97 views

API-based equity screeners?

I know there are APIs from different brokers that allows you to trade and also obtain information about specific companies, but I wonder if there are equity/asset screeners that are API-based and can ...
1
vote
2answers
180 views

Why is that a risk averse consumer buys the optimum insurance when there is actuarially fair insurance?

I think I understand the fact that when marginal utilities of the same function are equal (a consequence of the actuarially fair insurance), the independent variables in it must be equal -- right? But ...
8
votes
3answers
1k views

Hidden Markov Model & Its Application

I have started reading about HMM it gives an intuitive idea about what HMM is all about. I am looking out for example where its applied to Equity model using R / Excel. The material which I read so ...
0
votes
1answer
19 views

y-axis unity of density probability function

What is the unity/interpretation of the y-axis of a density distribution function? The X-axis is the values of the random variable, the area is the probabilty what about the y-axis ?
2
votes
3answers
159 views

List of Stocks by Sector

Does anyone know where I can find a list of all stocks traded on the NYSE in a table that also includes what sector they are in? I want to look at some data using info both from the individual stock ...
0
votes
0answers
441 views

Margin % Bridge - Effect of Price, Cost, Volume

Given sales and profitability data for two time periods, how would I go about calculating the impact of price, cost, volume and mix margin % (bps)? I can do the analysis as a gross margin $ bridge, ...
2
votes
2answers
101 views

How to select optimal betting strategy from backtest?

I have written a model for predicting the winner of UFC fights. My model calculates the probability of each fighter to win a given match. I have back tested the model and found it to be very ...
1
vote
1answer
86 views

Locked or Crossed Markets

I don't understand why Rule 610 from Reg NMS was introduced: what was the problem with locked markets? I have read that one of the issues is that it forced a market maker (say, from Nasdaq) who ...
1
vote
2answers
195 views

List of 2008 NACE Rev 2 codes

Am looking for a simple list of the NACE 2008 rev 2 codes (The European classifications for economic sectors). The official publication is here, but is there an easily accessible list of the actual ...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

Derivation of Gordon Growth Model [closed]

V - [((1+g)V)/(1+i)] = (D(1+g))/(1+i) Where: V = Present value w/ constant growth rate g = Constant growth rate i = Cost of equity D = Dividend Solve for V ...
14
votes
8answers
4k views

Probability of touching

For a vanilla option, I know that the probability of the option expiring in the money is simply the delta of the option... but how would I calculate the probability, without doing monte carlo, of the ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Difference in weekly and monthly data

I am confused about the following: I checked daily and weekly prices for Exxon (and also GE). But the values for Open, Low, High, Close, Vol., Adj. Close for both data streams seem to differ from each ...
-1
votes
0answers
25 views

How do you calculate rolling 2 month returns? [closed]

If I have the following information: Month 1: Return=3.26% Month 2: Return=-0.15% Month 3: Return=1.14% How would I calculate the rolling 2M returns for Month 2 and Month 3? Thanks!
1
vote
2answers
68 views

is there an accepted method for quantifying risk of inaccuracy of nascent trm systems?

Have a somewhat meta question here. I am part of a trading risk management implementation project. I also manage day to day risk reporting to management and the trading desks. Our implementation was ...
0
votes
2answers
145 views

Intermarket analysis - related time series?

I'm about to embark on training a neural network on daily forex data, with a view to obtaining a predictive network. I'm also interested in using data other than the forex currency pair data itself, ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

Bloomberg Pricing Sources: TRAC vs. BGN vs. BVAL etc

Sorry, I'm very new to using Bloomberg as a tool, so please forgive the naïve question. I couldn't find much information after some cursory online searches, so I figured I'd ask here. Particularly ...
-1
votes
0answers
38 views

What are the most important forces that influence stock price? [closed]

How are most experts modelling the market ? Do they consider that millions of individual people are watching the market and gambling thus making the price variation or do they also consider that big ...
0
votes
1answer
153 views

Why most of apple stock price since 10years have been gained overnight?

I've been playing with stock data and I've discovered a terrible truth : in 10 years apple stock price passed from roughly 3\$ to 100$. However this gain isn't due to intraday price variation ...
8
votes
1answer
482 views

QuantLib and exact numerical simulation

I've just downloaded quantlib and started playing around with it, and it looks like it's designed primarily to use Euler discretizations for everything -- so far as I can tell, there's not even a ...
4
votes
3answers
1k views

VaR implementation using quantlib?

I am thinking of writing a VaR framework for my existing system, using quantlib to do the bulk of the calculations. Despite several searches, I have not as yet come across a quantlib VaR ...
5
votes
3answers
1k views

Quick way to check what 'tape' a stock belongs to?

For the SIP feeds, there is the CTA and the UTP plan and they cover Tapes A,B and Tape C respectively. Is there an easy way to check on google what tape a stock would belong to? Particularly when it ...
5
votes
1answer
230 views

Pricing options under restricted domain

How would I price an option when the underlying security is unable to trade above a certain price? I assumed this would be as simple as restricting the limits of integration of the PDF to B (the ...
3
votes
2answers
119 views

Approximation of different volatilities

Suppose I model the forward swap rate lognormal $$dS_t = \sigma_{ln}S_tdW_t$$ On the other hand we could model it simply by a normal assumption: $$dS_t = \sigma_{n}dW_t$$ I would like to know if ...
1
vote
0answers
53 views

Game theory and antagonistic games in trading

In one of the topic here, particularly in the comments, i saw a link to the page describing connection between Antagonistic Games and finances but i cannot find it now and would appreciate if somebody ...
1
vote
1answer
82 views

forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate

Question about forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate.Some definitions $P(a,b)$ a zero coupond price at time $a$ and maturity $b$ $L(a,b)$ simply compounded spot interest rate set at ...
7
votes
1answer
175 views

How to price a Swing Option?

I'm working in the commodity market and I've to price Swing Options with MATLAB, preferably with finite element. Has anyone already priced these kind of derivatives? I'm thinking about using the ...
1
vote
1answer
85 views

Different ways of portfolio optimization

There are different ways to optimize portfolios: $$ \max R^Tw\tag{1}$$ or $$ \min w^T \Sigma w\tag{2}$$ and finally using a risk tolerance $\lambda$: $$ \min{(w^T\Sigma w-\lambda R^T ...
5
votes
1answer
409 views

Testing the validity of a factor model for stock returns

Consider the following m regression equation system: $$r^i = X^i \beta^i + \epsilon^i \;\;\; \text{for} \;i=1,2,3,..,n$$ where $r^i$ is a $(T\times 1)$ vector of the T observations of the dependent ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

What is Equity Asian Hybrid?

As listed in http://www.vectorrisk.com/Views/Solutions/ProductList.aspx What's an Equity Asian Hybrid? Any references? What is exactly a hybrid product?
49
votes
10answers
33k views

How can I go about applying machine learning algorithms to stock markets?

I am not very sure, if this question fits in here. I have recently begun, reading and learning about machine learning. Can someone throw some light onto how to go about it or rather can anyone share ...
2
votes
1answer
80 views

What is some prerequisite book that can help me to read “mathematical methods for financial markets”

What is some prerequisite book in mathematics or finance that can help me to read "mathematical methods for financial markets"? I found a lot of difficulties when try to start to read the PDF of this ...
13
votes
3answers
941 views

How does one analyze diversification if stock prices follow a Cauchy distribution?

How does diversification actually lead to less variance in a portfolio? I'm looking for a formal reason why this is the case. There are a number of explanations I have been able to find, but they make ...
1
vote
1answer
65 views

Pricing a bond contract from the yield curve

When giving a particular class in financial mathematics for a student I saw a problem in a list of exercises that says: How to calculate the price at 15 December 2010 of a bond paying a coupon of ...
2
votes
2answers
73 views

Predict Futures Prices based on weather + agricultural data

I’m working in the area of Data Mining and have come up with the following idea for my Masters project.The text may not be the best structured but it’s a working draft to give you a quick idea. ...
3
votes
6answers
243 views

Why should we expect geometric Brownian motion to model asset prices?

Disclaimer: I am a complete ignoramus about finance, so this may be an inappropriate forum for me to ask a question in. I am a mathematician who knows nothing about finance. I heard from a popular ...

15 30 50 per page