# All Questions

235 views

### Ito calculus problem

given $S^1$ satifying the SDE $\quad dS_{t}^{1}=S_{t}^{1}((r+\mu)dt + \sigma dW_t), \quad S_{0}^{1}=1$ and the safe asset $S_{t}^{0}$ $\quad S_{t}^{0}:=e^{rt} \quad for \quad r\geq 0$ Q1. how ...
62 views

### adding dummy variable to ts object in r for particular quarter

I've looked all over and can't seem to get a clear idea of how to do this; I have ts data with quarterly frequencies. I simply want to add a dummy variable only for the data corresponding to Q4 but I ...
132 views

### Stock Symbols: ETFs vs Real Companies

I built a trading strategy that is based on a pool of all the symbols available on NYSE, Nasdaq, and AMEX. I don't like the idea of trading symbols that are ETFs. For example, the symbol TVIX, which ...
21 views

### Technical indicator MACD - Does the D stands for the Math divergence? [closed]

Does the divergence from MACD is the same well known from Math? What is the connection? Thanks,
101 views

### Simulating returns from ARMA(1,0)-GARCH(1,1) model

I want to obtain a simulation of one-step ahead forecasts of stock returns process governed by ARMA(1,0)-GARCH(1,1) process. The returns are of form: $x_t = \mu + \delta x_{t-1} + \sigma_t z_t$ From ...
30 views

### Could VVIX and HYspread combined make for a SPX trade signal?

assumption 1: if there is no excess liquidity, then prices of equities cannot rise assumption 2: if there is "sufficient" excess liquidity, then whether prices of equities rise, stay put, fall depends ...
27 views

### Silvio Gesell's theory of value of money can it work?

Silvio Gesell was an economist. The scope of science of economy is the value of money. His theory is basically there is one source of money and one sink, source and sink is the same. Thus the value of ...
44 views

### Macroeconomic forecasting

During the last year I was working on developing several forecasting models which I was checking mainly in energy markets. They are based on regression, autocorrelation and also machine learning ...
17 views

### Single better parameter to explain ETF's comparison graph: Sharpe or IR?

For single comparison graph depicting price over time: SPY VS US some Sector ETF VS Momentum ETF on that sector, What would be the best single param to put? Sharpe ratio of each Information ratio ...
103 views

### How to implement dummy variables into GARCH(1,1) model from structural breaks (ICSS)

Hello everybody, I was already searching a lot of forums and read a huge amount of different papers. But I guess I am to stupid or I am at a loss. Hopefully some of you are able to help me out. Here ...
43 views

### Bid and Ask Data for european stocks

I am working on something to analyze European stocks and I need some historical data on bid and ask prices. Ideally I would like something like CRSP database for US stocks. Is there some similar ...
82 views

### Fx Firm market making

I've been doing market making on forex using the last look feature so far. Now we are moving to do on firm making, but I'm kind of lost. To do firm making we need to post resting orders (currenex ...
27 views

### Change in portfolio when IPO announced

I'm wondering whether there would be a change to my answer of the change in portfolio when there is a new stock introduced. My investment strategy is to maximise expected return such that my standard ...
94 views

### Calculate mean variance portfolio

I am trying to calculate the mean variance portfolio using the plug-in approach. First I generate some artificial data: x <- replicate(10,rnorm(1000)) Then I ...
38 views

### How to form Decile Portfolios based on Liquidity measure with missing data in R

I have a dataframe with over 4000 companies data (as column) and have calculted their daily Quoted spread measure ( measures liquidity for each stock) for 15 years. And then from the daily have ...
41 views

### Observing bid-ask bounce in high frequency stock data

I have a series of 1-minute return data for an unnamed stock, a sample is provided below, in order: ...
73 views

### Why does the Sharpe ratio not change when the strategy is leveraged?

It has been correctly stated that the Sharpe ratio of a strategy does not change when it is leveraged. I understand Eric's point that leveraging by $n$ multiplies both the return $x$ and volatility ...
75 views

### Option analysis

Assume zero dividend and that the strike price for a European call option on a stock at a fixed maturity T and strike price K is given by C(K).Suppose that $C(K)=e^{-k}$ for all $K\geq 0$ ,then, I ...
750 views

### Proof that no trading system always wins

I am pondering on the existence/impossibility of a trading system (or algorithm) that ALWAYS ends up winning money, no matter how the price of a futures moves. In a context where one can go long or ...
87 views

### Volatility of EUR/USD: is this correct?

Let x be the closeBid price of EUR/USD, sampled every 5 minutes during year 2015 (historical data). This is the variation (is it ...
215 views

### Intuitively speaking, why do at the money options have no volga/convexity?

I was wondering if someone could give me an intuitive explanation as to why the vega of at the money options doesn't increase with volatility. I've seen some mathematical explanations showing the ...
98 views

### Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
257 views

### Barrier option : Monte carlo simulation

I am trying to price a Down-and-Out Call using Monte Carlo simulation. The problem is that I get the right price for the vanilla option (same price as the analytic formula of Black and Scholes) but I ...
111 views

### Calculate VaR for a liabilty taking a exponential distribution?

An insurance company faces the liability loss off $L = \begin{cases} 0, & \mbox{with probability } 0.75 \\ Z, & \mbox{with probability } 0.25\end{cases}$ where $Z\sim Exp(\mu)$. I want to ...
39 views

### Avellaneda/Cont model Order Book Model

The model given in the following paper by Avellaneda et al http://people.stern.nyu.edu/jreed/Papers/limitorder.pdf On page 7 he explains that the initial Bid and Ask size should be normalised by ...
336 views

### Why is there a stong intraday-correlation between spot and vol?

Fig.1 shows an intraday scatterplot of the DAX future against its volatility index VDAX on 6-Jan-2016. The data suggest a strong negative correlation between the two. There are various models ...
62 views

### Estimating volatility from high frequency price volume data of multiple stocks

I have price volume data of five stocks, sampled at 1 minute interval for six months. The data is quite noisy, lots of missing data and also some weired spikes. Can someone suggest me how to clean ...
24 views

### Mean reversion in seasonal ARIMA model

Hi I'm looking for some help deriving the half life from an ARIMA model. My current best model candidate is (1,1,0)x(1,0,0)[4] and I'm a little confused on this. I've read up on HL for AR(1) models ...
100 views

### Books on financial instruments?

Can you please tell me some good books to learn in detail about all financial instruments available in the market today ?
71 views

### Calculating Portfolio Returns Across Sectors

I have a table of asset (mutual fund) returns and the percentage that each asset is in a particular stock sector: ...
85 views

### Black Scholes Geometric Brownian Motion Option Pricing

I'm doing a past paper for one of my masters modules and I'm stuck on this and I have no idea how to tackle such a thing. It's worth 30% of the exam so would be great if anyone here has any ...
65 views

### Asset allocation and GARCH models

I am trying to solve an asset allocation problem and I am having some troubles grasping the concept. I am working with excess returns on 4 stock indices and I am obtaining the excess returns forecasts ...
199 views

### Why aren't the Fama-French 3 factors orthogonal to each other?

I am confused whether the factors in a multi-factor model should be orthogonal or not. Google searches do not give a well documented answer and I couldn't find one in our library's limited catalog ...
51 views

115 views

### Geometric Brownian Motion: d(S) vs. d(ln(S))

I am quoting from "Tools for Computational Finance, 5th Edition" [Seydel]. I wonder whether the histogram of simulations of the first (yellow) SDE makes sense... especially given that Seydel ...
175 views

### AmericanOptionImpliedVolatility - root not bracketed issue in QuantLib/R

I'm trying to compute an implied volatility -- I am trying to match real data I see in Yahoo finance which shows an IV of about 27%. My call in 'R' for the same params returns a root not bracketed ...
37 views

### Simulated bond index returns based on term structure changes

The J.P. Morgan European Monetary Union Index (EMU) 5-7Y (which is rebalanced monthly) currently (1-Jan-16) has the following characteristics: ...
77 views

### Forecasting conditional variance using fGARCH

I am forecasting the conditional standard deviation using ARMA(1,0)-GJRGARCH(1,1) in R using the fGarch package. Here is a sample code: ...
31 views

### Portfolio Analytic Metrics for Portfolios with Serially Correlated Returns

I just read Andrew Lo's paper from 2002 "The Statistics of Sharpe Ratios" and am wondering if anyone knows of any other papers/docs/resources that explore the impact of serially correlated returns on ...