3
votes
4answers
168 views

Calculate theoretical forward price of a stock

The current price of a stock is USD400 per share and it pays no dividends. Assuming a constant interest rate of 8% compounded quarterly, what is the stock's theoretical forward price for delivery in 9 ...
1
vote
1answer
42 views

How to change to risk neutral measure in a mean reversion process?

For example, in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process do I just replace the drift term with the risk free rate, like in the GBM case?
1
vote
2answers
104 views

Stochastic process theory question

*S follows a process $dS= mSdt + oSdz$ where m and o are constant. What is the probability followed by $ Y=(Se)^{(r-t)} $. If S follows a process $ dS= k (b-S) dt + oSdz $ where k, b, o are ...
2
votes
2answers
192 views

Forecast of volatility

What are the well known methods for forecasting (daily - weekly - monthly) volatility of a stock price? How about a bond price? Let's say I have in my disposition the price time series at a very high ...
1
vote
2answers
151 views

Delta Hedging for 2 Factor Models

If the value of an option at Maturity is what is the off-setting position you take for X and Y, if you are i)Long Call of the option ii)Short Call of the option iii)Long Put of the option iv)Short ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

How Current are Google Finance & YQL Sock Information

When viewing a specific stocks information on Google Finance and Yahoo Finance- how old/current is the stock information (Price, offer, bid, etc)? I've heard some providers offer information that is ...
0
votes
1answer
42 views

Why is the forward rate used for the underlying in Black's model?

Why is the forward rate suitable for being used as the underlying in Black's model? Thanks
2
votes
2answers
81 views

$ \mathop{\mathbb{E^{}}}\left\lbrace 1_{S_T > K} \; S_T \right\rbrace $ ? Exp. of an indicator funct and a diffusion with non-proportional vol

How to compute $ \mathop{\mathbb{E^{}}}\left\lbrace 1_{S_T > K} \; S_T \right\rbrace $ ? where $ dS_t = S_t r dt + \sigma dW_t $ and $ 1_{S_T > K} $ is the indicator function being one when ...
2
votes
1answer
57 views

Estimating Carma(2,1) parameters (using yuima package)

I am very new to R, and particularly to the yuima package, so I was hoping someone would be able to help me. I have some data (daily prices) that I wish to fit to ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Question in the proof of “Optimization of conditional value-at-risk”

I'm reading the paper "Optimization of conditional value-at-risk" by Rockafellar and Uryasev. The state two theorems within the paper which are proven in the appendix. Let me introduce some notation ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Optimal Financing Mix: Cost of Capital Approach

According to Cost of Capital approach to optimal financing mix we can calculate Cost-of-Capital-minimizing $\frac{D}{E}$ ratio as follows: $\frac{D}{E}_{opt} = argmin_{\frac{D}{E}}WACC$, where ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Effect on variance of change of measure

My current understanding: (a) changing the probability measure of a diffusion process does not change the variance. (b) for a general stochastic process the variance may change. Please confirm whether ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

BLS v2 API took 20+ minutes to publish data where is immediate data available?

First, I should state that I built a Java program that uses HTTP Components to keep in sync with server time for my broker. Once 7:29:59 comes around the program ...
4
votes
2answers
596 views

How many monte carlo runs do I need for pricing a Call?

I have to price several calls using Monte Carlo. Obviously, there is a huge tradeoff between the number of runs and the fair price of the call option. I know I can check how the approximation changes ...
2
votes
1answer
72 views

Brownian motion. Solve stoc. integral by using Ito's lemma

I want to show that following statement is true by using Ito's lemma to solve stochastic integrals: I define the functions in Ito's model: a()=0, b()= (2wt-2)^2. f(t)=Integrate[(2wt-2)^2] Then ...
4
votes
1answer
79 views

Realized variance in SVJJ (Heston with jumps) model

I am working with the stochastic volatility model with jumps in both the price and volatility dynamics, ie. the risk neutral dynamics are of the form: $\mathrm{d}V_t = \kappa(\theta - V_t)\mathrm{d}t ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Measuring strength of correlation for bivariate time series

In case of a bi-variate time series with both I(0) how do I measure the strength of co-relation. I am looking for measure similar to R-squared but ideal measure may not be one of the variants of ...
2
votes
0answers
44 views

When to use SV or a GARCH model

So i have been searching for this answer for a question if there is a rule or something that would say when to use GARCH type model or use an stochastic volatility model to predict the volatility of ...
0
votes
0answers
49 views

How to use genetic algorithms to optimize moving averages

I'm working on a school project that attempts to optimize moving averages using genetic algorithms. From what I understand about moving averages, it is an average over a certain length of time. To ...
0
votes
1answer
46 views

Factor model to Portfolio optimization

By using the Fama and MacBeth methodology, I have identified the significant factors that explain the returns of my stocks. Now, I want to build a portfolio and backtest it. For that, I am trying ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

commodities index volatility

Suppose that the average one year implied at-the-money volatility of the sub sector indices making up the BCOM is at 20% and that the sub sectors are uncorrelated. Bearing in mind the effect of ...
5
votes
4answers
223 views

European Call Option Delta Upper Bound

For a pure equity process (with interest rate, dividend, etc., being zero) not necessarily the geometric Brownian motion, is the delta of a European call option always no higher than $1$? I am NOT ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

What is the standard length for rolling correlation in financial time series?

I know this is highly subjective, but is there any theory behind choosing a window period for rolling correlations? If I do 1-day or 2-day rolling correlations between highly correlated positions, ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

copulas and time series

Can anbody explain how Copulas are used to describe the dependency between, for example, the return on two different stocks? I understand how Copulas are the "glue" that binds the two marginals ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Why is preferred stock not always preferred

I was wondering why is it not the case that preferred stocks are not preferred to common stock? The reasoning is as follows: it seems that the disadvantage of holding preferred stocks is that one ...
0
votes
1answer
79 views
2
votes
1answer
36 views

Can the differential operator be removed to get the mean/variance of an Ito process?

If $X_t$ is an Ito process, such that: $dX_t = \mu(t, X_t)dt + \sigma(t, Xt)dW_t$ where $W_t$ is a standard brownian motion. Then we can say that: $E(dX_t) = \mu(t, X_t)dt$ and that $Var(dX_t) = ...
1
vote
1answer
40 views

Asymmetric Random Walk / Prove that $T:= \inf\{n: X_n = b\}$ is a $\{\mathscr F_n\}_{n \in \mathbb N}$-stopping time

Given random variables $Y_1, Y_2, ... \stackrel{iid}{\sim} P(Y_i = 1) = p = 1 - q = 1 - P(Y_i = -1)$ where $p > q$ in a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathscr F, \{\mathscr F_n\}_{n \in ...
2
votes
3answers
171 views

Hedge Fund risk management on a daily basis

Since Hedge Funds/Fund of Funds report on a monthly basis usually within 10 days after the month end, monitoring and managing (hedging) potential risks is quite a difficult task. Having done some ...
1
vote
1answer
204 views

How to calculate daily risk free interest rates

I'm working on an assignment in which I need to calculate excess return for six stocks plus the S&P 500. I have computed daily logarithmic returns for every stock and for the market, I now need to ...
0
votes
0answers
60 views

BDT model calibration using swaptions

I am using the Black-Derman-Toy model in a binomial tree that lasts 5 years with time increments of 1/12 . I have to calibrate my model using swaptions but I don't know which maturity I should use. I ...
2
votes
1answer
52 views

Debugging Quantlib

I am trying to understand Quantlib's finite-difference pricer using Eclipse with GDB debugger. The code shown below prices an American put option using the Crank-Nicholson finite-difference scheme. ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Fixed Income Sec: development of UK bond markets relative to the stock market

I am asked to describe (school project in the course Fixed Income Securities) the development of the UK bond markets relative the UK stock market and I am not sure how to tackle it. I want to compare ...
3
votes
2answers
103 views

Asymmetric Random Walk / Prove that $E[T:= \inf\{n: X_n = b\}] < \infty$

Given random variables $Y_1, Y_2, ... \stackrel{iid}{\sim} P(Y_i = 1) = p = 1 - q = 1 - P(Y_i = -1)$ where $p > q$ in a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathscr F, \{\mathscr F_n\}_{n \in ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Guranteed Investments Funds

Let's say a GIF's maturity is 10 years and an investor gets a 10% coupon each year if Eonia is higher than the original date (Day 0). When they say 10% coupon, is is it 0.1*"What I invested in Day 0" ...
0
votes
1answer
37 views

Imposing MLE restrictions by logistic mapping

I am doing some Maximum Likelihood Estimation with a density that has time-varying parameters. I am using the fmincon function in Matlab, but I do not know how to ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

hedging of a spread option with call

We have 2 underlying $S^{1}$ and $S^{2}$ with BS dynamic under the risk-neutral measure (r constant...) I found the (big) PDE satisfied by the price function $u(t,x,y)$ of a call spread whose payoff ...
-1
votes
1answer
25 views

How to calculate 5 years return & STD for ETF?

I want to calculate by-myself 5 year return & STD for SPY ETF. What I did: Downloaded to Excel from yahoo finance historical data for the ETF (daily Adj. Close) from ...
5
votes
3answers
234 views

Present and future role of pricing quants

While looking up on quants, I came across many sources that cited 'pricing quants' as one of the biggest chunks among all quant positions. But then I also came across many software companies providing ...
2
votes
2answers
135 views

Normalizing SPY ETF time series data with its sector ETFs?

I am looking to compare the returns of a sector rotation strategy between the various SPDR sector ETFs XLY, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLU vs. ...
2
votes
1answer
77 views

Under what circumstances Veta is positive?

In general, as the option moves towards expiry, its vega is decreasing. Are there circumstances where the veta, i.e. the sensitivity of vega with respect to time, is positive, that is when vega is ...
2
votes
3answers
115 views

Greeks for binary option?

How to derive an analytic formula of greeks for binary option? We know a vanilla option can be constructed by an asset-or-nothing call and a cash-or-nothing call, does that help us? Wikipedia states ...
9
votes
1answer
133 views

Estimate Beta of CAPM from Implied Volatility?

In the CAPM theory Beta of asset $i$ are estimated in this way: $ \beta_i = \frac{\sigma_{im}}{\sigma^2_m} $ where $\sigma_{im} = \rho_{im} \sigma_i \sigma_m$ But all these data are historical data. ...
0
votes
0answers
38 views

Impulse response function interpretation

I would need a quick help with Impulse response function interpretation which I have done after Vector autoregression model in stata. I need to understand how to interpret IRF graph or table values ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Do FRN's *always* trade on par on reset days, regardless if the issuer's credit quality has changed?

I keep reading that floating rate notes trade on par on coupon reset days. Is this always true, regardless of changes in the issuer's credit quality since the FRN was issued? It seems probably ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

simple game - fair value

Suppose a person A has the following game: there are 2 red balls, 2 green balls and 1 white ball in a bag you take 1 ball (don't put it again in the bag) and then a second ball if you take the white ...
1
vote
1answer
78 views

What is the yield when a floating-rate note is issued above/below par?

I am new in this area so all help is much appreciated! Let's say a 3-year floating rate note pays a coupon of LIBOR+100 bps, and is issued at a premium with price = 100.5. I understand that this ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

pricing with implied volatility surface

I am a newbee in Quantive finance. supposing I calibrate a smoothing implied volatility surface with cubic spline now. A minute later I want to price K=100,t=1 option, can I just find the point on ...
0
votes
2answers
55 views

Portfolio return for assets held for different lengths of time

How does one calculate the return on a portfolio if the assets in that portfolio were held for varying periods of time? For Example: $t_0$ Buy AAPL at 100 $t_5$ Buy MSFT at 20 $t_1$$_0$ Sell MSFT at ...
3
votes
1answer
125 views

How to apply the Feynman-Kac formula?

I've been learning about Feynman-Kac recently and I understand the underlying ideas. I am stuck however in actually computing explicit solutions for specific problems. For example, suppose I have the ...

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