5
votes
1answer
103 views

How to calculate Skulls Financial Turbulence for one asset?

I have just read this paper http://www.cfapubs.org/loi/doi/abs/10.2469/faj.v66.n5.3 In the paper they define financial turbulence formula as: Could anyone help me calculate/understand this ...
0
votes
1answer
42 views

need help with Donchian-channels function!

I want to be able to plot Donchian-channels. It's probably easier to use numpy but, am not that fluent with numpy yet so i thought i could make a function that takes two arrays as input(Highs and ...
4
votes
3answers
322 views

How do I calculate approximate equity liquidity?

I am a developer rather than a quant. I need to decide whether a given equity passes some basic liquidity threshold. It doesn't have to be precise, just good enough. I have a Bloomberg terminal data ...
0
votes
1answer
50 views

How to weigh many factors using a SMA/EMA

I'm learning about the SMA/EMA technical analysis, as well as, indicators such as Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillators, MACD, etc. How do you know which one to use and which to weigh more over ...
1
vote
1answer
61 views

Investor choice problem

Guys I'm stuck with a problem... Consider the portfolio choice problem of a risk-averse individual with a strictly increasing utility function. There is a single risky asset, and a risk free asset. ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
1
vote
0answers
103 views

stochastic calculus and multidimentional itos lemma

I am considering a number of assets (N) in a portfolio. each asset follows a geometric Brownian motion process therefore the stochastic differential equation is dS(i) = S(i)μdt + S(i)σdX(i). The ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

How to evaluate data handlers

How would I go about evaluating CME data handlers? Looking at:how to define and measure latency Two colo servers should have the same Order to Accept times. If the algorithm to generate the order ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Where can I find historical P/E values of Russell 2000 Value and Russell 2000 Growth index?

I have no problems finding the current values, but historical (ie yearly) is harder and even my commercial databases have failed. Only need the last ~15 years or so, and yearly is enough. Do any one ...
1
vote
1answer
32 views

Expected value of bivariate lognormal spread

I don´t know how to derivate the Expected Value for the following problem: Suppose that the random vector (S_1, S_2) has a bivariate lognormal distribution with ...
1
vote
3answers
114 views

What is the difference between market equilibrium and market efficiency? equilibrium implies efficiency?

The market efficiency hypothesis means securities are traded at their fair price. If the market is at the equilibrium, does it mean the market is efficiency? If equilibrium cannot implies ...
2
votes
0answers
82 views

R quantstrat backtest with dollar based position sizing

I am attempting to tweak a quantstrat based backtest but have run into an issue. The maxPos limits are share based, and I would rather use a fixed dollar amount instead. So I've tried generating a ...
1
vote
0answers
37 views

Choosing Optimum Sampling Frequency

There was an interesting post made by Jonathan Kinlay where he discusses the use of a Fourier Transform to discover a potentially optimum bar frequency to choose as an input to a trading system. I am ...
2
votes
1answer
111 views

Derive OIS rate from IRS rate and Fed Funds/Libor basis spread

For example I have 7Y interest rate swap rate and 7Y Fed funds/Libor basis spread. What is the step-by-step procedure to derive OIS rate from these two?
0
votes
1answer
71 views

Citable source: Why implied volatility over dollar prices

I am aware of the reasoning of quoting vanilla options as implied volatilities rather than dollar values. However, I would like to have a literature reference where this is explained, to quote / cite ...
2
votes
3answers
177 views

Analytical soluton to the Black-Scholes equation with a modified European Call Option

Please consider the following modified European Call Option where $ 0 < a \leq 1$. When $a = 1$ the modified European call option is reduced to the standard European call option. ...
1
vote
0answers
66 views

GARCH filtering and extreme value theory

We are evaluating a model for risk management based on extreme value theory using peaks over threshold and markov chain monte carlo methods. In doing this, we are firstly fitting a GARCH (we have ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

Good broad review of network modeling for quant finance?

Trying to find some good review of agent-based models for quantitative finance, covering opinion dynamics, correlated behavior, etc. Are there any articles or books that cover major advances in these ...
0
votes
1answer
86 views

When measuring autocorrelation should you use log returns or prices?

Let's say you want to measure intra day autocorrelation from 9:30 am to 1pm using 5-minute prices should you calculate the autocorrelation using raw prices or log returns (i.e. diff(log(prices)))? Can ...
2
votes
1answer
66 views

How to measure the volatility of illiquid bond with no historical prices

The basket of corporate bonds that I am following barely traded after the issuance. Hence, there is no historical data to estimate the volatility. Can you suggest me a different approach to come up ...
0
votes
1answer
161 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
1
vote
1answer
77 views

Is there any application of power law to predict large returns?

Power law basically states that after a certain threshold, probability distribution $p(x)\sim c\,x^{a}$ where $x > x_{min}$, which is often the case for financial time series. It is also generally ...
5
votes
2answers
432 views

Change periodicity on Rblpapi

So Dirk Eddelbuettel, Whit Armstrong, and John Laing released Rblpapi to CRAN recently, and it is awesome. I'm having some difficulty understanding how the overrides work though, hopefully someone can ...
1
vote
3answers
101 views

When valuing a vanilla option on an index, should we take dividend into account?

When valuing a vanilla option on an index (eg FTSE 100), should we take index dividend yield into account? $$ c=Se^{-q\tau}N\left(d_1\right)-Ke^{-r\tau}N\left(d_2\right) $$ $$ ...
0
votes
3answers
94 views

Why Jumps in Option Pricing models?

The Bates model adds a Jump process to the Underlying. I understand this may represent observed time series more realistically, but why would one care about this in option pricing? The option price ...
4
votes
3answers
144 views

market neutral weights and cash values

I am looking at a market neutral portfolio and have a question which I think is probably pretty simple. So I can see the individual stock weights. ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

Bond price in Ho-Lee Model

I know Ho-Lee model and want to extract the price at $t$, of a European call option with strike price $K$ and exercise date $T$, on an underlying $S$-bond, but I don't know what way should I choose: ...
2
votes
1answer
86 views

what are the criteria to select pairs?

I'm new to this forum, this is the first question I posted. I have many candidate pairs and I've used ADF test to make a first selection. There are more than 800 selected. The pairs are absolutely too ...
2
votes
1answer
355 views

Analytical solution for a modified Black-Scholes equation

Recently, a modified Black-Scholes equation was proposed (Zheng), namely Please consider the case when $$\sigma \left( S,t \right) =\sigma\,{S}^{k/2}$$ and with the European put option Using ...
1
vote
0answers
42 views

ROC — Output from Calculating Stock Returns Producing Lower Numbers Than Actual

I tried this on stack exchange, but think it is a better question here. I am beginning user and I need help with an error / bad output I am getting when calculating returns (using ROC) on stock ...
4
votes
2answers
179 views

Does No arbitrage(NA) imply efficient markets (EMH)?

The EMH states that stocks are traded at its fair values. This means there is no arbitrage strategy in efficient markets. However, if the market is no arbitrage, can we conclude the market is ...
5
votes
2answers
271 views

How to calibrate a volatility surface using SVI

I've read the following paper by Gatheral and Jacquier and have several question regarding the calibration of a volatility surface in a arbitrage free way and some theoretical aspects. Let me first ...
2
votes
1answer
215 views

2-step estimation of DCC GARCH model in Python

Embedded in this thread are multiple questions. I'm currently im the process of implementing a DCC GARCH forecast model on quantopian (a python-powered trading platform). The two step consists of ...
3
votes
1answer
145 views

What does the cointegration coefficient represent in pairs trading when cointegrating log stock prices?

In Pairs Trading by Vidyamurthy, on page 83 (and throughout the book), the author describes an elementary example of trading with log prices. The long run equilibrium of the basic portfolio is given ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Effects of Subprime crisis on M&A?

I was wondering, besides the drastic drop (although not that much) in the number of deals and the total value of deals between 2007 and 2008, how did the Subprime crisis affect the M&A industry? ...
2
votes
2answers
387 views

Ideas about Stochastic volatility models

I am currently working on comparing different models for modelling the volatility and then pricing vanilla options (I use option prices on real stocks in order to calibrate my models and then I ...
1
vote
2answers
37 views

Expected Utility

We know that under certainty, any increasing monotone transformation of a utility function is also a utility function representing the same preferences. Under uncertainty, we must restrict this ...
4
votes
1answer
180 views

U.S. Rate Hike Prediction

In a recent ft.com video an analyst mentioned that markets postponed their Fed rate hike expectation from September to around November 2015 due to the CNY devaluation, based on the "shift" of some ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Is the stock price process a martingale or a random walk in efficient markets?

What is the difference between RWH and EMH? In efficient market, the price will be fully reflected by available information. If there is no news, the price would be unchanged. If there is a news, ...
11
votes
1answer
337 views

What mathematical models did Harry Markopolos run to prove that Bernie Madoff 1% a month gain was a Ponzi scheme?

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/the-man-who-figured-out-madoffs-scheme-27-02-2009/ Asked how long it took him to figure out something was wrong, Markopolos said, "It took me five minutes to know ...
2
votes
0answers
34 views

Future value of the debt under Merton model

The author Malz states the future value of the firm's debt under the Merton model can be found from: $$ D_{t} = D - \max(D - A_{t} , 0) $$ (where $D$ is the par value of the debt, $A_{t}$ is the ...
1
vote
0answers
57 views

GARCH estimation does not work, error in my returns?

Hey everyone and I hope that there are some smarter people out here that can help me out with my problem...: I have trouble with my implementation of a GARCH(1,1) model and I do not know how to move ...
1
vote
1answer
19 views

Where do Over-allotment (Greenshoe) option shares come from?

I'm just wondering, if following an IPO the share price goes up and the underwriter calls the option, where do those extra 15% shares come from? Does the company have to issue more stock to cover the ...
1
vote
1answer
99 views

Option writing optimal sell time

When selling options, e.g. a straddle I read often the optimal time for selling options is 30-40 days until expiration. For me intuitively the optimal time would be around one week until expiration ...
2
votes
0answers
46 views

Return.portfolio error from PerformanceAnalytics package

When using the PerformanceAnalytics package of R, I am getting an error from the Return.portfolio function whenever I ask it to rebalance_on any frequency. If the rebalance parameter is removed, the ...
4
votes
1answer
294 views

Measuring momentum as AR(1) process

I would like to measure the momentum in the price of a stock from the time the market opens until the time I trade each day. I want to use this momentum number in post-trade analysis (regression of ...
0
votes
1answer
220 views

Realized Volatility vs. Standard deviation of log returns

I am interested in calculating high frequency 5-minute intraday volatility. I am going to use the standard Realized volatility which is the square root of the sum of squared log returns. Given X is ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

optimal look back period for cointegration analysis on daily prices

I'm running some cointegration tests on 2 stock pairs and was wondering, generally speaking, what would be the optimal look back period to test considering I am using daily prices and the average ...
0
votes
1answer
60 views

Why does increased stock borrow costs decrease a stock's forward price?

The author in this article -- http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=7294 -- states that an increase in stock borrowing costs decreases a stock's forward price: In the absence of manipulation, the ...
1
vote
0answers
55 views

Financial theory

Ok guys, I'm studying from Danthine and Donaldson - Intermediate Financial Theory. The book itself doesn't have a lot of worked examples, and I'm lacking the basics for understanding some concepts ...

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