1
vote
2answers
762 views

Delta Neutral / Gamma Neutral Positions

I've been trying to find out more about options positions which are both delta neutral and gamma neutral--created with some kind of calendar spread. Supposedly, such a trade will be perfectly hedged ...
0
votes
1answer
119 views

How to backtest the VaR model?

I have a sorted historical P&L vector of 250 days and say, I want to calculate the 90% VaR on this distribution. I will look for the 225 element (90% * 250 = 225) and this will be my Value at ...
2
votes
2answers
430 views

An alternative to the Gaussian distribution to describe/fit market stock returns

After the financial crisis in 2008, many people (including me) don't really believe that stock returns can be described in terms of the normal distribution (Gaussian distribution). But besides the ...
0
votes
0answers
140 views

Copula Value At Risk

Let's suppose I have two asset in my portfolio. I want to compute Copula Value At Risk. Can you help me? This is the code I wrote: ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Gibson & Schwartz (1190) - Time series empirical properties and Stochastic Process assumed

Gibson and Scwhartz in their paper "Stochastic convenience yield and the pricing of oil contingent claims" assume a log normal process for the spot price. They later claim to justify this process ...
3
votes
1answer
138 views

Practical implementation of Least Squares Monte Carlo (tweaks and pittfalls)

The Longstaff-Schwartz LSM approach is nowadays ubiquitous(at least in the academic literature) in pricing path dependant derivatives. Up to now I have mostly worked with lattice methods. My ...
1
vote
1answer
261 views

Markit PMI vs ISM PMI

What is the difference between the Markit Manufacturing PMI and the ISM Manufacturing PMI? The monthly number differs a lot, my understanding is that they are trying to indicate the same thing.
3
votes
1answer
434 views

Can the duration of a bond be greater than Time to Maturity

In the case of a vanilla bond I know that the duration will be less than the time to maturity. But I am observing that for a non-vanilla bond, the duration is greater than time to maturity. Can ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

Rationale behind formula for pivot point calculation

Is there any objective rationale or mathematical reasoning behind the following formula for pivot points and intra day support and resistance levels? What are the underlying assumptions for the ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

Where can i find financial data of CDO's starting from 1996

I'm searching for financial information on CDO's from 1996. These infos should include: Collateral,Type (RMBS, CMBS, CDO2, CLO, ABS,etc.) their course, Underlying, Rating, duration,year,and interest ...
0
votes
2answers
125 views

How to obtain specific information on FX trading systems?

I'm trying to compare trading venues using a quantitative product selection matrix (and eventually software vendors using a different matrix specifically for vendors), and I was wondering if anyone ...
4
votes
1answer
65 views

Linear-Boundary Crossing Problem for Brownian Motion

This is a question I came across while reading: $W = (W_t)_{t\geq{0}}$ is a standard BM. Let $\mu\in \mathbb{R}$, and let $\tau_{a}^{\mu}$ = $\inf(t>0;W_t = a + \mu{t})$ be the first passage time ...
1
vote
0answers
63 views

Fitting a sigmoid function to incomplete, structured, data

I have an incomplete data set that looks like this: and I believe that it will continue to form a sigmoid-like shape. How can fit a sigmoid curve to this data given my assumption about what the ...
1
vote
0answers
67 views

Sampling and/or asymptotic distribution of a function

Assume we have the following function: $$f(p) = \frac{1}{(1-p)d}\ln\left(\frac{1}{T}\sum_{t=1}^{T}\left[\frac{1+X_t}{1+Y_t} \right]^{1-p} \right)$$ where $d$ is a constant $T$ is a constant $X_t$ ...
3
votes
2answers
803 views

Free and tested optimization, statistical and visualization packages for C#

I am about to implement a variation of the LIBOR-Market-Model (complete with Least-Square-Montecarlo, calibration, pricing etc.) and decided to implement it in C#. The implementation will involve ...
1
vote
1answer
229 views

Pre-trade evaluation and risk assessment of option trading strategies (in market practice)

When a trader gets conclusion of the volatility is being underestimated (via volatility cone or some other technology), actually there are multiple ways for his trading. (Let's assume the underlying ...
3
votes
1answer
97 views

Beta and the Assumption of IID Returns

For two stocks that are independent and identically distributed (iid), do they have the same beta? Does the number of data points matter?
0
votes
0answers
94 views

How to calculate modeled asset volatility by industry factor?

Currently I am working with huge data frame which consists of a lot firms. For each firm in my sample I calculated asset volatility ( I am using Merton default probability model, so I have used 2 ...
0
votes
0answers
74 views

Modeling the Option Volatility Skew

The volatility skew often changes based on multiple factors, such as moneyness of the option, time to expiration, movement in the underlying instrument, etc.. How does one best model the skew? Is ...
2
votes
0answers
48 views

Forecasting amount of slippage in executing option spreads

Is there a good quantitative model to estimate how much slippage is required to execute a particular option spread trade? For example, let's say you want to execute an Iron Condor. Given X, Y, Z ...
0
votes
1answer
472 views

Asset-or-nothing Option Valuation in the Black and Scholes model

In standard Black-Scholes Model, compute the price of an asset-or-nothing put and asset-or-nothing call options. Write down the put-call parity relation between the asset-or-nothing call and put ...
2
votes
0answers
58 views

The concept of an incomplete market

While skeeming the relevant literature and web-sites I noticed that mostly the concept of the incomplete market is reduced to the following statement "A market is incomplete if there are more ...
5
votes
2answers
237 views

Algorithmical replication of a profit and loss function using different options

I often see questions like "Given this payoff graph (example below), construct a portfolio that replicates it." I want to know if there is an efficient method/algorithm to find the individual pieces ...
3
votes
2answers
119 views

Effect of interest rate on options prices

This might be another basic derivatives question. When interest rate rises, stock prices generally fall. Assuming an option's underlying is a stock, this should lower the option's price as well. ...
15
votes
3answers
1k views

What is the necessary level of Econometrics-Know-How for a quant

It seems quants increasingly use econometric models at work. As someone who has sold his soul to probability theory and stochastical analysis I would like to catch up. What are the econometric tools ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

URL with SEC data

Do you know a URL where i can find the CIK of a listed company PLUS ON THE SAME URL the filing dates of 10-Q or 10-K documents? So i can create this url ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

how to collect tips amount during GDP calculation?

Let's say Tom had lunch in a restaurant and paid \$50 for the bill, he also give waitress Mary \$5 as tip. \$50 would be calculated as the service industry while calculating GDP, there's bills to ...
2
votes
1answer
120 views

Best practice approach for calculating the PE-ratio

I am trying to calculate the historical PE ratios of a stock, but which date should I use to get the stock price in calculating the PE ratio? My current approach is to use the stock price of a day ...
4
votes
2answers
331 views

Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap

I'm trying to build an intuitive understanding of the following $\textit{The price of the replicating portfolio at time $t$ of the floating rate receiver is}$ ...
1
vote
1answer
181 views

How to hedge a forward contract

I was asked this in an interview and I messed it up lol. This might actually be really basic. Let's say I signed a forward contract to buy NASDAQ at 4000 one year from now. How can I hedge this cash ...
1
vote
2answers
1k views

Sharpe Ratio, annualized monthly returns vs annual returns vs annual rolling returns?

I would like to calculate the Yearly Sharpe Ratio on MSCI World index I have monthly values of the index that falls back up to Jan/1970, hence about: 44 years, 528 months In order to calculate ...
3
votes
1answer
174 views

What return equation is Engle referring to in his Nobel lecture?

Engle comments in "Risk and Volatility: Econometric models and Financial Practice" that If the price of risk were constant over time, then rising conditional variances would translate linearly ...
1
vote
0answers
145 views

What's the link between EURIBOR3M futures volatility and rates volatility?

If I am not wrong, EURIBOR3M futures with maturity $T$, whose price is $F_{T}$, are quoted like contracts which express the underlying forward rates, $r_{T}$, as $$r_{T}=\frac{100-F_{T}}{100}$$ Now ...
2
votes
0answers
62 views

Triangular Arbitrage formula [closed]

i have 3 currencies AUD, USD and EU I am trying to work out the mathematical formula to work out if there is a spread/arbitrage opportunity as well as the maximum amount that can be conducted ( for ...
2
votes
1answer
58 views

How come the existence of ARCH effect is not a violation of Random Walk Hypothesis 3?

An ARCH (autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) (1) model is: $r_t=\mu +a_t$, where $a_t=$return residual, and $\mu$ is the drift of the stock return $a_t=\sigma_t\epsilon_t$, where ...
0
votes
0answers
63 views

What is the arbitrage opportunity in Arrow-Debreu One Period market Model

The one period market model is made of 4 securities(A, B, C, D) and has 4 future states. Assume the market model is complete. and the state prices are (-2, 2, 4, 8). Given that I dont know the payoff ...
1
vote
2answers
292 views

Bloomberg Alternative for Quant Fund

Is there an alternative to Bloomberg for someone who only needs historical data (stocks, futures, indices) as well as what Bloomberg calls 'reference data' - i.e. what is the multiplier of ESU4, what ...
1
vote
2answers
203 views

Reading XBRL Data from the SEC FTP SITE

After I ftp into the SEC Edgar site (ftp.sec.gov) I am able to pull the appropriate financial statements (i.e., 10-k, 10-q, 8-k, etc.) onto my local computer. However, when I go to open these files, I ...
0
votes
1answer
39 views

What is shorting a asset that has negative price. Can anyone give me an example? [closed]

What is shorting a asset that has negative price. Can anyone give me an example?
3
votes
1answer
84 views

Time-Varying Volatility and Conditional Likelihood

Engle's comment in his seminal paper "Risk and Volatility: Econometric models and Financial Practice" mentions that I had recently worked extensively with the Kalman Filter and knew that a ...
1
vote
0answers
42 views

How do bond futures affect effective rate when used to hedge a bond's duration?

I'm trying to wrap my head around what happens to the net interest received when an invester goes short a bond future to fully hedge the duration of his long position in an actual bond. Does it ...
0
votes
1answer
354 views

S&P's Sovereign Ratings: Clarification on Definitions and Symbols

Similar to a question I asked earlier on, but I am now looking at S&P's sovereign ratings. Here, as in the case of Moody's, a few things are unclear to me in terms of the definitions used by ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

swaps valuation

I am asked to solve the marking to market value(MtM) of a swap, unfortunely i´m having big troubles finding the solution, it´s a 5.5% (vs. LIBOR) 10-year swap, The notional is 500 mio USD and LIBOR ...
2
votes
1answer
219 views

Moody's Sovereign Ratings: Clarification on Definitions and Symbols

I'm working with sovereign ratings at present. With regard to Moody's there are a few things unclear to me in their definitions. Both questions refer to the sovereign rating history in Bloomberg CSDR ...
0
votes
0answers
44 views

Transaction costs of lending and borrowing

What are the transaction costs of lending and borrowing? How financial intermediaries reduce transaction costs of lending and how they reduce costs of borrowing? Thank you!
9
votes
3answers
2k views

Is there an intuitive explanation for the Feynman-Kac-Theorem?

The Feynman-Kac theorem states that for an Ito-process of the form $$dX_t = \mu(t, X_t)dt + \sigma(t, X_t)dW_t$$ there is a measurable function $g$ such that $$g_t(t,x) + g_x(t, x) \mu(t,x) + ...
2
votes
0answers
168 views

Does Bakshi, Kapadia and Madan (2003) VIX building approach underestimate volatility?

From a paper that shortly addresses an alternative approach to VIX-like index building: To test this approach, I've built a fake book of B&S options with constant volatility equal to ...
2
votes
0answers
82 views

Derivation of variance of Zhou (1996) volatility estimator

Does anyone know how to derive the Variance of Bin Zhou's volatility estimator (Theorem 1) in 'High-Frequency Data and Volatility in Foreign-Exchange Rates' (1996) Zhou 1996 Any help would be ...
3
votes
1answer
95 views

Minimum Variance Hedge Ratio in Binomial Framework

In order to find the minimum variance hedge ratio when holding a portfolio of vanilla call options and hedging with stock, you can do an OLS regression. In a binomial model framework, given ...
0
votes
1answer
78 views

Pricing options with two assets

I'm studying for a test and am stuck on this practice question: With interest rates equal to 0, two different stocks $S_1$ and $S_2$, both valued at \$1 today, can be worth \$2 or \$0.50 at some ...

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