0
votes
0answers
134 views

Black-Litterman with simple portfolio

In an attempt to learn Black-Litterman I have come across this "simple" example. Suppose that you analyze market data using CAPM $$r_i-r_f=\beta_i(r_m-r_f)+\epsilon_i$$ Suppose there are 2 assets in ...
1
vote
2answers
119 views

swaption model for forward swap rate

I have another question about interest rates. In this case it is about swaption and how to come up with a pricing formula. For the rest of my question I use the notation from Brigo. The payoff of a ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

How can we write swap as a chain of FRA's

For the rest of my question I use the notation from Brigo. The discounted payoff of a receiver interest rate swap (RFS) at $t<T_{\alpha}$, where $T_{\alpha}$ is the first resetting date, is given ...
2
votes
1answer
42 views

Which anomalies are easy to replicate in an event study?

In order to examine different approaches to event studies, I am looking for a market anomaly which is simple to replicate in an event study for demonstration purposes. For example, ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

How do I specify Thirty360::European day counter in RQuantLib

I am taking liberty to ask the following question in quantLib forum though this question is about RQuantLib I am trying to use RQuantLib to calculate clean price of a fixed coupon bond using a ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

Comparing the return of different roll strategies

I am interested in calculating the effect of the roll return using different roll strategies. In specific I want to mimic a long-only futures investments. I have historical data for several ...
3
votes
1answer
188 views

Do you have a validation set for Libor Market Model implementation?

I'm trying to calibrate a Libor Market Model (LMM) in Matlab with my user-defined function, not their package. I already fitted the market volatilities using SABR but failed to simulate the ...
1
vote
0answers
101 views

Are there any software libraries for backtesting FX algorithms against tick data?

I've read question, however it doesn't appear as if any of those libraries work for FX data. A Google search for python forex backtesting turns up this project, ...
0
votes
1answer
85 views

Historical Data - Free Sources in 2015? [duplicate]

I've found some free sources for stock historical data but none that aren't broken links or give me quite what I need. I want... For NASDAQ, S&P 500, DJIA: Historical data for the past 5 years ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Forecasting bond yields

Do you know any models which can be used for prediction of corporate bonds yields (or goverment bonds yields) when we know forecasts of macroeconomic fundamentals (gdp, fed funds rate, interbank rate, ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

Calculation of physical and risk neutral density using index options

I am asking professionals for a help. There have already been the post Data Selection for Empirical Pricing Kernel Estimation (Stochastic Discount Factor) from Finance_Newbie. But I am wondering ...
2
votes
1answer
190 views

Why Markov Functional Models (Hunt 2000) are not yet so popular?

I refer to MFM introduced by Hunt [2000]. These models can be seen a subset of interest rate market models. MFM allow us to describe the term structure elements using a set a functions of a ...
1
vote
0answers
41 views

Should I use a correlation coefficient formula or a multiple regression formula?

I have an assignment dealing with the stock market and I'm a little lost. My instructions are to come up a method to create a score for a stock then compare the score against what the stock actually ...
4
votes
1answer
71 views

Term structure of default probabilities without market data

With the forthcoming new regulations, IFRS9, financial institutions will be required to model life time expected credit losses. Consequently, it is necessary to model the term structure of default ...
1
vote
2answers
160 views

Why is the price of a call option with $K=0$ equal to the price of the stock $S_0$?

In a case of a call option with strike $K=0$, then payoff at expiration time $T$ is equal to: $$(S_T-0,0)^{+}=S_T$$ In reality the price of the option on the date of maturity is never equal to the ...
2
votes
1answer
232 views

API for after and pre market data

Is there an API or APIs similar to the Yahoo! or Quandl APIs, that give the same access to pre and after market data? I know I can scrape the Nasdaq or Yahoo! Finance sites to get a pre/after market ...
2
votes
1answer
172 views

Some questions about implied volatilities and how to generate theoretical prices when market prices are not available

I am building a little Excel file that take some option prices in input and plots the volatility smile/surface. I have a script that reads market prices from the option chain for 3 different ...
1
vote
1answer
81 views

What does NPV ASSENTED after stock name mean?

For a project, I have to quantitatively implement a strategy for value investing in EURO STOXX 50. I pulled the data from Datastream. When I was checking some data plots for dividend yields and total ...
2
votes
1answer
90 views

Price an option whose strike price is always lower than the future price of the security

Suppose it is known that the price of a certain security after one period will be one of the $m$ values $s_1,\ldots,s_m$. What should be the cost of an option to purchase the security at time $1$ for ...
2
votes
1answer
207 views

Commonly used vol surface calibration model in the industry

I have 2 questions: What is the most commonly used equity option pricing model? I learned jump diffusion at school, read about Hensen and a few other models online. I am actually only calibrating ...
0
votes
1answer
197 views

Gamma and delta P&L example question

I'm trying to get a basic understanding of this example delta ladder ...
2
votes
0answers
52 views

Market price of volatility risk

Reading Gatheral's The volatility surface, page 7. The model they are talking about is ...
-1
votes
1answer
113 views

Equall Risk Contribution and The Most Diversified Portfolio [closed]

I am a master degree student on applied economics at Brazil and my thesis will be about smart beta strategies. I pretend to apply Equal Weigth, Mininum Variance, Most Diversified Portfolio and Equal ...
5
votes
2answers
285 views

Black-Scholes formula with deterministic discrete dividend (Musiela approach)

For deterministic discrete dividend, there are two approach Musiela approach, works when every dividend are paid at maturity of the option. Hull approach, works when every dividend are paid ...
2
votes
2answers
116 views

Using Financial Ratios to get credit rating or PD

Hello I'm looking for papers, aside from ones that use CDS spreads, about credit rating development or estimating default probability based on financial ratios that also include methodology and maybe ...
3
votes
1answer
159 views

Continuity of Black-Scholes formula

How to proof B&S pricing formula is continuous in time $t$ (or it is not?). The general pricing formula is $$ C_t = e^{-r(T-t)} \mathbb{E}^*[(S_T-K)^+ | \mathcal{F}_t] \hspace{1cm} 0\leq t\leq T ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

How to estimate portfolio value in money as function of spread

I'm a beginer in field of quant algos, so sorry for my lame question. I'm trying to calculate portfolio value of 2 currencies in basic stat arb strategy as function of spread change. But my value in ...
0
votes
0answers
74 views

How to calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability

I would calculate Probability of Default from Survival Probability. I want to know how they are related. This is how I think they are related: ...
0
votes
1answer
128 views

Feature Selection Effect on Deep Multi-Layer-Perceptron for Financial Applications

I am trying to build a machine learning system for financial price prediction. I am using a 3 layer MLP (a deep network) with 3 outputs (buy,hold,sell). I am using different features such as price ...
0
votes
1answer
114 views

Chart Correlation warnings

when I run chart.Correlation I get a series of warnings. I get the identical warnings with chart.Correlation(managers[,1:2],method="pearson") Here is a short sample: ...
0
votes
1answer
45 views

Risk free rate for Performance Analytics

In [R] one can pass either a vector or scalar as the risk free rate. What is better? If I pass a vector to (for example) chart.riskreturnscatter then the sharpe ratio lines disappear. ...
0
votes
1answer
363 views

Principal Component Analysis and Yield Curves

I've been tasked with researching trading strategies relating PCA to trading fixed income futures instruments. Apparently PCA is frequently used in this area. I'm just looking for some references for ...
2
votes
1answer
91 views

CIR model: is the short rate really non-central $\chi^2$ distributed?

Probably simple question. Consider the CIR (1985) model for interest rates $$ dr = k(\theta - r)dt + \sigma \sqrt{r}dz $$ Then it is known in closed form the conditional pdf $f(r(s),s|r(t),t)$ ($s ...
0
votes
3answers
210 views

Research methodology of systematic strategies

Can someone please share your research methodology of systematic trading strategies? I feel like I am always using the a same data driven procedures over different underlyings and would like to get ...
1
vote
1answer
523 views

Black Scholes formula with continuous dividend paying stock

I am reading the part of constructing B&S price for stock paying dividends. The simplest model used continuous yield dividend. But I can not see that rigorous in term of formulations. Firstly, ...
1
vote
0answers
224 views

Cointegration Test: Residual is stationary but not random?

I am testing cointegration relationship on various pairs of stocks by this following these steps. Test for I(1) on a pair of stocks, says X and Y, using Dickey-Fuller test. If both time series are ...
0
votes
3answers
222 views

Parametric/Analytical VaR

Suppose I want to calculate VaR for a known distribution with mean $\mu$, variance $\sigma^2$ and $\alpha$-quantile as, $VaR_{\alpha}$ = $\mu + \sigma q_{\alpha}$. For a Gaussian distribution it is ...
0
votes
1answer
178 views

Gamma is always positive on both put and call

I recently met the claim that for standard put and calls the gamma of the options are always positive. Is this a general result? I am hoping not to assume any model, especially not Black-Scholes.
0
votes
2answers
147 views

Investment: Bond vs Equity

I was talking to a friend recently and he asked me the following question. If I have a device which perfectly (with 100% accuracy) predicts that both a bond (e.g. AAA rated government bond) and the ...
1
vote
1answer
184 views

Can a null be inconclusive? [closed]

My Null for the T-test is h0: -tcritical < Tstat < +tcritical I require confidence level of 95%. If my empirical result satisfies the null, but not my p-value requirements, does this mean ...
1
vote
2answers
621 views

Bloomberg Libor Rates

I load swap rates data from Bloomberg in excel using the command =BDH(Ticker,"Px Last",Start_Date,End_Date,"Dts",FALSE) The tickers I use are "USSW1 Curncy", ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

Value of an option to exchange an asset for another

I'm working out the examples in the paper "Changes of Numeraire, Changes of Probability Measure and Option Pricing", corollary 3. An option of exchanging asset 2 against asset 1 at time T, its time-0 ...
2
votes
3answers
201 views

Ran multivariate linear regression, checked normal probability plot, residuals are not normal. What can I do?

One of the required assumptions for multiple linear regression is that residuals are normally distributed, correct? After running my regression, my normal probability plot is showing the typical ...
3
votes
0answers
286 views

Portfolio Optimization with Monte Carlo Simulation - How to do it with Excel?

If I have three asset classes and their historical weekly returns for five years, how can I construct a minimum variance portfolio and an efficient frontier plot with Excel? To do that do I have to ...
3
votes
2answers
237 views

How can an inverted yield curve in a liquid market exist?

Take a liquid market like US T-bills, notes and bonds... Who would want a long-term security that yielded less than the short? Even if someone is a long-term lender, why wouldn't they hold the ...
2
votes
2answers
178 views

How to compute the VaR for European Call, using the delta-normal method?

I have a European call option with current stock price $S_0$, strike $K$, risk-free rate $r$, volatility $\sigma$, and time to maturity $T$ years. I assume that the stock price at time $t$, which is ...
3
votes
1answer
147 views

Black-Litterman example

I'm trying to learn Black-Litterman. I feel like I get the overall idea from books like Risk and Asset Allocation by Meucci as well as some of the early papers which develop the model. What I would ...
2
votes
2answers
177 views

Does unit root stationary imply mean stationary and variance stationary?

Newbie question. I am reading about stationary series and understand that it has many forms: mean stationary variance stationary covariance stationary My question is does unit root stationary ...
2
votes
1answer
405 views

Effect of time to maturity on european put option

Let $C(K,T,S_0)$ denote the price of an European call option with strike K and maturity T on underlying price $S_0$. Assume interest rate $r>0$. Then of course $C(K,T,S_0) \geq 0$ and $C(K,T,S_0) ...
3
votes
2answers
282 views

Scan for chart patterns software

Is there any software out there that currently would allow you to scan historical charts and look for a specific pattern and then show you that pattern for a list of stocks. Google finance and yahoo ...

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