# All Questions

381 views

### Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is "...
63 views

### Futures Contracts, Rollover, Offsets

I was reading Trading Commodities and Financial Futures by Kleinman, I saw this excerpt: When you buy or sell a futures contract, you don’t actually sign a contract drawn up by a lawyer. Instead,...
90 views

### Prove arbitrage opportunity

The continuously compounded interest rate is $r$. The current price of the underlying asset is $S(0)$ and the forward price with delivery time in 1 year is $F(0,1)$. Short selling of the stock ...
40 views

### Regularity requirement for convergence of Euler scheme for stochastic integral?

Let $S_t$ be follow Black Scholes, then I am interesting in simulating the process $\int ^t _0 e^{-rt}1_{\{S_t\leq K\}}dS_t$ which is like a naive hedge of a European put, which does not work in ...
211 views

### How to derive Black's formula for the valuation of an option on a future?

I've got a question about 1976 Black Model and Bachelier model. I know that a geometric brownian motion in the P measure $dS_{t}=\mu S_{t}dt+\sigma S_{t} dW_{t}^{P}$ for a stock price $S_{t}$ leads (...
119 views

### Geometric Brownian Motion: d(S) vs. d(ln(S))

I am quoting from "Tools for Computational Finance, 5th Edition" [Seydel]. I wonder whether the histogram of simulations of the first (yellow) SDE makes sense... especially given that Seydel (...
76 views

### Dickey Fuller test of stationarity differenced data

In this case study on treasury yeilds from MIT, I have a question on page 11-12. He uses this data getYahooData("^TNX", start=20000101, end=20130531) His logic on page 11 is this "only daily ...
9k views

### Time-series similarity measures

Suppose I have two time series $X$ and $Y$ of stock prices. How do I measure the "similarity" of $X$ and $Y$? (I'm being deliberately vague as I don't have a particular application, and I'm curious ...
234 views

### What are the canonical global-macro investing books?

What is a good reading list for Global Macro investing? What does Bridgewater, Bervan Howard, Soros, AQR etc. use to teach their staff about macroeconomic investing? Let us assume a top-class ...
89 views

### Forecasting sales from balance sheet data

I have got a database with balance sheet and income statement data of 150.000 firms for the period 1995-2014. I need to get a good forecast of each firm's sales. As exogenous variables I can use the ...
2k views

### Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
110 views

### Modelling and forecasting mixed frequency financial data

I was wondering if someone could provide some guidance to me. I would like to Combine various financial data of mixed frequencies (some daily, weekly, some quarterly) to a composite index. I have ...
65 views

### Error when trying to estimate a Markov-switching Var model in R

I'm trying to estimate a Markov-switching VAR in R using the command msvar. These are the first 10 entries of my two time series. I have 798. When I try to run this I get an Error message ...
105 views

### Mixing Portfolio Strategies

Given a set of $N$ assets, the amount of strategies proposed in literature to diversify the investors wealth in order to find the 'optimal' portfolio is overwhelming. However, for example DeMiguel et ...
67 views

### Business cycles and missing data

For many probability of defaults models in credit risk it is needed to use data observed from a "full" business cycles. Usually a business cycle is defined as a recurring (not necessarily periodic) ...
226 views

### Covariance estimation: shrinkage, random matrix theory, what else?

Shrinkage was much en-vogue before random matrix theory (RMT) took everybody's attention in covariance matrix estimation, however the latter also showed its limits. A plethora of other estimators has ...
35 views

36 views

### Exponentially weighted random matrix - which variance should I use?

I am currently playing around with exponentially weighted correlation matrices and filtering based on Random Matrix Theory. However, there is one thing I am not really sure about: In the equation ...
65 views

### Historical Scenario analysis for stress testing

I am doing historical scenario analysis in order to calculate stressed VAR for which I have taken 2007-2008 US crisis. I have two question in this regard:- 1) As we have to take prices for stocks ...
84 views

I already asked this yesterday at "Economics Stack Exchange" but think this question might be better suited here. In the meantime i really tried to solve it by myself, but couldn't find anything what ...
89 views

### how to calculate RMSE, MAE, given ugarchforecast results?

Given S&P500 returns for the past 20 years I fitted an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model using the rugarch package, so using ugarchspec() and the ugarchfit(), with different innovations distributions, i....
57 views

### Linear Regession 3 methods different results

Morning, So I use a package called Ninja Trader that has a linear regression method, I have also written my own method and compared the results to excels linear regression method. All three are ...
45 views

### Trying to calculate WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) for this (small) data set

I've attached the data set I'm working with to this post. I'm trying to calculate the WACC using this data. I found a formula here: http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/063014/what-formula-...
39 views

### How to solve this system of ODEs?

Im trying to replicate the procedure of the Hackbarth et al. 2006 paper. Im trying to solve the ODEs (12) and (13) on page 525 in the paper, following the solution by the authors given in appendix A. ...
18k views

### What open source trading platform are available

I would like to compile a list of open source trading platforms. Something that would give an overview and comparison of different architectures and approaches.
133 views

### Which studies should be replicated?

In psychology voting on which studies should be replicated is established on a website. For economics, including financial economics, the ReplicationWiki (that I founded) offers a voting option but it ...
53 views

### Java platform/lib widely use in industry

I am currently switching from Java dev to quant and for my self-study I want to code a few auto-trading algorithms to get my hands on the subject. Are there any must know platforms/libs that I should ...
60 views

### How to convert bond options strikes to future prices

CME, 10 year Note Call Strike 1300 How to convert this strike to future price? (today's open at 131'100) For example we can take current prices EOD data for example chart on CMEgroup: http://www....
522 views

### Why do institutions backtest?

I see that institutions still use backtesting by computing P&Ls over historical data and then compute some aggregating ratios to see whether a trading strategy is good or not even though it is not ...