All Questions

106 views

Can someone explain to me what's snell envelope?

What is snell intuitively? And what is its use in quantitative finance? Please explain to me as intuitive as possible! As I explained in the comments, I am new to this field and I was hoping someone ...
53 views

Calculating probability of default with no recovery

Given two methods to calculate the 1 year conditional probability of default of a zero coupon bond, I've come up with slightly different but close results. From my approaches below, is it reasonable ...
25 views

Constrained portfolio optimization - orthogonalize factor exposure

I am optimizing a stock portfolio with a few factors. If I constraint exposure to one of the factors to be a constant and set the exposure to other factors as zero. It is ok to use a diagonal factor ...
112 views

what is exercise frontier in option pricing

What's exercise frontier in option pricing? It kept popping up but I was never fully introduced to the concept. Follow up question: And is the optimal exercise time the first time the option is ...
14 views

Min-VAR portfolio construction in a universe of dividend stocks - choosing the observation period

The portfolio construction method of min-variance and similar concepts were discussed quite heavily in the recent past (see for example Thierry Roncalli's page). Over long horzon's we see ...
32 views

I'm newbie for quantitative & systematic trading, and I've read only the books of Howard Bandy & Robert Prado that suggest to do validation by Walk-forward, Monte Carlo and CDF. As my topic, ...
35 views

Efficient construction of binomial tree

The goal is to build a $n$ step binomial tree knowing the end nodal probabibilities $p_1, \dots, p_m$, which correspond to the time $T$ states $S_1, \dots, S_m$. We assume that all paths ending in the ...
11 views

where can I find OPRA data? [duplicate]

Where can I find OPRA data. Here are a few criteria 1. Preferably free or for a small price 2. Supports quant api on cloud (so I dont number crunch on my computer) 3. Good reputation company
94 views

Bond Prices in terms of short and forward rates

Of course, a pure discount bond price $P(t,T)$ may be stated in terms of its yield $R(t,T)$ as $$P(t,T) = e^{-R(t,T)(T-t)}.$$ Let's assume both the (instantaneous) short rate $r(t)$ and ...
102 views

How to get to this answer on Macauley duration?

Can you explain why the answer to the following question is approximately 4.5%: An investor buys a bond that has a Macaulay duration of 3.0 and a yield to maturity of 4.5%. The investor plans to ...
80 views

Adding Asset Weights To Cholesky Output - Monte Carlo in VBA

I am looking to create a Monte Carlo generator in Excel to plot correlated asset paths for a portfolio containing 1 to 10 assets. I have the correlation matrix for all 10 assets and have performed the ...
244 views

Best known performance of stock prediction algorithms

I asked this question here and was directed to answer it on this stack exchange. My question is very simple. What is the best [known] performance of a stock prediction algorithm? I've seen papers ...
24 views

Is there any research for CoCo-Bond in a two factor model?

Basically I am trying to price CoCo-Bond with the AT1P from Brigo. But in the end this isn´t a two factor model. Is there any concret research about this topic? Kind regards, WLS
38 views

Moving Averages Crossover question

I'm reading on Investopedia that one should buy a stock if short term moving average is ABOVE the long term moving average, since this "indicates an upward trend". However, this is not intuitive to ...
185 views

Clever ways of “summarising” the equity fund universe

I am trying to get some advice or direction (brainstorm) as to the best way to summarise/cluster/etc. the equity fund universe (which for my purposes consists of about 150 funds). Some of my ideas at ...
19 views

79 views

Triangular Arbitrage with CFD

I cannot understand how the triangular arbitrage fits with CFD. Assuming there is an arbitrage opportunity: EUR/USD < USD/GBP * GBP/EUR If I do this strategy: 1 Long on EUR/USD at Ask price 1 ...
210 views

What is the preferred GARCH method in practice?

My advance apologies, if this question is too naive or basic. Please be patient with my first experiences with SE; ask for clarification, if needed. I recognize there are many (often-criticized) ...
41 views

Motivation for hedging volatility using VIX ETNs

i wondered what the motivation for professional investors could be to engage in VIX ETNs. Would they even think about trading this kind of product? (they normally should have access to VIX options, ...
64 views

Call and Put Prices Equal at Forward Price - Why?

Consider a European call and put with values $C_t$ and $P_t$, respectively, under the Black-Scholes model. By put-call parity, $$C_t - P_t = S_t - Ke^{-r(T-t)}$$ for expiration time $T$. Note if ...
41 views

We use full valuation of derivatives portfolios using scenarios from historical data. For simple contracts, this is relatively fast. For contracts requiring monte carlo simulation, this becomes ...
34 views

Lambda in RiskMetrics for fixed income

What is the default lambda proposed in RiskMetrics for fixed income?
19 views

Stochastic correlation arbitrage-free replication

I'm interested in possibility of stochastic correlation arbitrage-free replication (something VIX-style, mayby). To my knowledge, no such method exists. Could you provide some intro to the problem: ...
61 views

Behaviour of out of sample efficient frontier

I am comparing the efficient frontier of a set of portfolios that are in and out of sample. The first period is from 1991-01-03 until 1992-10-03 and the second one from 1992-10-03 until 1994-03-03. I ...
48 views

simulation and timestep

Suppose I have a stochastic process i.e. a Vasicek process with parameteres estimated with monthly (RW measure) data and want simulate the process using a daily timestep. Is this a good practice?
15 views

Scalar and vectorial sensitivities

In a recent discussion about the implementation of the calculation of derivative sensitivities, the notion 'scalar' and 'vectorial sensitivities' were used. I am not familiar with this notion and ...
107 views

Currency risk USD>EUR>EGP

Seeking input on hedging risk on USD to Euro with a 3rd component of payroll issued in Egyptian Pounds. We are a US corp invoicing a Germany entity in Euro with massive payroll being paid in Egyptian ...
95 views

Delta of an option derived from the binomial model

I have the following function $V=V(S,t)$, $V^- = V(vS,t+\delta t)$, $V^+ = V(uS, t +\delta t)$. The book proceeds to explain that if we use Taylor series expansion on the above we will confirm that ...
20 views

Selling two uncorrelated OTM options lowers the over all probability of profit?

I am trying to simulate shorting two uncorrelated put options, I wrote a python program and used monte carlo method to simulate the PnL on expiration: gist It seems the probability of profit is ...
22 views

VaR mapping fixed-for-floating swap

I came across a problem that asks what risk factors to map a 5 year semi annual settle fixed-for-floating swap to given it's just before the reset date. Since a FRN prices to par just before the reset ...
24 views

Portfolio value containing stocks and a bond

Consider: 1000 dollars invested in stock portfolio and a zero coupon bond. Investment period: 30 years Yearly retur for the stock portfolio: Rk = eµ+σZk , k is after year k Zk are normally ...
142 views

delta hedging strategy for OTM option

Wondering how you would think about the following thought experiment - suppose you sell an OTM call option and plan to implement a delta hedging strategy whereby if the price of the stock were to ...