0
votes
1answer
119 views

What is the realized volatility's estimation error?

Given an estimation procedure and real data, how would one compute the mean squared error? What value represents the "true" realized volatility in the case of calculating the Mean Squared Error in ...
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Where can I find monthly/weekly historical data for gold and silver [duplicate]

Preferably in monthly or weekly denomination, for at least 20 years. Preferably in Excel format, but csv, or other format is fine too. I try to google but couldn't find anything, maybe I just wasn't ...
2
votes
0answers
90 views

What R-packages for SOCP problems are there?

Currently, I am looking deeper into the topic of second-order cone programming. Could you suggest packages that solve SOCP-problems in R? With your answer, please provide a short description of ...
6
votes
0answers
1k views

Volatility-Based Envelopes

I am following an article by Mohamed Elsaiid (MFTA) about Volatility-Based Envelopes - a quite new technical indicator he has introduced, that is being used by Bloomberg. My goal is to get a simple ...
0
votes
1answer
217 views

How can I calculate the Cumulant-Generating Function in Matlab?

Let $M(h)$ be the moment-generating function, then the cumulant generating function is given by $$K(h)=\text{ln}M(h)=\\ =\kappa_1h+\frac{1}{2!}h^2\kappa_2+\frac{1}{3!}h^3\kappa_3+\ldots$$ where ...
2
votes
0answers
105 views

Correlation between idiosyncratic residuals and forward returns

The classic mean-reversion strategy is to calculate an "expected return" (alpha) by computing the raw return for each security and then remove the part which you think is market driven. Statistically ...
2
votes
1answer
374 views

Open source equity/bond index data

I have been using the tseries package of R (get.hist.quote) to get historical quotes for various indices from yahoo finance. I am interested in DAX, VDAX, EB.REXX ...
4
votes
2answers
994 views

Mass Market Data Source

My current project requires large amounts of historical and real-time market data (1m or 5m bars for various products, mostly US futures for as far back as available). This data will be analyzed by ...
13
votes
3answers
4k views

Free market data (delayed or snapshot)

I know there are similar questions but I don't think there are any identical ones. Basically, I'm looking for one of these two things. Delayed market data feed. A tick by tick feed, but delayed by ...
-3
votes
2answers
728 views

Market Data For Project

I'm looking to find a service that will allow me to download historical data on stocks, bonds, options, futures, indices, etc and also to pick up new files either on a daily or weekly basis. I've been ...
2
votes
2answers
2k views

Cointegration tests

I'm trying to figure out how to perform cointegration tests in R between 2 time series. I'm using po.test from the package ...
3
votes
0answers
50 views

FTAP in the model independent case, paper by Schachermayer

I have a question about the following paper by Beatrice Acciaio, Mathias Beiglböck, Friedrich Penkner, Walter Schachermayer. At the very beginning of the paper, on page 3, there are two definitions ...
1
vote
1answer
133 views

Penny jumping in the direction of the price

Reading through examples of legal front running, I'm struggling to understand how "penny jumping" (http://www.wikinvest.com/wiki/Front-running) can be profitable. Suppose stock ABC is trading at a ...
1
vote
1answer
91 views

Calculating deltas of call options?

From a continuous standpoint, I understand why an ATM call has delta = 0.5 and for ITM call, the delta approaches 1 since each move in the underlying corresponds to same unit of value change in call ...
1
vote
1answer
377 views

T-note returns from T-note yields … derivation of Damodaran's formula

Damodaran's historical data on 10-year T-note returns (found here) uses the following formula to calculate the 1-period total return on a T-note ($R_1$) given the 10-year constant maturity ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

Under an EMM, does there necessarily exist a replicating portfolio?

In general, under an EMM, does there necessarily exist a replicating portfolio for every derivative? I believe the answer to this is false. A simple example is a discrete time, trinomial model. ...
6
votes
3answers
5k views

Why does the adjusted closing price take into account dividends?

I'm trying to get an intuition as to why the adjusted closing price includes a dividend adjustment: \begin{equation} 1 - \frac{dividend}{close} \end{equation} I understand why the adjusted closing ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

VIX Future risk modeling [duplicate]

I am very new to VIX futures and need to validate the risk model for these instruments. Could someone help me with how i can calculate the volatility on these instruments. Thanks.
11
votes
3answers
1k views

Value-at-Risk of the sum of two dependent lognormal random variables

Hy I posted this question first at mathflow.net they suggested me this page, which I was not aware of. Question: Let $(X_1,X_2)$ be a multivariate normal random vector ($X_1$ and $X_2$ need not be ...
4
votes
2answers
172 views

Multifractal Model, Generating Sample Paths with Correlations between Assets

I have studied option pricing using Geometric Brownian Motion to generate sample paths. Because of the normal distribution, it is easy to create a covariance matrix and get correlated asset returns. ...
1
vote
1answer
439 views

HFT enhancements for FIX (Simple Binary Encoding) vs proprietary protocols performance and cost

I would like to know from those that have used FIX (with Simple Binary Encoding) for HFT compares with the current (proprietary) protocols in use that often vary per counterparty. Interested in ...
4
votes
1answer
254 views

FIX binary decoder

Not sure if this is the right question board for this - It sounds like CME is switching their MDP platform from FAST to Simple Binary Encoding and it will be going to production soon. Does anybody ...
2
votes
2answers
3k views

How to Delta Hedge with Futures?

The theory of delta hedging a short position in an option is based on trades in the stock and cash, i.e. I get the option premium and take positions in the stock and cash. In the classical ...
45
votes
11answers
8k views

Innovative ways of visualizing financial data

Finance is drowning in a deluge of data. Humans are not very good at comprehending large amounts of data. One way out may be visualization. Traditional ways of visualizing patterns, complexities and ...
6
votes
4answers
3k views

How to create charts in WPF finance applications?

How to create charts for market data in WPF? Are there any charting controls provided by microsoft or you need to use only third party controls? Which are the popular third party charting controls ...
1
vote
1answer
325 views

Lagged dependent variable, yes or no?

I read conflicting opinions about the inclusion of lagged dependent variables in modeling, and I guess it is partly up to the researcher and depending on the scope and goal of the research. I'm ...
1
vote
0answers
78 views

A doubt about Evans and Jovanovic (1989) economic model for entrepreneurs with credit constraints

[I already posted this question on the math forum of stackexchange and I was advised that I should post this question here] In Evans and Jovanovic (1989) you will find a model for entrepreneurs with ...
2
votes
5answers
6k views

Why do some people claim the delta of an ATM call option is 0.5?

I am looking for a mathematical proof in terms of differentiating the BS equation to calculate Delta and then prove it that ATM delta is equal to 0.5. I have seen many books quoting delta of ATM call ...
1
vote
0answers
168 views

MonteCarlo simulation of stock prices using milstein scheme with dividend yield?

While performing a montecarlo simulation of stock prices using the milstein scheme is it possible to take into account the dividend yield into the simulation itself somehow, if we are given a ...
4
votes
0answers
205 views

Optimization: Factor model versus asset-by-asset model

In portfolio management one often has to solve problems of the quadratic form $$ w^T \Sigma w + w^T c \rightarrow Min $$ with portfolio weights $w \in \mathbb{R}^N$ a constant $c \in \mathbb{R}^N$ and ...
2
votes
0answers
89 views

How to reproject rates risk on a subset of tenors

Is there a standard method (statistical or model based) to reproject rates risk obtained on a full set of tenors onto a smaller subset of tenors ? Let's imagine that I got a delta in the following ...
6
votes
0answers
405 views

Probability distribution of maximum value of binary option?

A binary option with payout \$0/\$100 is trading at \$30 with 12 hours to expiration. Assuming the underlying follows a geometric Brownian motion (hence volatility remains constant), what ...
8
votes
3answers
744 views

How to simulate stock prices using variance gamma process?

I want to simulate stock prices with the variance gamma process. The model is given by: $S_T=S_0 e^{ {[}(r-1)T + \omega + z{]}} $ where $S_0= $ starting value $T= $ Time ...
4
votes
0answers
147 views

How to become a registered market maker on an exchange [closed]

We are thinking of applying to become a registered market-maker on different European exchanges. The name varies from exchange to exchange (Liquidity provider on Euronext for instance). Could anybody ...
2
votes
1answer
754 views

How do Trade-At-Settlement orders work?

Can anyone explain how Trade-At-Settlement (TAS) order on futures market actually works? I have heard that it is guaranteed execution at the settlement price (or with some offset). How can it be ...
3
votes
1answer
199 views

Evaluation volatility with Garch model

I want to forecast the volatility (with Garch) of a canadian stock in 5 months with daily returns. How many data do I have to collect ? Thanks.
0
votes
0answers
51 views

Price variances on fixed income assets

New to the site. I am currently working on a project that involves analyzing two pricing sources (IDC and Markit) on fixed income assets (Corp, High Yield, Muni, and Structured). I am trying to ...
4
votes
2answers
603 views

How to normalize technical indicators for machine learning?

I'm using around 130 technical indicators for 100 different companies. Each company's stock price moves in a different range, see FTSE 100. In addition, each technical indicator moves in a different ...
6
votes
2answers
249 views

how to choose top n assets?

I have m assets, and have estimated their future returns and covariance matrix. I would like to invest in an evenly weighted n product basket from this universe, where 0<n<m. How do i find the ...
3
votes
2answers
142 views

Stochastic volatility model with exponential OU volatility

I have a friend in the industry who said they are interested in the model I gave in the title. Whether they use it, idk. $dS_t= S_t(rdt+ \sigma_t dW_t)$ And $\sigma_t$ is the exponential of an OU ...
1
vote
1answer
211 views

Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time

I am currently working through questions in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. However, I am unable to solve the following question, 7.2 in the book. A solution would be greatly appreciated. ...
3
votes
0answers
53 views

How is the redemption right on delisting of underlying shares held by holder in the convertible bond valued?

As title, If there is no delisting constraint, then I can treat the redemption right as the put right on the convertible bond. If there is redemption right on delisting, what is the conventional ...
3
votes
2answers
169 views

Random Brownian Simulation Startling Results

I was playing around in Excel the other day, simulating possible equity curve/P&L paths for a simple game I designed. The game is really trying to find an optimal risk managment strategy. I start ...
-1
votes
1answer
129 views

Calculate the total returns from the total return index [closed]

I have the Total Return Index(RI) for several companies. I know that I can calculate the log retunrs with $ln(RI_t/RI_{t-1})$. Therefore my first guess would be to ...
1
vote
4answers
138 views

Error message in calculation Implied Volatility

I am unsuccessfully trying to find the Implied Volatilities for the SPX on a given date using information of the CBOE, as well as Open Interest, but as I run the code I am getting and error message ...
0
votes
2answers
157 views

How is holding an European call option equivalent to holding an asset-or-nothing call option and writing a cash-or-nothing call option?

The cash-or-nothing call option has a payoff that is equal to the strike price. All three options have the same expiry date.
1
vote
1answer
485 views

How to prove price of Asian option under geometric averaging is cheaper than a European call?

This was an exam question at Cambridge University. Let $S_t = S_0\exp(\sigma W_t + (r-\dfrac{1}{2}\sigma^2)$ and a bank account returns a continuously-compounded rate of interest $r$. Consider the ...
2
votes
1answer
136 views

Are my estimates of parameters of geometric brownian motion correct?

I wrote a simulation of a geometric Brownian motion which works like this: ${ t }_{ i }-{ t }_{ i-1 } \sim Exp(\lambda )$ ${ Z }_{ i }\sim N(0,1)$ ${ Y }_{ i }\sim { e }^{ \sigma \sqrt { { t }_{ i ...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

Compare fund managers with insignificant alphas?

For my thesis I am evaluating two mutual fund portfolios in order to check for differences in manager performance. My hypothesis is that there will be no differences in performance (in terms of alpha) ...
2
votes
0answers
85 views

Best method for determining the market value of a stock before it is issued

I am attempting to determine the hypothetical market value of a stock for a company emerging from bankruptcy as of a date prior to actual the issuance of the stock. For example, let's say the formerly ...

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