1
vote
1answer
72 views

binomial option pricing model - problem with risk-neutral probability

I have a little problem: in the binomial option pricing model, the price of a european derivative security $V_{n}$ satisfies: $V_{n}=[1/(1+r)]*[\tilde{p}*optionUp +\tilde{q}*optionDown]$ where: ...
0
votes
1answer
89 views

How do I get a list of yahoo tickers for NYSE

I use Yahoo finance to get financial data. How do I get a list of all the ticker symbols in NYSE, NYSEMKT and NASDAQ stock exchanges. (Or even just one of the exchanges)
1
vote
0answers
45 views

About OpenMAMA, OpenMAMDA and OpenMDM

In the Linux Foundation are hosted the OpenMAMA and OpenMAMDA (found in that link too) projects and I'm wondering if has someone worked with those projects and if he/she could give me a more detailed ...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

Impact of Implied skew variations on future prices

I want to test the relationship between of the oil implied volatility skew and oil future prices. I'm lost regarding the method to test the relationship. I was thinking about a regression but I'm ...
5
votes
1answer
106 views

Is this application of Ito's lemma correct?

Suppose that $S$ follows a geometric brownian motion $$dS=S(\mu dt+\sigma dB).$$ It is well understood that $$S_{T}=S_{0}exp((\mu-\dfrac{\sigma^{2}}{2})T+\sigma B_{T}).$$ Method 1 (I have no ...
1
vote
0answers
37 views

Charting order depth over time periods

I do a lot of analysis on order flow, tape reading, as it gives insight into what market participants want, or may be willing to do. In comparison, price charts show what happened, and technical ...
2
votes
4answers
221 views

Local volatility surface corresponding to the implied volatility surface

In Derman/Kani/Zou paper about local vol they rebuilt a local vol surface from an implied vol surface. Each implied volatility depicted in the surface of the "implied Vol" is the Black-Scholes implied ...
2
votes
1answer
239 views

Forecast 3m LIBOR USD. Budget purpose

How can I calculate/budget/find a expectation for the 3 month LIBOR for the next 3monts-4 years? I am calculating a CF scenario on USD 3month Libor + margin. With swaps and fixed rate this is easy, ...
3
votes
5answers
423 views

Why the Black-Scholes formula can be used in the real world?

The BS formula is deduced using the risk neutral measure. Why can it be used in the real world?
2
votes
1answer
117 views

Is printing money really a bad thing?

I have 2 related questions about increasing money supply: (I know high school level economics.) 1) In an economy which has low growth and deflation, is it at all a bad thing to print money? In fact, ...
2
votes
1answer
95 views

How to account for correlation between strategies when they are added linearly?

There are n strategies which are going to be combined linearly. Using a pre-exisiting model I get a set of n weights which will be used to combine the strategies. But the model does not take ...
12
votes
4answers
3k views

What is a “coherent” risk measure?

What is a coherent risk measure, and why do we care? Can you give a simple example of a coherent risk measure as opposed to a non-coherent one, and the problems that a coherent measure addresses in ...
1
vote
2answers
71 views

Numerical delta of Bond Options

I'm trying to calculate the delta for bond Call options. I'm using the vasicek model which gives the following solution for a Zero-coupon bond call option: $Z = N P(t,S) \Phi(d_1) - K P(t,T) ...
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Financial Mathematics essay topic

I have a mathematics background and I am currently doing a Masters in Financial Mathematics. I am required to write an essay in a financial mathematics area but I have little knowledge about it since ...
0
votes
2answers
112 views

For Probability of Default in retail credit what is more popular logistic regression or GLM with Poisson distribution and why?

Trying to understand which regression model is more popular in retail credit card industry Logistic regression or GLM with Poisson distribution and why?
31
votes
7answers
2k views

Lévy alpha-stable distribution and modelling of stock prices.

Since Mandelbrot, Fama and others have performed seminal work on the topic, it has been suspected that stock price fluctuations can be more appropriately modeled using Lévy alpha-stable distrbutions ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Most-efficient/effective Incentive Scheme Design to Minimize Loan Default Probability

Here is an open-ended, hypothetical question regarding the optimization of a loan incentive scheme. Any and all suggestions/plans are welcome. Please ask any clarifying questions if you wish: A loan ...
-1
votes
1answer
47 views

Implicit relation between risk and reward

I want to differentiate w.r.t. $\sigma^2$ the following equation $u'(Y)\mu$ + $\frac{u''(Y)}{2}$$(\sigma^2 + \mu^2) = 0$ where we can consider $\mu$(reward) as an implicit function of $\sigma^2$(risk) ...
1
vote
2answers
76 views

Weighting with restrictions, but no clear objective function?

I have 40 shares in an index and I want to weight them based on their market value, define the known value as $x_i$ In the traditional way, the weight of each share is calculated as: $w_i = x_i / ...
-1
votes
2answers
167 views

Bid/Ask vs Low/High

I am trying to gather historical data for experimental reasons (intellectual curiosity) and am having trouble understanding how that data is calculated. First some data gathering on AAPL from Feb. ...
1
vote
1answer
263 views

using garch to forecast volatility but getting low persistence model

I am using a GARCH(1, 1) model to try model volatility for a certain stock. I have a GARCH function in matlab that returns the three parameters, omega, alpha & beta. I then use this parameters ...
2
votes
2answers
100 views

Markov Pricing kernel

I'm reading about Markov pricing kernels in the lecture notes of a course I'm following, but I have a big doubt on an application of Ito's lemma. The setting is the following: We define the pricing ...
1
vote
1answer
58 views

Variance Swap volatility

In an article, it is mentioned that a parameter is "the variance swap volatility at time t". I know what a variance swap is but I don't know what they could mean by "variance swap volatility". ...
2
votes
1answer
173 views

Expected Shortfall and Spectral Risk Measure

Not sure I am understanding spectral risk measures correctly. Why is there an equal weighting scheme placed on the tail losses in expected shortfall. Will that no bias the expected value of the loss ...
3
votes
0answers
66 views

DCC GARCH - Specificating of ARCH and GARCH parameter Matrices STATA

The command in STATA to calculate the DCC model of two variables is: mgarch dcc ( x1 x2=, noconstant) , arch(1) garch(1) distribution(t) $$ \begin{bmatrix} ...
2
votes
1answer
150 views

Does Nelson-Siegel require adjustments to yield curve input data?

I am attempting to gain a better understanding of the limitations of the Nelson-Siegel model as described in Estimating the Yield Curve Using the Nelson-Siegel Model. As I have been playing around ...
1
vote
0answers
82 views

modeling regime switching for Correlation matrix

I am trying to estimate covariance in multiple time series. However, I want to do this using a regime-switching framework. So, I start with fitting a GARCH(1,1) model and then de-volatalize the ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

Alternatives to CDSs for default term structure?

The CDS market seems to be drying up, funding&liquidity issues are now prevalent over credit, so other sources for default probabilities are needed. What else is commonly used to obtain a ...
-1
votes
1answer
33 views

dividend cash in month [closed]

I like know how much money dividend cash I get. For example I own two shares of the stock dividend cash will be 4.54$ ? ...
2
votes
0answers
52 views

How to Handle Error in SEC Filings

Sometimes I see obvious errors in the 10-K or 10-Q filings that appear to go uncorrected in subsequent filings for the same period. For example, on June 9, 2014 Apple, Inc. did a 7-to-1 stock split. ...
0
votes
0answers
58 views

is there a limit on how many times i can access fxcm xml feed

i'm writing an python application that uses fxcm's xml feed. here is the link http://rates.fxcm.com/RatesXML does anyone know if there are limits on how many times you can access this data? right now ...
0
votes
1answer
72 views

“The drift of stock price becomes the risk-free interest rate” under RNP

Assume that the evolution of a stock price is geometric Brownian Motion $$ dS=\mu Sdt+\sigma SdW(t) $$ where $S$ is the stock price at time $t$ (current time). It says in my book that "under the ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

How do I find the Sharpe Ratio?

Suppose I'm given two assets, x0, x1 and the stochastic discount factor m. How do I find m_p, then use it to compute Sharpe(R_p)? Any help is greatly appreciated.
0
votes
1answer
90 views

Linear Model setup for Second-pass Regression

I'm confused on modeling the second pass regression given the beta's from the first pass. First-pass regression : $r_{it} - r_{ft} = a_{i}+b_{i}(r_{Mt}-r_{ft})+e_{it}$ For estimating this model (9 ...
0
votes
1answer
49 views

possible to estimate if hard-to-borrow?

I'm building a low frequency US equity stat arb system. On any given day the system is long ~100 stocks and short ~100 stocks. It trades once a day at the open, and on average 4/5 of the portfolio ...
2
votes
2answers
128 views

How to compute the conditional expected value of a geometric brownian motion?

I'm working on a project, and I have to use the cumulative and conditional expected value of the variations of a stock following a Geometric Brownian Motion. I know that the cumulative is as follows ...
3
votes
1answer
217 views

generalized black scholes

I understand how to derive the black scholes solution if $dS_t$ = $\mu S_tdt$ + $\sigma S_tdW_t$ and r is constant. The solution is c(t, x) = $xN(d_{+}(T - t), x))$ - K$e^{-r(T - t)}N(d\_(T - t), x))$ ...
2
votes
1answer
117 views

Portfolio choice problem of a CARA investor with n risky assets

Ok, I am working on a problem that consists of the following: I am looking to solve the portfolio choice optimization problem (maximizing utility with a known utility function) in the case where all ...
1
vote
3answers
148 views

Technical Indicators reference

I have been looking for a good reference where I can find how technical indicators of stock market analysis are calculated. I have a dataset (time series) which I want to extract these indicators to ...
1
vote
0answers
46 views

Investing in all assets with positive expected return and allowing for positive correlation

How does the answer to this question Risk minimization by investing in all assets with positive expected return change if assets can be positively correlated (but not perfectly) and short sales are ...
0
votes
0answers
78 views

Estimating the next tick movement in Chinese markets

I'm working on high frequency trading in the Chinese Futures market and I've been having a bit of trouble with getting orders to go through due to the lack of liquidity and large fluctuations. To ...
1
vote
1answer
253 views

How to calibrate the Hull-White model using cap prices?

I'm given cap prices and swap rates, and i'm trying to calibrate the Hull-White model to them. I then want to use the model in order to price a swaption. I know that the model can be calibrated from ...
2
votes
1answer
85 views

What is the use of computing the par yield?

I have learnt how to compute par yields in class, but I am not certain when knowing this would be of use and by Professor himself said it's a somewhat useless concept. What is the use of computing the ...
0
votes
0answers
49 views

Active or Passive strategy?

From my reading, passive portfoliomanagement means to replicate an index, active portfoliomanagement means to deviate from an index. Does that mean that e.g. rules-based investing is actually an ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

is there any calibration method to calculate FX forward rate? How Bloomberg define FX forward rate

there is any calibration method to calculate FX forward rate? How Bloomberg define FX forward rate
1
vote
0answers
60 views

How to measure interest rate risk of an equity?

What is the best method to measure interest rate risk of an equity? For example: I am looking to determine the change in price based on a change in yield. I currently have a position in XLU and ...
-1
votes
1answer
116 views

In a FX options book, is the sum of P&L equal to the portfolio value?

For a portfolio containing FX options, would the sum of P&L for each option be the portfolio value?
4
votes
3answers
111 views

Price of an asian option with squared of average payoff

Is there a closed form solution of the following price formula? Assuming $dS_t=rSdt+\sigma S_t dW_t$ under the Q dynamics $e^{-r(T-t)}\mathbb{E}_t^\mathcal{Q}[(\frac{(\int_0^T S_u du)}{T})^2]$ I ...
-1
votes
1answer
85 views

How to download intraday data regarding a particular stock exchange from bloomberg at one time

Good day I would like to know how to download the intraday data regarding a particular stick exchange at one time, (I need to analyse all the equities listed on it) Second I need to verify that my ...
1
vote
0answers
102 views

Tangent portfolio weights without short sales?

Consider a mean-variance investor in a world with a risk-free asset. Let $R_f>0$ be the return of the risk-free asset, $\mathbb{E}(R_i)>R_f$ the expected return of the risky asset $i$ and ...

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