4
votes
1answer
208 views

When Fed stops QE, Treasury Futures will go down in price, so… LEAP Puts are a good idea?

I think: when Fed stops QE (Quantitative Easing), Treasury Futures prices will go down. Question 1: Am I right? So... buying LEAP Puts (in Treasury Futures) would be a good idea. Question 2: Am I ...
2
votes
1answer
74 views

Meaning of w in SDE

I'm missing meaning of $w$ in typical SDE like $dX_t(w) = f_t(X_t(w)) + \sigma(X_t(w))dW_t$, in context of $w \in F_{xxx}$. Does it mean that both $w$ is one of events that could happen before ...
1
vote
1answer
410 views

Markit PMI vs ISM PMI

What is the difference between the Markit Manufacturing PMI and the ISM Manufacturing PMI? The monthly number differs a lot, my understanding is that they are trying to indicate the same thing.
4
votes
2answers
308 views

What is a cubature scheme?

Ideally an intuitive explanation with an example, please.
2
votes
2answers
149 views

What is the reasoning to derive this financial model called the Vasicek Model?

The model specifies that the instantaneous interest rate follows the stochastic differential equation $$\mathrm{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\: \mathrm{d}t + \sigma \: \mathrm{d}W_t$$ where $W_{t}$ is a Wiener ...
4
votes
1answer
110 views

Explicit solution SDE

I have the following SDE: $$dY_{t}=A\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{1}+B\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{2}$$ where ...
6
votes
2answers
219 views

How to get an analytic result for option price based on this model?

I defined such a model for stock price (1).... $$dS = \mu\ S\ dt + \sigma\ S\ dW + \rho\ S(dH - \mu) $$ , where $H$ is a so-called "resettable poisson process" defined as (2).... $$dH(t) = ...
2
votes
1answer
69 views

How much correlation between alpha and forward returns can be considered good

There are many way to quantify the quality of an $\alpha$ (prediction of the future return of a security). I heard/do many things, most of them are equivalent to correlation. Typically ...
2
votes
2answers
2k views

What is the Swap Curve?

What is the so-called Swap Curve, and how does it relate to the Zero Curve (or spot yield curve)? Does it only refer to a curve of swap rates versus maturities found in the market? Or is it a swap ...
4
votes
0answers
303 views

Rate Distortion Minimization in a Python Clustering Algorithm

I'm attempting to solve for $\hat{k}$ clusters, such that the rate distortion is minimized, as described here, however, the answers that I am getting from my algorithm are not following the "Jump" ...
0
votes
1answer
1k views

Conversion factor for bonds

Hull defines the conversion factor for a bond as the "quoted price the bond would have per dollar of principal on the first day of the delivery month on the assumption that the interest rate for all ...
4
votes
3answers
108 views

How does US banks ensure that other country's banks aren't counterfeiting USD?

I have had this question for a long time. For example, if I wire 50M USD from China to the US, does the Chinese bank physically deliver 50M USD cash to the US bank? or is it just changing a number in ...
0
votes
1answer
176 views

Does Implied Volatility always exist?

I am considering a simple Heston Model Market with one risky and one riskless asset. The dynamics of the riskless asset is simply $dB_t=r*B_t*dt$ The dynamics of the risky asset is as follows, $ ...
1
vote
1answer
181 views

Estimate correlation of time series whose histories differ in length

Very often in quantitative analysis (e.g. calculating portfolio volatility) we have to analyze various time series - mostly returns - whose lenghts differ. Risk systems usually apply a one-factor ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Earnings Quality for a large group of stocks

Does anyone have any recommendations for how to track earnings quality for a large number of stocks (500+) on a quarterly basis? I am familiar with the M-Score for detecting earnings manipulation but ...
4
votes
2answers
345 views

Black-Scholes fastest computation method

What is the fastest way to numerically compute Black-Scholes-Merton option prices? I'm trying to find fastest and still precise method. Currently I'm using numerical approximation of Normal cdf with ...
7
votes
1answer
486 views

How to better understand trading signals?

I am looking to get a better understanding of an output from a trading strategy. Basically I have a daily equity curve lets call it $Y_t$. I have defined a bunch of independent variables $X_{it}$ that ...
2
votes
0answers
75 views

Practitioner's criterion for MC pricing convergence

Let's say I have some Interest Rates (IR) pricing model which relies on Monte Carlo pricing and I'd like to benchmark its quality and find out optimal settings (time steps & iterations) per asset ...
1
vote
2answers
430 views

VIX intraday data

Where I can high-frequency intraday data on VIX? Is it available on Bloomberg Terminals? I see many questions posted on Quant.stackexechange about VIX options therefore I am sure someone knows where I ...
0
votes
2answers
115 views

Calculation of price momentum using weekly price observations

In an empirical analysis I'm trying to predict stock returns using different firm characteristics. I would like to use price momentum as an explanatory variable, but I'm not quite sure how to ...
7
votes
3answers
552 views

What are the merits of pseudo random numbers over quasi random numbers in monte-carlo simulation?

I understand that quasi-random numbers have much better convergence, but are there any reasons for me to use pseudo-random numbers instead?
1
vote
1answer
206 views

Should I analyze the tick data day by day?

Let assume that we have one month of tick data which were traded at NYSE. We want to model the price changes as a function of the last p lags of price changes and the last q lags of the time duration ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Define some finance terminology for me, please. Live options vs. crossed options

What is a "live" option vs. a "crossed" option? Does a cross option just mean that it is hedged? If someone is buying an option and says "I want to buy a November 5.00 (strike price) put cross at ...
-3
votes
2answers
508 views

What software should I use for forex arbitrage?

These are my requirements: Speed of lookup & update Speed of crunching large numbers and combinations The exchanges I want to connect to will mostly provide json feeds to their orderbooks & ...
8
votes
3answers
1k views

Gamma vs. Volatility Risk

Original Question: What is the link between Gamma and the Volatility Risk? It leads me to ask: - What is the Volatility Risk definition and what are the good practices to measure it? Thinking about ...
0
votes
1answer
104 views

Constructing Volatility Smile from Implied Volatility & Delta

I have implied volatility data for call and put options (expiring in 1 month from any given date) for a particular stock. In addition, I have the delta for the options. However, I have no information ...
3
votes
2answers
69 views

Risk Neutral Pricing Necessary Condition

Suppose that I have an option on a single stock expiring at time $T$ and I replicate the payoff of this derivative by investing in the stock market and the money market. So this condition reads $$X(T) ...
0
votes
1answer
60 views

Yahoo OHLC data reflects nonexistant stock split

Can anyone explain why the OHLC data I'm getting from yahoo appears to reflect stock splits during times when no significant corporate actions have occurred? For example, I'm looking at ABT and yahoo ...
0
votes
0answers
59 views

Fixed volatility portfolio with max returns creates skewed results

I am trying to create a portfolio of only four components using the mean-variance optimization (MVO). I am setting up my problem such that I want to maximize the expected returns with a fixed vol ...
1
vote
1answer
106 views

Analysing FX Data

When analysing currencies, the data always comes in pairs so it is hard to normalise a multivariate time series of data e.g. if I have GBPvsUSD, EURvsUSD and CADvsUSD then changes in the US economy ...
1
vote
3answers
173 views

Estimate of fx trading volume

I understand that there are no official figures of fx trading volume per currency, but are there any good estimates? Is there any fx exchange that is particularly forthcoming with its volume data, ...
2
votes
1answer
74 views

Correlation Multiple Currencies

If i have a portfolio of stocks from different currencies and i want to generate a correlation matrix from the stocks, how is the correct procedure ? Imagine a portfolio which the base currency is ...
2
votes
2answers
252 views

How to classify stocks by their volatility?

I would like to hear other possible ways of classifying Stocks by the Volatility of their returns. Assuming that I want to characterize each stock as Low, Medium or High Volatility Stock and assuming ...
3
votes
3answers
95 views

Modelling currency exchange rates timeseries data across re-denomation dates

I am working with data for an exotic currency, that has been re-denominated a couple of times during the twenty years of data that I have. What is the best way of 'normalising' the data, so that I ...
2
votes
0answers
89 views

State Space models with Short Time Series

My problem is that I have a state space model that I estimate using the Berndt–Hall–Hall–Hausman (BHHH) algorithm. The state space model is relatively simple in that the hidden part follows a pure ...
4
votes
1answer
103 views

Nested volatility

The introduction VIX options makes the concept of "volatility of volatility" a real life concept. The idea of "nested volatility" seems interesting, and I am wondering if there are any academic ...
0
votes
1answer
54 views

Contribute to Finance related projects [closed]

I am currently a student and in the future would like to work as a software developer for a financial institution such as Bloomberg, Factset etc. I was looking to contribute to some open source or ...
2
votes
4answers
340 views

Implementing A 50/50 Prediction Model Strategy

Reworded the question for clarity (see edits for original post): How can one knowingly foresee where a 50/50 prediction model will be profitable? For previous posts: I understand that if I have a ...
1
vote
2answers
80 views

CVA/CDVA - Worsened Credit Quality implies profit?

In the book Counterparty Credit Risk, Collateral and Funding by Brigo et al I found the following: credit quality of investor WORSENS $\Rightarrow$ books POSITIVE MARK TO MKT credit quality of ...
1
vote
2answers
83 views

Art market specificities

I am looking for some reference on the art market in light of quantitative finance. I am interested in some things: The market in general, how is it compared to financial market ? What about common ...
-3
votes
1answer
1k views

Is there a piratebay for data(bases)? (here, talking about historical financial data) [closed]

I would like to, for example, access (and later, upload), for example, historical financial data for the S&P500. If a piratebay for databases existed, maybe we could freely share information that ...
3
votes
2answers
591 views

Delta hedging frequency for plain vanilla European options under trading costs

I am looking for methods to select points in time when delta hedging plain vanilla European options under trading costs. It is easy to come up with ad hoc ideas such as Time-based: for example at ...
4
votes
2answers
89 views

How does this follow from the separating hyperplane theorem?

This is from Pliskas book in mathematical finance. I do not know what was best to write the question so I included the pages from the book. He has not written what form of the separating hyperplane ...
1
vote
1answer
137 views

How to develop your own interest rate model?

How can you develop your own interest rate model? What must be take cautiously before making one? Also what is the regulation that one mustfollow? Also what is some common properties that models ...
4
votes
3answers
1k views

Pairs trading: Question on non-negative profits, size of the positions and trading signals

I'm trying to backtest Pairs Trading but have become a bit confused on the different methods of selecting pairs, how to look for trading signals and what size of the positions to take in the assets. ...
3
votes
1answer
191 views

Portfolio Optimization - n risky assets

I'm currently implementing a CAPM model in Excel: A portfolio of n risky assets when n=6 (in this case) A riskless borrowing rate of 8% and riskless lending rate of 3% I'm given the expected return ...
1
vote
2answers
186 views

M&A hedging an equity portfolio against an index

Quick Note This question was already posted under the userID user8170. Reason being I could not access my account. Now I am able to login to my account I am reposting the question here and will ...
4
votes
3answers
261 views

selecting test data for neural networks

I have been working on a neural network based on certain technical indicators. As people familiar with neural networks would know after developing a hypothesis, the developer is also supposed to ...
1
vote
1answer
72 views

Methods for “prompt month equivalent” exposure in commodities forwards/futures markets

It is common in commodities markets to hold many positions, both long and short, across a range of contract months beginning in the prompt month (today, September) to five or more years out. In ...
0
votes
0answers
58 views

multi factor equity model exposures not as expected

I'm researching an equity multi factor model. It contains three factors, say A, B & C. The factors are weighted as such, ...

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