2
votes
0answers
25 views

What methods - inspired by Haavelmo’s Structural Econometrics - can show that a partial equilibrium model is unreliable? [closed]

According to Spanos 2014 Revisiting Haavelmo's Structural econometrics: Bridging the gap between theory and data Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models are statistically inadequate, in such an ...
2
votes
1answer
95 views

Why annualized return and cumultive return aren't equal over 1-year period with Performance Analytics package in R?

I use Performance Analytics package in R to compare annualized and cumulative return of a portfolio. My expectation is that both should be equal over a period of 1-year but results tell me I'm wrong. ...
5
votes
3answers
378 views

Why do we usually model returns and not prices?

I think this is a quite similar question for most of you, however it is not completely understandable for me at the moment: Why do we usually use returns and not prices to model financial data in ...
2
votes
1answer
191 views

Why Markov Functional Models (Hunt 2000) are not yet so popular?

I refer to MFM introduced by Hunt [2000]. These models can be seen a subset of interest rate market models. MFM allow us to describe the term structure elements using a set a functions of a ...
3
votes
1answer
145 views

Do you have a good application example of Approximate Dynamic Programming?

Have you ever tackled a finance problem with Approximate Dynamic Programming? I have only used dynamic programming for simple examples like a optimal extraction in mining. Do you have canonical ...
4
votes
1answer
108 views

Can I add the greeks of individual postions to obtain greeks for the portfolio

I understand that the delta of an option portfolio is just the sum of the deltas of the individual option positions. What about the other Greeks like gamma and vega? Do the vega and gamma of a ...
1
vote
1answer
163 views

SEC 13F Security List has incorrect CUSIP numbers?

I'm building database of 13F sec.gov forms with 13F security lists (http://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13flists.htm). Along with integrity checks. I implemented CUSIP digit check algorithm to ...
4
votes
1answer
161 views

How to apply the “Knapsack Problem” to minimise a portfolio's volatility?

Suppose I have a stock selection universe of 100 stocks. I have estimated the covariance matrix of this 100 stocks. I would like to create an equaly-weighted basket of 5 stocks which has the lowest ...
0
votes
0answers
73 views
2
votes
0answers
64 views

How to value a Binary Option using market data?

Is there a way to calculate the price of a binary option (i.e., an option that pays out 1 dollar when the stock price hits $x$ amount) using market call/put option prices, forward prices, etc. for a ...
2
votes
0answers
58 views

Is Geometric Brownian Model suitable for long term price forecast?

I was thinking of using Geometric Brownian Motion to forecast future prices of timber (say one variable, the stumpage price of sawtimber). I tested the time series with Augmented Dickey-Fuller test ...
0
votes
1answer
85 views

Historical Data - Free Sources in 2015? [duplicate]

I've found some free sources for stock historical data but none that aren't broken links or give me quite what I need. I want... For NASDAQ, S&P 500, DJIA: Historical data for the past 5 years ...
1
vote
1answer
52 views

The importance of good optimizers in Portfolio Optimization

I work as a Quant for an Asset Management and Insurance company and have recently enrolled for Masters degree in Computer Science. I am thinking about investigating how important having a "good" ...
2
votes
1answer
109 views

Estimating mean reversion

I've read in some places that mean reversion parameters for a rates model, eg Hull White, can be estimated directly from the current yield curve. However I've not been able to find anything more on ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Historical data for Canadian exchanges and mutual funds

There are scores of posts on obtaining historical data for many of the big exchanges, but for some reason there is a gap in sourcing historical data for Canadian exchanges. Short of Yahoo Finance and ...
1
vote
0answers
43 views

How to estimate constrained a constrained VAR(1) with MATLAB?

Suppose I want to estimate the following VAR(1) model: $$ Y_t = \mu + \Phi Y_{t-1} + \varepsilon_t $$ where $Y_t=(y_{1t}, y_{2t},…,y_{kt})'$, $\mu=(\mu_1,…,\mu_{k})’$ and $\Phi$ a matrix of ...
4
votes
2answers
269 views

quantiative risk measure how they are implemented in R and their use

So far I have just theoretical knowledge of risk measure and never used them in application. Therefore I have some basic question how risk measures are used in reality and how they are implemented in ...
0
votes
1answer
50 views

Floating-rate bond

How can I extract expectations about future rates from prices of floating-rate bonds? Please, give reference to any articles, if possible. Thank you in advance.
1
vote
1answer
28 views

Question regarding sinking fund

I am currently studying about financial mathematics for my Exam FM to become an actuary. There is one thing that really bothers me so I would like to have some answers. Whenever I solve a problem ...
1
vote
1answer
62 views

How can I forecast future correlation?

There are some standard models for forecasting volatility (e.g., GARCH) and for forecasting returns (e.g., factor models). What kind of standard models exist for forecasting future correlation between ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

Getting Parameter of Translated Gamma Distribution from Monte Carlo

Spin-off from here. (Edit) Main question: What do I do about a parameter whose suggested values range quite vastly? (Edit) Backstory: I am given data of loss values and the dates that correspond to ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

Simulating Stock's close, high and low prices

I am testing a model in which I need to simulate closing, high and low prices (i.e. 3 dimensions of prices) of any given stock. Using the simple Geometric Brownion Motion equation I can easily ...
0
votes
1answer
34 views

Compute moments of aggregate loss using Monte Carlo

Spin-off from here. Richard referred to me an article that tells me how to get parameters of a translated gamma distribution to which I should consider fitting simulated aggregated loss values. The ...
1
vote
1answer
79 views

Does DV01 grow proportionally to portfolio?

I'm having trouble understanding DV01 convention. From what I understand it stands for "Dollar value of 1 basis point." For instance, if I have a bond with DV01 = 0.05, does a portfolio composed of ...
1
vote
0answers
64 views

Time-Varying Copulas (GAUSS)

Could anyone suggest me how to begin with Time-varying Copulas or Stochastic Copulas? I'm looking for the GAUSS code, however it seems there are only MATLAB code available over the internet. I'm ...
0
votes
1answer
136 views

Get distribution for aggregate loss using Monte Carlo

I am given two data sets containing dates and losses (in some currency). Given a distribution for the amount of losses and an (a,b,0) distribution for frequency of losses, how can I use Monte Carlo ...
0
votes
3answers
143 views

Share Repurchase and Bid ask Spread data

I am doing a Quantitative Finance PhD and would like some insight on data collection. I'm looking for open market share repurchase data (UK) over the past 2-3 decades. Simultaneously, their bid-ask ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Why the growth of the American Economy is going to cause the Fed to raise interest rates?

Due the growth of the American economy the Fed have published that interest rates are likely to increase. Why is that the response of the Fed?
0
votes
0answers
24 views

What is the difference between generating portfolios on the efficient frontiers and generating different efficient frontiers

This question is bothering me for a while. We suppose a very simple and basic set up. Given are a certain amount of assets from which we want to build an portfolio in an "optimal sense". MPT gives us ...
12
votes
6answers
4k views

Applications of Fourier theory in trading

What are fashionable applications of Fourier analysis in trading? I have heard vague ideas of applications in High Frequency Trading but can somebody provide an example, maybe a reference? Just for ...
0
votes
0answers
62 views

How to get get weekly returns from daily data

Good day I would like to get weekly returns data from daily data , I want to use the Wednesday-to-Wednesday approach – the returns (rt) are computed from the Wednesday closing prices Pt , i.e., rt = ...
0
votes
3answers
210 views

Research methodology of systematic strategies

Can someone please share your research methodology of systematic trading strategies? I feel like I am always using the a same data driven procedures over different underlyings and would like to get ...
1
vote
0answers
12 views

Annuity Duration Based on Closed Derivative is half of Effective Duration?

I am analyzing an annuity with a stub. I calculate the effective duration as (P(-10bps) - P(+10bps))/(2*Principal * (.001)) I then take the derivative of the standard annuity formula discounted by ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

What is Margin of Conservatism

In modelling loss given default,(LGD), we often encounter the term Margin of Conservatism. What is it in layman's terms? I am not able to find a wikipedia page on this.
1
vote
0answers
43 views

How to apply the chain rule for partial derivatives to transformations?

I'm currently working to solve the Black-Scholes model partial differential equation (it's a model for a.o. stock option prices). The Black-Scholes equation for a calloption C(S,t) is given by $ ...
2
votes
1answer
119 views

option pricing with limitation on the change of underlying daily changes

how are we supposed to price an European option given the fact that the daily return of the underlying is limited within -X% to X%? For example, if X = 5, the price of the underlying cannot go up 8% ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

Spread options on prices or returns?

I need some clarifications regarding spread options. I have always found them characterized as paying, at maturity, the difference between the prices of two underlying assets: $$ (S_1(T)-S_2(T)-K)^+ ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

What kind of errors arise when I fit ARMA(1,1) to data generated from ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) process?

As far as I know estimates of parameters of ARMA(1,1) are asymptotically optimal when fitted to data from ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) process, and only their variance increase, so when we assume large ...
3
votes
2answers
154 views

Black-Litterman: Why should the views be independent of each other?

This question relates to this question. In the Black-Litterman framework views of inverstors on the market are modelled. These views have a covariance-matrix $\Omega$. I always found it quite ...
2
votes
1answer
133 views

Constant Relative Risk Aversion

The question: Consider a person with constant relative risk aversion p. (a) Suppose the person has wealth of 100,000 and faces a gamble in which he wins or loses x with equal probabilities. ...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

Portfolio optimised for diversification and regular yield. How to hedge?

Here is a portfolio optimisation for equity dividend and yield designed to diversify holdings and produce regular monthly returns using only ETFs complete with R code. ...
0
votes
0answers
58 views

Fund Allocation Logic

I am writing a program which automatically calculates the trade allocations. Imagine we have a 3 funds, Fund A, B and C. They current asset allocations (so-far-percentages) are 10%, 20%, 70% ...
5
votes
5answers
1k views

Library for interactive financial charts

For my recent project I am looking to build a software capable of visualizing financial charts in a dynamically and interactive matter. The workflow is as follows: I gather data from my data ...
3
votes
4answers
125 views

Logging FIX Messages

I need to persist every single FIX message received or sent by my order gateway for auditing purposes, however it takes more than 1 millisecond to write the bytes to disk. I tried to write in chunks ...
2
votes
1answer
324 views

Covariance matrix and Cholesky decomposition

I am simulating a spread option with stochastic volatility using Monte Carlo simulation. I have the positive-definite covariance matrix $$ \rho = \left( \begin{array}{cccc} 1 & \rho_{1,2} & ...
1
vote
0answers
43 views

Comparing cost of two alternative given their distribution

I have distribution for cost of two alternative through Monte Carlo simulation. The distributions are not normal. Given the benefit of the two alternatives is the same but ungiven, I want to choose ...
2
votes
0answers
280 views

Calculate spread for pairs trading

What is the best way to begin calculations for pairs trading? I have seen two ways: 1) Start from the price ratio (StockAPrice/StockBPrice) and calculate mean, standard deviation and z-score from a ...
0
votes
0answers
28 views

Standardized Abnormal Returns

I have a question. In an event study, I have found a standardized cumulative abnormal return Z test formula. It is attached. I couldn't find any sources to prove it. Do you know any articles about ...
8
votes
2answers
7k views

What is a Heat Rate Option?

I tried a search with google but I can't find a clear definition of what a Heat Rate Option is. I would appreciate if someone could explain to me what this type of option is. My understanding is ...
3
votes
1answer
93 views

How to compute daily compounded backtest returns closer to real-world results?

I often run quick tests of trading strategies in my analytics suites by: multiplying a vector of signal (lagged, {-1,0,1}) with a time series of daily percentage returns doing a cumulative product ...

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