-3
votes
1answer
109 views

What's the disadvantage of ARMA-GARCH model?

I want to ask why ARMA-GARCH is more and more popolar, and what's the advantage of this model.
4
votes
0answers
84 views

Does GARCH derived variance explain the auto-correlation in a time series?

Given a time series of $u_i$ returns where i=1 to t. $\sigma_i$ is calculated from GARCH(1,1) as $\sigma_i^2=w+\alpha u_{i-1}^2 +\beta \sigma_{i-1}^2$ . What is the mathematical basis to say that ...
3
votes
1answer
845 views

Calculating instantaneous forward rate from zero-coupon yield curve

I have a big dataset containing zero-coupon bond yields with different relative maturities. I fix a time horizon on my dataset and I want to calculate instantaneous forward rate. I'm going to write ...
4
votes
4answers
7k views

What is the role of Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) desks in investment banks?

What does a CVA (Credit Valuation Adjustment) desk do, and how are its activities different from other trading desks? Can you work as a quant for a CVA desk and consider your role "front office"?
0
votes
0answers
146 views

Is there a Newey West like correction for overlapping data correlation estimates?

I already posted a related question a while ago but was unsure if I should post within the same question. I want to estimate mulitperiod asset return correlations and test if there are significant ...
10
votes
5answers
5k views

Should I use an arithmetic or a geometric calculation for the Sharpe Ratio?

What are the advantages/disadvantages of using the arithmetic Sharpe Ratio vs the geometric Sharpe Ratio? Is one more correct? Or is one better in certain circumstances?
11
votes
5answers
2k views

Should Sharpe ratio be computed using log returns or relative returns?

I am trying to reconcile some research with some published values of 'Sharpe ratio', and would like to know the 'standard' method for computing the same: Based on daily returns? Monthly? Weekly? ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

Real returns vs. inflation as an independent variable

Assume a model like this, basically explaining stock market returns with a bunch of stuff: ...
-1
votes
1answer
88 views

Were can I find Historical Interest Rate Data?

Where can I find American historical Savings Account interest (Bank) rates? If you can, please attach corresponding links.
0
votes
1answer
94 views

What are the good book to understand economics? [closed]

I am currently studying managerial economics by W. Bruce Allen. The book is good. Are there any good book with quizzes , that makes economics sweeter? Books that relate to real world facts and figure ...
0
votes
0answers
57 views

PCA related Query

I am currently working on a project in grad school where I am using PCA Approach. I have 4 stocks. I used R to generate Eigen Values, Eigen vectors Eigen Values Number Value Diff ...
2
votes
0answers
39 views

Risk neutral measure for jump processes

How can I construct risk neutral measure for option price if active price form is: $$S(t)=S(0)\left[\exp{σW(t)+(α-βλ-1/2σ^2)t+Q(t)}\right] ?$$ Here $W(t)$ is a Brownian motion and $Q(t)$ is a ...
2
votes
3answers
176 views

Why are short expiries associated with more pronounced volatility skews?

I've noticed that for a given strike price, the shorter expiration dates of options have more pronounced volatilities why is that?
5
votes
1answer
151 views

How to perform Empirical Mode Decomposition?

I am trying to use the EMD applied to EURUSD open price to train a machine learning algo (RVM). I have run only once the EMD on my training set and once on the training+test set. The results on the ...
-3
votes
1answer
72 views

if technical analysis rules for predict stock prices is unique for all cases, why should we learn neural networks? [closed]

Is there any neural network out of the box tool that was already learned all technical rules by feeding many stock trading data?
0
votes
1answer
52 views

PWIQF excercise solution

I am software developer with no previous experience or knowledge in finance and have recently been starting to build my knowledge in this area. I am working through the book: Paul Wilmott Introduces ...
0
votes
0answers
55 views

full tick and retail tick data feed difference

Full tick institutional data feed like elektron from reuters, how is it different from retail tick data feed & which charting softwares work with elektron data feed
1
vote
1answer
113 views

source for yahoo finance equities volume traded

I am looking at some academic studies regarding volume of stock traded. Yahoo Finance is used as the data source for volume. Does anyone know where the volume figure comes from? Is it a compilation ...
4
votes
3answers
390 views

Sampling problem in portfolio optimization

In a summary I am trying to do the following Bond Subset 1 : Get list of USD Bonds --> Filter out Bonds which have YTM > y% DUR > 10 Y etc. .. This gives us Bonds which we are interested in. So ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

Bond Spread Drivers

I have some work to do on the drivers of government bond spreads - ie. across terms (not across governments) of the yield curve, say 5yr and 20yr bond spreads from the same government issuer - and am ...
1
vote
0answers
70 views

Markov switching model estimation

We are testing Markov switching models to forecast risk regimes, similar to the paper by Kritzman, Page and Turkington. We find that in some cases the Baum-Welch algorithm converges very slowly or not ...
2
votes
0answers
68 views

At-the-money Call Spread approximation

In a trading manual I got during a course, the value of the ATM Call-Spread is approximated by $CS_{ATM}=\frac{1}{2}StrD+(F-m)\times\Delta CS$ The lecturer skipped the part where he derived this ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

American Swaption Pricing with PDE discretization

So I am still trying to price an american swaption. (MC approach here: American Swaption Pricing with Monte-Carlo method) I've found in Paul Wilmott, The mathematics of financial derivatives, a PDE ...
0
votes
0answers
28 views

Engle Granger test returns a 0 in matlab, while correlation factor is .80+. Am I doing something wrong?

Engle Granger test is giving me a ans = 0. The correlation factor is: 0.8+ Does this imply the No cointegration hypothesis is true? i.e. as per my understanding that there is cointegration? I am ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Significance of Data

The following is a result I get from a pair trading model. I am trying to figure out the significance of the below but failing. Can someone help me out i.e. a resource or possibly an explanation on ...
3
votes
3answers
135 views

Budget Constraint in Sharpe Ratio Optimization

I am a math student and I am trying to understand the budget constraint in Sharpe Ratio optimization for portfolio design. Recall the budget constraint requires that the sum of the portfolio weights ...
7
votes
1answer
387 views

Are there any other standard rates term structure decomposition than PCA?

PCA is sometimes used to estimate components in the rates term structure. Are there any other standard method discussed in the literature or used in practice, what are their advantages and ...
6
votes
3answers
852 views

Lib for Arbitrage-Free Smoothing of Implied Volatility Surface?

I'm looking for an implementation of Arbitrage-Free Smoothing of the Implied Volatility Surface - Matthias R. Fengler. Does anyone know of any existing libraries that have implemented this paper? Any ...
0
votes
0answers
232 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving

After using RQuantLib and RCaller from Java I am desiring a bit more speed on my implied volatility calculations (for anyone who has used this knows it is quite slow). I need to price a large number ...
1
vote
0answers
638 views

Black Scholes well coded Python

I have some trouble with the following code. Some jump and a decentered path are present but it's not the case, normally for Black Scholes diffusion ! Is anyone see a problem in my code ? ...
0
votes
2answers
627 views

Dv01 of Eurodollar futures contract

Can anybody please explain in layman terms why the DV01 of a eurodollar futures contract is 25? I can mathematically calculate in different ways, but not able to convince myself, especially how is it ...
1
vote
1answer
117 views

HJM simulation problem

I'm trying to simulate a 3-factor HJM model. I got the algorithms from Glasserman book. In my case, I have $3$ maturity:$ 0.25y, 0.5y, 0.75y$. So my time grid is: $t_0=0,t_1=0.25,t_2=0.5,t_3=0.75$. ...
2
votes
1answer
85 views

Discounting based on instrument type

Suppose we have an asset $A$, and we have modelled the cashflows for this asset to be $\{C_{1},\ldots C_{k}\}$ which occur at time $\{T_{1},\ldots T_{k}\}$. Now the present value of the asset can be ...
1
vote
2answers
132 views

how to extend lognormal model so that $\sigma$ is correlated to $\mu$?

Consider a log-normal model, $dx / x = \mu dt + \sigma dW$, where $W(t)$ is a Wiener process. Let's say $\mu$ and $\sigma$ change with time, slowly, so we note them by $\mu(t)$ and $\sigma(t)$. ...
1
vote
1answer
66 views

What are the CMG-relevant banks according to Basel III?

I'm going through Basel III monitoring workbook and instruction. There's one row in "General Info -> A) General Bank Data -> 1) Reporting Data" part: "CMG-relevant: Yes/No?" I wonder what does this ...
9
votes
5answers
11k views

how to derive yield curve from interest rate swap?

According to some textbooks, to derive the yield curve, quote overnight to 1 week: rates from interbank money market deposit, 1 month to 1 year: LIBOR; 1 year to 7 years: Interest Rate Swap; 7 ...
0
votes
2answers
108 views

Why long power and short gas for Merchant power plant

Merchant power plant is one that can be turned on whenever you want. Suppose it is generating electricity from natural gas and we have a spark-spread option. Why is that the person who owns plant is ...
7
votes
4answers
705 views

From Fourier Transforms to Option Values

I am trying to understand how Fourier transforms & Characteristics functions can be used to calculate option values. However, I am having difficulty following the process that is used in several ...
1
vote
2answers
101 views

Harnessing small correlations for reliable profit

It is said that Edward O. Thorp was able to harness small correlations for reliable financial gain. I've seen some strategies based on strong correlations which did not seem particularly reliable. ...
0
votes
0answers
136 views

What are the theta and vega of a forward starting plain vanilla european option with no dividend?

I am reading through Hull's book asking myself this question to understand exotics. I currently believe that theta should equal 0 until the forward start time, $t_*$, if the call pays no dividends. ...
10
votes
5answers
1k views

Is it possible to use a series of option prices to predict the most likely path of an asset?

I've always wondered about this. If you have a series of options, with the expires spaced let's say one week between them, and you search for each expiration date the option with the smallest ...
0
votes
2answers
144 views

Accessible HTF? (Slippage reduction)

I designed an strategy that operates with 30-second bars on e-mini SP500. It works fine in the back-testing and the out-sample, also performs well in every walk-forward test I have tried. But, when ...
3
votes
2answers
119 views

CVaR/VaR Ratio as alpha goes to 1

I am having trouble taking the following limit of CVaR/VaR for a normal distribution as alpha approaches 1: $\lim_{\alpha \to 1} \frac{\mu + \sigma \frac{\phi^{-1}(\alpha)}{1-\alpha}}{\mu + \sigma ...
3
votes
1answer
101 views

Pricing of a simple contingent claim

Earlier I had the question (5.11 Tomas Bjork): $$ \frac{\partial F}{\partial t}+\frac{1}{2}x^2\frac{\partial^2 F}{\partial t^2}+x = 0 $$ $$ F(T,x) = ln(x^2) $$ And solve it using Feynman-Kac. The ...
2
votes
0answers
76 views

Why is the LIBOR-market model free of arbitrage?

Recently I have been reading a lot on the market models. One thing that keeps escaping me - why is the Libor-market model (LMM) assumed to e free of aritrage in continuous time ? To me this means ...
26
votes
9answers
5k views

How 'High' is the frequency in HFT?

How many trades per second are we talking about? What kind of strategies are used in this time frame? Can the small guy play the game?
1
vote
1answer
88 views

Differenced Brownian Motion covariance

I am having some difficult showing what the following equals, where $x$ and $y$, $x>y$, distinct times: $\mathbb{E}[\Delta W_x \Delta W_y]$ where each $\Delta W_t = W_t - W_{t-1}$. I have ...
2
votes
0answers
118 views

Reference for Algorithmic Trading [closed]

I have recently started to look up algorithmic trading but I am finding it hard to find references related to this field.I am math major with a sound knowledge in Statistics, various programming ...
3
votes
1answer
123 views

Beta and Frequency of Data

Why are the betas of individual securities essentially the same whether we use daily or weekly data when calculating?
3
votes
1answer
212 views

quantiative risk measure how they are implemented in R and their use

So far I have just theoretical knowledge of risk measure and never used them in application. Therefore I have some basic question how risk measures are used in reality and how they are implemented in ...

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