0
votes
1answer
198 views

Controling ex-post volatility by ex-ante limits

In the context of mutual funds the KID directive forces us to calculate 5 year ex-post volatility of a (market) fund (weekly returns). Thus each week we look back in the past and calculate volatility ...
3
votes
2answers
157 views

Intuition behind interest rate models

I am modelling the 3M yield of US Treasuries using an ARMA/ GARCH approach. Most interest rate models (e.g. Vasicek) describe the process as follows: $r_{t}-r_{t-1} = some ARMA+ \epsilon_t $ ...
0
votes
0answers
27 views

Recording Bill payment of Credit Sale with existing Customer Deposit

Need your help for below scenario : 1) Sale of an item for 200.00. But customer pays 250.00 and asks to keep $50 as an advance for next transaction. For this transaction, Journal Entries will be as ...
-1
votes
1answer
176 views

Is the market really Normal. Is Implied Volatility Historically Correct?

Ok. So as of 6/10/2014's market close the SPY was 195.6 and the VIX closed at a ridiculous recent low of 10.99. Now because the VIX (IV) is the implied volatility of 1 month contracts on the SPX and ...
0
votes
2answers
154 views

BInary Option implied volaltility

How is implied vol calculated if the quoted prices are out of the range for any possible volatility? E.g. Current quote on CBOE for options expiring on Aug 16, 2014 ...
2
votes
4answers
867 views

Is node.js being used in systematic trading software?

I have a project where I would like to track some tick data and create some indicators to follow it. I am thinking of using Node.js for this project, but I would like to know from those in industry if ...
1
vote
0answers
165 views

VaR mapping - Forward Foreign Currency Contract

I have a question about VaR mapping for FX forwards. Please bear with me while I outline the problem. Philippe Jorion's book discusses VaR mapping; a means to break down complex instruments into ...
5
votes
1answer
291 views

PDF Calculation by Fourier Inversion of Characteristic Function for Affine Intensity Process in Matlab

I'm trying to use the Fourier inversion formula to plot the PDF of an Affine Stochastic Intensity Reduced Form Credit Model, given its characteristic function. The characteristic function of an ...
1
vote
2answers
298 views

calculate gamma value using finite difference method

I try to use the finite difference method to get the approximately gamma value, but there is an issue I can't solve. First, I set $h$ to 1 basis point of underlying asset value, but the result is not ...
5
votes
1answer
103 views

Estimating the Hurst exponent in short terms in developed markets

In the Proceedings of the Estonian Academy of Sciences, Physics and Mathematics (2003), I saw the following sentence: Surprisingly, in the case of developed markets, short-term $H$ results showed ...
0
votes
1answer
404 views

Directional/Non-Directional Risk

Can someone explain to me what is direction/non-directional risk? Went through few sites but couldn't understand much.
0
votes
2answers
1k views

Is there a step-by-step guide for calculating portfolio VaR using monte carlo simulations

I am trying to determine a step-by-step algorithm for calculating a portfolio's VaR using monte carlo simulations. It seems to me that the literature for this is extraordinarily opaque for something ...
2
votes
1answer
179 views

Boundary condition for Asian Option under Black-Scholes model

I am looking at Kemna and Vorst's paper: A PRICING METHOD FOR OPTIONS BASED ON AVERAGE ASSET VALUES. see http://www.javaquant.net/papers/Kemna-Vorst.pdf Let $\text{d}S_t = S_tr\text{d}t + ...
1
vote
1answer
101 views

regarding Basel II III model

I may have to get involved in some projects using Basel II, III model for risk modeling, to which I have no background. Are there any good book/tutorials to recommend? What are the underlying ...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

Market-Maker existence impact to short-term informed directional trading

How existence of market-maker affects short-term directional trading? Normally when playing short-term directional we play against market marker that will cover losses from uninformed traders. But ...
3
votes
3answers
140 views

What is the correct / expected behavior for a market order sent to an empty book?

Should it stick around until liquidity shows up? (GTC) Should it cancel any size for which there is no liquidity? (IOC) Is there such a thing as Market GTC or Market Orders must always be IOC?
0
votes
0answers
82 views

Identifiability for Time Invariant State Space Models

Kevin Murphy's Kalman Filter toolbox (for Matlab) contains an example where it's the fact that the state space system in not identifiable causes problems. I include the example in it's entirety but ...
1
vote
0answers
63 views

Variable Selection with Kalman Filter

I'm trying to estimate factor loadings on portfolios over time for portfolios that are traded pretty frequently. I have a sense that several portfolios are loading on the Fama-French HML factor ...
3
votes
1answer
385 views

Why parameterize the Black Scholes implied volatility surface?

I know that SVI volatility surfaces are very popular among financial practitioners. I understand that this is not really a model for some underlying asset (such as Black Scholes, Heston etc.) but ...
0
votes
1answer
149 views

Dealing with the stock numeraire

I don't understand how to express the stock dynamics in the stock numéraire I have $dS_t/S_t = rdt + \sigma dW_t$ as usual under the money-market numéraire and I need to price options with payoffs ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Finding criteria for a household financial budget falsification

I’m working on a financial problem about budget of households. Households in a state fill a form about their net budget in every year and our insurance company investigate their financial status and ...
5
votes
1answer
259 views

Quant teams predicting the World Cup

It is a good tradition of the quant teams of the major banks to predict the World Cup. As an example see this new paper from Goldman Sachs: The World Cup and Economics 2014 (Brazil will win by the ...
0
votes
1answer
149 views

Girsanov theorem in CMS convexity derivation

I am going through the derivation of CMS convexity from the notes of Lesniewski There is a transformation from $T_p$ forward measure to annuity measure $Q$ as $$ ...
8
votes
4answers
634 views

Why shrink the covariance matrix?

I'm trying to understand why it's useful to shrink the covariance matrix for portfolio construction or in fact general. Think I missing something. I know if you have 5,000 stocks it's a lot of ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

Are there any Spanish language resources for getting quotes?

In English, there is MetaTrader from http://www.metaquotes.net. Is there any similar platform or program available in Spanish for backtracking and running your trading algorithms? How about ...
0
votes
0answers
91 views

Liquidity Coverage Ratio: Proposed changes by US Fed, OCC and FDIC

With its latest report on the impact of the Liquidity Coverage Ratio the EBA has stated: "Incentives for regulatory arbitrage could be minimised if central bank operations were treated ...
8
votes
4answers
2k views

Why is the VIX futures market usually in a state of contango?

I'm a VIX newbie and I'm trying to understand why the VIX futures market is usually in a state of contango. All I can figure is that the sellers of VIX futures contracts demand high "prices" (because ...
2
votes
1answer
103 views

Do people hedge with leveraged ETFs intraday? How?

Seems that the answer to the first part should be yes, but haven't seen any references or examples. E.g. suppose I want to hedge XLF position with FAZ. Do people use close to current returns, or just ...
0
votes
1answer
213 views

Price change of a bond towards yield and YTM

I have been trying to get a good picture of PV01 and DV01(PVBP). I was going through below link. This measure is the absolute value of the change in price of a bond for a one basis point change in ...
1
vote
3answers
94 views

Obtaining Expense Ratio Data

I have a list of tickers (~11,500) in a .txt/.csv file and accompanying fund data from yahoo finance. I'm wondering if there is a reasonably easy/accessible way to use this list to obtain expense ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

The list of all UCITs IV funds tickers

I am looking for the list of tickers for all the UCITs IV complaint funds. Could there be such a list? Thanks,
1
vote
2answers
85 views

Standard Deviation as listed in Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation: Binomial Replication 2.3.4 Worked-Out Example

I am reading Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation (2nd Edition) and I think it's a great book. I'm having difficulty trying to derive a formula he used that he described as the expression for ...
3
votes
3answers
276 views

Determining optimal trading signals (buy/sell) from past data

Let's say we have a stock which our only actions are buy, sell and hold (with or without shorting). If we have sufficient past data of the stock, how can you determine the optimal trading action ...
2
votes
2answers
402 views

IMM Swaps vs. Forward Swaps

Could we think of IMM dated swaps as forward swaps (since they trade only on specified dates and they might not be the current date)? For example, today is June 2nd, the next IMM swap is June 14 (not ...
0
votes
1answer
471 views

How do I do a mean variance optimization with constraints?

I am using python and the cvxopt library to calculate an efficient frontier, per the docs: http://cvxopt.org/examples/book/portfolio.html However, I cannot figure out how to add a constraint so that ...
1
vote
0answers
147 views

trading strategy outperforms passive strategy in absolute terms, but in returns vice versa. how could this be?

Background: I want to compare two trading strategies in term of profitability. The red one is an active trading strategy, which involves many entry and exit to a specific market. The blue one is a ...
3
votes
2answers
157 views

Modelling driftless stock price with geometric Brownian motion

I wish to understand some basic fact about the (primitive) simulation of stock prices with geometric Brownian motion. If $S(t)$ is the stock price at time $t$, and the stock price follows geometric ...
4
votes
1answer
157 views

Simulating state space model with AR(1) dynamics

I asked a question similar to this previously: https://dsp.stackexchange.com/questions/16341/simulating-a-state-space-model However I think I have a better handle on it now and want to re-ask it: I ...
0
votes
1answer
68 views

Sample size and historical correlation matrices

I was wondering whether any literatures existed on how to properly estimate correlation matrices from historical data. Obviously the entire procedures allows a lot of leeway. The frequency of ...
3
votes
1answer
80 views

Properties of a Symmetric Copula

I am working with the following copula, and have a few questions about it: $C(x,y) = xy + \theta (1-x)(1-y)xy$ Here $\theta \in [-1,1]$ and $x,y \in [0,1]$ First, I am trying to show this copula is ...
1
vote
1answer
64 views

Regression of TAQ half-hourly stock volume data against news volume

I am planning to run regression of half-hourly stock volume against the half-hourly news volume for that particular stock. I am looking at 2 years of data for my analysis. However, I am stuck thinking ...
1
vote
3answers
187 views

Hedge fund database with daily data

I am looking for a hedge fund database that provides returns daily. Is there any data provider that gives daily data?
1
vote
1answer
213 views

What is the Rho of an option on a futures contract priced using the Black 76 model?

I wanted to quickly confirm some simple calculations for the Black 76 greeks and was making use of the formulas on this website: http://riskencyclopedia.com/articles/black_1976/ I have an issue with ...
3
votes
1answer
86 views

meaning of discount term in FRA value

Consider a forward rate agreement on LIBOR (say), which starts 2 months from now, expires after 3 months and has strike $K$, and is based on $3M$ LIBOR -- $FRA_{2\times 5}$. Now the present value of ...
0
votes
1answer
81 views

Best performing stocks in given year

Is there a function in Bloomberg that allows the user to search the best performing stocks for a given year, say 2011, in any given stock exchange? For example, I want to see the best performing ...
0
votes
0answers
52 views

Is it possible to graph the option price with respect to the greeks

Is it possible to graph a European option's price as a function of say, its delta? I've been wondering this since, for example, for a call, the option price is given by $$Se^{-q*t}\Phi (d_1) - ...
1
vote
3answers
292 views

CDS Spreads and Equity Volatility

Why does CDS spreads track the implied volatility on equities? What is the fundamental relationship that would keep the two inline from deviating too far from each other? My speculation: Could it be ...
2
votes
0answers
56 views

Tick Data Poisson Process

I am trying to generate a custom tick index using two indices (Let's say australian index ASX 200 and Japenese Index NKY). Japan index ticks every 10 seconds...and australia ticks every 30/35 seconds. ...
4
votes
0answers
140 views

Calculating volatility of inhomogeneous time series

I am reading an article by Zumbach and Müller whose name is Operators on Inhomogeneous Time Series. This is interesting in general, but my main goal is to learn a good and efficient method to ...
1
vote
0answers
31 views

What is the main point in the Forward contracts definition?

In Islamic Finance there is a contract called "Salaf" or "Salam" which is similar to Forwards except in time of payment which happens in the entering contract day (exactly unlike the Forwards). Some ...

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