5
votes
0answers
122 views

Momentum - Statistical Argument

In their seminal paper Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) develop a statistical model to infer where moment comes from. In practice they setup the following: $r_{it}=\mu_i + b_i f_t +e_{it}$ ...
1
vote
1answer
28 views

Consumption Based Asset Pricing

I am working on some consumption based asset pricing models. I am modelling consumption growth in several different ways. An obvious one is to model consumption growth as an AR(1) process: $g_{t+1} = ...
4
votes
0answers
100 views

How would it be possible to use Dynamic Programming to search a space of investment strategies to find an optimum?

As my question states, the problem I am having is finding a sensible way to search a large space. Any help or insight that could be provided would be hugely appreciated. Currently I am trying to ...
0
votes
2answers
152 views

What are some examples of non-solvable SDE where Monte Carlo discretization is necessary

Reading Glasserman - "Monte Carlo Methods in Finance" it says in the introduction to Chapter 6 - Discretization Methods, that moste models arising in derivatives pricing can be simulated only ...
4
votes
1answer
101 views

Fit linear model to higher moments of CAPM

How can one fit a linear model to the higher moments of CAPM in R? Fitting a linear model to the second moment (classical CAPM) would be ...
2
votes
2answers
106 views

Negative adjusted strike in Levy's Asian option approximation?

In Edmond Levy's 1992 paper, he introduced a moment-matching method to approximate the price of an Asian option assuming GBM for the underlying. It suggested that, if some monitor points are already ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

Issues with +100 symbols in Quantstrat, Erratic Trades

I've tested my code against individual symbols and very small groups of symbols. I'm finding the more symbols I add the fewer trades I get. For instance, if I just include the first five symbols, all ...
2
votes
0answers
120 views

Forecast of ARMA-GARCH model in R

I managed to forecast a GARCH model yesterday and run a Monte Carlo simulation on R. Nevertheless, I can't do the same with an ARMA-GARCH. I tested 4 different method but without achieving an ...
1
vote
1answer
105 views

How to scale $\alpha$, trading costs in a standard portfolio optimization problem

In the usual "portfolio optimization problem under linear constraints". Let me define the terms here. $$ \text{Find } w^*=\underset{w}{\text{argmax}} \ \ r^Tw - \lambda w^{T} \Sigma w - ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

What are commercial impact models and transaction cost analysis models out there for simulation?

I have heard that ITG, LiquidMetrix, MarkIT and TradingScreen has good Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA) research. I wonder which firm one would choose to have an impact model formula inside his ...
0
votes
0answers
50 views

Optimize Kelly Criterion in these circumstances for Binary Options

For simple bets with two outcomes, one involving losing the entire amount bet, and the other involving winning the bet amount multiplied by the payoff odds, the Kelly bet is: f* is the fraction of ...
5
votes
1answer
112 views

justification of square root process

In finance, many stochastic processes $X(t)$ are defined via \begin{equation} dX = \text{(some drift term)} dt + \sigma X^\gamma dW_t \end{equation} with $\gamma = 1/2$ (for instance the Heston model ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

What is some book that is complete and easy but hard enough to serve as prerequisite for asset pricing and portfolio choice theory?

What is some book that is complete and easy but hard enough to serve as prerequisite for asset pricing and portfolio choice theory by kerry back? I wonder how come a beginning graduate textbook is so ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

Where to download Earnings Conference Call transcripts?

Is there any places (like EDGAR) that I can download Earnings Conference Call transcripts in bulk? Thanks.
4
votes
1answer
132 views

Computation of Expectation

This question has so long preoccupied my mind.Please help me to solve it. Question: Assume $X_t$ described by the following stochastic differential equation $$dX_t^{\,\alpha}=\alpha X_t^{\,\alpha} ...
1
vote
2answers
173 views

How to get list of all symbols in fred database?

I am trying to query every single series in the fred database using r. I have checked out both the quantmod and fImport packages, and they work fine, though it seems that quantmod fits my use a bit ...
2
votes
3answers
181 views

Intuitive Explanation for Volatility Smile for Equity

I am trying to understand the intuitive reasoning for why volatility is more for deep OTM/ITM put/call then ATM..(why Simles for equity) Why ATM will not have more volatility as deep OTM/ITM option ...
2
votes
4answers
201 views

Why square root of volatility in Heston model?

Why do we model it as sqrt root of v(t)? Is that because we don't want the volatility to go negative? If this is the case, can we model it as square of v(t)?
0
votes
1answer
55 views

What P&L netting should one use when a strategy has trades in two different geographic locations?

I am familiar with the FIFO methodology of netting buys and sells to obtain a realized P&L and outstanding position. Suppose there's a strategy which runs in two different places A, and B and ...
1
vote
0answers
41 views

Settlement/Spot/(bid ask spread) ratio

Are there any studies on the average difference or ratio between Settlement (execution price) and the Spot price dependant on lot size. I'm looking for a function such as ...
-3
votes
2answers
62 views

Approximating the IV of an underlying from Individual Options IV

Is it possible to get a calculation of IV from the volatility on components of the options chain? EG I have this data: ...
3
votes
1answer
100 views

Evaluation of the semi-closed Heston pricing formula for call options

I'd like to know, how the integral part of the semi-closed Heston pricing formula for call options can be simulated for a given set of model parameters. Monte Carlo simulations shoud work for this ...
7
votes
2answers
668 views

How does one estimate the probability of the Fed increasing its benchmark rate based on Fed funds futures?

How was this 67% probability calculated from Fed funds futures? Fed funds futures show a 67 percent chance the central bank will increase its benchmark rate by year-end from virtually zero, ...
2
votes
2answers
236 views

How to interpret Realized Volatility and TSRV using R

I am looking at some high frequency data and I would like to know how to interpret and compare Realized volatility (RV) and Two Scale Realized Volatility (TSRV). References below. Given X is the log ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

Does it make sense to interpret autocorrelation and box test on 5 data points?

I am trying to see if after I trade a stock the price movements at 2, 5, 7, 10, 30 and 60 seconds after exhibit any autocorrelation. Below I have the returns from my trade price to the trade 2,5,7,10 ...
1
vote
0answers
134 views

Monte Carlo, convexity and Risk-Neutral ZCB Pricing

I've built a simplistic Excel monte carlo model to price a zero-coupon bond, but it came up with a slightly unepxected result so I wanted to confirm whether my maths is just a little rusty or my model ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

Performance analysis for a changing portfolio

I am trying to do a performance analysis of an investment in five different funds (A to E). I am investing a fixed amount at each fund (say 10m in A, 20m in B, 10m in C, 20m in D, 10m in E) but the ...
2
votes
0answers
134 views

Calculating Net Annualized Return on LendingClub historical data

I am interested in the formula LendingClub provides as their measure of "Net Annualized Return": $\big(1 + \frac{\sum_{i=1}^N{((I_i + L_i - S_i - C_i + R_i) / P_i) ...
-1
votes
1answer
28 views

What is wrong in my investment calculation [closed]

I am thinking to start investing monthly and i am trying to calculate my investment using excel with a compound interest of 5% monthly plus addition of certain amount. First month investment is 10000 ...
1
vote
1answer
184 views

Geometric Brownian Motion - Why Sqrt(dt)? [closed]

I was going to simulate a geometric brownian motion in matlab, when I recognized that I didnt fully understand the underlying Wiener process. Following the instuctions here I am starting from the ...
1
vote
1answer
25 views

Intrepreting the Capital Market Line plot

I am looking at plots of the Security Market (SML) line and Capital market line (CML). The X axis is the beta for the SML and Standard deviation for CML; the y axis is labeled with excess return. ...
1
vote
4answers
128 views

analytic formula for the value of an American put option

It seems to be a foolish question but I can't take my mind off from , Is it true that there is no analytic formula for the value of an American put option on a non-dividend-paying stock (or a divident ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

Programmer new to the quant world - learning material request [duplicate]

So I am a programmer in Uni and was looking for all types of resources to learn about quantitative analysis techniques from: Podcasts. Videos. Tutorials. Books. Lectures. Examples. All of these ...
2
votes
3answers
190 views

Latency and Delays across Exchanges

I have recently come across this paper by Battalio et al. "Can Brokers Have it all? On the Relation between Make Take Fees & Limit Order Execution Quality" and realized how little I know about the ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

Texts on the Generalized Method of Moments

I was looking for a book that could explain me well the Generalized Method of Moments, its mathematical nuances, and even have a look to the empirical side, maybe with some guided exercises with Stata ...
2
votes
2answers
180 views

Real world monte-carlo (P-measure)

Consider the 2 following approaches to pricing a security: Monte-carlo ($\mathbb{Q}$-measure) $\begin{equation} C = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{n} e^{-rT} max(S_i(t) - K, 0) \end{equation}$ Monte-carlo ...
1
vote
1answer
91 views

Vega in Heston / Bates Model

Just a question regarding "convention": Is the Vega in Heston / Bates model the sensitivity with regards to $\sqrt v_0$ or a term of $\sqrt v_0$ and $\theta$ (Long term variance)? Regards
1
vote
1answer
116 views

Broker or source of intraday futures data for a python API?

I am looking for a broker that offers a python API for downloading historical intraday data on futures. So far I have only seen Interactive Brokers and Tradestation. Are there some other brokers ...
2
votes
1answer
130 views

Why is CSA currency OIS rate used in discounting instead of local currency OIS?

I have been struggling to understand the logic behind cross currency OIS discounting (where cash flows happen in different currencies than the collateral is paid). I will illustrate my question ...
6
votes
0answers
192 views

Markov-Switching Multifractal and FX Rates

Is there a better model than Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM) for detecting regime shifts in FX rates across multiple time horizons? I am especially interested in the different aspects of the ...
3
votes
0answers
81 views

How does one simulate intraday strategies which don't end up flat at the close?

I ran into this trying to simulate trading interlisted names between the NYSE and the TSX. Depending on my strategy parametrization it would sometimes end up with a significant short or long dollar ...
2
votes
3answers
101 views

How free are we in risk-neutral distributions?

Suppose we do not have a particular pricing model, we have just a frictionless market with constant interest rate (say $0$), and some traded stock $S$ which does not pay dividends. For any expiry $T$ ...
0
votes
1answer
300 views

Which distribution do I get?

Let's assume the stock moves according to a classic Black-Scholes model, and makes a proportional jump with an unknown proportion. Say, it is either +1% or -3% of the stock value, and we know for sure ...
0
votes
1answer
44 views

Should earnings be modelled normally or lognormally?

I am having difficulty deciding whether a company's earnings should be modelled normally or lognormally. If we consider two arguments: (i) The earnings of a company are the returns on the assets of ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

What's the risk-neutral expectation of the arithmetic average of stock price?

All Black-Scholes assumptions apply ($y$ is yield): what's $E(A_T), E(A_T^2)$ and $Var(A_T)$ where $A_T=\frac{\int_0^T S_tdt}{T}$ is the continuous-sampling arithmetic average of the stock price ...
1
vote
0answers
75 views

Interpretation of Johansen cointegration test in R

I am using urca package of R for Johansen Cointegration test in 2 stocks datas( A and B. My question is very elementar, but have cause some problems for me. How I interpret the critical values, for ...
2
votes
1answer
85 views

Understanding Quandl Futures Data

I'm interested in learning how to adjust my own futures contracts for analysis. Unfortunately my quantitative classes didn't really go into this, and I would like to learn it on my own. The methods ...
2
votes
0answers
109 views

Simulation of Heston process

I am currently working on implementing Heston model in matlab for option pricing (in this case I am trying to price a European call) and I wanted to compare the results I obtain from using the exact ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

short term trading does it really add value and to whom?

Short term traders who flip their stocks within 5-10 minutes, do they really add value to any one? Text book answer is yes, they help price discovery and provide liquidity. Within that 5 minutes ...
3
votes
4answers
462 views

Why are Quantquote historical trades different vom ActiveTick historical trades

I bought quantquote.com historical data of AAPL on second basis. To comapre I also got activetick.com For activetick I used the historical trading API. If you look at around 15:13:53 you see that ...

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