2
votes
1answer
246 views

Incoherence in Bloomberg Data in Swap Curve Builder (ICSV)

When working on calibration for LMM model, we need to have Initial Libor quotes and Swaptions Black vol quotes on the market data. We have data provided by Bloomberg. However, before performing the ...
0
votes
2answers
188 views

Explanatory variables for regression predicting weekly stock returns

In an empirical analysis I'm trying to predict log() weekly stock returns. I'm trying to model stock returns in a panel data model framework. As explanatory variables I have 1) a measure of investor ...
1
vote
2answers
106 views

Different interim balances when calculating annual compound interest different ways

Something interesting that doesn't quite make sense to me. When calculating compound interest using P(1+r)^t, I'm calculating in two ways - one using the day 1 principal balance, and the other using ...
1
vote
2answers
59 views

How to calculate burnrate?

Wikipedia says Burn rate is a synonymous term for negative cash flow but I neither agree nor believe that is formalized. A company could need turnaround from losses ...
1
vote
1answer
69 views

Adjusting open, highs and lows for past monthly stock prices?

I'm looking into modelling monthly stock prices and want to start off by using data from Yahoo Finance. I know that the closing prices given there are adjusted for stock splits and dividends, but ...
3
votes
2answers
160 views

Martingale Stock Prices

In http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/files/pdf/Granger-stockmarket.pdf Granger makes survey of some arguments. In section I there are two hypothesis H01, and H02. H01: Stock prices are a ...
4
votes
5answers
1k views

Would this extremely simple strategy make money?

Find a diversified set of financial instruments by whatever method you like. Every day, buy each instrument at the open price. Historically, the open price is almost never the high. Sell immediately ...
1
vote
0answers
46 views

how to find CVaR/AVaR for triangular fuzzy no

While going through different methods of risk measure i came across AVaR/CVaR, while i was calculating AVaR/CVaR in credibilistic environment using VaR, i got stuck in the calculations eg. For ...
2
votes
1answer
351 views

How to draw a binomial option tree graph?

I am writing a paper and need to create a png or jpeg file for binomial option price tree. In the past I would have used the tikZ package in LaTeX, but that won't work in this case. So I want a ...
2
votes
2answers
215 views

Valuation of barrier options in Jump diffusion model

I am trying to evaluate the value of a Barrier option using Monte carlo method. The stock follows a jump diffusion model. I am using the method described in Metwally and Atiya. The authors describe ...
3
votes
3answers
349 views

Measuring historical earnings surprises, their frequency and severity

This is my first post to Quantitative Finance, so I hope my question is formatted the right way. I am starting to research the effects of earnings surprises on certain equity indices. Is there a ...
3
votes
3answers
152 views

Convergence of GBM mean after simulation?

As a follow up of my previous question, I am now simulating the GBM step by step for $n$ steps. I am using the following implementation for the simulation: $$S_{t+1} = S_t \exp \left[ ...
3
votes
1answer
142 views

What is wrong in this GBM simulation?

I am trying to generate a few samples of GBM using the following very simple MATLAB code: ...
0
votes
2answers
100 views

What would be a concise method to learn Monte Carlo methods?

Is there a concise way of learning the core Monte Carlo Methods from resources available online? This leads to my next question which is what are the core ideas to learn in Monte Carlo methods?
0
votes
1answer
90 views

What is the required Risk/ Reward ratio in Forex? [closed]

It is usually taught in forex training courses that the risk:reward ratio should be 1:2. My question is: why is it 1:2 but not other ratio? Also, I am new to forex trading. To what level of technical ...
2
votes
1answer
244 views

Closed form european option prices for a variance gamma process with a randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate

Does an option pricing model with a closed form European option price exist that takes into account randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate? I prefer a modification to the variance ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

Cross-Currency Inflation-Linked Swap

I am trying to find any references to cross-currency inflation-linked swaps. Have anyone encountered them and can describe how they work and how they differ from standard year on year inflation swaps? ...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

How can I break down the change in value for an inflation-linked bond

I am trying to decompose the change in value of an inflation-linked bond into two constituent parts: 1) That due to changing nominal rates on the issuer's non-linked bonds 2) That due to changing ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

What do “Exposure Bounds” mean in Portfolio Optimization?

I've just started reading up on Portfolio Optimization models and have come across the use of exposure bounds to mitigate the sensitivity of the optimized model solution, owing to parameter estimation ...
3
votes
2answers
141 views

Cross-sectional volatility vs temporal volatility

Volatility is usually defined as the standard deviation of returns, but sometimes it is calculated as the standard deviation of cross-sectional return divided by the square root of time, where other ...
4
votes
4answers
270 views

What kind of front end/ gui is used with trading applications?

I was wondering what kind of front end is used for trading applications. Coming from a quant background, I was always only concerned with research and back end of the application but am at a total ...
1
vote
0answers
59 views

Rule of Thumb for minimum length of time series for AR(1) estimation

I have a data set of 350 points, I want to estimate the lag 1 auto correlation for different sub-sets of the data. More precisely I want to take non overlapping windows of length 1,2,3....n and ...
3
votes
1answer
65 views

Copula- AR simulation

I am estimating different copulas for bond factors that i also fit AR(1) models on. Now i would like to test and compare durations and VaRs with my model vs empiric. But how can i simulate AR(1) ...
1
vote
0answers
44 views

Intensity Function of Stochastic Processes

I'm fitting some financial data to a model based on a stochastic process and evaluating the fit of it by looking at the compensator. However, I cannot understand well what does it mean to take the ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Sovereign Credit Rating

I am working on the determinants of sovereign credit rating. I am looking for the historical rating dataset for eurozone countries. Does anyone know any source?
5
votes
3answers
248 views

Option on a dice game

I am sligtly confused by this problem, although it should not be difficult. Let us roll a sigle dice. If the dice shows $n$, I receive $n$ dollars. I can buy an option to roll the die again. What is ...
3
votes
2answers
1k views

What continous adjustment methods are firms using for futures backtesting?

There are several methods available between data vendors and associated software programs to adjust futures contract data for historical simulations. Some of the methods are: 1) Back or forward ...
4
votes
1answer
209 views

When Fed stops QE, Treasury Futures will go down in price, so… LEAP Puts are a good idea?

I think: when Fed stops QE (Quantitative Easing), Treasury Futures prices will go down. Question 1: Am I right? So... buying LEAP Puts (in Treasury Futures) would be a good idea. Question 2: Am I ...
2
votes
1answer
74 views

Meaning of w in SDE

I'm missing meaning of $w$ in typical SDE like $dX_t(w) = f_t(X_t(w)) + \sigma(X_t(w))dW_t$, in context of $w \in F_{xxx}$. Does it mean that both $w$ is one of events that could happen before ...
1
vote
1answer
476 views

Markit PMI vs ISM PMI

What is the difference between the Markit Manufacturing PMI and the ISM Manufacturing PMI? The monthly number differs a lot, my understanding is that they are trying to indicate the same thing.
4
votes
2answers
308 views

What is a cubature scheme?

Ideally an intuitive explanation with an example, please.
2
votes
2answers
153 views

What is the reasoning to derive this financial model called the Vasicek Model?

The model specifies that the instantaneous interest rate follows the stochastic differential equation $$\mathrm{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\: \mathrm{d}t + \sigma \: \mathrm{d}W_t$$ where $W_{t}$ is a Wiener ...
4
votes
1answer
113 views

Explicit solution SDE

I have the following SDE: $$dY_{t}=A\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{1}+B\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{2}$$ where ...
6
votes
2answers
221 views

How to get an analytic result for option price based on this model?

I defined such a model for stock price (1).... $$dS = \mu\ S\ dt + \sigma\ S\ dW + \rho\ S(dH - \mu) $$ , where $H$ is a so-called "resettable poisson process" defined as (2).... $$dH(t) = ...
2
votes
1answer
71 views

How much correlation between alpha and forward returns can be considered good

There are many way to quantify the quality of an $\alpha$ (prediction of the future return of a security). I heard/do many things, most of them are equivalent to correlation. Typically ...
2
votes
2answers
3k views

What is the Swap Curve?

What is the so-called Swap Curve, and how does it relate to the Zero Curve (or spot yield curve)? Does it only refer to a curve of swap rates versus maturities found in the market? Or is it a swap ...
4
votes
0answers
305 views

Rate Distortion Minimization in a Python Clustering Algorithm

I'm attempting to solve for $\hat{k}$ clusters, such that the rate distortion is minimized, as described here, however, the answers that I am getting from my algorithm are not following the "Jump" ...
0
votes
1answer
2k views

Conversion factor for bonds

Hull defines the conversion factor for a bond as the "quoted price the bond would have per dollar of principal on the first day of the delivery month on the assumption that the interest rate for all ...
4
votes
3answers
108 views

How does US banks ensure that other country's banks aren't counterfeiting USD?

I have had this question for a long time. For example, if I wire 50M USD from China to the US, does the Chinese bank physically deliver 50M USD cash to the US bank? or is it just changing a number in ...
0
votes
1answer
181 views

Does Implied Volatility always exist?

I am considering a simple Heston Model Market with one risky and one riskless asset. The dynamics of the riskless asset is simply $dB_t=r*B_t*dt$ The dynamics of the risky asset is as follows, $ ...
1
vote
1answer
181 views

Estimate correlation of time series whose histories differ in length

Very often in quantitative analysis (e.g. calculating portfolio volatility) we have to analyze various time series - mostly returns - whose lenghts differ. Risk systems usually apply a one-factor ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Earnings Quality for a large group of stocks

Does anyone have any recommendations for how to track earnings quality for a large number of stocks (500+) on a quarterly basis? I am familiar with the M-Score for detecting earnings manipulation but ...
4
votes
2answers
347 views

Black-Scholes fastest computation method

What is the fastest way to numerically compute Black-Scholes-Merton option prices? I'm trying to find fastest and still precise method. Currently I'm using numerical approximation of Normal cdf with ...
7
votes
1answer
487 views

How to better understand trading signals?

I am looking to get a better understanding of an output from a trading strategy. Basically I have a daily equity curve lets call it $Y_t$. I have defined a bunch of independent variables $X_{it}$ that ...
2
votes
0answers
75 views

Practitioner's criterion for MC pricing convergence

Let's say I have some Interest Rates (IR) pricing model which relies on Monte Carlo pricing and I'd like to benchmark its quality and find out optimal settings (time steps & iterations) per asset ...
1
vote
2answers
459 views

VIX intraday data

Where I can high-frequency intraday data on VIX? Is it available on Bloomberg Terminals? I see many questions posted on Quant.stackexechange about VIX options therefore I am sure someone knows where I ...
0
votes
2answers
122 views

Calculation of price momentum using weekly price observations

In an empirical analysis I'm trying to predict stock returns using different firm characteristics. I would like to use price momentum as an explanatory variable, but I'm not quite sure how to ...
7
votes
3answers
578 views

What are the merits of pseudo random numbers over quasi random numbers in monte-carlo simulation?

I understand that quasi-random numbers have much better convergence, but are there any reasons for me to use pseudo-random numbers instead?
1
vote
1answer
206 views

Should I analyze the tick data day by day?

Let assume that we have one month of tick data which were traded at NYSE. We want to model the price changes as a function of the last p lags of price changes and the last q lags of the time duration ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

Define some finance terminology for me, please. Live options vs. crossed options

What is a "live" option vs. a "crossed" option? Does a cross option just mean that it is hedged? If someone is buying an option and says "I want to buy a November 5.00 (strike price) put cross at ...

15 30 50 per page