1
vote
0answers
60 views

Higher moments arbitrage

Is there concrete evidence that statistical arbitrage (historical vs. implied) on higher moments, specifically skewness and kurtosis, can be (significantly) done? Working from this source, the author ...
4
votes
3answers
183 views

Why are investors risk-averse?

In CAPM, we assume people are risk-averse and people get compensated for the systematic risk they suffer. The assumption that most people are risk-averse makes sense, but why are the rational ...
3
votes
0answers
38 views

Is a position-weighted sum of nominal returns for a single asset a mathematically sound calculation?

A friend of mine insists that that the following is a sound method to calculate the performance of a single holding in a portfolio, given that over time more capital has been allocated to that holding....
1
vote
0answers
60 views

Computing Overall Return for A Single Asset Given Inflows & Outflows

I am creating a portfolio tracking model in Excel and have run into difficulty on how to track the overall performance of a single asset, given that over time more and less capital (shares) has been ...
10
votes
3answers
395 views

Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is "...
1
vote
2answers
64 views

Futures Contracts, Rollover, Offsets

I was reading Trading Commodities and Financial Futures by Kleinman, I saw this excerpt: When you buy or sell a futures contract, you don’t actually sign a contract drawn up by a lawyer. Instead,...
5
votes
1answer
91 views

Prove arbitrage opportunity

The continuously compounded interest rate is $r$. The current price of the underlying asset is $S(0)$ and the forward price with delivery time in 1 year is $F(0,1)$. Short selling of the stock ...
4
votes
0answers
40 views

Regularity requirement for convergence of Euler scheme for stochastic integral?

Let $S_t$ be follow Black Scholes, then I am interesting in simulating the process $\int ^t _0 e^{-rt}1_{\{S_t\leq K\}}dS_t$ which is like a naive hedge of a European put, which does not work in ...
4
votes
2answers
231 views

How to derive Black's formula for the valuation of an option on a future?

I've got a question about 1976 Black Model and Bachelier model. I know that a geometric brownian motion in the P measure $dS_{t}=\mu S_{t}dt+\sigma S_{t} dW_{t}^{P}$ for a stock price $S_{t}$ leads (...
1
vote
1answer
123 views

Geometric Brownian Motion: d(S) vs. d(ln(S))

I am quoting from "Tools for Computational Finance, 5th Edition" [Seydel]. I wonder whether the histogram of simulations of the first (yellow) SDE makes sense... especially given that Seydel (...
3
votes
1answer
76 views

Dickey Fuller test of stationarity differenced data

In this case study on treasury yeilds from MIT, I have a question on page 11-12. He uses this data getYahooData("^TNX", start=20000101, end=20130531) His logic on page 11 is this "only daily ...
30
votes
8answers
9k views

Time-series similarity measures

Suppose I have two time series $X$ and $Y$ of stock prices. How do I measure the "similarity" of $X$ and $Y$? (I'm being deliberately vague as I don't have a particular application, and I'm curious ...
3
votes
4answers
266 views

What are the canonical global-macro investing books?

What is a good reading list for Global Macro investing? What does Bridgewater, Bervan Howard, Soros, AQR etc. use to teach their staff about macroeconomic investing? Let us assume a top-class ...
1
vote
1answer
89 views

Forecasting sales from balance sheet data

I have got a database with balance sheet and income statement data of 150.000 firms for the period 1995-2014. I need to get a good forecast of each firm's sales. As exogenous variables I can use the ...
5
votes
2answers
2k views

Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
1
vote
2answers
123 views

Modelling and forecasting mixed frequency financial data

I was wondering if someone could provide some guidance to me. I would like to Combine various financial data of mixed frequencies (some daily, weekly, some quarterly) to a composite index. I have ...
1
vote
1answer
71 views

Error when trying to estimate a Markov-switching Var model in R

I'm trying to estimate a Markov-switching VAR in R using the command msvar. These are the first 10 entries of my two time series. I have 798. When I try to run this I get an Error message ...
4
votes
1answer
110 views

Mixing Portfolio Strategies

Given a set of $N$ assets, the amount of strategies proposed in literature to diversify the investors wealth in order to find the 'optimal' portfolio is overwhelming. However, for example DeMiguel et ...
0
votes
2answers
67 views

Business cycles and missing data

For many probability of defaults models in credit risk it is needed to use data observed from a "full" business cycles. Usually a business cycle is defined as a recurring (not necessarily periodic) ...
10
votes
0answers
233 views

Covariance estimation: shrinkage, random matrix theory, what else?

Shrinkage was much en-vogue before random matrix theory (RMT) took everybody's attention in covariance matrix estimation, however the latter also showed its limits. A plethora of other estimators has ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

Effect of surprise dividends on options

The ETF in question is VDC It pays about $2.5 a year in dividends, but the payout dates are very erratic If I were to go long VDC with options, what would be the best way of doing this to avoid ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Feedback on Video Metadata Extraction

I've developed/patented a metadata extraction methodology, which we've used to build a variety of alternative datasets for funds. One of the more difficult issues in this field, is getting useful ...
4
votes
1answer
61 views

Sum of two GARCH(1,1) Models

I have two GARCH(1,1) processes ($q=1,2$) $$ \sigma_{q,t} = \gamma_q + \alpha_q \, \sigma^2_{q,t-1} + \beta_q \, \epsilon^2_{q,t-1} $$ that have a constant correlation $\sigma_{12,t} = \rho \, \...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

Exponentially weighted random matrix - which variance should I use?

I am currently playing around with exponentially weighted correlation matrices and filtering based on Random Matrix Theory. However, there is one thing I am not really sure about: In the equation ...
1
vote
1answer
67 views

Historical Scenario analysis for stress testing

I am doing historical scenario analysis in order to calculate stressed VAR for which I have taken 2007-2008 US crisis. I have two question in this regard:- 1) As we have to take prices for stocks ...
1
vote
1answer
94 views

Distribution of proportional bid-ask-spreads

I already asked this yesterday at "Economics Stack Exchange" but think this question might be better suited here. In the meantime i really tried to solve it by myself, but couldn't find anything what ...
1
vote
1answer
96 views

how to calculate RMSE, MAE, given ugarchforecast results?

Given S&P500 returns for the past 20 years I fitted an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model using the rugarch package, so using ugarchspec() and the ugarchfit(), with different innovations distributions, i....
2
votes
1answer
60 views

Linear Regession 3 methods different results

Morning, So I use a package called Ninja Trader that has a linear regression method, I have also written my own method and compared the results to excels linear regression method. All three are ...
0
votes
1answer
46 views

Trying to calculate WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) for this (small) data set

I've attached the data set I'm working with to this post. I'm trying to calculate the WACC using this data. I found a formula here: http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/063014/what-formula-...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

How to solve this system of ODEs?

Im trying to replicate the procedure of the Hackbarth et al. 2006 paper. Im trying to solve the ODEs (12) and (13) on page 525 in the paper, following the solution by the authors given in appendix A. ...
15
votes
7answers
19k views

What open source trading platform are available

I would like to compile a list of open source trading platforms. Something that would give an overview and comparison of different architectures and approaches.
1
vote
1answer
140 views

Which studies should be replicated?

In psychology voting on which studies should be replicated is established on a website. For economics, including financial economics, the ReplicationWiki (that I founded) offers a voting option but it ...
0
votes
2answers
56 views

Java platform/lib widely use in industry

I am currently switching from Java dev to quant and for my self-study I want to code a few auto-trading algorithms to get my hands on the subject. Are there any must know platforms/libs that I should ...
1
vote
1answer
61 views

How to convert bond options strikes to future prices

CME, 10 year Note Call Strike 1300 How to convert this strike to future price? (today's open at 131'100) For example we can take current prices EOD data for example chart on CMEgroup: http://www....
7
votes
2answers
522 views

Why do institutions backtest?

I see that institutions still use backtesting by computing P&Ls over historical data and then compute some aggregating ratios to see whether a trading strategy is good or not even though it is not ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

Consolidating Off-Balance Sheet Financing for Banks

Many banks use off-balance sheet vehicles and minority-owned non-consolidated subsidiaries to circumvent capital regulations. The parent bank's asset exposure is taken to be limited to its equity ...
1
vote
1answer
85 views

A simple question on Delta hedging

In the Black and Scholes model, when it is needed to immunize the portfolio from variations in the stock the argument given is the following. If $\alpha_t$ is the amount of invested in the stock, $\...
2
votes
1answer
100 views

Why is $N(d_2)$ not needed for hedging?

I'm trying to understand delta hedging. If I sell a plain vanilla call option, in order to delta hedge it, I have to buy delta amount of stocks. What I don't understand is that the BS price of the ...
1
vote
1answer
73 views

Order flow intensity

I am interested in how to calculate order flow intensity. I got access to high frequency data and can simulate a limit order book. What is the best approach if I want to calculate order flow intensity?...
2
votes
3answers
651 views

Bloomberg-alternatives for intraday stock price data?

Given the limitation Bloomberg imposes in terms of the number of days you can go into the past when retrieving historical intraday data, what are similarly reliable alternative solutions? I require ...
14
votes
4answers
7k views

Free intra-day equity data source

Are there any free data source for historical US equity data? Yahoo finance has daily prices but I'm looking for something more granular and goes back 2 or more years (doesn't have to be close to tick ...
1
vote
0answers
53 views

How to choose the stock exchange to trade a stock?

Let's take an example : Hewlett Packard. The company is listed on both Nasdaq and Nyse. Correct me if I am wrong but as we can trade it on 2 different stock exchanges the price of the stock may ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Calculate total risk [closed]

I have a question regarding how the risk is calculated, if I have only the returns. I think the risk premium (rp) is just the average of the returns and the sharpe ratio is the risk premium divided by ...
7
votes
1answer
85 views

Does price of american (put) option exhibit smooth pasting in time direction under B-S model?

Let us consider the BS model and let $f(s,t)$ denote the price of an American put option with $t$ to expiry, then it is known the solution of the optimal stopping (when it is risk neutral) related to ...
10
votes
3answers
188 views

Portfolio construction in reality?

There are various models for portfolio selection in literature, like, Harry Markowitz (HM) model ( Mean-Variance Model) [well known model] Konno and Yamazaki (1991) model: minimizes the sum of ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

Api to communicate with GlobalServer trading software

We are using this somewhat old software called GlobalServer and TS2000i by Omega research for capturing market data and generating systematic trading signals. I am using a third party software to ...
4
votes
1answer
638 views

How to calculate implied volatility smile of basket using correlations?

For a basket, the realized volatility can be calculated using: $$\sqrt{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2 + 2 \sigma_1 \sigma_2 \rho}$$ If I have the volatility surface of two underlyings S1,S2 (strike space). ...
1
vote
1answer
84 views

the difference between forward price and future price

In Hull's book 'Options, Futures and Other derivatives', author said that when price of underlying asset S is strongly positively correlated with the interest rate, future price is slightly larger ...
2
votes
1answer
93 views

Intraday data frequency

How should I determine what frequency should I use for doing microstructure research using intraday data? For some reason, there seems to be general consensus of using 5 minute interval, but is there ...
8
votes
3answers
2k views

Free/cheap source of structured historical quarterly filings?

What is a good place to acquire cheap/free historical quarterly filings data for US Companies? Specifically, I'm interested in the consolidated financial statements. The data should be well-structured ...

15 30 50 per page