0
votes
0answers
6 views

Will a back month leg in call calendar lose value if underlying goes down

If I buy a call calendar and underlying drops 5%, the front month short call will get further out of money and will lose value, resulting in a gain since I am short the front month option. What about ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

Why vega increases further out in time

Why do back months options have a higher vega than front month options? If possible , kindly explain on an intuitive level without a lot of math.
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Where to obtain Eurex level 2 historical order book data from?

What are some possible sources to obtain Eurex level 2 historical order book data from? Unfortunately I have only been able to find 1 source - namely Eurex itself, which charges 2000 Euro/month for ...
2
votes
1answer
334 views

How to interpret ACF and PACF plots

I just want to check that I am interpreting the ACF and PACF plots correctly: The data corresponds to the errors generated between the actual data points and the estimates generated using an ...
9
votes
2answers
5k views

Worked examples of applying Ito's lemma

In most textbooks Ito's lemma is derived (on different levels of technicality depending on the intended audience) and then only the classic examples of Geometric Brownian motion and the Black-Scholes ...
1
vote
0answers
22 views

Using Forward Equity Returns to Value Stream of Equity Return Cash Flows

Can I value the equity leg of an equity swap using the projected forward equity returns? In other words, for a sequence of times $t_{0}<t_{1}<\ldots<t_{n}$, where $t_{0}$ begins a brand new ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

Why does the OTM call sometimes have a higher theta than the ATM call?

In this AAPL option chain on Mar20 call options, the OTM calls have a slightly higher theta than the ATM calls. Why is this? Is not time value(and thereby time decay) supposed to be highest for ...
2
votes
1answer
229 views

Text book or distilled guide to market making?

Are there any practical articles, blogs or books that describe common practices in market making and how to calculate and use common measures? The majority of the information I found are research ...
3
votes
2answers
237 views

correlation for portfolio of stocks

I have a portfolio of stocks and all I want to do is to make sure that I'm not trading one big position, so I would like to monitor some type of metric that gives me a rough idea of what the overall ...
0
votes
1answer
108 views

Why does expected price of OTM option not equal to BS price?

If I assume that stock returns follow normal distribution with drift = 0% and S.D. = 10%. In the long, if I keep investing in this stock for a year with the same capital every year for a consecutive ...
2
votes
0answers
106 views

Is it too important that my residuals be normal? I am Using an ARMA/GARCH model

I am trying to fit an ARMA/GARCH model to a time series. I found that the best candidate is an ARMA(1,0) + GARCH(1,1) with gaussian white noise It has coefficients with p-values near cero and the ...
3
votes
2answers
230 views

Does higher vega imply higher IV and vice versa

If an option A has higher vega than option B, does that also mean that A has a higher IV than B? I understand that by definition, a higher vega means that A's price is more sensitive to its IV than B. ...
2
votes
1answer
75 views

If an option went down in value, how much is due to theta decay and how much due to fall in IV

Let us say that there was a stock trading at 100 and the 105 call was trading at 3 $. with 1 month to go Now stock went up to 104 after 15 days, and the call dropped to 2.80 $, to the call buyer's ...
0
votes
1answer
47 views

Pricing of a call option in one period binomial model

You are given a $5\%$ call option worth $\$2.66$. The strike price $k$ is $\$41.00$. $S(0)=40$, $Sd=35$ (i.e the lower price of the stock at $t=1$) find $Su$ (i.e the high price of the stock at ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

Amortizing Bond QuantLibXL

I would ask if anybody knows how to do get the NPV of an amortizing bond with QuantLibXL in the most automated way. I found some solutions but are very close to a manual calc, say, pass the vector of ...
1
vote
1answer
26 views

What is the strike of a short put that mimics a covered call

If I am long a stock $X$ which I purchased at $\$100$ and sold a covered call in the front month with strike $\$105$ for $\$2$ then is it true that the covered call is equivalent to a naked put at ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

Please recommend a book regarding Monte Carlo simulation in OAS

I couldn't find a book that explains in details how to use Monte Carlo Simulation to generate a number of interest rate scenarios. And then based on the interest rate scenarios, how to calculate the ...
5
votes
1answer
186 views

How to approximate the time to mean reversion for implied volatility

Given an option and its implied volatility, and also the mean value of the implied volatility over the last 30 days, if we find that the current IV is significantly (> 1 std dev.) away from the mean, ...
1
vote
1answer
46 views

Desperate for help with simple derivative

Can someone help explain how differentiating the following with respect to $x$: $$ \frac{1}{2} \alpha \mathbf{x}^T \Sigma \mathbf{x} + (\mathbf{\mu} - R\mathbf{1})\mathbf{x} $$ Yields the following: ...
1
vote
2answers
265 views

Why a calendar spread is a preferred strategy in a low volatility period

What is it about a calendar spreadas opposed to other spreads(e.g vertical spread) that makes it such a popular strategy for a period of low implied volatility? Is it that when low volatility turns ...
4
votes
1answer
275 views

How to compute greeks using the adjoint Monte Carlo approach?

Assume I have a stochastic ODE $$dS = a(S)dt + b(S)dW,$$ with Euler approximation $$\hat{S}_{n+1}=F_n(\hat{S}_n)=\hat{S}_n+a(\hat{S}_n)h+b(\hat{S}_n)Z_n\sqrt{h}.$$ This allows me to create sample ...
1
vote
1answer
90 views

Why implied volatility is less for the back month option even though the back month option is more expensive

Why is the implied volatility of this option at the ATM strike (18$) greater in the front month (March) than in a further month (Oct). The Oct month has 43%, but the front month has 54%. Should not ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Will implied volatilities rise by same amount across time and across strikes in lieu of an earnings report or a news event

It is said that implied volatility of an option rises leading up to an earnings report or a pending news event like FDA trial, a possible takeover,elections(?) etc. My question is, implied volatility ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

Does an Interest Rate Swap has a Vega component?

I am a bit confused on how you calculate vega for Interest Rate Swap. One argument is that IR Swap is a combination of fixed rate bond and floating rate bond. Since a bond has no vega component, IR ...
2
votes
1answer
84 views

Markowitz Mean-Variance Implied Returns

What is the closed form solution for the following inverse Markowitz problem? Given a mean-variance optimized fully invested portfolio $X$, a risk aversion parameter $\lambda$ and a var-covar ...
2
votes
2answers
82 views

hedging correlated instruments

If two instruments have a significant negative correlation but the percent change in the price of the instrument moving in positive direction is always more by a fraction than the one moving in ...
4
votes
1answer
85 views

Term structure of default probabilities without market data

With the forthcoming new regulations, IFRS9, financial institutions will be required to model life time expected credit losses. Consequently, it is necessary to model the term structure of default ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

Reducing multicollinearity in Arbitrage Pricing model

I am working on a test example where the idea is to come up with a model that predicts S&P500 returns using the 9 S&P subsectors(XLY,XLP,XLF,etc) as FACTORS.Now i know there exists ...
3
votes
1answer
148 views

How to get Black Scholes' Geometric Brownian Motion differential form form the closed form?

My instructor has mostly self contained notes, where our textbook is mostly a reference. She has it written that: $$S_t = S_0e^{(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2})t + \sigma W_t} \iff dS_t = S_t(\mu dt + ...
1
vote
2answers
48 views

Incorrect characterization of spot rate?

Is the t in the red boxed $R(t,T)$ supposed to be the same as the S in the green boxed $R(S,T)$?
2
votes
0answers
99 views

Non-Negative Matrix Factorization - Estimating the Mean

How do you estimate the mean in a Non-Negative Matrix Factorization framework? It is obvious and well known how to estimate the covariance matrix, how ever I also need the estimated mean. I'm ...
2
votes
4answers
489 views

Copulas simply explained

I try to understand the basic idea of copulas, however I am still struggling and hope that someone can help me. I understood that in general a copula is a function which links several marginal ...
3
votes
2answers
292 views

Why an option has sometimes and implied volatility greater than 100%?

Sometimes, in an option chain, the implied volatility of an option is greater than 100% . How is this possible? I mean, it is possible for 100$ stock to increase more than 100%, but not decrease more ...
1
vote
0answers
37 views

Reputational Harm

How would you measure the reputational harm incurred on an individual by an organization. How is Market Pricing in the expected payout resulting from the law suit by an individual ? The news breaks ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Delta-Gamma Neutral portfolio, derivation issue

Let $C$ be an option on an underlying $S$. I want to construct a portfolio $V$ using another asset $C_0$ such that the delta and the gamma of $V$ is the same as the delta/gamma of $C$, in order to ...
5
votes
3answers
151 views

Why does the volatility smile flatten as maturities increase?

First, I can't find a purely "financial" explanation for this. Also the only mathematical explanation I've found so far was using the large deviations theory, which is quite complex. Is there a ...
1
vote
0answers
51 views

forward curve and cap/floors in nowadays environment

I'm currently trying to get the implied volatility of a vanilla Euro floor with maturity 1Y with data from bloom. I have the price ( which is not supposed to take into account the first floorlet ...
1
vote
1answer
34 views

De-annualizing a target alpha return

apologies if this is not the correct place for this type of question, but I just want to confirm if the following de-annualization is correct. if a manager states that he will earn 200 bps of target ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

Calculating the optimal portfolio for an investor with quadratic utility

The problem is from Asset Pricing and Portfolio Theory by Back and can be found here. The relevant info from section 2.5 can be found here. Given that we have the Expected value and the variance of ...
3
votes
2answers
113 views

Black Scholes: How does it help to transform uncertainty and still not be able to calculate a fair price?

Recapitulating the history of Black-Scholes: Nobody knows the fair price of options. Revolution: BS! You put in all the parameters and get a price -> A Nobel Prize for that one! Wait: Nobody knows ...
1
vote
0answers
99 views

Differential of stochastic term

Question 1: How does one come up with the equation in the red box below? It looks like some kind product rule, but I'm not sure how to apply Ito's lemma here. Bjork doesn't seem to explain it ...
6
votes
2answers
3k views

Fastest news feed APIs targeting high frequency trading?

The Dow Jones elementized news feed API seems to stand out but are there any other machine readable news feeds out there that provide very low latencies that high frequency operations may peruse? I am ...
0
votes
0answers
53 views

Self-financing strategy in the Hull-White bond model

I am having troubles with solving a particular problem concerning the self-financing portfolio in the Hull-White model (dr={phi(t)-ar}dt+sigmadW). Consider an expiry-T_0, Strike-K cll-option on a ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

Differential equation involving bond price and forward rate

Given forward rate f(t,T) and bond price P(t,T) where $f(t,T) = - \frac{\partial}{\partial T} \ln P(t,T)$, $P(T,T) = 1 = P(t,t)$, T>0 and $t \in [0,T]$ Does it follow that $P(t,T) = ...
15
votes
4answers
578 views

Variable Selection in factor models

Let's say you have a dependent variable and many independent variables. What are the preferred metrics for sorting and selecting variables based on explanatory power? Let's say you are not concerned ...
4
votes
1answer
146 views

What does the “-E” mean at the end of a CBOE options symbol?

Below is are some option quotes taken directly from the CBOE website. I am wondering what the -E, -4, -8, -A, -B, -I, -J etc..that are at the end of the options ...
1
vote
0answers
37 views

Use of Black-Scholes Model on Guaranteed Fund Investment

I am stuck with a revision question at home on Black-Scholes pricing model. The question is on a fund manager selling one unit of the fund to a customer for S(0) at time 0 and then guaranteeing at ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Share price of Precision Imaging Corporation of America on March 13, 1991

Where can I find the share price of Precision Imaging Corporation of America, Inc. on March 13, 1991? I realize the company no longer exists and the shares are now worthless but I would like to know ...
1
vote
3answers
194 views

How to pull an exhaustive list of securities traded globally, on bloomberg?

I need to extract an exhaustive list of securities with CUSIPs and ISINs on bloomberg. This data needs to be on a global level. Can someone help with the formulae on bloomberg please? Cheers, G
2
votes
1answer
46 views

Show that Z(t)/Z(0) is a positive mean-1 martingale

We look at a standard no dividends Black-Scholes model and here we have a process Z, which is defined by: Z(t)=(S(t)/H)^p , where H is a positive constant and p=1-2r/sigma^2 I am now asked to show ...

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