4
votes
0answers
154 views

Resources to read more about/learn how implied pricing works

I was looking at this video today: http://www.cmegroup.com/education/interactive/webinars-archived/implied-price-functionality.html on implied pricing. And am aware that implied orders/pricing ...
4
votes
0answers
105 views

Estimating two normal random numbers with one equation

Subtitle: Estimating the correlation of the shocks driving two commodities in two multi-factor models I am fitting two 2-factor models to electricity and gas futures, respectively. In order to ...
4
votes
0answers
191 views

Discrete-time Jump-Diffusion Model

I am wondering if anybody could point me to any literature that talks about a discrete time version of the jump-diffusion model, I am aware that there is a paper by Amin (1993) that shows a discrete ...
4
votes
0answers
172 views

Rolling window Kendall's tau against APARCH(1,1) correlation

Assume you want to forecast the correlation matrix of a stocks' basket (say 15 ~ 20 stocks from different sectors); assume you need to forecast at $T$ days because you will use the forecast ouput with ...
4
votes
0answers
208 views

How to estimate CAViaR (Engle and Manganelli 2004) using non linear quantile regression?

I am trying to replicate results from Engle and Manganelli (2004). The following is one of their specifications, $q_t(\theta)=\gamma_0+\gamma_1q_{t-1}(\theta)+\alpha|r_{t-1}|$, $q$ is the quantile of ...
4
votes
0answers
169 views

Is it more accurate to analyze returns on a calendar day basis than a trading day basis?

I'm rather new to the actual practice of this kind of analysis, but it just seems wrong to me to throw Mondays' returns in with the rest without accounting for the passage of time on the weekend when ...
4
votes
0answers
122 views

Are there canonical test cases for testing of pricing engines

Short intro: We are developing pricing engines for the calculation of market risk in a Solvency II solution, including bonds, callable bonds, cds, options, futures and so on. Are there any canonical ...
4
votes
0answers
527 views

ATM volatility versus OTM volatility and directional standard deviation

The forward instrument vol curve is skewed to the downside (50 delta risk reversal, 25 put, 25 call) were trading several ticks to the put). Is there a smaller standard deviation (in price terms) to ...
4
votes
0answers
249 views

Taking into account the correlation in Barrier options on a Basket

In a Barrier option (where the contract cancels when the underlying hits the barrier) I succesfully found the way to compute the probability of a single underlying touching the barrier (with constant ...
4
votes
0answers
508 views

Algorithms for predicting a couple points in the future

I'm familiar with supervised learning algorithms like regression and neural networks which look at a bunch of input points and learn a function which outputs a value (the value varying depending on ...
4
votes
0answers
838 views

Hasbrouck's information share

Given a cointegrated set of price series, I am trying to compute the Hasbrouck's information share, as described in page 12-13 of this article. page 7-8 of this article I have the vector error ...
4
votes
0answers
171 views

Benefits of Diversification and Rebalancing with negatively skewed leptokurtic return distribution?

I am missing tools to investigate this issue. I am trying to solve this question here. What kind of issues should you acknowledge over the naive diversification/rebalancing with normal distribution? ...
4
votes
0answers
197 views

What is the longest number of consecutive days that options implied volatility has stayed “extremely high” for any particular underlying?

Curious as to whether or not there is any sort of all time record. Any index, future, or stock will do. Volatility must be well above the average 1 year volatility for all periods.
3
votes
0answers
51 views

Calculating the CVA of a Forward Contract

I am having trouble calculating the CVA of a forward contract. The question is presented below Question: There exists a long forwards position underlying on gold with 2 years remaining. The ...
3
votes
0answers
69 views

What is the most stable, non-trivial dependence structure in finance?

The highest rated answer to the question on What concepts are the most dangerous ones in quantitative finance work? is this one: Correlation Correlations are notoriously unstable in ...
3
votes
0answers
53 views

Kalman vs simple OLS

I am studying how some local and global variables (x and alpha) affects a local variable y have the following regression $y_{it} = \sum_{j} \beta_{ij} x_{itj}+\sum_j \delta_{ij}\alpha_{jt}+\epsilon$ ...
3
votes
0answers
34 views

CBOE Index Minute Data

I am doing a small research and looking for a place to purchase historical minute CBOE Index data. I am interested in: VIX - CBOE Volatility Index VVIX - CBOE VIX VOLATILITY INDEX VXV - CBOE VIX ...
3
votes
0answers
41 views

False warning messages in R, is it possible?

I'm modeling GARCH-filtered standardized residuals via semiparametric distribution with Gaussian kernel and GPD (generalized pareto distribution) tails with thresholds at 5% and 95%. For some series I'...
3
votes
0answers
28 views

Monte Carlo approach to RAN bonds in Quantlib or suggestions

This is a problem from Schlogl's book in the chapter on the HJM model: Price option of the RAN instrument with 3 month coupons and maturity 3 years using Monte Carlo(Exercise 4 Range Accrual Note). ...
3
votes
0answers
61 views

rugarch: GARCH external regressors

I'm currently playing around with the great rugarch package in R. However, I tried to test the external regressor functionality. I implemented a GARCH(1,1) process and compared it with a GARCH(0,1) ...
3
votes
0answers
52 views

'GARCH - extreme value theory - copula' approach to estimate risk measures in R

I'm reading about this approach of using GARCH-EVT-copula methodology to separate univariate and joint estimation and then estimate for example VaR and ES. I wanted to try something similar, but my ...
3
votes
0answers
47 views

How to calculate this swap rate

What is the 2x5 swap rate? here 2x5 swap rate refers to the 3-year swap, 2 years forward.
3
votes
0answers
61 views

Trading signal strength: [-1 to 1] or [predicted return]?

In the context of a backtesting engine, is it better to have strategy generate trade signals in the range from -1 to 1 or as exact predicted returns (e.g. -12% or 26%). The difference lies in how to ...
3
votes
0answers
120 views

Common, practical methods to calculate fair value of a stock?

What are some common methods in determining fair value of a stock, from market data only, in real-time, as close to instantaneous as possible? The kind of pricing that algorithmic trading engines ...
3
votes
0answers
52 views

subadditivity of VaR

It is known that the VaR (Value at risk) doesn't fulfill subadditivity, i.e. $VaR(X)+VaR(Y) \le VaR(X+Y)$ But for elliptical distributions subadditivity is true. Questions: (1) Which ...
3
votes
0answers
55 views

What are the best measures of market liquidity?

Does any single metric provide a convenient way to capture depth, breadth, and resiliency, or to distinguish between transitory and persistent effects (i.e. between the stationary and random walk ...
3
votes
0answers
51 views

On the reflection of a stochastic integral

Let ${(I_t)}_{t\geq 0}$ be a stochastic integral defined by $$ I_t=\int_{0}^{t}\theta_sdW_t, $$ where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion defined on $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},{(\mathcal{F}_t)}_{t\geq 0},\...
3
votes
0answers
65 views

Interpolation of forward zeros-coupons bonds simulations for missing maturities (ESG data)

I have a set of economic scenarios simulated with Barrie and Hibbert ESG. The stochastic model for interest rates used is Libor Market Model Shifted. I am facing a problem with zeros-coupons prices. ...
3
votes
0answers
41 views

Interplay of statistical factors (PCA) and market factors (value, momentum, low vol, …)

Is there any research done on the interplay between statistical factors (as a result of principle component analysis PCA) and the market factors (especially value, size, low vol, momentum, quality)? ...
3
votes
0answers
167 views

How quants use models for stock market prediction

I am learning machine learning to use it for stock market price forecasting. While doing that I got this question. If we take any country with stock exchange they have more than one investment assests ...
3
votes
0answers
47 views

Interpreting different factor models w.r.t. correlation matrix and min variance portfolio weights

Background In Eric Zivot's analysis of factor models he uses three models The sample (.sample) Single index model (.si) Barra factor industry model (.ind) PCA model (.pca) You can download his ...
3
votes
0answers
38 views

Is a position-weighted sum of nominal returns for a single asset a mathematically sound calculation?

A friend of mine insists that that the following is a sound method to calculate the performance of a single holding in a portfolio, given that over time more capital has been allocated to that holding....
3
votes
0answers
39 views

Reset Date standard for ICP (Indice Camara Promedio) trade

What is the Reset Date standard for ICP (Indice Camara Promedio) trade? Trade Currencies are USD v/s CLP. Please provide the ISDA link if there are any amendments to ISDA standards.
3
votes
0answers
33 views

Calendar spread: What are the worst cases?

I am looking to solely make use of the theta decay and trying to overcome the effects of delta and Vega. ​​If, I sell ABC Feb OTM (strike price X) with 3 x 10 = Rs. 30 credit and buy ABC Mar OTM (...
3
votes
0answers
23 views

How to optimize an arbitrage portfolio when taking into account different speeds of mean reversion?

In portfolio optimization, it is insufficient to just note the size of price deviation - that only tells the amount of profit if held to maturity. One also needs to take into account reversion speed - ...
3
votes
0answers
98 views

Hedging cross gamma

I understand how to hedge delta and gamma risk. Could someone explain to me how cross gamma hedging is done by the trading desk. In particular I am interested in hedging for interest rate exotics. So ...
3
votes
0answers
112 views

What is the best open source automated trading platform or options?

I would like a custom C++ Automated Trading Platform for Futures like Multicharts, or similar automated trading platform that I can put on my servers so its secure and fast. I have found this so far, ...
3
votes
0answers
24 views

FX Implied Volatility for Longer Term Maturities

To my knowledge, FX implied volatility can only be obtained from the market for time horizons up to about 5 years due to liquidity limitations. So how would we obtain volatility estimates for longer ...
3
votes
0answers
44 views

Enron - RhythmsNet hedge

I am reading "Power Failure: The Inside Story of The Collapse of Enron" By Mimi Swartz, Sherron Watkins. In the book, the following transaction is described: Enron had USD200mn worth of futures on ...
3
votes
0answers
72 views

How to simulate stock price with support and resistance level

I couldn't find good resources on how to simulate a stock price data sequence including some basic effects. The basis might be a Brownian motion model; but in real stock prices, there are additional ...
3
votes
0answers
56 views

Where can I find ETF fund flow data?

I know mutual fund data can easily be found on CRSP or Thomson Reuters, but where can I find solid ETF data, specifically their flows?
3
votes
0answers
92 views

Non-parametric estimator - CVAR / Expected shortfall

Is the estimation of the CVAR using known non-parametric methods (histogram , kernels) is different than the estimation of any other R.V.? If the answer is yes, then I am interested to know whether ...
3
votes
0answers
92 views

Ridiculous Bond Prices under Vasicek Model

Has anyone played with the parameters of the Vasicek model and observed the sometimes ridiculous bond prices it implies? E.g. with the right parameters, a 30-year zero is priced at $147,327. To be ...
3
votes
0answers
45 views

How does a Broker-Dealer lend shares to other Broker-Dealers?

Is it possible to find out how a OTC Broker-Dealer in thinly-traded equities lends shares for short-sales to other Broker-Dealers. Which platform or process is involved?
3
votes
0answers
79 views

Downloading IB futures data and then making a datapump to another program

I never have programmed before in my life but I wouldn't mind learning if I knew what i needed to do in order to solve my problem. I use neuroshell for day trading and use it extensively for trading ...
3
votes
0answers
90 views

Strategy Testing

Firstly I am a newbie so I will apologise in advance if this is in the wrong forum. My question concerns testing for an equity trading strategy and I would appreciate any comments as to whether my ...
3
votes
0answers
69 views

Duality of callable bond price

I am trying to understand the relationship between two methods of pricing callable bonds in the risk-neutral pricing framework. Problem statement Let's consider zero-coupon bond with face value 1, ...
3
votes
0answers
41 views

Estimating factor returns with linearly dependent loadings

Given an $n\times 1$ vector of asset returns $r$, and a $n\times k$ matrix of factor loadings $X$, we can express the asset returns in terms of as-yet-unknown factors $f$ using $$ r = Xf + \epsilon $$...
3
votes
0answers
110 views

Order Book Dynamics

I have been following this paper: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1104.4596.pdf The model is especially pertinent as I only have access to L1 data. The model is clear and intuitive and I have implemented the ...
3
votes
0answers
111 views

Is Low-Volatility expensive these days? How can we analyze this?

Low volatility investing became somewhat fashionable in recent years. In general there are two approaches to this Ranking stocks of a certain universe by either stand-alone volatility or by beta and ...

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