4
votes
0answers
499 views

Algorithms for predicting a couple points in the future

I'm familiar with supervised learning algorithms like regression and neural networks which look at a bunch of input points and learn a function which outputs a value (the value varying depending on ...
4
votes
0answers
745 views

Hasbrouck's information share

Given a cointegrated set of price series, I am trying to compute the Hasbrouck's information share, as described in page 12-13 of this article. page 7-8 of this article I have the vector error ...
4
votes
0answers
177 views

Use of Local Times in Option Pricing

I know two applications of local time in option pricing theory. First, it allows a derivation of Dupire's formula on local volatility in a neat way (i.e. without resorting to differential operator ...
3
votes
0answers
71 views

Ridiculous Bond Prices under Vasicek Model

Has anyone played with the parameters of the Vasicek model and observed the sometimes ridiculous bond prices it implies? E.g. with the right parameters, a 30-year zero is priced at $147,327. To be ...
3
votes
0answers
38 views

How does a Broker-Dealer lend shares to other Broker-Dealers?

Is it possible to find out how a OTC Broker-Dealer in thinly-traded equities lends shares for short-sales to other Broker-Dealers. Which platform or process is involved?
3
votes
0answers
50 views

Downloading IB futures data and then making a datapump to another program

I never have programmed before in my life but I wouldn't mind learning if I knew what i needed to do in order to solve my problem. I use neuroshell for day trading and use it extensively for trading ...
3
votes
0answers
69 views

Strategy Testing

Firstly I am a newbie so I will apologise in advance if this is in the wrong forum. My question concerns testing for an equity trading strategy and I would appreciate any comments as to whether my ...
3
votes
0answers
61 views

Duality of callable bond price

I am trying to understand the relationship between two methods of pricing callable bonds in the risk-neutral pricing framework. Problem statement Let's consider zero-coupon bond with face value 1, ...
3
votes
0answers
37 views

Estimating factor returns with linearly dependent loadings

Given an $n\times 1$ vector of asset returns $r$, and a $n\times k$ matrix of factor loadings $X$, we can express the asset returns in terms of as-yet-unknown factors $f$ using $$ r = Xf + \epsilon ...
3
votes
0answers
75 views

Order Book Dynamics

I have been following this paper: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1104.4596.pdf The model is especially pertinent as I only have access to L1 data. The model is clear and intuitive and I have implemented the ...
3
votes
0answers
80 views

Is Low-Volatility expensive these days? How can we analyze this?

Low volatility investing became somewhat fashionable in recent years. In general there are two approaches to this Ranking stocks of a certain universe by either stand-alone volatility or by beta and ...
3
votes
0answers
51 views

Modelling the Cost of Risk

I would like to read something about the cost of risk. Could anyone recommend some reference about how it is calculated or modelled?
3
votes
0answers
41 views

Turn of the year

I understand the basics of "Turn of the year" effect. But I am wondering why does this effect sometimes cause overnight rates around year end to dip below normal overnight rate levels (i.e. negative ...
3
votes
0answers
37 views

Intraday Value at Risk approximations

We use full valuation of derivatives portfolios using scenarios from historical data. For simple contracts, this is relatively fast. For contracts requiring monte carlo simulation, this becomes ...
3
votes
0answers
105 views

How to compute the stochastic integral of log-normal process?

How do you compute the following integral: $$\int_0^t e^{\mu s + \sigma W_s} ds$$ or $$\int_0^t e^{\mu s + \sigma W_s} dW_s$$ ? Are those integrals stochastic processes of some well-know type ...
3
votes
0answers
54 views

What is the difference between gross and net enterprise wide risk?

Reading a Basel paper on recommendations on internal economic capital models. One of the recommendations says members of the bank's board should be able to demonstrate understanding of the difference ...
3
votes
0answers
17 views

Why should a factor not priced and yet is relevant to the return generating process

I am reading Elton's AFA presidential adress article here. http://people.stern.nyu.edu/eelton/working_papers/Expected_Return_Realized_Return.pdf In the paper, he is warning against using the average ...
3
votes
0answers
44 views

Finding mean vector and covariance matrix for annual returns given quarterly returns

I am currently trying to calculate a vector for the mean annual returns of 4 different asset classes along with their 4x4 covariance matrix in excel. However, I am having problems since the data I ...
3
votes
0answers
65 views

What are some options to execute ML algos against with live data using C#, F# or Python for a retail trader?

I'm a retail algorithmic trader. I've written some algorithms that parse intraday movements and make decisions. I still execute trades manually but eventually I need the ability to execute trades on ...
3
votes
0answers
44 views

Test for difference in security returns before and after financial regulation

I'm going to study the effect of corporate credit rating changes (Moody's) on stock prices before and after a specific financial regulation. So far i have used an event study where i have divided the ...
3
votes
0answers
75 views

Portfolio insurance strategy with path dependence

I have the following problem. Let us assume that $S_t$, the stock price follows, geometric Brownian moation with parameters $(\mu,\sigma^2)$. We are given an amount of money $M$ and at each point in ...
3
votes
0answers
232 views

credit risk - How to calculate the probability of default (private companies)?

Part of my master thesis I am working with a company. I have the project to use their financial database with all the financials data (7 years) of approximately 3’000 companies. They have their own ...
3
votes
0answers
47 views

Is there any index calculation methodology that is suitable when constituents change frequently?

Trying to create a custom stock sector index, however adding/dropping of the constituents will be frequent. Which kind of index calculation methodology (e.g. Price Weighted, Equal Weighted, Cap ...
3
votes
0answers
68 views

Approximate asian geometric option with Heston

I am trying to implement Theorem 1 from this Journal in RStudio. The journal says the it is possible to find a approximate price of a geometric asian option in a Heston setup this way: ...
3
votes
0answers
56 views

Correct form for State Space Equation for Kalman Filter for DNS

In this paper: http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper55/DRAfinal.pdf in eqns 3,5 the state eqn has the mean removed. $(z_t-\mu)=A(z_{t-1}-\mu) + \epsilon_t$ $y_t=C z_t + \delta_t$ ...
3
votes
0answers
99 views

Forecast biasness of VIX term structure

I'm interested in the topic of VIX futures being overpriced, so I'm looking for different models to find evidence for it. Asensio 2013 uses a regression to evaluate the forecast biasness of the VIX ...
3
votes
0answers
68 views

why many option contract price less than minimum boundary price?

I downloaded data from NSE(National Stock Exchange) website regarding closing price of European Call Option written on Index. From standard textbook, I read that option contract must satisfy $C(t) ...
3
votes
0answers
79 views

How does one simulate intraday strategies which don't end up flat at the close?

I ran into this trying to simulate trading interlisted names between the NYSE and the TSX. Depending on my strategy parametrization it would sometimes end up with a significant short or long dollar ...
3
votes
0answers
118 views

Is there a countably infinite Sigma-Algebra? Why?

Assume $\,\mathcal{F}$ be a nonempty collection of subsets of $\Omega$. $\,\mathcal{F}$ is called a $\sigma$-Algebra whenever if $A\in\mathcal{F}$ then $A^c\in\mathcal{F}$, and if ...
3
votes
0answers
55 views

Range options in BS

I know how barrier options are priced in Black-Scholes scheme. I'm wondering if an analytical formula exists also for range (corridor) digital options i.e. options paying only if the price remains ...
3
votes
0answers
30 views

conferences for credit portfolio managers

What are worth conferences for credit portfolio managers? I appreciate your recommendations! PS:I am aware that this question is not the typical quant.SE question, BUT I couldn`t find reliable ...
3
votes
0answers
100 views

Fitting High Frequency Indicators

I have a high frequency time series of the bid and ask prices of a stock recorded on every tick. For each data point I also have a certain indicators that predict the future movement of the price. The ...
3
votes
0answers
67 views

The difference in sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model.

The question is that I want to know whether there is difference in the applying of sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model. In the ...
3
votes
0answers
66 views

Yield for valuation of illiquid corporate bond

I am trying to value a illiquid corporate bond issued at a discount to face value by a privately held company in India. The corporate bond is a sinkable bond (amortizing principle) with coupon rate of ...
3
votes
0answers
131 views

Model a floating rate BBB yield curve

Background: We want to design a compensated prepayment liability index to define an amount a bond buyer would need to receive in a redemption prior to the nominal maturity of a bond. Ideally we'd ...
3
votes
0answers
60 views

Reference Request: Horse Race for Portfolio Allocation

Probably the most popular horse race study for portfolio strategies is Optimal versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient Is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?, with DeMiguel, L. Garlappi and R. ...
3
votes
0answers
57 views

Residual Covariance Matrix, and MVO for Residual Variance and Alpha

My overall goal is to find an efficient frontier using QP in terms of $\alpha$ and residual variance ($\omega^2$) for a portfolio $P$ given a benchmark $B$. We know the equation for residual variance ...
3
votes
0answers
110 views

Parametrizing the Radon Nikodym

The following is an excerpt from the dialogue in the book "Counterparty Risk and Funding - A Tale of Two Puzzles", regarding the statistics such as the volatility and correlation estimation under the ...
3
votes
0answers
96 views

How can a beginner trader make use of 'volatility of volatility'

For a beginner option trader in equity options, how can he use this metric that is provided by his broker/data vendor? How can he use this metric to gain an added understanding of the option ...
3
votes
0answers
97 views

Which kind of normalization to prefer before PCA (generic solution for any factor analysis)

I have financial assets with totally different volatilities, thus I must standardize them before PCA, otherwise, assets with high variance may be considered as principle components, which is wrong. ...
3
votes
0answers
232 views

Bloomberg scripting language (BLAN)

Did anyone work with Bloomberg scripting language (BLAN is the name I guess). If so is it really flexible and is it competitive with other valuation services (say Super Derivatives). Does it enable ...
3
votes
0answers
78 views

Comprehensive List of Regime Switching/ Change Point Models

I am looking for a comprehensive list of regime switching/change point models/techniques which can be used to model different regimes / change points in financial time series. What I found so far are: ...
3
votes
0answers
176 views

Discrete Trading to reduce speculation

I recently read a paper by Terje Lensberg (2014) "Costs and benefits of financial regulation: Short-selling bans and transaction taxes" where he analyzed the effects of financial regulation (short ...
3
votes
0answers
44 views

Clarification of Saturation-Reset Regimes

I have worked my way through this article, waiting to get into school I have been self-learning a bit. I have a good grasp on most of the article, but the component strategy of Saturation and Reset ...
3
votes
0answers
50 views

Dynamic Hedging for a Bond

Sorry if this question is duplicate. Analyzing the scenario to hedge bond credit risk with CDS. but if Bond price changes CDS notional will not change. is there any way i can hedge this ?
3
votes
0answers
200 views

Constructing Volatility Smile from American Options

My question is about best practices for reconstructing volatility smiles for a fixed tenor from American option data. For simplicity/liquidity, I am currently considering options on SPY. I am ...
3
votes
0answers
58 views

Dixit & Pindyck (1993) Chapter 4, equation 13

Starting with the Bellman equation for the optimal stopping problem: $$F(x,t)=max\{\Omega(x,t), \pi(x,t)+(1+\rho dt)^{-1} E[F(x+dx, t+dt)|x]\}$$ In the continuation region where the second term is the ...
3
votes
0answers
46 views

How do I specify Thirty360::European day counter in RQuantLib

I am taking liberty to ask the following question in quantLib forum though this question is about RQuantLib I am trying to use RQuantLib to calculate clean price of a fixed coupon bond using a ...
3
votes
0answers
443 views

Portfolio Optimization with Monte Carlo Simulation - How to do it with Excel?

If I have three asset classes and their historical weekly returns for five years, how can I construct a minimum variance portfolio and an efficient frontier plot with Excel? To do that do I have to ...
3
votes
0answers
133 views

how to apply a simple copula model

I'm playing around with copulas and wanted to generate some sample based on copula techniques in R. For this purpose I applied the following algorithm: Generate three sample vectors coming from ...

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