1
vote
0answers
477 views

Question about Merton model to estimate default probability and recovery rate of the company

I recently come across Merton's model to estimate the default probability and recovery rate of the company. Here is the inputs ...
1
vote
1answer
203 views

Why use leverage when it does not improve the risk/reward ratio? [closed]

Leverage will increase gains when things go right but will also increase losses when things go wrong. Mathematically speaking, it does not change the risk/reward ratio (or does it?). Since ...
1
vote
1answer
109 views

Is it better to hedge or reduce the position size? [closed]

Traders hedge to reduce their risk. However, wouldn't reducing the position achieve the same results while keeping the risk management process simpler? At least, one need not worry about making the ...
1
vote
1answer
75 views

Can you hedge a derivative with a CASH|spot product or does it have to be another derivative instrument

Consider you have a SWAP (any kind) to hedge this SWAP, you will most likely use another Derivative,but can you use a cash|spot product to hedge this. Like Cash Equity or FX Spot
4
votes
0answers
99 views

Applications of distance correlation

This question mentions distance correlation. Where has this concept been applied to financial data and provided new insight? Do you know any examples or references?
0
votes
1answer
65 views

how to extract moments of GB from moment generating function?

I'm searching for the moments of geometric brownian motion using the gmm optimization program. the aim is to make the process y(t) of returns follows a normal distribution Are there any packages in ...
3
votes
1answer
118 views

Integration of stochastic total derivative

Super basic question. I think I am doing this correctly, but just want a sanity check. Say I have a stochastic process $r(t)$. Say I have an equation $$d(e^{\beta (t-s)}r(s))=\dots$$ where the ...
1
vote
0answers
107 views

Does it make sense to apply complicated mathematics to calculate with precision when the margin of error is +/-10%? [closed]

This is more of a philosophical question than general question. Quantitative finance applies highly complicated mathematics and has attracted very smart people to this field lately given the high pay ...
0
votes
1answer
353 views

backtesting with open, close, high and low

I am quite notice at the business of backtesting for an automated strategy. I was wondering, can I/should I use High and Low for this purpose? On one hand, the algorithm will see these prices, but on ...
3
votes
1answer
328 views

Pricing Fixed-To-Floater bond in QuantLib

Wandering through QuantLib's Financial instruments documentation, I noticed no class for fixed-to-floater bonds exist. Then I was wondering what a suitable way to price such an instrument would be ...
3
votes
2answers
250 views

Question about the rationale of applying certain recovery rate by ISDA

According to ISDA standard (also here), the recovery rate for senior unsecured is 40%, that of subordinate is 20%, and emerging markets is 25% (both senior and subordinate). I wonder the rationale of ...
2
votes
1answer
153 views

interest rate in cost of carry

What interest rates are used in practice in a stock index / futures arbitrage? I've seen cases, when the assumed rate is 3 months LIBOR, but does it mean, that everyone who does the arbitrage can ...
0
votes
1answer
201 views

adjusted close prices on SP500

When I look at the adjusted close prices of SP500, for example, I notice that the numbers are always significantly below the actual closing. In the explanation of what adjusted prices are, one gets ...
3
votes
1answer
342 views

How does the 2-factor Hull White model propagate the forward rates curve?

I've been trying to get a grasp on some of the basics of interest rate modeling, and am looking to simulate rates using the 2 factor Hull White model, which I am aware offers a more realistic model of ...
6
votes
1answer
328 views

Practical Usage of Wavelets with Real Time Data

There are a lot of papers out there which make attempts to forecast or discuss the benefits of wavelets for frequency decomposition. Oddly, very few discuss the huge boundary effects that are present ...
4
votes
1answer
196 views

Can option prices be characterised by an ODE?

If a stock price, $S(t)$, is governed by a geometric brownian motion. Is it possible to characterise the value of an option $V(S,t)$ as an ODE rather than a PDE (given $S$ is itself a function of ...
3
votes
3answers
259 views

Concave volatility smile

Under what circumstances can implied volatility smile be concave (ATM implied volatility higher than OTM put and call)? I know that a slight concavity is not prohibited by no-arbitrage... What are ...
6
votes
0answers
171 views

Extreme Value Theory possible for portfolios with options?

Say you have a portfolio with long exposure to a few linear assets (stock indices) and short exposure to a nonlinear asset (say call options on one of the linear assets). I am interested in ...
6
votes
0answers
413 views

Examples of Spectral Risk Measures

Let's take the usual definition of a spectral risk measure. If we look at the integral we see that spectral risk measures have the property that the risk measure of a random variable $X$ can be ...
1
vote
1answer
352 views

How to derive zero-coupon rates from IRS?

How can I calculate zero-coupon rates from historical IR swap rates? I have a record of IRS for the past 4000 days and I am want to compute the zero coupon rates based on them.
1
vote
1answer
314 views

Additive portfolio risk decomposition

In his paper Budgeting and Monitoring the Risk of Defined Benefit Pension Funds, Bill Sharpe writes: [...] the sum of the weighted marginal risks of the portfolio components will equal twice the ...
1
vote
0answers
158 views

Forecasting Equity returns using state-space models

I have data for 3 yrs of 5 min prices of various equities. I can construct a linear regression model and try to see the in-sample model performance. But I was wondering whether fitting a state-space ...
2
votes
2answers
392 views

What Forex Services support the ForexConnect API?

I need API access to get ForEx tickers and order books for currency pairs. From what I can tell there is a .Net API called ForexConnect which I can use to get this data. Now where can I get this data ...
0
votes
1answer
110 views

Asynchronous Data Across Time Zones - RiskMetrics

I'm currently involved with a project to integrate RiskMetrics into our business and one issue we've identified is the treatment of market data timing across time zones. This can have the effect of ...
1
vote
0answers
78 views

Adjusted option prices?

I am trying to calculate IV of options for a ticker over the last 10 years. Problem is that some option prices don't make sense (for example, closing price \$31.94, but 30-day call option with 18 days ...
1
vote
1answer
137 views

Control variate for Heston model

Does anyone have suggestions for potential control variates for vanillas in a Heston model? I've tried black scholes with implied volatility, average volatility and long term volatility all without ...
9
votes
3answers
1k views

Why are there still manual market makers in options

Why are manual market makers still predominant in options markets? Why haven't algorithms replaced these market makers, as they have for liquid stocks for example?
4
votes
1answer
331 views

FIX binary decoder

Not sure if this is the right question board for this - It sounds like CME is switching their MDP platform from FAST to Simple Binary Encoding and it will be going to production soon. Does anybody ...
3
votes
1answer
95 views

Binomial lattice convergence

How do I measure how quickly a binomial lattice converges to an option value as the number of steps is increased? I'm charting option value versus number of steps for various binomial lattice models ...
0
votes
2answers
214 views

Stat Arb Equity Pair Position Trigger

I am new to pairs trading and am in the process of constructing the code for backtesting a basic pair trading strategy. While I understand the basic idea behind the pair trading strategy, I am having ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

What mean factor behind a yield?

When quoting a yield of a transaction e.g. yield 3.8% behind the yield it is quote "factor" - in this case of a yield of 3.8% it is mentioned in brackets (factor 26.11) . The lower the yield the ...
3
votes
2answers
229 views

Basic question about bonds pricing

I decided to recap my knowledge in interest rates, and decided to start with Chapter 4 on interest rates (in 8th edition) of the Hull's book "Options, Futures and Other derivatives". In 4.3 the ...
1
vote
2answers
1k views

Calculate Average Price, Cost, (Un)Realized P&L of a position based on executed trades

We have built an algorithmic trading software and need to calculate the following parameters for each position in our portfolio. Average Price Cost Realized Profit & Loss Unrealized Profit & ...
-1
votes
1answer
157 views

Can Beneish's model for detecting earnings manipulation be applied to companies in the UK?

As I understand it this model derived from data for US companies. Is it valid to apply the model as is to UK companies or does it require any modifications? Description of the model: ...
3
votes
2answers
184 views

Fundamental reasons for the stock price change

Let us start from the old times, where markets were less liquid. Suppose I hold some stocks of the company XYZ and I want to sell them. Why shall I expect that their price can rise in the next quarter ...
0
votes
0answers
124 views

“Real” DMA to Options Markets

I'm looking for a broker with DMA to large options markets (CME, ISE, CBOE). Broker should be HFT friendly, i.e. offer fast API, low fees for huge amount of trades and so on. Price is not an issue. ...
1
vote
0answers
270 views

Pricing options and bid-ask spread

Consider a non-liquid option market with a wide bid-ask spreads across all strikes. Spot: \$52 A snapshot of the \$50 strike shows: ...
2
votes
0answers
66 views

Survey of market making strategies and research [duplicate]

I am undergoing a focused study of market making theory. So far, I've encountered the following papers: Market Making and Mean Reversion Adapting to a Market Shock: Optimal Sequential Market-Making ...
2
votes
1answer
397 views

How to simulate stock prices with stochastic time change subordinated arithmetic Brownian Motion?

the idea is to simulate price returns thus to be normally distributed i 'am trying to use subordinated arithmetic brownian motion subordinated to time activity (volume) stock prices are following GBM ...
3
votes
1answer
155 views

What is the correct Stutzer index and Sharpe ratio relation, assuming a normal returns distribution?

Assuming the returns distribution is normal, then there is a relation between Stutzer index and Sharpe ratio. However, I found in the following paper 2 different equation: Paper I (page 10-11)‎ ...
5
votes
1answer
274 views

Why is the Put-Call Symmetry model dependent?

The put-call symmetry states that C(S,t;X,r,q) = P(X,t;S,q,r), and that this works for American options. According to my notes, this is 'model dependent' because it ...
1
vote
4answers
338 views

Trader's identity in a limit book

In a limit book like NASDAQ ITCH, can liquidity suppliers know the demand-side identity of a trader prior or after a trade? Knowing this will help me with my theoretical model that I am trying to ...
1
vote
1answer
104 views

Calculating spot level using tick data

What is a proper (or commonly used/accepted) way of calculating some spot value with tick data? At the moment I can think of two options: Take the latest available best bid, latest available best ...
0
votes
1answer
216 views

Delta in Covered Calls?

Just want to check whether i understand it correctly: Long Calls have positive delta Long Puts have negative Delta Long stock has 0.01 delta 100 Shares have 1 delta Therefore: Covered Call = 1 ...
1
vote
0answers
138 views

Market Standard Pricing Models for Fixed Income Securities (Vanilla)

To clarify my heading, I have been searching for a material that consolidates all standard Fixed Income Security Pricing. E.g. ...
2
votes
1answer
354 views

Setting up Schedule for an amortizing floater in QuantLib

I am unsure as to the exact arguments required for the Schedule function for an amortizing floater - my code is listed below. Specifically, my question pertains to whether the schedule should always ...
4
votes
2answers
417 views

Differential equation for log-returns

I have a question that might be trivial to most of you, but somehow I'm not able to solve it by myself. I have a disagreement with my colleague on the distributional properties of a Geometric Brownian ...
4
votes
2answers
301 views

Is there a contradiciton between option prices being martingales and the use of options for speculation?

It seems like there is a contradiction between the fact the option pricing is risk-neutral and the large amount of option trading that is done for speculation. Since the option is risk-neutral, a ...
2
votes
1answer
311 views

In Mean-Variance Analysis, why not the efficient frontier being pushed to the left near the axis?

I took some classes in portfolio theory, and learnt the Markowitz Mean-Variance Analysis. If only two risky assets, the efficient frontier would be a hyperbola passing through the two points; now if ...
6
votes
0answers
236 views

Implied term structure from risky discount curve: does it make sense?

We know that, taken every discount curve, it's possible to calculate its forward rates according to our tenor preferences. We know also that it's actually possible to extract an implied term ...

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