2
votes
1answer
38 views

Futures Holiday Schedule

I am trying to find a place where I can get S&P Emini contract trading days. I would like to get the contract first appearance (September 9th 1997) until today. I can get Holidays but nothing ...
3
votes
1answer
61 views

What is the tail index for NIG and/or VG?

...as a function of NIG (Normal Inverse Gaussian) or VG (Variance Gamma) parameters, obviously. I've read that the NIG $\alpha$ is related to the $\alpha$-stable tail parameter, which conversely maps ...
6
votes
1answer
198 views

Density forecast of a GARCH model

I am currently working on developing a series of density forecasts and I am encountering some problems. I am working on weekly S&P 500 returns and the returns process is described as $r_{t} = ...
6
votes
1answer
303 views

How to use physics models in Time Series Analysis and Forecasting.

I have been studying methods of Technical Analysis for several years and I am disappointed. I actually do not consider it useful. I have not met anyone who can constantly win in the market using these ...
1
vote
0answers
144 views

Automated Import of 10-Q and 10-K Statements in XBRL Format from SEC.gov

I want to read financial statements in XBRL Format from the SEC site automatically. For instance the 10-Q File from Apple: ...
3
votes
2answers
142 views

How to user GARCH(p,q) to identify most volatile sector?

I would like to ask help concerning the utilization of GARCH(p,q) models to identify volatility. Suppose that I have daily closing prices of 6 financial sectors spanning several years, and I am ...
0
votes
0answers
46 views

Modelling commodity price uncertainty with brownian motion - time period impacts

background I have two separate models of a metals resources company. Each model produces a series of accounting and cashflows forecast for different assets, and consolidates these to a overall ...
1
vote
1answer
428 views

Calculate and plot historical volatility with Python

I have downloaded historical data for FTSE from 1984 to now. What I would like to do is to graph volatility as a function of time. What I have written is: ...
1
vote
1answer
147 views

Original Fundamental Accounting Data (Not Ratios)

Where do I get original fundamental accounting data from income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement, like Sales/Revenue, Gross Income, EBIT, Operating Income, Cash & Short Term ...
0
votes
1answer
875 views

How to calculate Credit VaR?

(source John Hull, Options Futures and Other Derivatives 8th edition) I can't follow why Hull calculates Credit VaR in the following manner. I thought CVaR was Unexpected Loss$_{confidence}$ - ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Calculating Portfolio Risk with different assets [duplicate]

I want to calculate the risk of a portfolio (for a certain year) that includes several assets. Therefore, I want to calculate the standard deviation of each specific asset. I will calculate the ...
1
vote
1answer
23 views

Source of market or security attribute information?

There are many securities and exchanges on platforms like Bloomberg and Quandl, but many securities are described with the relevant pit close times and pit open times, exchanges, related futures, and ...
1
vote
1answer
134 views

Utility Theory - Certainty equivalent approximation formula derivation

I have a question on an exercise from chapter 9 of D. Luenberger, Investment Science, International Edition, where I suspect there may be a typo. Exercise 8 (Certainty approximation) There ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

What is the correlation of stock options?

I want to calculate the VaR of two correlated option positions, and I know the correlation between stock price returns. I want to separately calculate $Var_1$,$Var_2$ for option 1 and 2, and then use ...
0
votes
1answer
326 views

Gamma Imbalance Explanation

Can someone please give me an explanation as to what put-call gamma imbalance specifically refers to (imbalance of what?), and why they may exacerbate volatility from a market perspective, and why the ...
6
votes
2answers
1k views

Performance of Open Source Time Series Database for Financial Market Data

We would like to store financial tick data in a database (potentially billions of rows) and then create aggregated (open-high-low-close) bar data from it (e.g. 1min or 5min bars). It was mentioned ...
1
vote
2answers
196 views

Why QuantLib computes the fixed-leg swap rate by this formula?

I'm trying to understand how QuantLib creates (bootstraps) a yield curve from a vanilla swap at the source level. I have the following test code: ...
3
votes
1answer
81 views

Why the negative sign in modified duration relationship

If $P$ is price, $D$ modified duration and $y$ yield then we have the relationship, $$dP=-D \cdot P \cdot dy$$ Why is there a minus sign and what does correspond to?
1
vote
1answer
61 views

What is this ratio: expected returns on stock divided by risk free rate?

So this ratio has come up in some work I'm doing and I can't seem to figure out if it is attested in the literature. Here's the setting: Given a risk free rate $r(t)$ and a stock price which follows ...
1
vote
1answer
30 views

Modeling credit utilization and stock market growth

I relatively new to financial mathematics but I am wondering if at all there exists a relationship between credit utilization (the rate at which the public accesses credit from financial institutions) ...
2
votes
1answer
172 views

Utility Theory - How to show that this exponential utility function is wealth-independent?

I have a question on the following exercise from chapter 9 of D. Luenberger, Investment Science, International Edition. Exercise 2 (Wealth Independence) Suppose an investor has exponential ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Portfolio Hedging under Uncertain Correlations

I have a portfolio ($w_0=1$) and two hedging assets ($w_1,w_2$) and a co-variance matrix for the three $\Sigma$. However the co-variance $\Sigma$ is only an estimate. For fairly well behaved assets ...
0
votes
0answers
82 views

residential mortgage prepayment modelling

I'm trying to develop a model for predicting prepayments, after reading several arcticles about it over the net. the model should use market data and be behavioral model (i.e. regression/survival ...
-1
votes
1answer
71 views

Numerical computation of Heston model Integral: Simpsone Rule or Gauss-Legendre Method

I want to price a call option using the Heston model for a given set of parameters. theory from URL: http://elis.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/research/Heston-original.pdf The integral equation (18) ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Are low oil prices and low shipping costs really a leading indicator for a shrinking economy

Recent article in Bloomberg saying that lowered shipping costs n the form of the Baltic Dry Index and lowered oil prices are in someway a concern for a growing global economy: ...
5
votes
2answers
193 views

Research topics - neural networks and market liquidity

I am a masters student looking for some direction on using neural network on market depth data to help predict market liquidity and bid-ask spreads. Can some of the more experienced people give me ...
0
votes
0answers
116 views

Interpretation of the CAPM model under Stochastic Portfolio Theory framework

The CAPM under the Modern Portfolio Theory approach is given as: $$ R_i = \beta_i R_\pi $$ Where $R_\pi$ the portfolios expected excess returns Under the stochastic portfolio theory approach: $$ r_i ...
0
votes
1answer
177 views

How to calculate annualised tracking error?

I have 36 months of relative returns and I need to calculate the annualised tracking error. So, using 36 months of returns is it simply like below: ...
4
votes
2answers
149 views

Bloomberg implied volatility smile for equities

I was wondering if someone knows how Bloomberg does their computations for the implied volatility smile for equities. As far as I understand, they use a lognormal mixture to model the stock prices. ...
1
vote
0answers
179 views

Send TRAIL STOP order when price hits a certain level, with IB TWS

Posting here after searching around and not finding any responses to basically the same question that I saw on EliteTrader, with another variant posted 10 years ago (update: the same question on ...
1
vote
0answers
48 views

labeling high frequency signal data

Was curious if anyone has methodologies they can recommend for systematically labeling (discrete) signals generated from intraday tick data for use in classification or detection models ?
1
vote
0answers
27 views

number of trades - flaw in White Reality Check?

I went through Whites paper of the reality check for multiple strategy testing. To summarize at a simple example: I have 2 strategies, s1 and s2. s1 gives 2 signals and therefore 2 returns, s2 gives ...
4
votes
1answer
206 views

Difference between Sharpe Ratio and Information Ratio

I am finding it difficult to understand the difference between the sharpe ratio and the information ratio and the relationship between the two, and cannot find a decent reference that breaks it down ...
4
votes
1answer
78 views

Full Kelly portfolios having same weights as tangency portfolios

I'm currently comparing empirically the differences between Markowitz and Kelly portfolios. I calculated the Kelly weights for monthly return observations over 10 years for a sample of 50 stocks from ...
2
votes
0answers
266 views

How to calculate yield spread?

I came across this multiple choice question on yield spread and I can't understand why the reasoning for the selected answer is correct.Can you confirm or clarify ? ( emphasis in the text is mine) ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

Isolating single assets standard deviation in a portfolio accounting for correlation

I am running a simple Monte Carlo analysis in Excel using mean return, standard deviation and the =NORMINV(RAND(),mean,std dev) method. I have a correlation matrix that I use to compute the portfolio ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

Want to understand the links and relationship between all the risk metrics?

For Example : if Risk weighted asset (RWA) increased or decreased this month, which other risk metrics could have influenced RWA to increase or decrease. Also in different situations like, upward ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Trades Question

Two very specific questions (they are more database questions, but need specific knowledge): A same stock could be traded in different currencies in a same exchange? A bond is always traded in his ...
5
votes
1answer
117 views

How to interpret this CDS spread sensitivity pattern?

From page 27, Table 6: Why are sensitivities of CDS slightly negative before the maturity of the CDS? I do not get the intuition: if I am long a 5-year CDS, the spreads <5y increase, and the ...
1
vote
1answer
31 views

Adjusting index betas for spread DV01

If you have an index and have measured its beta with respect to the overall market, how would you go about adjusting it against spread dv01 and why would you want this number?
1
vote
0answers
68 views

Definition of sharpe ratio maximising and variance minimising portfolios

In this paper, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2226985, in the derivation of the mean variance efficient portfolio using lagrangians in the appendix, on page 29, the two portfolios ...
3
votes
3answers
359 views

Sources of index data (MSCI, FTSE, S&P etc.)?

Who are the major suppliers of index data that cover multiple index providers, e.g. MSCI, FTSE, S&P etc? There are a huge number of people sourcing e.g. equity data, but index data is much harder ...
3
votes
2answers
487 views

Why does changing the time step size in my Monte Carlo simulation change my result a lot?

I have written some software to price a call option using Monte Carlo simulation. It produces a price which is consistent with the model when I set the time step as recommended in a tutorial that I ...
1
vote
2answers
78 views

Sharpe Ratio for strategies with different rebalancing period

Strategies published in journal papers like SMB, HML, UMD have annualized sharpe ratios around 0.5. These long-short portfolios are formed with monthly rebalance. People who backtest some daily ...
0
votes
1answer
21 views

Force of Interest Compounding at Annual Rate i

I'm working through some actuarial practice and am lost as to what's going on with the differentiation here (it's been a while since I've had calc): Derive an expression for $\delta_t$ if ...
0
votes
1answer
93 views

Put-Call Parity Arbitrage Exploitation for Binary-Asset-or-Nothing Options

Is the Put-Call-Parity valid for binary (asset-or-nothing) options? If not, is there another formula for such exotic options? I know that for regular options, there are arbitrage opportunities when ...
0
votes
1answer
49 views

Projecting cash flows via Monte Carlo Simulation

I am looking to model the cash flows associated with a company as part of a Project finance experiment, where I got the idea from here. I'm looking to project cash flows for an Automotive company in ...
1
vote
0answers
148 views

Historical calibration of Hull-White model

I have a question concerning 1-factor Hull-White model. For my master project I need to calibrate it to compute Counterparty credit risk metrics. I know that the model might be calibrated either for ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

Calculate and compare IRR among products and companies

I am trying to calculate return on investment for a couple of companies and their respective products. I have two main products: credit card installment loan Owners would like to be able to ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

How to calculate the estimation error of portfolio variance using propagation results?

I am trying to find a conservative approximation for the propagated estimation error of a investment portfolio's variance (comprising two assets), given we know the estimation error for the variance ...

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