0
votes
2answers
101 views

Is stock price priced in the uncertainty?

Consider a one step binomial tree model for stock price. The classical setup is as below: At time $t=0$, the stock price is $S_0$. At time $t=1$, the stock has probability $p$ to jump up to price ...
0
votes
0answers
52 views

Option payoffs and replicating payoffs

I've come across the below question which has no answers to it and I was hoping someone could provide some help. I know it quite a long question and I appreciate any help with this. An investment ...
2
votes
2answers
116 views

Understanding the conditioning in a GARCH process

In a GARCH model like the following $$y_t=\sigma_tz_t,\\ \sigma_t^2=\omega(1-\alpha-\beta)+\alpha y_{t-1}^2+\beta \sigma_{t-1}^2$$ where $z_t$ is assumed to be iidN(0,1), we say that conditional on ...
1
vote
1answer
40 views

Which more topic should be covered in my undergraduate program? [closed]

Below is the topics covered in my undergraduate economics program. I want to know which course should I take to get a full overview of topics in finance today. Econometrics Micro, Macro Economics ...
2
votes
4answers
199 views

Why does [dz(t)]^2 converge to dt over infinitesimally short time periods?

I have some trouble understanding a chapter in George Pennacchi textbook "Asset Pricing". Here the author shows that the square of a Wiener Process $[dz(t)]^2$ converges to $dt$ for infinitesimally ...
0
votes
1answer
105 views

Intuitive understanding of Black-Scholes pricing

The Black-Scholes formula entails market completeness, so the price of an option is only the cost associated with dynamically hedging the option. Where does this cost come from? I don't see how ...
3
votes
2answers
92 views

What is the tau parameter in the Black-Litterman model?

Could someone please provide me with a clear and concise definition of the $\tau$ parameter in the Black-Litterman model? It seems one is rather hard to come by. I understand it to be the 'weight on ...
0
votes
1answer
98 views

investors hold efficient portfolios because generally they are risk averse

I'm trying to find a concept on this question,in my understanding investors differ on risk preference,the question said investors hold efficient portfolios because they are generally risk averse? ...
0
votes
0answers
46 views

Kalman Filtering with Linear Restrictions

A question on this topic has been asked before: Combining a linear Kalman Filter with additional linear constraints? and I checked out some of the references given: ...
1
vote
2answers
71 views

Basis Risk for Futures/Options

I am just reading about basis risk. It is being described as risk of the price of the hedging instrument not fluctuating the same as the instrument itself. I was just wondering, if we bought a ...
1
vote
1answer
109 views

Short-term directional trading

Did value of ratio between informed and uninformed traders at market, making difference to profitability of short-term directional trading on that market? My guess is yes and better play short-term ...
0
votes
0answers
54 views

The option values are different from two r package - foptions,rquantlib

The results are very different.I know the code from quantlib and the result of quantlib seem right(close to market price). Is there anyone know why the value from fOptions is so large or fOptions used ...
0
votes
1answer
56 views

Controling ex-post volatility by ex-ante limits

In the context of mutual funds the KID directive forces us to calculate 5 year ex-post volatility of a (market) fund (weekly returns). Thus each week we look back in the past and calculate volatility ...
1
vote
2answers
68 views

Intuition behind interest rate models

I am modelling the 3M yield of US Treasuries using an ARMA/ GARCH approach. Most interest rate models (e.g. Vasicek) describe the process as follows: $r_{t}-r_{t-1} = some ARMA+ \epsilon_t $ ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Recording Bill payment of Credit Sale with existing Customer Deposit

Need your help for below scenario : 1) Sale of an item for 200.00. But customer pays 250.00 and asks to keep $50 as an advance for next transaction. For this transaction, Journal Entries will be as ...
-2
votes
1answer
139 views

Is the market really Normal. Is Implied Volatility Historically Correct?

Ok. So as of 6/10/2014's market close the SPY was 195.6 and the VIX closed at a ridiculous recent low of 10.99. Now because the VIX (IV) is the implied volatility of 1 month contracts on the SPX and ...
0
votes
2answers
85 views

BInary Option implied volaltility

How is implied vol calculated if the quoted prices are out of the range for any possible volatility? E.g. Current quote on CBOE for options expiring on Aug 16, 2014 ...
1
vote
1answer
152 views

Is node.js being used in systematic trading software?

I have a project where I would like to track some tick data and create some indicators to follow it. I am thinking of using Node.js for this project, but I would like to know from those in industry if ...
1
vote
0answers
39 views

VaR mapping - Forward Foreign Currency Contract

I have a question about VaR mapping for FX forwards. Please bear with me while I outline the problem. Philippe Jorion's book discusses VaR mapping; a means to break down complex instruments into ...
5
votes
1answer
120 views

PDF Calculation by Fourier Inversion of Characteristic Function for Affine Intensity Process in Matlab

I'm trying to use the Fourier inversion formula to plot the PDF of an Affine Stochastic Intensity Reduced Form Credit Model, given its characteristic function. The characteristic function of an ...
1
vote
2answers
84 views

calculate gamma value using finite difference method

I try to use the finite difference method to get the approximately gamma value, but there is an issue I can't solve. First, I set $h$ to 1 basis point of underlying asset value, but the result is not ...
5
votes
1answer
69 views

Estimating the Hurst exponent in short terms in developed markets

In the Proceedings of the Estonian Academy of Sciences, Physics and Mathematics (2003), I saw the following sentence: Surprisingly, in the case of developed markets, short-term $H$ results showed ...
0
votes
1answer
83 views

Directional/Non-Directional Risk

Can someone explain to me what is direction/non-directional risk? Went through few sites but couldn't understand much.
0
votes
2answers
142 views

Is there a step-by-step guide for calculating portfolio VaR using monte carlo simulations

I am trying to determine a step-by-step algorithm for calculating a portfolio's VaR using monte carlo simulations. It seems to me that the literature for this is extraordinarily opaque for something ...
2
votes
1answer
147 views

Boundary condition for Asian Option under Black-Scholes model

I am looking at Kemna and Vorst's paper: A PRICING METHOD FOR OPTIONS BASED ON AVERAGE ASSET VALUES. see http://www.javaquant.net/papers/Kemna-Vorst.pdf Let $\text{d}S_t = S_tr\text{d}t + ...
1
vote
1answer
69 views

regarding Basel II III model

I may have to get involved in some projects using Basel II, III model for risk modeling, to which I have no background. Are there any good book/tutorials to recommend? What are the underlying ...
0
votes
1answer
67 views

Market-Maker existence impact to short-term informed directional trading

How existence of market-maker affects short-term directional trading? Normally when playing short-term directional we play against market marker that will cover losses from uninformed traders. But ...
2
votes
2answers
80 views

What is the correct / expected behavior for a market order sent to an empty book?

Should it stick around until liquidity shows up? (GTC) Should it cancel any size for which there is no liquidity? (IOC) Is there such a thing as Market GTC or Market Orders must always be IOC?
0
votes
0answers
48 views

Identifiability for Time Invariant State Space Models

Kevin Murphy's Kalman Filter toolbox (for Matlab) contains an example where it's the fact that the state space system in not identifiable causes problems. I include the example in it's entirety but ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

Variable Selection with Kalman Filter

I'm trying to estimate factor loadings on portfolios over time for portfolios that are traded pretty frequently. I have a sense that several portfolios are loading on the Fama-French HML factor ...
3
votes
1answer
167 views

Why parameterize the Black Scholes implied volatility surface?

I know that SVI volatility surfaces are very popular among financial practitioners. I understand that this is not really a model for some underlying asset (such as Black Scholes, Heston etc.) but ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Dealing with the stock numeraire

I don't understand how to express the stock dynamics in the stock numéraire I have $dS_t/S_t = rdt + \sigma dW_t$ as usual under the money-market numéraire and I need to price options with payoffs ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Finding criteria for a household financial budget falsification

I’m working on a financial problem about budget of households. Households in a state fill a form about their net budget in every year and our insurance company investigate their financial status and ...
5
votes
1answer
239 views

Quant teams predicting the World Cup

It is a good tradition of the quant teams of the major banks to predict the World Cup. As an example see this new paper from Goldman Sachs: The World Cup and Economics 2014 (Brazil will win by the ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

Girsanov theorem in CMS convexity derivation

I am going through the derivation of CMS convexity from the notes of Lesniewski There is a transformation from $T_p$ forward measure to annuity measure $Q$ as $$ ...
7
votes
4answers
435 views

Why shrink the covariance matrix?

I'm trying to understand why it's useful to shrink the covariance matrix for portfolio construction or in fact general. Think I missing something. I know if you have 5,000 stocks it's a lot of ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

Are there any Spanish language resources for getting quotes?

In English, there is MetaTrader from http://www.metaquotes.net. Is there any similar platform or program available in Spanish for backtracking and running your trading algorithms? How about ...
0
votes
0answers
53 views

Liquidity Coverage Ratio: Proposed changes by US Fed, OCC and FDIC

With its latest report on the impact of the Liquidity Coverage Ratio the EBA has stated: "Incentives for regulatory arbitrage could be minimised if central bank operations were treated ...
7
votes
4answers
344 views

Why is the VIX futures market usually in a state of contango?

I'm a VIX newbie and I'm trying to understand why the VIX futures market is usually in a state of contango. All I can figure is that the sellers of VIX futures contracts demand high "prices" (because ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Do people hedge with leveraged ETFs intraday? How?

Seems that the answer to the first part should be yes, but haven't seen any references or examples. E.g. suppose I want to hedge XLF position with FAZ. Do people use close to current returns, or just ...
0
votes
1answer
43 views

Price change of a bond towards yield and YTM

I have been trying to get a good picture of PV01 and DV01(PVBP). I was going through below link. This measure is the absolute value of the change in price of a bond for a one basis point change in ...
1
vote
3answers
61 views

Obtaining Expense Ratio Data

I have a list of tickers (~11,500) in a .txt/.csv file and accompanying fund data from yahoo finance. I'm wondering if there is a reasonably easy/accessible way to use this list to obtain expense ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

The list of all UCITs IV funds tickers

I am looking for the list of tickers for all the UCITs IV complaint funds. Could there be such a list? Thanks,
1
vote
2answers
61 views

Standard Deviation as listed in Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation: Binomial Replication 2.3.4 Worked-Out Example

I am reading Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation (2nd Edition) and I think it's a great book. I'm having difficulty trying to derive a formula he used that he described as the expression for ...
3
votes
3answers
243 views

Determining optimal trading signals (buy/sell) from past data

Let's say we have a stock which our only actions are buy, sell and hold (with or without shorting). If we have sufficient past data of the stock, how can you determine the optimal trading action ...
2
votes
2answers
67 views

IMM Swaps vs. Forward Swaps

Could we think of IMM dated swaps as forward swaps (since they trade only on specified dates and they might not be the current date)? For example, today is June 2nd, the next IMM swap is June 14 (not ...
0
votes
1answer
89 views

How do I do a mean variance optimization with constraints?

I am using python and the cvxopt library to calculate an efficient frontier, per the docs: http://cvxopt.org/examples/book/portfolio.html However, I cannot figure out how to add a constraint so that ...
0
votes
0answers
100 views

trading strategy outperforms passive strategy in absolute terms, but in returns vice versa. how could this be?

Background: I want to compare two trading strategies in term of profitability. The red one is an active trading strategy, which involves many entry and exit to a specific market. The blue one is a ...
3
votes
2answers
84 views

Modelling driftless stock price with geometric Brownian motion

I wish to understand some basic fact about the (primitive) simulation of stock prices with geometric Brownian motion. If $S(t)$ is the stock price at time $t$, and the stock price follows geometric ...
4
votes
1answer
131 views

Simulating state space model with AR(1) dynamics

I asked a question similar to this previously: https://dsp.stackexchange.com/questions/16341/simulating-a-state-space-model However I think I have a better handle on it now and want to re-ask it: I ...

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