1
vote
0answers
27 views

Data collection [duplicate]

I am looking for historical data (hopefully from 1995-2016, otherwise as much as available during that time frame) on a number of variables for 8 different stock market indexes. The indexes are ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Forecasting conditional returns in DCC-GARCH-copula approach in R

anyone who could help me interpreting and modifying this code? I have a dataset and want to reserve the last 100 returns for out-of-sample analysis. After specifying and fitting the garch-spd-copula, ...
4
votes
3answers
109 views

Basket derivatives on weather AND financial underlying?

Is somebody aware whether there exist basket derivatives whose underlyings are either related to weather (e.g. temperature) or financial indices (e.g. S&P500)? It is essential that the payoff ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Does OpenFIGI have precanned files?

From what I understand, Bloomberg Open Symbology is now transitioning to OpenFigi: http://bsym.bloomberg.com/sym/ "BSYM.bloomberg.com will be SHUT-OFF on June 1st. It is being replaced by ...
1
vote
0answers
74 views

Bonds with embedded options pricing via binomial model

Notation: t - time; G(t) - zero-coupon yield curve; $r$, $r_d$, $r_u$ - interest rates. The task is to find market price of a bond for today, while knowing the price of a number of other bonds. ...
5
votes
2answers
142 views

FX forward with stochastic interest rates pricing

I would like to extend the following question about FX Forward rates in stochastic interest rate setup: "Expectation" of a FX Forward We consider a FX process $X_t = X_0 \exp( \int_0^t(r^...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

Use of real-world probabilities in options pricing: binary event with continuous effect

Let's say I have to price options on instrument X with a multitude of strikes. For simplicity, assume that X only makes one move during the options' lifetime, and this move is affected by some binary "...
5
votes
2answers
93 views

Why is a variance swap long skew?

I can appreciate the mathematical derivation, but can anyone explain this in a more intuitive sense? I often come across the mistaken belief that due to the replicating portfolio being long more ...
1
vote
0answers
10 views

How to get daily OHLC (fints) from minutes OHLC (fints) in MatLab?

I have a minutes OHLC time series stored in fints object, how can I get a new fints object which contains daily OHLC? What is the easiest way to do it?
3
votes
0answers
29 views

Monte Carlo approach to RAN bonds in Quantlib or suggestions

This is a problem from Schlogl's book in the chapter on the HJM model: Price option of the RAN instrument with 3 month coupons and maturity 3 years using Monte Carlo(Exercise 4 Range Accrual Note). ...
1
vote
1answer
14 views

compute volatility and greeks of american option on futures using matlab toolbox

I have learned some knowledges on option pricing by myself at a very beginer's level. I'm using matlab R2009b finacial derivative toolbox, I found option pricing functions for american options on ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

(Reproducible example) Conditional returns in GARCH-EVT-Copula context (with R)

I'm estimating a time-varying correlation matrix for the normal copula using the rmgarch package from R. I've found this code in the rmgarch.tests folder. I use the ...
1
vote
0answers
17 views

Liquidity horizons of risk factors categories

I'm reading the consultative document of the BCBS on the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book: http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs265.pdf Table 2 on page 16 shows the liquidity horizons for 5 broad risk ...
1
vote
0answers
24 views

Bootstrapping bond spreads as in the standard CDS model

Suppose that we have a spread curve $\boldsymbol{s}:=(s_1, ..., s_n)$, where $s_i$ are CDS par spreads. Moreover, assume the standard ISDA model framework, i.e. piecewise constant forward / hazard ...
4
votes
1answer
94 views

von Neumann boundary in the transformed PDE

I have transformed the BSM PDE $$\frac{\partial V}{\partial t} + \frac{\sigma^2}{2}S^2 \frac{\partial^2 V}{\partial S^2} + rS \frac{\partial V}{\partial S} - rV = 0 $$ to $u(\tau,x) = V(T-\tau,S_{0}...
3
votes
1answer
60 views

Choice of time increment in Monte Carlo/ Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) stock price prediction

I am playing around with writing a daily stock price prediction algo in Python using a Monte Carlo/GBM methodology. I know there are many other questions on here about this topic (here, and here), but ...
3
votes
1answer
44 views

How do I calculate Market Dividend Yield from this data?

Thanks for reading, I am trying to calculate the market dividend yield for this set of data. The authors define it as 'The market dividend yield (MDY) is the one-year dividend from the CRSP value-...
1
vote
0answers
14 views

Are the returns in this regression signed returns?

In this paper about combining multiple alphas are the returns signed returns? if not wouldn't they be mean zero? Also, it mentions "realized alpha returns" - does that just mean "realized" past alpha ...
1
vote
1answer
52 views

Which API can I use to get financial data minute- or 5m-wise?

I've browsed a lot of financial APIs lately but most of them only show the daily closing prices. Is there any (JSON) API which offers minutely financial data?
1
vote
1answer
36 views

hello, anyone know how can i get historical book to market ratio? [closed]

am working on Malaysian stocks i have just 25 days to present my thesis to the university and i don't know how to get my data i need book to market monthly ratio from 2000 to 2015
1
vote
0answers
48 views

Exploding Libor Rates in Libor Market Model

I have implemented the Libor Market Model in Matlab. When I generate a number of paths, I notice that some of them explode. Does anybody have an idea what could cause this? I already tried solving ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

The best process for foreign exchange rate

I have a simple research project and I need to explain a behavior of a foreign exchange rate. Could you propose a stochastic process without jumps so that it could be estimated with QMLE? Is GBM ...
1
vote
0answers
41 views

how to mix trading signals for the same product?

I have multiple trading signals developed using cointegration on the same stock using various correlated assets. Is there a mathematical way to combine them to achieve better entry/exit points and ...
0
votes
1answer
51 views

Prove Volatility Parametrization of Libor Market Model is Bounded/Not Bounded

How can I prove that the function $$\sigma_i\left(t\right) = k_i\left[\left(a+b\left(T_i-t\right)\right)e^{-c\left(T_i-t\right)}+d\right]$$ is bounded/unbounded? $\sigma_i\left(t\right)$ is the ...
3
votes
1answer
49 views

Deep ITM Call Implied Vol via Monte Carlo

Let's say I've computed the price of a call using Monte Carlo with $S_0 = 100$ and $K = 80$, using $T = 0.1$ and $r = 0$ to be $\$20.00095$. This price estimate comes with a $95\%$ confidence ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Market Price of Risk in EDF Model

Consider Moody's Expected Default Frequency (EDF) model. To arrive from risk-neutral default probabilities to real-world default probabilities, we need to know ...
1
vote
0answers
39 views

How to backtest strategy in portfolio of stocks using SIT R?

I am creating and testing strategies in R code and using systemic investor toolbox(SIT) package as the backtesting tool. I copied a SIT backtesting code from a website and made small changes to make ...
0
votes
0answers
10 views

Zero coupon prices in 2-period binomial tree?

If I have a two-period binomial tree with given short rate process (i.e, rate on the bank account) and the equivalent martingale measure $Q$, what are the zero coupon prices at time t = 0? The reason ...
1
vote
1answer
56 views

What does an optimized portfolio really tell us?

I am very new to this field, and have very recently started doing some self study on this topic. After reading some papers and reproducing some of the results in them, I am not very clear about what ...
3
votes
1answer
75 views

rugarch: GARCH external regressors

I'm currently playing around with the great rugarch package in R. However, I tried to test the external regressor functionality. I implemented a GARCH(1,1) process and compared it with a GARCH(0,1) ...
3
votes
0answers
56 views

'GARCH - extreme value theory - copula' approach to estimate risk measures in R

I'm reading about this approach of using GARCH-EVT-copula methodology to separate univariate and joint estimation and then estimate for example VaR and ES. I wanted to try something similar, but my ...
1
vote
1answer
56 views

Paper on the use of probability theory in finance?

I have taken probability theory course in college and want to see how it is used practically in finance. What papers should I read? I want it to be not too difficult (undergraduate probability theory ...
1
vote
0answers
33 views

Account for empirical relationship between signal and market data

I have two monthly time series : one is a 'signal', on which I will base my decision to buy or short-sell, and the second one is the time serie of a given asset's price. I have implemented this ...
5
votes
3answers
109 views

How do you check your option calculations?

I'm implementing a bunch of different algorithms to price options/find Greeks: finite difference, Monte Carlo, binomial... I'm not really sure how to check my calculations. I tried using QuantLib to ...
0
votes
1answer
49 views

GARCH Model Constant in Regression

When regressing a variable on a constant of 1, the coefficient of this constant is the mean. However, when I specified that the residuals follow a GARCH(1,1) model, the coefficient of the constant ...
3
votes
2answers
74 views

How can I calculate the fair value of an ETF using the current price of each of its holdings?

Say, for example, I'm looking at the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) If I have the current market price for each of its holdings, and related information ...
2
votes
2answers
93 views

Option pricing, origin of formula $\Pi( t,X)= E^{\mathbb{Q}}\left[e^{-\int_{t}^{T}r_s\,ds} X| \mathcal{F}_t\right]$

Imagine a model with stock prices and dividends of these stocks, as well as a market bond with associated short rate process. It is known that this model is arbitrage-free if there exists an ...
2
votes
2answers
98 views

Trading with Inflation, Unemployment, Trade Deficit Information

I am trying to create a model for inflation for trading purposes. In his book The Market: Practice and Policy S. Nickell presents a model that relates unemployment, inflation and trade deficit. His ...
-1
votes
0answers
30 views

What is the value of the hedge under risk neutral measure?

Given: $$S_1(0) - S_2(0) = K $$ $$ V(T) = S_1(T) - S_2(T) $$ Let $D(T)$ be the discount process. $$ V(t) = K/D(t) $$ Show that the value of hedge is $$K/D(t)$$ I am looking for suggestions as to ...
1
vote
0answers
55 views

Backtesting Long/Short Market Neutral Z-Score Strategy with Custom Factors and Custom Stock Universe

So I've managed to backtest simple strategies, like MA, RSI and some fundamental ones (P/E ratios etc) but Im stuck at my last strategy. Here is some information: Tools: Excel and Python (also a ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

Should the number of Markowitz Optimization steps be counted as backtest trials?

I'm backtesting a strategy that involves monthly investments in a few stocks out of a given set, that is, each month some of the stocks are shortlisted from an index and a long position is taken in ...
1
vote
1answer
61 views

construct volatility smile based on historic observations

So I calculated historic volatility/skewness/kurtosis for a commodity. I now would like to construct a volatility smile that reflects this historically realized distribution. I tried using some ...
2
votes
1answer
33 views

Extended Areas on Stochastic Volatility Modelling

I'm interested in the areas surrounding Stochastic Volatility Modelling. I've read up on the main models that are prominent in the literature (Hull White, Heston, SABR) but I was wondering what the ...
1
vote
1answer
68 views

pricing the discount zero-coupon bond under a jump-diffusion model

I am going to get the price of a zero coupon bond in a jump-diffusion model. The dynamic of interest rate as follow $$dr_t=\kappa(\theta-r_t)dt+\sigma\sqrt{r_t}\,dW_t+d\left(\sum\limits_{i=1}^{N_t}\,...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Find the parameter $d$ of the Affine Option Pricing Model in Duffie, Pan and Singleton (2000)

According to Duffie, Pan and Singleton (2000) for any real number $y$ and any $a$ and $b \in \mathbb{R}^n$, the price of a security that pays $\exp(aX_t)$ at time $T$ in the event that $bX_t \leq y$ ...
1
vote
1answer
31 views

Pricing Barrier Options with Rebates

How are rebates factored into the Black-Scholes analytical solutions to pricing barrier options? In Hull's book, he does not have rebates factored into the formulas. Can someone point me to a paper ...
1
vote
2answers
51 views

Very Simple Log Return Correlated Stock simulation

Suppose we have 3 stocks which follow GBM. We are given the distribution of the daily log returns which is multivariate normal. Suppose I want to sample the stock price tomorrow ($\Delta t = 1$ day). ...
1
vote
0answers
33 views

Model Free VIX Calculation in Python

I have previously seen this implementation and had meant to replicate it, but can't find it any longer. Does anyone know of a python implementation of the CBOE Volatility Index? Yes, the white paper ...
1
vote
1answer
34 views

Trader Workstation on Ubuntu cannot be connected to via the API

I am using ibPy to connect to TWS on a fairly fresh ubuntu machine. I have been successful in logging into the paper trading account and submitting buy and sell orders programatically via the ibPy ...

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