4
votes
2answers
59 views

Joint probability distribution only measures product sets?

According to these notes (top of p 133), "We say that random variables $X_1, X_2, \ldots X_n : \Omega \to \mathbb{R}$ are jointly continuous if there is a joint probability density function $p(x_1, ...
3
votes
0answers
30 views

conferences for credit portfolio managers

What are worth conferences for credit portfolio managers? I appreciate your recommendations! PS:I am aware that this question is not the typical quant.SE question, BUT I couldn`t find reliable ...
3
votes
1answer
137 views

Extended CIR and discretization

Did someone know how to discretize this process efficiently : $dX(t) = \kappa [\theta(t)-X(t)]dt + \sigma \sqrt{X(t)}dW(t)$ I am looking for something more sophisticated than the trivial Euler ...
1
vote
1answer
151 views

Conversion of SPY prices to ES prices

I have a system that I use intraday that works great on SPY. Due to the extra leverage available plus other benefits I am thinking about trading the system using ES. Is there a conversion factor ...
0
votes
2answers
202 views

Johansen test on two stocks (for pairs trading) yielding annoying results

I hope you can help me with this one. I am using cointegration to discover potential pairs trading opportunities within stocks and more precisely I am utilizing the Johansen trace test for only two ...
2
votes
1answer
73 views

Underlying Sample Space in Continuous Market Model

E.g., a model for $N$ stocks might have each follow a GBM $dS_i = \mu_i S_i dt + \sigma_i S_i dW_i$, where each $W_i$ is independent of the others. Letting $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be the ...
3
votes
0answers
115 views

Fitting High Frequency Indicators

I have a high frequency time series of the bid and ask prices of a stock recorded on every tick. For each data point I also have a certain indicators that predict the future movement of the price. The ...
3
votes
1answer
105 views

Accuracy of GARCH& ARCH forecast

I'm learing ARCH&GARCH model. I have four questions that I don't know the answers 1st: ARCH & GARCH are often used to evaluate equities. Does it mean that ARCH and GARCH are fitter for high ...
4
votes
1answer
123 views

Matlab Portfolio Optimization with bid ask spread

I'm trying to find the optimal portfolio of options and stock which minimizes the standard deviation of the portfolio returns but also taking into consideration the bid and ask prices of the assets. ...
1
vote
2answers
251 views

Aggregate interactive brokers data in matlab

I am using matlab and interactive brokers API. I am getting real time data using tickerID = ib.realtime({ct},'233',@(varargin)ibEventRealTimeData(varargin{:})); where ib is the interface to ...
3
votes
1answer
174 views

How can one value a Bermuda option?

A Bermuda option allows early exercise at predefined dates, e.g. at maturity equal to $t_1$, $t_2$, $t_3$,...; hence , would its value be the sum of 3 discounted European options with 1-year ...
3
votes
1answer
168 views

Hedging - calculating option prices using implied volatility surface

To hedge a strategy is it accurate "enough" to price an option using an implied vol curve vs moneyness (strike/spot) assuming sticky delta? The moneyness can be read off the chart, its corresponding ...
3
votes
1answer
210 views

Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from IV surface

I'm looking for an excel example (not a copy of Dupire's eqn) of how to convert an IV surface to a local vol surface. If unsuccessful I'll work through Dupire's eqn but would be helpful to look at an ...
2
votes
3answers
201 views

Why can't you arb skew by buying options with low implied vol and selling high implied vol in the same month and dynamically hedging?

there's something I've been trying to understand for a while now and I just can't quite understand with regards to skew. In the same month, why can't you buy a option that have low implied vol on the ...
1
vote
2answers
92 views

Using IRR to calculate future value of cashflow

Discounting a cashflow using given forward rates will result in the following present value: PV = 102.875 = ${5\over (1+3\%)}$ + ${5\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)}$ + ${105\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)(1+5\%)}$ where ...
8
votes
2answers
649 views

The greeks: where do they come from?

I’m studying the BSM model and having a look at the greeks. I was reading Derivatives, by Paul Wilmott, and he gives the closed form solutions without making the reader see where these solutions come ...
0
votes
4answers
98 views

How can one get broker order data?

Is there any chance to get order data from any broker with a label from which account it came from? The accounts can be anonymized, i just need to identify an account's orders sent. Any help will ...
5
votes
0answers
152 views

Pricing an American call under the CGMY model

I am pricing an American call under the CGMY model ($0 < Y < 1$) with strike $K$ at grid point $(x_i,\tau_j)$ where $x_i=x_{min}+i\,\Delta x $ for $i=0,1,...N$ and $\Delta ...
3
votes
0answers
97 views

The difference in sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model.

The question is that I want to know whether there is difference in the applying of sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model. In the ...
3
votes
0answers
96 views

Yield for valuation of illiquid corporate bond

I am trying to value a illiquid corporate bond issued at a discount to face value by a privately held company in India. The corporate bond is a sinkable bond (amortizing principle) with coupon rate of ...
1
vote
1answer
130 views

Finding the Interest Compounded with Bank Advertising Yield

A bank is advertising 9.5% accounts that yield 9.84% annually. How often is the interest compounded. Answer is Quarterly. I've been trying to look for the formula for this; it doesnt seem to be ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

Major categories of tradable securities and the ETF's that track them?

I'm just starting to learn about quantitative finance and I'm overwhelmed by the amount of tradable securities out there. I'm seeing all these things like VXX, TLT, TMF, SPY, SPXL, HYG, VWEHX and so ...
4
votes
1answer
91 views

Why $W_{t}^3$ is not a martigale?(by Definition)

If $W_t$ be a wiener process then,how can i show that $W_{t}^{3}$ is not a martingale by definition?
3
votes
1answer
535 views

Ho-Lee Model; Please explain

I'm having trouble with the Ho-Lee model for short rates and differentiating between how to find the values for the free parameter λ versus using the model to predict future rates. The Ho-Lee model ...
4
votes
1answer
142 views

How can I calculate $Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right)$

How can I calculate? \begin{align} Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right) \end{align} Thank you for your attention.
8
votes
1answer
132 views

Are there references about liquidation, transaction, market impact costs in portfolio optimization

I am looking for some references treating of what I would call liquidation cost market impact cost transaction cost(*) in the usual "portfolio optimization problem under linear constraints". Let ...
1
vote
1answer
81 views

Pricing employee stock options

ESOs are typically priced using the black-scholes model, but with an additional parameter for for the employee turnover rates . An example ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

order routing for a fill [closed]

Lets assume a FIFO rules in futures, I buy a contract and id like to sell it. Should I estimate the possibilite of orders on opposite side would be filled first? If I watch new orders incoming at new ...
6
votes
4answers
515 views

If I have found a way to predict stocks trend with 58% accuracy, is it good?

Say I have found a way through technical analysis to predict how stocks would behave with 58% accuracy, how good is this percentage?
1
vote
0answers
39 views

How should I use central banks rates in order to compute 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD

Good morning, I would like to compute a 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD. For that, I have historical data on EURUSD spot price, and I know that theoretically, when maturity is T we have : ...
5
votes
1answer
118 views

Sharpe Maximization under Quadratic Constraints

When doing Sharpe optimization $$ \max_x \frac{\mu^T x}{\sqrt{x^T Q x}} $$ there is a common trick (section 5.2) used to put the problem in convex form. You add a variable $\kappa$ such that $x = ...
3
votes
1answer
106 views

Boundary conditions of PDE from SV model with stochastic interest rate

The PDE for the American put option price $P(S,\sigma ,r,t)$ is \begin{align*} 0 =& P_t+P_SS(r-\delta)+P_\sigma a(\sigma)+P_r\alpha (r,t) \\ +& \frac{1}{2}P_{SS}S^2\sigma ^2 + ...
2
votes
2answers
208 views

How to select optimal look back period for statistical arbitrage?

Is it possible to estimate the optimal look back period for OLS from which we test if residuals are stationary? Almost all papers that I read use random look back periods of 100 days, 252 days, 500 ...
3
votes
1answer
82 views

Estimate market risk premium?

There are uncountably many factor models to estimate stock returns, such as CAPM, Fama-French, Carhart-Momentum, APT etc. Which models can estimate the market (index) return? I found only three ...
5
votes
1answer
150 views

Is there a Bloomberg field for the first trading date after an event?

For example, if a company reports earnings today after the close (6/24), the earnings date would be 6/24 but the field I'm looking for would be 6/25. If they reported tomorrow before the open, both ...
3
votes
0answers
138 views

Model a floating rate BBB yield curve

Background: We want to design a compensated prepayment liability index to define an amount a bond buyer would need to receive in a redemption prior to the nominal maturity of a bond. Ideally we'd ...
5
votes
0answers
846 views

Bridgewater's Daily Observations

Bridgewater Associates send out Daily Observations to their clients, but I haven't found many traces of these publications online. The series started some 40 years ago by Ray Dalio, and there're just ...
0
votes
1answer
83 views

Local volatility parametrization using the spot

Is it possible to estimate the local volatility using the spot price S at time t instead of the strike price K and the expiry date T ? Any help would be appreciated.
2
votes
1answer
126 views

Acquiring large sets of price series

Selling and delivering real-time data seems to be the focus of practically all large data vendors, but I am more interested in acquiring large sets of historical daily data covering, say, 5.000 ...
7
votes
1answer
84 views

Does price of american (put) option exhibit smooth pasting in time direction under B-S model?

Let us consider the BS model and let $f(s,t)$ denote the price of an American put option with $t$ to expiry, then it is known the solution of the optimal stopping (when it is risk neutral) related to ...
2
votes
2answers
87 views

Hedging portfolio and extraction PDE of SV model with stochastic interest rate

How can I extraction this PDE \begin{align*} 0 =& P_t+P_SS(r-\delta)+P_\sigma a(\sigma)+P_r\alpha (r,t) \\ +& \frac{1}{2}P_{SS}S^2\sigma ^2 + \frac{1}{2}P_{\sigma ...
3
votes
3answers
170 views

Arbitrage bounds for Black-Scholes

In some implied volatility code I came across, there is a check to ensure there is no violation of the arbitrage bounds based on the inputs to the method. For the call option, if $$P < 0.99 * ...
4
votes
2answers
286 views

Covariance between two stocks in a two-factor model

I am studying the Arbitrage Pricing Theory using Pairs Trading: Quantitative Methods and Analysis.In page 44 the author gives an example on how to calculate the covariance between two stocks. I will ...
4
votes
1answer
127 views

Options on Volatility Control Index

I have two question. Does an option on volatility control index exist? If I google it, it seems like there is such an option, but I can't find the option on any of exchanges. So this is my first ...
1
vote
0answers
74 views

ISM PMI data - sector trend through ranking and seasonal decomposition

I have monthly data for each of the 18 sectors in the ISM PMI. Each datapoint shows the trend of a sector: growing, contracting or neutral. It also tells the strength of that trend with a number: ...
1
vote
1answer
174 views

Jacobian transformation

I am trying to calculate pillar-wise sensitivity of a fixed coupon bond using par rates (given pillar-wise zero coupon sensitivities). I came across the formula pv01(par) = pv01(zero) * dz/dr, where ...
4
votes
1answer
109 views

Availability of TotalView-ITCH data

I am looking for a cheap (< $500) NASDAQ TotalView-ITCH real-time streaming data feed. Are there any cheap and (relatively) good market vendors out there that offer this? It seems as if the ...
2
votes
1answer
72 views

Why there are almost no book for revenue analytic?

Why there are almost no book for revenue analytic? By revenue analytic, it is meant to be predicting the revenue of a firm in the future
1
vote
1answer
61 views

Arbitraging upward sloping yield curve

I read from various sources that yield curve is normally upward sloping. If that's the case, if we borrow short term and lend long term, won't we always make money on average? Let's say 1-year ...
3
votes
1answer
68 views

VaR calculation accuracy/comparison/effectiveness through different R packages

My question is what would be the better( in terms of estimation accuracy) method of VaR calculation among below two:, also any small code snippet will be great as a starting point for me. 1st method: ...

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