0
votes
0answers
29 views

Are low oil prices and low shipping costs really a leading indicator for a shrinking economy

Recent article in Bloomberg saying that lowered shipping costs n the form of the Baltic Dry Index and lowered oil prices are in someway a concern for a growing global economy: http://www....
5
votes
2answers
205 views

Research topics - neural networks and market liquidity

I am a masters student looking for some direction on using neural network on market depth data to help predict market liquidity and bid-ask spreads. Can some of the more experienced people give me ...
0
votes
0answers
142 views

Interpretation of the CAPM model under Stochastic Portfolio Theory framework

The CAPM under the Modern Portfolio Theory approach is given as: $$ R_i = \beta_i R_\pi $$ Where $R_\pi$ the portfolios expected excess returns Under the stochastic portfolio theory approach: $$ r_i ...
0
votes
1answer
349 views

How to calculate annualised tracking error?

I have 36 months of relative returns and I need to calculate the annualised tracking error. So, using 36 months of returns is it simply like below: ...
4
votes
2answers
162 views

Bloomberg implied volatility smile for equities

I was wondering if someone knows how Bloomberg does their computations for the implied volatility smile for equities. As far as I understand, they use a lognormal mixture to model the stock prices. ...
2
votes
0answers
242 views

Send TRAIL STOP order when price hits a certain level, with IB TWS

Posting here after searching around and not finding any responses to basically the same question that I saw on EliteTrader, with another variant posted 10 years ago (update: the same question on Money)...
1
vote
0answers
50 views

labeling high frequency signal data

Was curious if anyone has methodologies they can recommend for systematically labeling (discrete) signals generated from intraday tick data for use in classification or detection models ?
1
vote
0answers
27 views

number of trades - flaw in White Reality Check?

I went through Whites paper of the reality check for multiple strategy testing. To summarize at a simple example: I have 2 strategies, s1 and s2. s1 gives 2 signals and therefore 2 returns, s2 gives ...
4
votes
1answer
238 views

Difference between Sharpe Ratio and Information Ratio

I am finding it difficult to understand the difference between the sharpe ratio and the information ratio and the relationship between the two, and cannot find a decent reference that breaks it down ...
4
votes
1answer
84 views

Full Kelly portfolios having same weights as tangency portfolios

I'm currently comparing empirically the differences between Markowitz and Kelly portfolios. I calculated the Kelly weights for monthly return observations over 10 years for a sample of 50 stocks from ...
2
votes
0answers
310 views

How to calculate yield spread?

I came across this multiple choice question on yield spread and I can't understand why the reasoning for the selected answer is correct.Can you confirm or clarify ? ( emphasis in the text is mine) ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

Isolating single assets standard deviation in a portfolio accounting for correlation

I am running a simple Monte Carlo analysis in Excel using mean return, standard deviation and the =NORMINV(RAND(),mean,std dev) method. I have a correlation matrix that I use to compute the portfolio ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

Want to understand the links and relationship between all the risk metrics?

For Example : if Risk weighted asset (RWA) increased or decreased this month, which other risk metrics could have influenced RWA to increase or decrease. Also in different situations like, upward ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Trades Question

Two very specific questions (they are more database questions, but need specific knowledge): A same stock could be traded in different currencies in a same exchange? A bond is always traded in his ...
5
votes
1answer
129 views

How to interpret this CDS spread sensitivity pattern?

From page 27, Table 6: Why are sensitivities of CDS slightly negative before the maturity of the CDS? I do not get the intuition: if I am long a 5-year CDS, the spreads <5y increase, and the ...
1
vote
1answer
33 views

Adjusting index betas for spread DV01

If you have an index and have measured its beta with respect to the overall market, how would you go about adjusting it against spread dv01 and why would you want this number?
1
vote
0answers
73 views

Definition of sharpe ratio maximising and variance minimising portfolios

In this paper, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2226985, in the derivation of the mean variance efficient portfolio using lagrangians in the appendix, on page 29, the two portfolios ...
3
votes
3answers
397 views

Sources of index data (MSCI, FTSE, S&P etc.)?

Who are the major suppliers of index data that cover multiple index providers, e.g. MSCI, FTSE, S&P etc? There are a huge number of people sourcing e.g. equity data, but index data is much harder ...
3
votes
2answers
527 views

Why does changing the time step size in my Monte Carlo simulation change my result a lot?

I have written some software to price a call option using Monte Carlo simulation. It produces a price which is consistent with the model when I set the time step as recommended in a tutorial that I ...
1
vote
2answers
88 views

Sharpe Ratio for strategies with different rebalancing period

Strategies published in journal papers like SMB, HML, UMD have annualized sharpe ratios around 0.5. These long-short portfolios are formed with monthly rebalance. People who backtest some daily ...
0
votes
1answer
22 views

Force of Interest Compounding at Annual Rate i

I'm working through some actuarial practice and am lost as to what's going on with the differentiation here (it's been a while since I've had calc): Derive an expression for $\delta_t$ if ...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

Put-Call Parity Arbitrage Exploitation for Binary-Asset-or-Nothing Options

Is the Put-Call-Parity valid for binary (asset-or-nothing) options? If not, is there another formula for such exotic options? I know that for regular options, there are arbitrage opportunities when ...
0
votes
1answer
53 views

Projecting cash flows via Monte Carlo Simulation

I am looking to model the cash flows associated with a company as part of a Project finance experiment, where I got the idea from here. I'm looking to project cash flows for an Automotive company in ...
1
vote
0answers
176 views

Historical calibration of Hull-White model

I have a question concerning 1-factor Hull-White model. For my master project I need to calibrate it to compute Counterparty credit risk metrics. I know that the model might be calibrated either for ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

Calculate and compare IRR among products and companies

I am trying to calculate return on investment for a couple of companies and their respective products. I have two main products: credit card installment loan Owners would like to be able to ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

How to calculate the estimation error of portfolio variance using propagation results?

I am trying to find a conservative approximation for the propagated estimation error of a investment portfolio's variance (comprising two assets), given we know the estimation error for the variance ...
1
vote
2answers
87 views

Portfolio Strategies Project

My first assignment for my Quantitative Finance Masters is to design a portfolio that theoretically makes money under any market movement. I am also asked to state all necessary assumptions. What I'...
3
votes
0answers
77 views

Approximate asian geometric option with Heston

I am trying to implement Theorem 1 from this Journal in RStudio. The journal says the it is possible to find a approximate price of a geometric asian option in a Heston setup this way: $$X_{1cGAO}=e^{...
2
votes
1answer
77 views

How to find optimal noise covariance matrices Q & R

I am trying to use the discrete Kalman filter for forecasting and I wonder what is commonly considered as the optimal way of determining the measurement noise covariance constants (Q and R) for a ...
1
vote
2answers
78 views

does there need to be risk-neutral agents in the market to enforce risk-neutral pricing?

I'm trying to understand a fundamental link between mathematical finance and economics. I understand that risk-neutral pricing is free of arbitrage with replicating portfolio. Does risk-neutral ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

Are limit orders mostly being matched by market orders?

When going over order book data, most limit-order executions look similar to the following: ...
0
votes
0answers
50 views

Estimating Credit VaR using a simulation of joint defaults with a copula

I'm trying to follow the steps Malz gives to calculate Credit VaR using simulation of joint defaults with a copula. I'm having trouble understanding some of the steps. My math knowledge is rather ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

Unexplained delimiters in Nasdaq ITCH file

I'm working on writing an order book constructor for Nasdaq ITCH v5 files, and I'm noticing some occasional message identifies/ delimiters that are not included in the ITCH5 specification, ...
1
vote
1answer
68 views

Calculating unweighted performance of stocks within a period

The well known calculation of unweighted index of stocks is just calculating an arithmetic average. And then, to calculate the performance of the index, I calculate the %change of the unweighted ...
0
votes
1answer
58 views

Interpretation of vega out of BS formula

I am comparing Monte Carlo estimates of VaR (using importance sampling) under both the normal and student distributions. I am also considering risk factors other than log-prices; in particular, ...
2
votes
1answer
200 views

Feynman Kac Formula for path-dependent options

Consier geometric Brownian motion: $dS_t/S_t=\mu dt+\sigma dW_t$ Feynman Kac theorem tells us that the conditional expectation $v(t,x)=E[ e^{-rT}\Psi(S_T) | S_t=x]$ can be computed by solving the ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Shrinkage Estimator giving unrealistic portfolio variances

I have a historical covariance matrix which is invertible for daily and monthly returns. I used the Ledoit,Wolf shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix and now I get really small portfolio ...
0
votes
2answers
107 views

Ledoit-Wolf Shrinkage estimator not giving positive definite covariance matrix

I used ten year daily data for 407 stocks and computed the daily and monthly covariance matrices. Since I have more variables than observations for the monthly matrix, I wasn't surprised to find the ...
11
votes
4answers
781 views

Thesis using Momentum strategies in R, tips on good books, guidelines etc on how to do the programming?

I am quite new to R and will be doing an empirical analysis of momentum strategies in R using a dataset from the index OSEAX from 1980 to 2014. The momentum strategy will for the most part resemble ...
2
votes
1answer
381 views

What are some quantitative trading strategies used by high-frequency trading companies to make a killing on a market crash day on 24Aug2015?

http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2015/08/24/high-frequency-trading-firms-just-made-a-killing/ Virtu Financial (VIRT), the high-speed trading firm that went public earlier this year, was one ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

The calculation of NIBID rate from 2013 by using NIBOR rate (UIP)

I need to calculate the NIBID rates from 2013. I have the NIBOR as a starting point and some indications but I am still quite confused. I found some advices online, but it does not seem to get me the ...
2
votes
2answers
159 views

Option with payoff $K^2/S^2$

Given the dynamics of the risky asset ( with dividend $q$ ), $$ \frac{dS_t}{S_t}=(\mu-q)dt + \sigma dW_t^P $$ Consider a european option with payoff, $$ P_0(S) = \begin{cases} 1, & \text{...
2
votes
1answer
582 views

Parametric VaR with Student-t distribution

Im using VaR to estimate parametric VaR. I have been able to do this using a Normal Distribution, however I want to also do this using a Student t-distribution and I'm unsure how to implement that in ...
3
votes
2answers
100 views

Futures Parameters for Value at Risk

I am new to risk management. I am calculating the VaR for a portfolio of futures contracts, long and shorts. I calculated it using the historical, parametric, and ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Historical UK Gilt 2-year and 5-year data

Data on the Medium (approx. 5-years) and Short (approx. 2-years) futures contract listed on ICE only goes back to 2009. Is anyone able to point me towards where I can get a longer time series, perhaps ...
5
votes
1answer
239 views

Up and Down days in GBPUSD and a Filter

I want to study if the odds of an up or down day in a forex pairs is 50-50. I just count the total number of up and down days in X years and compare it with the total days. The results are very ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

What exotic options are exchange-traded?

There are a number of exchanges that trade vanilla Call/Put American/European options on various underlyings (equities, indices, futures). There have been some trading in digital options on certain ...
1
vote
3answers
131 views

Is variance additive only under Log-returns?

Can't seem to figure this one out by thinking it through. Let's say that the simple return $R_t=P_{t+1}/P_t -1$ is assumed to be $R_t \sim iid N(0,\sigma^2)$. Thus, a two period return would be $(1+...
1
vote
1answer
163 views

How are netting sets determined for CVA calculation?

In his book, Gregory describes a netting set as a set of trades that can be legally netted together in the event of a default Obviously, the netting agreements (as per ISDA master agreement) ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Mutual Fund Cash Level Data

I look for a source to download historical monthly mutual fund cash level data from. Is there any free/cheap source available?

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