1
vote
1answer
147 views

novice question on fixed coupon schedule in QuantLib

For some bonds I work with the last coupon date is not equal to bond's maturity date. E.g. the last coupon date is April 25th, 2020 and maturity date is April 25th, 2021. I looked at Schedule class ...
6
votes
2answers
274 views

Why do I have a statistically significant slope regressing R(t) on R(t-1)

I am reading Cochrane's lecture note here He mentioned that when you regress annual return on time t on that of time t-1, you will have neither statistically significant nor economically significant ...
1
vote
0answers
126 views

Adjusting for variance bias when using overlapping data

I'm in the process of constructing volatility cones for several assets and I want to make sure the data is free of biases. I know that using overlapping data introduces an artificial degree of ...
1
vote
0answers
53 views

What are the estimation methods for SV models?

I want to know about some methods like Methods-of-Moments, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood method, Baysian methods using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Is there any reference to have an idea of these ...
1
vote
0answers
75 views

How to price an option with a “step up” feature using binomial tree?

I have a call option with expiry in two years. In my case the option is bermudan style with first 9 months w/o ability to exercise (i.e. European) and after exercise at any time (i.e. American), but I ...
2
votes
1answer
90 views

Will pricing a Bermudan option default to a value of a European option?

I have a call option with 2 expiry in two years. For the first 9 months I cannot excercise the option. After that the I can exercise at any time. I am pricing this option using a binomial tree using ...
1
vote
0answers
24 views

Stability of Equilibrium in 2 good exchange economy

Hello I was wondering if someone could help me with the following question relating to the stability of an equilibrium in a two good exchange economy and the Walrasian auctioneer. The setting is the ...
2
votes
1answer
134 views

Is this an inconsistency between Swap and LIBOR?

I'm a little confused by what I see as an inconsistency between quoted £ swap rates and £ LIBOR. From the FT on 25/4/14: 1-year Swap (semi-annual): Bid - $0.63\%$; Ask - $0.66\%$ LIBOR: 6-month - ...
1
vote
0answers
93 views

Bond pricing with HJM simulation

I'm using Glasserman 3.16 and 3.17 algorithm to price bonds. The algorithms evaluates the forward rates and the discount factor $B(0,t_j)$. My question is: How can I price bonds in a future time? I ...
1
vote
1answer
133 views

Constant term in linear regresion

Can someone give a mathematical proof as to why including a constant in a linear regression equivalent is to running a regression with demeaned data and zero constant? More specifically, consider the ...
3
votes
1answer
84 views

derive black scholes greeks

I am reading a paper and get a problem here, the following terms are all from standard BS models. the paper says using the well known fact $$Se^{-q(T-t)}N^{'}(d1)=Ke^{-r(T-t)}N^{'}(d2)$$ here the ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

FTSE AIM Components From 2000, 2001, … 2013

From where can I get a list of historical component lists for the FTSE AIM Index as well as other indices? I see that there is a page for data sources here, but that page does not contain what I am ...
1
vote
0answers
126 views

A question about pricing convertible bond with two different underlying assets

I have a question regarding the pricing of convertible bond. If I value the convertible bond with two different underlying assets, how can I incorporate two volatility and the correlation in the ...
4
votes
1answer
275 views

Ornstein versus AR(1) for modeling stationary data

I've come across several posts regarding parameter estimation for O-U models given some stationary data (say, some sort of mean reverting spread), but I can't seem to find an answer as to why modeling ...
7
votes
3answers
2k views

Volatility arbitrage - how is the profit extracted?

Is there any paper that describes in detail how the profit is extracted in directional volatility bet (vol arb)? I mean in the case that I bet the realized volatility will be lower than currently ...
3
votes
1answer
218 views

Hidden Markov Models methods for selecting optimal number of states

Package RHmm (R) I have a vector which I fit into a hmm model in an attempt to select an optimal number of states for a hidden markov model. ...
0
votes
1answer
189 views

Close price or adjclose price to calculate volatility?

To calculate volatility, which price in FTSE table is used? When do we use close price for calculating volatility? Do we use adjclose (adjusted close price) for calculating volatility as well? when ...
2
votes
0answers
148 views

What happened to Mountain View Analytics?

I stumbled over Thomas Cover's work on algorithmic portfolio selection; apparently, an outfit called "Mountain View Analytics" attempted to implement the suggestions from Cover's research. ...
1
vote
0answers
64 views

Quantitative method to select tactical bands for asset allocation

Do you know a study with a methodology for selecting tactical bands (or the allowed deviation from a strategic asset allocation)? Thanks
1
vote
0answers
128 views

Distribution of Brownian Bridge

I know from Karatzas & Shreve (1991) that a Brownian Bridge $B(t)$ from $a$ to $b$ on time interval $[0,T]$ satisfies: $B(t)=a(1-t/T) + b*t/T + [W(t) - W(T)*t/T]$, where $W(t)$ is a standard ...
-1
votes
1answer
221 views

Option pricing within the Black Scholes model

Have a question regarding regular option pricing. In the standard Black-Scholes model, with interest r and volatility $\sigma$. Determine the arbitrage free price at t of an option which at $T>t$ ...
2
votes
1answer
98 views

Distribution of minimum of hazard functions

Suppose I have two random variables, $X_1$ and $X_2$, that are independent (but not identically distributed) and assume both have hazard functions $\lambda_1(s)$ and $\lambda_2(s)$, for $s > 0$. ...
4
votes
0answers
118 views

Does GARCH derived variance explain the auto-correlation in a time series?

Given a time series of $u_i$ returns where i=1 to t. $\sigma_i$ is calculated from GARCH(1,1) as $\sigma_i^2=w+\alpha u_{i-1}^2 +\beta \sigma_{i-1}^2$ . What is the mathematical basis to say that ...
-3
votes
1answer
175 views

What's the disadvantage of ARMA-GARCH model?

I want to ask why ARMA-GARCH is more and more popolar, and what's the advantage of this model.
3
votes
1answer
166 views

Estimating Beta from unevenly spaced price history

I have a certain non-stock asset that has 1 transaction every 1 to 8 months. I also have a price index of that class of asset compiled by another party on monthly basis. If I regress $price = \alpha' ...
2
votes
0answers
86 views

Effective simulation of multi factor Heston model

Im looking for a quick way (as in runs quick, not necessarily is quick to implement) of simulating multiple square root processes for a stochastic volatility model, flexible enough to allow for ...
3
votes
1answer
3k views

GARCH model and prediction

I have a question about the prediction of volatility and returns of a time series. Basically it is a question about prediction in the ...
2
votes
2answers
127 views

When can a derivative be considered to be path dependant?

The typical example of path dependant derivatives are knock-ins and knock-outs. At the same time vanilla American options can also be considered to be highly path dependant. Does a more or less ...
5
votes
1answer
123 views

Attribution of unusual persistence in noncompetitive TAQ quotes levels?

I am looking at one day of AAPL quotes (3 Dec 2012) from TAQ to examine quote-based high frequency vol estimators. However, I found that a number of exchanges, when quoting noncompetitively, seem to ...
1
vote
2answers
370 views

How to calculate the expected value of a function of a standard brownian motion (Wiener process)

Have a problem regarding the expected value of the Wiener process inside a function, namely: Compute $E[cos(W_t)]$. To extend my question, what is the general method of computing these E´s when it ...
3
votes
2answers
154 views

Effects of Fund manager reputation, track record, and skill on funds returns and capital flows

I am compiling a list of all studies that examine the effects of fund manager reputation, track record and skill on fund returns and capital flows across both mutual funds and hedge funds. The purpose ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

GARCH(1,1) good fit found, how to predict one day volatility ahead?

I used SPY data to fit GARCH(1,1) in my model. My data starts from Jan, 2000 until Dec, 2013. I compared the volatility using runSD on the 21 rolling window and GARCH(1,1). It looks a pretty good fit ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

Calculating instantaneous forward rate from zero-coupon yield curve

I have a big dataset containing zero-coupon bond yields with different relative maturities. I fix a time horizon on my dataset and I want to calculate instantaneous forward rate. I'm going to write ...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

What are the good book to understand economics? [closed]

I am currently studying managerial economics by W. Bruce Allen. The book is good. Are there any good book with quizzes , that makes economics sweeter? Books that relate to real world facts and figure ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

“Equivalent” data sets despite different numbers

Are the historical data sets of short term treasury bill rates considered the same as the historical data sets of savings account interest rates because by definition they are both risk free rates of ...
1
vote
1answer
146 views

FX Rate dynamics

Let's suppose USD/EUR price in USD follows a GBM with $$ dS_t = rS_tdt + \sigma S_tdW_t $$ What process does EUR/USD follow in EUR?
2
votes
0answers
45 views

Risk neutral measure for jump processes

How can I construct risk neutral measure for option price if active price form is: $$S(t)=S(0)\left[\exp{σW(t)+(α-βλ-1/2σ^2)t+Q(t)}\right] ?$$ Here $W(t)$ is a Brownian motion and $Q(t)$ is a ...
-1
votes
1answer
142 views

Were can I find Historical Interest Rate Data?

Where can I find American historical Savings Account interest (Bank) rates? If you can, please attach corresponding links.
2
votes
2answers
506 views

Black Scholes vs Binomial Model

I'm trying to confirm my understanding of the 2 models. It is my understanding that the black-scholes is a special case of a binomial model with infinite steps. Does this mean that if I were to start ...
-3
votes
1answer
85 views

if technical analysis rules for predict stock prices is unique for all cases, why should we learn neural networks? [closed]

Is there any neural network out of the box tool that was already learned all technical rules by feeding many stock trading data?
1
vote
1answer
187 views

How would you correct a GARCH model to deal with non mean reverting volatility?

I am currently attempting to model and forecast volatility of bitcoin but have not been able to find a GARCH model that fits the data appropriately. I've used tick data sampled at 1 hour intervals ...
0
votes
1answer
61 views

PWIQF excercise solution

I am software developer with no previous experience or knowledge in finance and have recently been starting to build my knowledge in this area. I am working through the book: Paul Wilmott Introduces ...
4
votes
1answer
247 views

Portfolio optimization with Portfolio CVaR Constraint

I wanted to optimize a portfolio based on a portfolio-wide CVaR constraint (i.e. $CVaR_p \leq 0.08$). Unfortunately, I only find solution that minimizes the entire CVaR of the Portfolio. Do you mind ...
1
vote
0answers
82 views

Markov switching model estimation

We are testing Markov switching models to forecast risk regimes, similar to the paper by Kritzman, Page and Turkington. We find that in some cases the Baum-Welch algorithm converges very slowly or not ...
0
votes
0answers
61 views

full tick and retail tick data feed difference

Full tick institutional data feed like elektron from reuters, how is it different from retail tick data feed & which charting softwares work with elektron data feed
1
vote
3answers
238 views

How does logging effect Quickfix performance?

I am using .net/c++ version of quickfix. How does logging effect Quickfix performance? If I disable logging to file, can it help to increase performance of quickfix? Thanks,
2
votes
0answers
79 views

At-the-money Call Spread approximation

In a trading manual I got during a course, the value of the ATM Call-Spread is approximated by $CS_{ATM}=\frac{1}{2}StrD+(F-m)\times\Delta CS$ The lecturer skipped the part where he derived this ...
1
vote
0answers
93 views

American Swaption Pricing with PDE discretization

So I am still trying to price an american swaption. (MC approach here: American Swaption Pricing with Monte-Carlo method) I've found in Paul Wilmott, The mathematics of financial derivatives, a PDE ...
1
vote
1answer
154 views

source for yahoo finance equities volume traded

I am looking at some academic studies regarding volume of stock traded. Yahoo Finance is used as the data source for volume. Does anyone know where the volume figure comes from? Is it a compilation ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Engle Granger test returns a 0 in matlab, while correlation factor is .80+. Am I doing something wrong?

Engle Granger test is giving me a ans = 0. The correlation factor is: 0.8+ Does this imply the No cointegration hypothesis is true? i.e. as per my understanding that there is cointegration? I am ...

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