5
votes
1answer
323 views

NYSE Early Close Rules (July 4th and Dec. 25th)

Does the NYSE provide a list of rules for determining when to close at 1:00 for a holiday? I have found a list of upcoming half-days here but I would like to know the rules so that I don't have to ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

Interpolating FX forward points

When computing an FX forward rate for an expiry that is not explicitly quoted, it seems to me that a reasonable way to do it is log-linear interpolation of the two nearest outright forward rates, ...
2
votes
4answers
3k views

Data source for historical Share Outstanding totals for individual stocks?

Data is normally adjusted for splits/reverse splits, etc. The current shares outstanding is usually available. Is there a data repository that captures the shares outstanding for any point in the ...
2
votes
2answers
744 views

ROC: difference between discrete and continuous?

Using the ROC function in the R package TTR, there is a choice between continuous (the default) and discrete, but with no guidance on which you choose when. In the code the difference is: ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

How to define the objective function for a custom optimization problem?

I would like to find the allocations that would minimize some user-defined metric (Sortino, minimum drawdown, etc) for a portfolio of assets. How would one go about formulating the objective ...
5
votes
2answers
973 views

VIX = Vega of S&P500 options?

ok, so let assume I can predict the daily change in the VIX itself (in points) every day. what would be the best way to play this with OPTIONS? well, obviously VIX options, but if I can look at the ...
1
vote
2answers
767 views

Multi asset option portfolio risk management (greeks and FX exposure)

I am running an options book containing listed options across multiple products. I trade mostly equity and index related options - with a preference for European expiration products. I trade products ...
2
votes
1answer
360 views

Is there any evidence that an option delta approximates ITM expiry probability?

Several sources (online and offline) that discuss the delta of a listed vanilla option, state that its delta is a (guesstimate?) of the probability of said option expiring ITM (in the BSM framework). ...
5
votes
3answers
604 views

Strategy Risk and Portfolio Allocation Model (copy from nuclear phynance)

Here is a very interesting question that I found at Nuclear Phynance (original author: Strange); I though it is so interesting that it is worthwhile to ask it here: I have $N$ strategies, across a ...
1
vote
1answer
128 views

Brent Crude Data

I am trying to locate historical volatility data (5+ years) for Brent Crude? Does anyone know where I might be able to source such data?
5
votes
1answer
750 views

Can the Heston model be shown to reduce to the original Black Scholes model if appropriate parameters are chosen?

Summary For Heston model parameters that render the variance process constant, the solution should revert to plain Black-Scholes. Closed from solutions to the Heston model don't seem to do this, even ...
5
votes
1answer
371 views

Benfords law and quantitative finance

Benford's law has been applied in various ways for detecting fraud (e.g. elections or accounting). But what are the most useful applications of Benford in quantitative finance? Are there any? I have ...
3
votes
2answers
383 views

Backtesting VaR model violation independence

I am interested in hearing about the practitioner state of the art for testing the time independence of a VaR model (i.e. that VaR violations are independent in time). There are a number of tests in ...
3
votes
1answer
418 views

Long-term vs short-term strategies \ investing

Suppose most investors have very short investing horizons and use appropriate (for them) strategies, but investor X has a very long horizon. He would like to trade some advantages (early withdrawal ...
4
votes
2answers
171 views

Indexes/stocks with flat implied volatilities

After the 1987 crash, the S&P500 index implied volatility changed from nearly flat to negatively sloped. According to Rubinstein the Black-Scholes model was not so wrong when applied to the ...
2
votes
2answers
431 views

Why don't options traders use charts? Or do they?

Retail trading platforms typically offer equity charts but only instantaneous quotes on options. It seems like even a few minutes of historical data would be useful when entering an order. Are charts ...
1
vote
0answers
65 views

Neglect the positive values in negative interest rates modelling?

The magnitude of the negative interested rate should vary correlated with the increase in fixed assets prices and with cross-currency basis spreads. Could their volatility / correlation ...
0
votes
1answer
70 views

Separated software and physical cash flows modelling and pricing to be used with negative interest rates?

The physical cash presence in the final transactions is one of the issues in the presently observed negative interest rates bonds. Such a situation has historically been modelled within the "liquidity ...
0
votes
0answers
56 views

Should portfolio be optimized by marking to the future than marking to market (excluding currencies)?

Observing the negative interest bonds in Switzerland, Denmark, GErmany the value of higher presently (credit-free) outgoing cash flows seems less important than the value of lower future (credit-free) ...
3
votes
1answer
233 views

Is inverted Japanese style curve persistent when negative rates are real / market - observed?

Are the inverted (Japanese style) governmental yield curves being a sign a recession/credit risk or should they be modelled as being due to a lack of liquidity? (...with such curves evolving into a ...
9
votes
2answers
181 views

St Petersburg lottery pricing & short investing horizons

I am a statistician (no solid background in finance). Please forward me to a book \ chapter \ paper to resolve the following general question. Suppose we have a stock with the following monthly return ...
11
votes
2answers
1k views

Modelling with negative interest rates

For a project, I am interested to model the impact of recently negative interest bonds on the portfolio. The literature on modelling negative interest rates is limited, and the only theory I could ...
4
votes
2answers
2k views

What is the meaning of subadditivity in a risk measure?

The subadditivity reads: $\rho(X_1+X_2) \leq \rho(X_1) + \rho(X_2)$ What is the meaning of this condition? I can vaguely accept that one should diversify the investment portfolio. Or, I can ...
2
votes
1answer
414 views

Question on OIS and fed funds rate

If i am considering the 0-5 year irs spread for the USD market, would it be more accurate to use the fed funds rate or the OIS rate? I believe the OIS rate is calculated based on the fed funds rate, ...
4
votes
0answers
162 views

How to estimate CAViaR (Engle and Manganelli 2004) using non linear quantile regression?

I am trying to replicate results from Engle and Manganelli (2004). The following is one of their specifications, $q_t(\theta)=\gamma_0+\gamma_1q_{t-1}(\theta)+\alpha|r_{t-1}|$, $q$ is the quantile of ...
3
votes
3answers
345 views

Basic question about Black Scholes derivation

In the derivation of the Black Scholes equation, the value of the portfolio at time $t$ is given by $$P_t = -D_t + \frac{{\partial D_t}}{{\partial S_t}}S_t $$ where $P_t$ is the value of the ...
4
votes
1answer
331 views

Sufficient conditions for no static arbitrage

In Carr and Madan (2005), the authors give sufficient conditions for a set of call prices to arise as integrals of a risk-neutral probability distribution (See Breeden and Litzenberger (1978)), and ...
8
votes
4answers
667 views

Is this a common variation of sharpe ratio?

As an aside on his answer on another question Freddy said: Sharpe ratio is an often cited metric, though I do not like it too much because you are penalized for out-sized positive returns while ...
1
vote
3answers
2k views

Appropriate method for calculating negative returns on a trading strategy?

I have a cumulative profit/loss time series below for a trading strategy, what is the appropriate way to calculate the returns in percentage for such a series? My issue is the appropriate ...
-3
votes
1answer
359 views

Getting started with Forex Trading [closed]

I have $2000 that I can risk losing. I'd like to get started with Forex Trading. Is there some place where I can open an account, get free API access, and write basic programs to play with the data? ...
2
votes
1answer
2k views

Drawdown calculation for strategies

I am developing a trading strategy for currencies. I am trying to find an indication for risk, something like Sharpe ratio or Sterling ration; for that, I thought of using the (maximum) drawdown ...
0
votes
1answer
193 views

Exotic option pricing

I'm trying to price an option with payoff $\max\{a\cdot S_t - K,0\}$ where $a$ is a known constant. Ideally I'm looking for a closed form, continuous-time solution. Where should I begin?
2
votes
0answers
139 views

Stochastic discount factor (aka deflator or pricing kernel) and class D processes

When (under what assumptions on the model) does a Stochastic Discount Factor need to be of Class D? What would be the implications if it was not? Is it connected to one of the no-arbitrage notions?
3
votes
1answer
266 views

Equivalent (true) Martingale Measures and no-arbitrage conditions

I hope this is the correct site for this question, as it is rather theoretical... In their famous paper, Delbaen and Schachermayer proved that the No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk condition is ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

How to annualize skewness and kurtosis based on daily returns

I'm trying to annualize the four moments based on a string of daily returns (continuously compounded) for 11 years. The formulas for the annualization of the mean and the standard deviation I did ...
1
vote
1answer
672 views

FIX Heartbeat message not sent

I am using FIX4.3 and QuickFIX/n v1.0.0 for its implementation. I came across a situation where i had subscribed for Market Data and was successfully receiving Snapshot message then suddenly all ...
6
votes
1answer
191 views

Prove or disprove “If at least 10% of an option's value is time value, it has a delta less than 90”

"If at least 10% of an option's value is time value (ie. time value >= 0.1*call price), it has a delta less than 90". In practice and after doing many tests with an option pricing calculator, this ...
10
votes
1answer
530 views

Meta-view of different time-series similarity measures?

While I spend most of my StackExchange time on MathematicaSE, I'm in the business and follow the questions and answers on this site with great interest. Recently questions like the following (and ...
1
vote
1answer
153 views

transaction size and liquidity in simulation of US stocks

i am developing a simulation trading in US stocks. i have 1 transaction a day per stock, assumed for simplicity to be executed at the daily closing price. in order to determine a reasonable maximal ...
1
vote
1answer
381 views

T-note returns from T-note yields … derivation of Damodaran's formula

Damodaran's historical data on 10-year T-note returns (found here) uses the following formula to calculate the 1-period total return on a T-note ($R_1$) given the 10-year constant maturity ...
12
votes
5answers
3k views

portfolio optimisation with VaR (or CVaR) constraints

I would like to optimize a portfolio allocation (maximizing the exposure or the expected return), but with VaR or CVaR contraints. (some parts of my portfolio cannot exceed a certain VaR) How can I ...
3
votes
1answer
509 views

How to develop journeymanship and mastery in the field Quantitative Finance?

I've read the FAQ and I know that this question may be considered off-topic by the standards set forth but I think a topic such as this is a valid exception. Questions like this one have been ...
6
votes
2answers
841 views

How to simulate cointegrated prices

Is there any simple way to simulate cointegrated prices?
0
votes
1answer
163 views

How far back is normal to backtest an ATS ? [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: How much data is needed to validate a short-horizon trading strategy? How far back do people usually backtest trading systems? months? years?
4
votes
3answers
1k views

How to normalize different instruments by volatility?

I'm trying to think on a way to normalize stocks to be on the same scale depending on their recent volatility. Is there some theoretical reference on the subject or and experience you can share?
8
votes
2answers
1k views

What is “high frequency quoting” or “quote spam”?

What is called "high frequency quoting" or "quote spam" in the context of high frequency trading? Why do some people consider that as a problem for the market?
11
votes
2answers
516 views

How credible is Knight pointing the finger at Rule 107C?

After the Knight Capital incident, I decided to read into the new Rule 107C that NYSE pushed-out August 1st for a one-year pilot. From what I've read, Knight claims that new code rolled out for this ...
0
votes
2answers
146 views

FpML class generation gives error

I am creating classes out of 5.1 FPML specification but I get following error. ...
4
votes
2answers
602 views

Implications of the Riemann hypothesis in finance?

I was recently at a seminar by a top hedge fund manager at a top university for finance students, when one of the finance professors asked him what do you think are important areas of research for my ...
2
votes
1answer
127 views

Analyzing an incomplete set of trades

Say I have access to logs of all trades executed on an ECN with the price maker and taker named. These traders are only executing some of their flow on this ECN (anywhere from 5%-80% of their ...

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