2
votes
1answer
426 views

Question on OIS and fed funds rate

If i am considering the 0-5 year irs spread for the USD market, would it be more accurate to use the fed funds rate or the OIS rate? I believe the OIS rate is calculated based on the fed funds rate, ...
4
votes
0answers
164 views

How to estimate CAViaR (Engle and Manganelli 2004) using non linear quantile regression?

I am trying to replicate results from Engle and Manganelli (2004). The following is one of their specifications, $q_t(\theta)=\gamma_0+\gamma_1q_{t-1}(\theta)+\alpha|r_{t-1}|$, $q$ is the quantile of ...
3
votes
3answers
345 views

Basic question about Black Scholes derivation

In the derivation of the Black Scholes equation, the value of the portfolio at time $t$ is given by $$P_t = -D_t + \frac{{\partial D_t}}{{\partial S_t}}S_t $$ where $P_t$ is the value of the ...
4
votes
1answer
338 views

Sufficient conditions for no static arbitrage

In Carr and Madan (2005), the authors give sufficient conditions for a set of call prices to arise as integrals of a risk-neutral probability distribution (See Breeden and Litzenberger (1978)), and ...
8
votes
4answers
679 views

Is this a common variation of sharpe ratio?

As an aside on his answer on another question Freddy said: Sharpe ratio is an often cited metric, though I do not like it too much because you are penalized for out-sized positive returns while ...
1
vote
3answers
2k views

Appropriate method for calculating negative returns on a trading strategy?

I have a cumulative profit/loss time series below for a trading strategy, what is the appropriate way to calculate the returns in percentage for such a series? My issue is the appropriate ...
-3
votes
1answer
369 views

Getting started with Forex Trading [closed]

I have $2000 that I can risk losing. I'd like to get started with Forex Trading. Is there some place where I can open an account, get free API access, and write basic programs to play with the data? ...
2
votes
1answer
2k views

Drawdown calculation for strategies

I am developing a trading strategy for currencies. I am trying to find an indication for risk, something like Sharpe ratio or Sterling ration; for that, I thought of using the (maximum) drawdown ...
0
votes
1answer
193 views

Exotic option pricing

I'm trying to price an option with payoff $\max\{a\cdot S_t - K,0\}$ where $a$ is a known constant. Ideally I'm looking for a closed form, continuous-time solution. Where should I begin?
2
votes
0answers
143 views

Stochastic discount factor (aka deflator or pricing kernel) and class D processes

When (under what assumptions on the model) does a Stochastic Discount Factor need to be of Class D? What would be the implications if it was not? Is it connected to one of the no-arbitrage notions?
3
votes
1answer
269 views

Equivalent (true) Martingale Measures and no-arbitrage conditions

I hope this is the correct site for this question, as it is rather theoretical... In their famous paper, Delbaen and Schachermayer proved that the No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk condition is ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

How to annualize skewness and kurtosis based on daily returns

I'm trying to annualize the four moments based on a string of daily returns (continuously compounded) for 11 years. The formulas for the annualization of the mean and the standard deviation I did ...
1
vote
1answer
702 views

FIX Heartbeat message not sent

I am using FIX4.3 and QuickFIX/n v1.0.0 for its implementation. I came across a situation where i had subscribed for Market Data and was successfully receiving Snapshot message then suddenly all ...
6
votes
1answer
191 views

Prove or disprove “If at least 10% of an option's value is time value, it has a delta less than 90”

"If at least 10% of an option's value is time value (ie. time value >= 0.1*call price), it has a delta less than 90". In practice and after doing many tests with an option pricing calculator, this ...
10
votes
1answer
535 views

Meta-view of different time-series similarity measures?

While I spend most of my StackExchange time on MathematicaSE, I'm in the business and follow the questions and answers on this site with great interest. Recently questions like the following (and ...
1
vote
1answer
154 views

transaction size and liquidity in simulation of US stocks

i am developing a simulation trading in US stocks. i have 1 transaction a day per stock, assumed for simplicity to be executed at the daily closing price. in order to determine a reasonable maximal ...
1
vote
1answer
382 views

T-note returns from T-note yields … derivation of Damodaran's formula

Damodaran's historical data on 10-year T-note returns (found here) uses the following formula to calculate the 1-period total return on a T-note ($R_1$) given the 10-year constant maturity ...
12
votes
5answers
3k views

portfolio optimisation with VaR (or CVaR) constraints

I would like to optimize a portfolio allocation (maximizing the exposure or the expected return), but with VaR or CVaR contraints. (some parts of my portfolio cannot exceed a certain VaR) How can I ...
3
votes
1answer
510 views

How to develop journeymanship and mastery in the field Quantitative Finance?

I've read the FAQ and I know that this question may be considered off-topic by the standards set forth but I think a topic such as this is a valid exception. Questions like this one have been ...
6
votes
2answers
861 views

How to simulate cointegrated prices

Is there any simple way to simulate cointegrated prices?
0
votes
1answer
163 views

How far back is normal to backtest an ATS ? [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: How much data is needed to validate a short-horizon trading strategy? How far back do people usually backtest trading systems? months? years?
4
votes
3answers
1k views

How to normalize different instruments by volatility?

I'm trying to think on a way to normalize stocks to be on the same scale depending on their recent volatility. Is there some theoretical reference on the subject or and experience you can share?
8
votes
2answers
1k views

What is “high frequency quoting” or “quote spam”?

What is called "high frequency quoting" or "quote spam" in the context of high frequency trading? Why do some people consider that as a problem for the market?
11
votes
2answers
519 views

How credible is Knight pointing the finger at Rule 107C?

After the Knight Capital incident, I decided to read into the new Rule 107C that NYSE pushed-out August 1st for a one-year pilot. From what I've read, Knight claims that new code rolled out for this ...
0
votes
2answers
147 views

FpML class generation gives error

I am creating classes out of 5.1 FPML specification but I get following error. ...
4
votes
2answers
607 views

Implications of the Riemann hypothesis in finance?

I was recently at a seminar by a top hedge fund manager at a top university for finance students, when one of the finance professors asked him what do you think are important areas of research for my ...
2
votes
1answer
127 views

Analyzing an incomplete set of trades

Say I have access to logs of all trades executed on an ECN with the price maker and taker named. These traders are only executing some of their flow on this ECN (anywhere from 5%-80% of their ...
1
vote
0answers
178 views

is there any quantitative index to describe the strength of 'trend' ? [closed]

i am using trend following strategy in stock market. If you look at the price chart, you can tell one stock's trend is stronger than the other. Now i want to develop an index to calculate the ...
3
votes
1answer
130 views

market completion under stochastic volatility model

Consider a stochastic volatility model. As there are two sources of risk and one asset only, this is an incomplete market. One can complete the market by considering a derivative V1 used to hedge the ...
7
votes
2answers
272 views

Why does the price of a derivative not depend on the derivative with which you hedge volatility risk?

I'm trying to derive the valuation equation under a general stochastic volatility model. What one can read in the literature is the following reasoning: One considers a replicating self-financing ...
2
votes
0answers
1k views

Backtest pair trade strategy in R

I am looking for some tips on how to run a simple backtest on a pairtrading strategy intraday using eg. 30minute bars. I have calculated the spread, ...
4
votes
1answer
320 views

What is the relative performance of hard-to-borrow securities?

Is there any research on the equity return performance of hard-to-borrow securities? Many shops will simply screen for hard-to-borrow and eliminate these names from their short book. Anecdotally, ...
0
votes
0answers
151 views

Looking for FpML best practices

We want start using FpML within our organisation; where message will be sent using FpML. What are best practices to do this ? If anyone who have used Tools as well as; i want to use FpML for ...
11
votes
6answers
9k views

How high of a Sharpe ratio is implausibly high for a low-frequency equity strategy?

I am looking to convince someone that an annualized Sharpe Ratio of 7 is 'extremely high' for a low frequency (daily rebalancing, say) long-short technical strategy on U.S. equities. I was hoping for ...
3
votes
1answer
308 views

Should I use SSAS to store Tick and bar data?

I have been looking for a low cost solution to effectively store and query tick and bar data. Databases like kdb+ and Streambase are too expensive for me. Building a custom solution with SSAS (Sql ...
3
votes
3answers
1k views

How much capital do I need to create a competitive automated trading strategy?

I'm a relatively small investor, and I'm interested in building my own fully-automated quantitative trading strategy. I also read about dark pools, and how difficult it is to get good prices on ...
3
votes
1answer
437 views

Interpreting QuantLlib implied volatility numbers

I am using QuantLib to calculate implied volatilities. I am trying to understand the calculated figures (especially, when compared to historical volatility). The calculated implied volatility numbers ...
1
vote
1answer
290 views

What are the pros and cons of applying for a patent on a financial model or trading system?

I've never understood the purpose of patents in the financial industry. What would be the pros and cons of applying for a patent on some financial model or trading system? What would be the ...
6
votes
1answer
603 views

Implied forward rates puzzle

Here's an interesting cocktail puzzle related to the term structure of interest rates. One of the primary competing theories for explaining the term structure of rates is the Rational Exepctations ...
4
votes
0answers
155 views

Is it more accurate to analyze returns on a calendar day basis than a trading day basis?

I'm rather new to the actual practice of this kind of analysis, but it just seems wrong to me to throw Mondays' returns in with the rest without accounting for the passage of time on the weekend when ...
5
votes
1answer
415 views

Market making in thinly traded assets

Could anyone suggest some literature or have any practical advice for marking a market in thinly traded assets with the following characteristics: 0-10 trades per day. Open limit-order book with 0-5 ...
3
votes
1answer
615 views

Science behind options pricing into Earnings event

I am wondering about studies regarding the uncanny options pricing into public company's earnings reports. The phenomenon being that the price of a straddle before earnings costs near exactly the ...
6
votes
3answers
335 views

What is an acceptable error on implied volatility?

Given an implied volatility surface (on equity indexes) and a calibrated model, what is the range of error on implied volatility a trader would accept ? This obviously depends on the model used to ...
1
vote
3answers
827 views

How to properly interpret accrued interest of bonds

Ever since I work in finance I was wondering what accrued interest (AI) are good for (see the wikipedia article for a short introduction). I think I have a clear picture in mind now and the usual ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

Inferring Returns From Minimal Data Points [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: How much data is needed to validate a short-horizon trading strategy? Suppose I have daily returns for a trading strategy against one month of data. Before starting ...
6
votes
0answers
1k views

Volatility-Based Envelopes

I am following an article by Mohamed Elsaiid (MFTA) about Volatility-Based Envelopes - a quite new technical indicator he has introduced, that is being used by Bloomberg. My goal is to get a simple ...
10
votes
2answers
690 views

Reference request: Survey article on GPU in Finance

I would like to get and idea of how people use GPUs in finance. I can find some specific papers or books on the subject. GPUs in binomial model, finite difference, monte carlo,... But I couldn't ...
10
votes
1answer
389 views

How does one measure the effect of latency on potential returns?

I am looking to evaluate the hypothetical advantage one trading system has over another in terms of the possible returns given their latency. Irene Aldridge wrote a piece (How Profitable Are ...
-4
votes
1answer
207 views

inflation > interest rate? [closed]

Currently, the federal reserve interest rate is 0-0.25%, and the inflation is 2-3%. Does this contradict the no-arbitrage principle? (The arbitrage being: borrow money at 0.25% and invest it in the ...
6
votes
1answer
372 views

What distribution should I apply to estimate the likelihood of extreme returns?

Say I have a limited sample, a month of daily returns, and I want to estimate the 99.5th percentile of the distribution of absolute daily returns. Because the estimate will require extrapolation, I ...

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