1
vote
1answer
43 views

parameters in Heston model and their impact on volatility smile

Consider the Heston model given by the following set of stochastic differential equations: $$\frac{dS_{t}}{S_{t}}=\mu_{t}dt+\sqrt{V_{t}}dW_{t}, S_{0}>0,$$ ...
1
vote
1answer
43 views

Explain the unconditional covariance in Dynamic Conditional correlation( DCC ) GARCH model

Confused about the unconditional covariance matrix in a DCC GARCH model. Could anyone help me understand it? My understanding is that we get the unconditional covariance before based on the data sets. ...
5
votes
1answer
201 views

Black-Scholes formula with deterministic discrete dividend (Musiela approach)

For deterministic discrete dividend, there are two approach Musiela approach, works when every dividend are paid at maturity of the option. Hull approach, works when every dividend are paid ...
2
votes
1answer
184 views

Executions deep in the Limit Order Book?

I have some Level III (message level) data for equities and I have found several cases in which I register the execution of a Limit Order at a price "worse" than the best bid or ask. For example, ...
0
votes
1answer
170 views

Girsanov theorem in CMS convexity derivation

I am going through the derivation of CMS convexity from the notes of Lesniewski There is a transformation from $T_p$ forward measure to annuity measure $Q$ as $$ ...
1
vote
1answer
162 views

Cointegration Test: Residual is stationary but not random?

I am testing cointegration relationship on various pairs of stocks by this following these steps. Test for I(1) on a pair of stocks, says X and Y, using dickey-fuller test. If both time series are ...
1
vote
1answer
120 views

Set up sharpe ratio with 2 risky portfolio

You are considering an investment in the stock. In the stock market, there are two risky stocks (A and B) and a risk free claim, C (you can think of it as the t-bill). The covariances and returns of ...
4
votes
1answer
154 views

Moving window forecasting in Python

I am looking to create some code that will out-of-sample forecast the HAR-RV model. The model itself is formulated as the following, and the betas are estimated through HAC-OLS or Newey-West. ...
1
vote
2answers
396 views

How to express the Black Derman & Toy Model in a $dr=A\,dt+B\, dW$ form?

The Black Derman & Toy (BDT) model is given by $$d(\ln\,r)=\left(\theta(t)-\frac {d(\ln\sigma(t))}{dt}\ln r\right)\,dt+\sigma(t) \, dW.$$ How can one rewrite the BDT model as $dr=A\,dt+B\, dW$, ...
9
votes
1answer
213 views

Regression in liquidity risk model of Jarrow/Protter

In the paper "Liquidity Risk and Risk Measure Computation" authors describe a linear supply curve model for liquidity risks in presence of market impact, i.e. impact-affected asset price $S(t,x)$ is ...
1
vote
2answers
278 views

Is it statistically valid to ignore “irrelevant” stock prices during backtesting?

As an amateur trader, I have reasonable success with my current end-of-day trading systems. All my systems are based on at least ONE year of "in-sample" data for backtesting, followed by 6-months of ...
1
vote
1answer
26 views

How to deal with missing returns when creating value (equal) weighted returns

recently I am doing cross sectional regressions, and getting confused about missing returns. Suppose we have 100 stocks, then we want to construct a value weighted return (or equal weighted return). ...
1
vote
1answer
40 views

How do I calculate the PPP adjusted exchange rate between two countries?

I have been trying to calculate the PPP-adjusted EURUSD exchange rate. I am not sure if it is the same as relative PPP, for which I have used this formula: Spot rate at time t = Current spot rate * ...
1
vote
1answer
54 views

Limits on Short selling

When back testing an algorithm that relies upon short selling certain stocks, how to limit the short selling so that the back-test results still remain reliable? What kind of controls are generally ...
7
votes
1answer
318 views

Consistency of economic scenarios in nested stochastics simulation

I am interested in references on research regarding the consistency of economic scenarios in nested stochastics for risk measurement. Background: Pricing by Monte-Carlo: For pricing complex ...
0
votes
0answers
64 views

What are the main market anomalies/inefficiencies detected in quantitative finance?

I wondered about the existence of a complete list of the anomalies detected in quantitative finance. Generally, a market anomaly or inefficiency is a asset price and/or rate of return distortion on a ...
3
votes
0answers
32 views

How to price lookback american option when its payment is distributed during its life

I would like to price a floating strike american lookback with a particular feature: I don't want to charge upfront the client, rather I would like to insert a "running fee", some sort of a dividend. ...
1
vote
1answer
30 views

convention in borrowing money in a multiperiod model

I have a question concerning the idea of consumption in multi period. The following is given $$C_1=W_0-xS_1+B$$ $$C_2=xS_2-BR$$ where $W_0$ is initial wealth $x$ is the weight on an asset with ...
0
votes
1answer
53 views

Gamma derivation from the expectation

I am trying to derive Gamma from the expectation principle (differentiating under expectation sign). I understand these steps $\frac{d^2 C}{d x^2} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E} [ \frac{\partial}{\partial ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Historical volatility from close prices (Haug pg 166)

I have implemented a function for calculating historical volatility using close the close method as described by Haug on page 166. When I implemented the formula given by Haug, it resulted in some ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

equality in distribution

I encounter the following problem : I have the equality in distribution: for all $\lambda >0, ((1/\lambda)*\int_{0}^{\lambda t}\sigma_{u}^{2}du,t\geq0)=(\int_{0}^{t}\sigma_{u}^{2}du,t\geq0)$ ...
8
votes
1answer
281 views

Portfolios from Sorts

Some time ago Almgren and Chriss proposed a method for portfolio optimization based on sorting criteria such as $r_1 > r_2 >... > r_N$ instead of explicit expected returns: see portfolios ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

Delta derivation from the expectation

I'm trying to understand the following transformation leading to Delta $\frac{dC}{dx} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[ \frac{\partial}{\partial x}\text{max}(xY-K,0)] = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[Y ...
3
votes
0answers
76 views

What are the main market efficiency measures?

I'm going to test for the effect of the change in market efficiency on the stock market portfolio, and, I want to know what are the main measures known in the academic literature in order to compare ...
1
vote
2answers
172 views

FX Delta Conventions

I'm currently reading Iain Clark's book Foreign Exchange Option Pricing and I got stuck at one sentence in the beginning of Section 3.3 that I feel is important to understand. He writes: FX ...
2
votes
2answers
119 views

probability question about brownian motion

Assume $W_{t}$ is a standard Brownian Motion, calculate the the probability that $W_{t}*W_{2t}$ is negative, i.e., $P(W_{t}*W_{2t}<0)$. I find it tricky to calculate the probability.Thank you.
5
votes
1answer
486 views

Can duration gap analysis be applied to mortgages?

Can a mortgage loan be treated like a bond and its duration calculated using the bond duration formula? More precisely, can I calculate the loan portfolio duration for duration gap analysis, with ...
2
votes
0answers
52 views

Modified duration in multi-currency portfolio

I was thinking about how to figure aut duration for portfolio of bonds denominated in different currencies… I would like to compare sensitivity of portfolio to shift of yield with competitive ...
7
votes
4answers
230 views

Why is Brownian motion merely 'almost surely' continuous?

Why is Brownian motion required to be merely almost surely continuous instead of continuous? For example, this is stated as condition 2 in this article in section 1, Characterizations of the Wiener ...
0
votes
1answer
162 views

How to projectP&L or drawdowns on pair trading , trading and portfolios?

This is for planning and risk management. I am stuck on the following thoughts - Back-test the trading strategy for a period similar to the one you expect and then project. Do the above using ...
1
vote
1answer
45 views

Time value of option not always leading to an increased option value

My understanding was that as you increase the time to expiry of an option, the value of the option increases. However, I have run a bunch of scenarios and have realized that if you assume a dividend ...
1
vote
1answer
30 views

Time 0 value of an American Put in Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model

This is a question from a problem sheet which I have handed in and have solutions for. The only examples of this in class I have seen are examples where the interest rate is 0. "Consider a ...
7
votes
1answer
549 views

Correctly applying GARCH in Python

Problem: Correct usage of GARCH(1,1) Aim of research: Forecasting volatility/variance. Tools used: Python Instrument: SPX (specifically adjusted close prices) Reference material: On Estimation of ...
2
votes
1answer
120 views

Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for Generalized Pareto Distribution

I've fitted my data to a generalized pareto distribution as to model the returns in the tails more accurately. The interior is fitted with kernel distributions. I would like to now test whether the ...
3
votes
2answers
143 views

IR Yield Curve and Fixing Dates

Consider two FRAs. 3x6 , Effective 3 months from now, terminates in 6 months. The floating leg payer pays 3-month LIBOR. Fixing date for LIBOR 40 business days. To price this at par, the fixed leg ...
2
votes
0answers
36 views

Comprehensive List of Regime Switching/ Change Point Models

I am looking for a comprehensive list of regime switching/change point models/techniques which can be used to model different regimes / change points in financial time series. What I found so far are: ...
1
vote
0answers
43 views

Modeling market sentiment and pricing options by volume, open interest

Are there any empirically-proven methods/formulas for weighting IV surfaces, pricing a discount/premium in an option, and/or adjusting any of the 1st- or 2nd-order Greeks for the magnitude (volume or ...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

Relationshiop between central bank official currency rates and spot forex

Central banks publish official figures for domestic interest rates, as well as spot currency rates for a few select countries (largest trading partners). To prevent arbitrage, I "expect" that in the ...
0
votes
1answer
34 views

Bond in relation to US T-Bill/Risk-Free rate

By looking at the following charts , i wondered about how to plot a fixed income security against a risk free bond. I have the bond price time series but I am not sure what US T-Bill rate I should ...
6
votes
4answers
365 views

Is a stationary process necessarily mean-reverting?

Intuitively, a stationary stochastic process needs to be mean-reverting. This should follow immediately from the definition of stationarity: the mean of the process needs to be constant over time, so ...
1
vote
1answer
37 views

forward option, stochastic calculus

I encounter a problem to understand this: The price of a forward option is : $C(K,t,T)=\mathbb{E}[((S_{T}/S_{t})-K)+]$ OK The option should only depend on $T-t$ because the yield randomness (for a ...
2
votes
2answers
93 views

Stochastic Differentials - Ito's formula for a self-financing portfolio

Suppose I have a portfolio of stocks $(S)$ and savings account ($\beta_t$) then, the value is $$V = a_t S_t + b_t \beta_t$$ and for this portfolio to be self replicating, we need by Ito's lemma $$dV ...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

References for PD / LGD estimates of low-default portfolios

Any recommendations or reading sources for estimating individual PDs and LGDs for a set of low-default assets (souvereigns, investment grade corporates)? Since observing no defaults at all, regular ...
7
votes
2answers
102 views

American Call: when it's European?

It is a rather well-spread fact that in Black-Scholes (BS) model for a stock with no dividends that follows Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), the price of American call coincides with that of its ...
3
votes
2answers
231 views

What's the meaning of the intercept in asset pricing model?

I would like to understand the role of alpha (intercept) in the regression-based asset pricing model or $n$-factor models; one of the most famous of those one is the Fama-French 3-factor model. ...
2
votes
1answer
131 views

UST Yield Curve Forecasting - Bond Structure Testing

I have a project in mind that I am working on, but have little idea where to start. I am a relative newcomer to python (about 1 years exp.) and limited knowledge of quant finance. What I would like ...
2
votes
1answer
50 views

Solving a Non-Linear PDE using a Finite Difference Scheme

I have the following non-linear PDE and I have no idea how to go about solving it using a finite difference scheme in Python. Can someone get me started and/or point me to an algorithm for doing this? ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

FX rollover swaps rates based on LIBOR rates

I am trying to calculate FX swaps overnight rates based on LIBOR rates Example: Libor rate for TRY crosses is 12.00 Libor rate for USD crosses is .19 How do we get to these number? USDTRY swaps ...
0
votes
1answer
116 views

How to filter and normalize market data obtained from distinct sources (FIX 4.4, bloomberg, etc) in an algorithmic trading system?

I'm wondering if some of you known how to resolve this requirement: I have to define the architecture of an algorithmic trading system (but I'm not an architect, so I'm trying to do my best). I have ...

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