0
votes
0answers
25 views

Extreme value theory expected value of GPD

We're using extreme value theory to model tail risks on our portfolio. After we choose the threshold, we fit generalized Pareto distribution to our data over the threshold. The expected value of GPD ...
1
vote
3answers
72 views

Is this type of currency index a thing already?

I was considering making some sort of free index data set that would basically attempt to estimate changes in the value of a currency against all other currencies. So I came to thinking if I took ...
0
votes
2answers
41 views

How to interpret my Four-Factor Model results?

I am currently writing my thesis using the Carhart Four-Factor Model. I got my results but I am not sure how to word them. Coefficient on my SMB is 0.22. Wording: if small companies returns are 1% ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

How can I improve the pricing simulation of basket option?

I valuated the price of below basket option Underlying assets are three global stock index : Eurostoxx 50, S&P500, KOSPI 200 Maturity: 36 months with advanced redemption date in every 6 months ...
3
votes
1answer
56 views

Overestimating or underestimating risk?

This question might be silly, but I want to be sure of myself. If one has Value-at-Risk forecasts and there are zero VaR breaches (i.e. no return value is smaller than or equal to the VaR value) then ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

help with p&L vectors historical simulation

My question is about the calculation of the Value at Risk based on historical simulation. I have a table which contains the P&L-vectors of each day of one year. But I don't know what is contained ...
0
votes
0answers
97 views

Do Options and Other Derivatives follow any mathematical laws?

I'm interested in abstracting out some properties of options and other derivatives for software library I am implementing. I was wondering if options follow any sort of mathematical laws, for example, ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

Credit Risk Modelling for Portfolio of Bonds and CDS's

I have a portfolio of bonds and CDS's. I want to compute some statistical measures (VaR, CVaR, CreditVaR) which may help access the risk of the portfolio. So far, I have used the CreditMetrics (...
0
votes
2answers
48 views

How to interpret Carhart Four-Factor Model?

I am reading up on the Carhart Four-Factor model. Let's say there a regression of stock returns on alpha, RM-RF, ...
4
votes
2answers
60 views

How to replicate a correlation swap using only vanilla options and underlying

Assume I have two assets A and B that are positively correlated most of the time. I'm trading a strategy based on this correlation. Is there a way to protect myself in the event that the correlation ...
0
votes
1answer
27 views

example regarding zero coupon bonds

This example is from Interest Rate Models: an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective by Carmona, René, Tehranchi, M R. I am wondering if the calculation is correct?, he says ...
1
vote
0answers
65 views

Estimate Volatility process

How can I estimate the process $\sigma_{t}$ given in the following paper: Spot volatility estimation for high frequency data. J. Fan, Y. Wang. Does anyone have an idea? Free source Edit: Iam very ...
0
votes
1answer
26 views

Yield Curve Movement: Risk/Reward versus Safe Haven Demand & Monetary Policy Expectations

UK leaves Europe, credit rating get's downgraded. High uncertainty, higher perceived risk - based on just risk/reward, would expect yields on UK debt to increase. They did the opposite. UK government ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

Rblpapi-Getting different numbers than Bloomberg

I used the following code to pull day to day total returns (net dividends) from Bloomberg Terminal for a list of securities I have. When I compare my data using the GF function in Bloomberg, I am ...
1
vote
1answer
34 views

Why are the greeks for the underlying stock 0 with the exception of delta?

In my textbook that I am self-studying from it is given that (assuming the Black-Scholes framework): $\Delta_{stock} = \partial S / \partial S = 1$ All other Greeks for the underlying stock = 0 I ...
3
votes
1answer
47 views

Expected number of days inside a corridor

Is there a simple (ish) approximation for the expected number of steps a random walk is within a set of bounds over a given time period? - in particular if i presume log normal and constant vol. If i ...
0
votes
2answers
47 views

Do yield curves only show market expectations, or is there more to them?

I am hoping to understand 'Brexit' impact on UK yield curves. Specifically, government liability yield curves (so yields based on UK government bonds - Gilts): The Background On 24th of June - the ...
1
vote
3answers
88 views

Stock Exchange Software

For weekends project, I would like to setup a "simulated" stock exchange on my dev server (windows/linux), ie. running my own NYSE server ? what options do I have, open source wise (can be c# or java ...
1
vote
1answer
50 views

Calculating the greeks for Quantlib Python Swaptions

So I have created a Swaption object and can get the premium with the NPV() function. However, I would also like to calculate the greeks (eg. delta, vega). From some searching, I found that vega can ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Estimating VaR (Value At Risk) with only 3 days of data

I've been given daily stock prices on Day 1, 2 and 3 for 10 stocks (hence 30 data numbers in total) and asked to approximately the 1-day 95% VaR (Value at Risk) on Day 3. I'm not allowed to use any ...
3
votes
2answers
193 views

GARCH models vs VIX

I am examining how investor sentiment affects the probability of stock market crises. I am using methodology similar to this paper https://ideas.repec.org/p/dij/wpfarg/1110304.html. VIX (equivalents) ...
0
votes
1answer
32 views

Fame-French alpha for a single stock

I want to study the impact of corporate culture on risk-adjusted stock returns. After quantifying corporate culture I wanted to use panel methodology (I have a sample of 100 S&P500 companies over ...
1
vote
1answer
20 views

Finding optimal drift, importance sampling, least square monte carlo

I am working with Importance sampling for Least Squared monte carlo and have now problems understanding the implementation of the Robbins-Monro algorithm for finding the optimal drift for finding ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Binomial Algorithm proof by induction in bjork

I'm trying to proof proposition 2.24 from Bjork by induction, but I haven't been so lucky so far. Could anyone help me?
0
votes
1answer
27 views

How to get the average monthly percent excess returns for portfolios formed?

I'm replicating the Fama-French five factor model. I have formed factor portfolios. I'm not sure how to calculate the average monthly percent excess returns for portfolios. In other words, I want to ...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Example Scalar Model Extended Kalman Filter

I have a simple question. I think not a question is, is a request. This month I have been studying how to understand and implement the Kalman filter algorithm for simple models such as the local level....
1
vote
1answer
18 views

How does this statement about the price of a prepaid forward on a stock follow?

I am self-studying for an actuarial exam on financial economics. This statement in the following problem/solution seems to imply that the prepaid forward price on a stock is the same as the prepaid ...
1
vote
2answers
134 views

A paradox about the American Put option price

Suppose a put option on a stock $S(t)$ following a Geometric Brownian motion is given, with strike $K$ and maturity $T$. Let us denote its price at time $t$ by $p(t,S(t))$. Now, by no-arbitrage ...
2
votes
1answer
61 views

What is the difference between OIS Swap vs Basis Swap?

What is the use of OIS Swap Curve vs. Basis Swap Curve?
3
votes
2answers
104 views

GARCH variance vs standard deviation for volatility

in my series of questions related to GARCH and volatility I finally think I've got a decent grasp on it. You guys have been great help clearing up my questions for me. My next question is just a ...
3
votes
1answer
120 views

How to price this basket option?

Underlying assets are three global stock index : Eurostoxx 50, HSI, KOSPI 200 Maturity: 36 months with advanced redemption date in every 6 months if prices of indexes satisfy given conditions at each ...
4
votes
4answers
108 views

Compare two time series with different frequencies

Lets say I have two time series $X_t$ and $Y_{t,q}$. As an examples, lets say $X_t$ is a series that measures year over year changes in the level of output of a good (say number of widgets). So $X_t = ...
1
vote
1answer
25 views

Explain Four Basic Axioms of Maximising Expected Utility

I begin learn PRM , Someone help me understand Four Basic Axioms of Maximising Expected Utility most intuitive way .Thank you very much
0
votes
1answer
29 views

Transforming log return volatility into standard return volatility

If I have a forecasted volatility of the log returns of say, 0.03, this is obviously transformed relative to the log I took of the returns. It strikes me that I should raise ...
1
vote
1answer
65 views

Writing an Options Strategy Backtester

I've been doing some digging, and this question has been asked many times in various forms over the years - Backtesting Options Strategies in R Are there any good tools for backtesting options ...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

Show if Arrow price vector $\pi$ exists, then the law of one price hold

Now, the proof I have read goes like this: Take assets 1 and 2, entirely identical. By assumption there is a pricing vector, i.e. $\sum_s\pi_sd^1_s=q^1$ and $\sum_s\pi_sd^2_s=q^2$ where $d^i_j$ is ...
0
votes
1answer
50 views

How is possible to relate volatility with risk?

I read that equallying voliatility with risk is one of the hardest critics on Quantitative Finance and that this is -indeed- the fundamental base of Quant. This question is analogous considering that ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Market microstructure by Mark B. Garman (J. Financial Economicss 3, 257-275, 1976)

Link: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0304405X76900064 In Garman's inventory model, buying order and selling order are poisson process with order size = 1. Buying price and selling ...
1
vote
1answer
33 views

Why closest weekly options have enormous Implied Vol.

I know weekly expiration cycle's Implied Vol. explodes prior to earnings, that is due to Theta and Expected move. But why does it happen on stocks that don't have earnings? ( let's say earnings will ...
1
vote
2answers
49 views

How do they calculate stocks implied volatility?

I know the construction of Black-Scholes model and how do we solve it for an Implied Volatility. But in general, which option ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

weighted probability densities in matlab

...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

DAX - company's weights

How often are company's weights being changed on DAX? Where can I find historical data of DAX weights?
1
vote
0answers
18 views

x13 Arima analysis with negative values

I'm running x13 Arima analysis on a US GDP series to get the "trend" component. ...
1
vote
0answers
8 views

S0602 - whether to report Quantity (C0130) or Par Amount (C0140) for Money Market Funds?

We have several positions in a money market fund (CIC IE43) to report in the S.06.02 QRT, and we receive source data for both Quantity & Par Amount. These are actually identical. Which one ...
3
votes
1answer
70 views

Expected option return in MATLAB

The expected return of an option is given by its expected payoff under $P$ over its market price under $Q$. For the Black-Scholes model, expected call option return is given as (see here): $$ E(R)=\...
2
votes
0answers
41 views

Reference Request: Trader Replication

I am looking for any reference where the following problem was addressed: given the list of trades of a trader teach an AI to replicate that trader's strategy. There are several well-known results ...
3
votes
1answer
71 views

Option price derivation with these dynamics

If my underlying follows a dynamics of the form \begin{align*} dF(t,T)/F(t,T)=\sigma_1(t,T)dW_1(t)+\sigma_2(t,T)dW_2(t), \end{align*} where $\sigma_1(t,T)=h_1e^{-\lambda(T-t)}+h_0$, and $\sigma_2(t,T)...
6
votes
1answer
71 views

Why does jump process has to be Cadlag and not the other way around

In all books and references that I have been exposed to, the jump processes have been defined to be Cadlag(right continuous with left limits). But no one has explained why this is the preferable case, ...
4
votes
1answer
108 views

Correlation of a lognormal asset and a normal asset

So if i want to calcualte the correlation between a pair of assets, my intuition is that i should calculate whatever correlation i plan on using; When we look at correlation, it's normally the ...
2
votes
0answers
55 views

Changing timezones with historic forex data (Interactive Brokers API IBPy)

I would like to be able to change the timezone for my requests to the IB API, how can I do this? I am writing in Python, and thus use the IBPy wrapper found here. How to reproduce the problem: ...

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