1
vote
0answers
36 views

Intensity Function of Stochastic Processes

I'm fitting some financial data to a model based on a stochastic process and evaluating the fit of it by looking at the compensator. However, I cannot understand well what does it mean to take the ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Sovereign Credit Rating

I am working on the determinants of sovereign credit rating. I am looking for the historical rating dataset for eurozone countries. Does anyone know any source?
5
votes
3answers
183 views

Option on a dice game

I am sligtly confused by this problem, although it should not be difficult. Let us roll a sigle dice. If the dice shows $n$, I receive $n$ dollars. I can buy an option to roll the die again. What is ...
1
vote
2answers
96 views

Different interim balances when calculating annual compound interest different ways

Something interesting that doesn't quite make sense to me. When calculating compound interest using P(1+r)^t, I'm calculating in two ways - one using the day 1 principal balance, and the other using ...
2
votes
1answer
62 views

What is the best way of updating data while using Empirical Mode Decomposition to analyze

I have a question about EMD updating new data points. For an entire time series, from beginning to the end, the EMD preforms quite good using the cubic spline function. The problem happens when new ...
4
votes
1answer
194 views

When Fed stops QE, Treasury Futures will go down in price, so… LEAP Puts are a good idea?

I think: when Fed stops QE (Quantitative Easing), Treasury Futures prices will go down. Question 1: Am I right? So... buying LEAP Puts (in Treasury Futures) would be a good idea. Question 2: Am I ...
2
votes
2answers
47 views

Is this a reasonable approach to determine the relative importance of valuation factors?

I am trying to come up with a measure of relative importance of a number of valuation factors. I am wondering whether correlation coefficients can't be used for determining this. More on the issue: ...
0
votes
1answer
78 views

Choosing broker to run with Zipline

Which brokers offer Python integration/API? Which brokers offer R integration? I'm starting on trading, and I want to learn about algorithm trading. So I would like to know what brokers offers these ...
1
vote
2answers
55 views

How to calculate burnrate?

Wikipedia says Burn rate is a synonymous term for negative cash flow but I neither agree nor believe that is formalized. A company could need turnaround from losses ...
2
votes
1answer
57 views

How much correlation between alpha and forward returns can be considered good

There are many way to quantify the quality of an $\alpha$ (prediction of the future return of a security). I heard/do many things, most of them are equivalent to correlation. Typically ...
2
votes
1answer
66 views

Meaning of w in SDE

I'm missing meaning of $w$ in typical SDE like $dX_t(w) = f_t(X_t(w)) + \sigma(X_t(w))dW_t$, in context of $w \in F_{xxx}$. Does it mean that both $w$ is one of events that could happen before ...
1
vote
1answer
72 views

HAR-RV, realized GARCH and HEAVY model for realized volatility

I don't have much experience with volatility modeling using intraday data but I'm in the process of collecting 5mins data. Currently I have ~6 months of data. Is it enough to use these models with ...
0
votes
2answers
80 views

What would be a concise method to learn Monte Carlo methods?

Is there a concise way of learning the core Monte Carlo Methods from resources available online? This leads to my next question which is what are the core ideas to learn in Monte Carlo methods?
0
votes
2answers
208 views

Time series analysis in Java

I'm looking for a library to do some time series analysis in Java but I can't find anything suitable. I've found plenty of libraries such as Math3 of JSAT but there's much I can you for my problem. As ...
2
votes
2answers
137 views

What is the Swap Curve?

What is the so-called Swap Curve, and how does it relate to the Zero Curve (or spot yield curve)? Does it only refer to a curve of swap rates versus maturities found in the market? Or is it a swap ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Earnings Quality for a large group of stocks

Does anyone have any recommendations for how to track earnings quality for a large number of stocks (500+) on a quarterly basis? I am familiar with the M-Score for detecting earnings manipulation but ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Estimate correlation of time series whose histories differ in length

Very often in quantitative analysis (e.g. calculating portfolio volatility) we have to analyze various time series - mostly returns - whose lenghts differ. Risk systems usually apply a one-factor ...
0
votes
2answers
127 views

Explanatory variables for regression predicting weekly stock returns

In an empirical analysis I'm trying to predict log() weekly stock returns. I'm trying to model stock returns in a panel data model framework. As explanatory variables I have 1) a measure of investor ...
0
votes
1answer
68 views

Ito integrals and copulas

Let $X_{t}$ and $Y_{t}$ be two brownian motions and let their joint distribution be given by $F$. So in regularly correlated BM's where $dX_{t}dY_{t}=\rho dt$, we have a bivariate normal distribution ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Where can I find a correlation matrix between the revenues of different industries?

I don't need something super complicated, I would just like a quick and dirty way of estimating the correlation coefficients between the revenues of different companies. Information on companies in ...
0
votes
1answer
56 views

Conversion factor for bonds

Hull defines the conversion factor for a bond as the "quoted price the bond would have per dollar of principal on the first day of the delivery month on the assumption that the interest rate for all ...
0
votes
2answers
82 views

Calculation of price momentum using weekly price observations

In an empirical analysis I'm trying to predict stock returns using different firm characteristics. I would like to use price momentum as an explanatory variable, but I'm not quite sure how to ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Define some finance terminology for me, please. Live options vs. crossed options

What is a "live" option vs. a "crossed" option? Does a cross option just mean that it is hedged? If someone is buying an option and says "I want to buy a November 5.00 (strike price) put cross at ...
0
votes
3answers
78 views

What makes investors risk averse?

There are some regularly-occuring events that coincide with a rise in the implied volatility of an asset. For example, in advance of an firm's annual earnings report, it is typically expensive to buy ...
2
votes
0answers
67 views

Practitioner's criterion for MC pricing convergence

Let's say I have some Interest Rates (IR) pricing model which relies on Monte Carlo pricing and I'd like to benchmark its quality and find out optimal settings (time steps & iterations) per asset ...
4
votes
4answers
236 views

What kind of front end/ gui is used with trading applications?

I was wondering what kind of front end is used for trading applications. Coming from a quant background, I was always only concerned with research and back end of the application but am at a total ...
4
votes
1answer
57 views

Intuition behind American Option pricing

The price of an American option is given by $$V_n = \max\left(G_n,\frac{1}{1 + r}(pV_{n +1}H^d + qV_{n + 1}H^u\right)$$ where p, q are the risk neutral probabilities. I have two questions: How ...
1
vote
1answer
53 views

What do “Exposure Bounds” mean in Portfolio Optimization?

I've just started reading up on Portfolio Optimization models and have come across the use of exposure bounds to mitigate the sensitivity of the optimized model solution, owing to parameter estimation ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Constructing Volatility Smile from Implied Volatility & Delta

I have implied volatility data for call and put options (expiring in 1 month from any given date) for a particular stock. In addition, I have the delta for the options. However, I have no information ...
-3
votes
2answers
123 views

What software should I use for forex arbitrage?

These are my requirements: Speed of lookup & update Speed of crunching large numbers and combinations The exchanges I want to connect to will mostly provide json feeds to their orderbooks & ...
0
votes
1answer
40 views

Yahoo OHLC data reflects nonexistant stock split

Can anyone explain why the OHLC data I'm getting from yahoo appears to reflect stock splits during times when no significant corporate actions have occurred? For example, I'm looking at ABT and yahoo ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Fixed volatility portfolio with max returns creates skewed results

I am trying to create a portfolio of only four components using the mean-variance optimization (MVO). I am setting up my problem such that I want to maximize the expected returns with a fixed vol ...
2
votes
0answers
77 views

State Space models with Short Time Series

My problem is that I have a state space model that I estimate using the Berndt–Hall–Hall–Hausman (BHHH) algorithm. The state space model is relatively simple in that the hidden part follows a pure ...
4
votes
3answers
238 views

Algorithm to detect the aggressor side of a trade

Most of the exchanges provide aggressor side property of trades (e.g. Tag=5797 AggressorSide on CME) in their raw data. But many data providers do not provide this information via their datafeed ...
4
votes
1answer
99 views

Explicit solution SDE

I have the following SDE: $$dY_{t}=A\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{1}+B\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{2}$$ where ...
1
vote
1answer
87 views

Which is the better risk sensitive measure?

Consider the two following optimization problem 1) $$ \min_{\theta} \ln E_{\theta}[ e^{X}]$$ 2) $$ \min_{\theta} E_{\theta}[ X]$$ with the constraint $$ Var_{\theta}[X] <c$$ Is it true that ...
0
votes
1answer
47 views

Contribute to Finance related projects [closed]

I am currently a student and in the future would like to work as a software developer for a financial institution such as Bloomberg, Factset etc. I was looking to contribute to some open source or ...
4
votes
1answer
97 views

Nested volatility

The introduction VIX options makes the concept of "volatility of volatility" a real life concept. The idea of "nested volatility" seems interesting, and I am wondering if there are any academic ...
1
vote
2answers
61 views

Art market specificities

I am looking for some reference on the art market in light of quantitative finance. I am interested in some things: The market in general, how is it compared to financial market ? What about common ...
1
vote
2answers
63 views

CVA/CDVA - Worsened Credit Quality implies profit?

In the book Counterparty Credit Risk, Collateral and Funding by Brigo et al I found the following: credit quality of investor WORSENS $\Rightarrow$ books POSITIVE MARK TO MKT credit quality of ...
4
votes
2answers
77 views

How does this follow from the separating hyperplane theorem?

This is from Pliskas book in mathematical finance. I do not know what was best to write the question so I included the pages from the book. He has not written what form of the separating hyperplane ...
0
votes
3answers
151 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
3
votes
2answers
54 views

Risk Neutral Pricing Necessary Condition

Suppose that I have an option on a single stock expiring at time $T$ and I replicate the payoff of this derivative by investing in the stock market and the money market. So this condition reads $$X(T) ...
0
votes
1answer
67 views

List of dates at which the NYSE was closed from 2005 to 2014?

I'm doing research on historical price movements on the New York Stock Exchange. Because the NYSE is closed on weekends, on holidays, and sometimes because of special events, special care needs to be ...
3
votes
1answer
86 views

Portfolio Optimization - n risky assets

I'm currently implementing a CAPM model in Excel: A portfolio of n risky assets when n=6 (in this case) A riskless borrowing rate of 8% and riskless lending rate of 3% I'm given the expected return ...
1
vote
1answer
123 views

How to develop your own interest rate model?

How can you develop your own interest rate model? What must be take cautiously before making one? Also what is the regulation that one mustfollow? Also what is some common properties that models ...
2
votes
2answers
129 views

What is the reasoning to derive this financial model called the Vasicek Model?

The model specifies that the instantaneous interest rate follows the stochastic differential equation $$\mathrm{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\: \mathrm{d}t + \sigma \: \mathrm{d}W_t$$ where $W_{t}$ is a Wiener ...
2
votes
2answers
237 views

How to classify stocks by their volatility?

I would like to hear other possible ways of classifying Stocks by the Volatility of their returns. Assuming that I want to characterize each stock as Low, Medium or High Volatility Stock and assuming ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Methods for “prompt month equivalent” exposure in commodities forwards/futures markets

It is common in commodities markets to hold many positions, both long and short, across a range of contract months beginning in the prompt month (today, September) to five or more years out. In ...
3
votes
3answers
86 views

Modelling currency exchange rates timeseries data across re-denomation dates

I am working with data for an exotic currency, that has been re-denominated a couple of times during the twenty years of data that I have. What is the best way of 'normalising' the data, so that I ...

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