6
votes
1answer
117 views

Why is the GARCH intercept supposed to be strictly positive?

Maybe it's a simple question but I don't really understand why it is theoretically required. Let's take the standard GARCH(1,1) $$\sigma^2_{t+1}=\omega+\alpha\epsilon^2_{t}+\beta\sigma^2_{t}$$ In most ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

What does each bar in the empirical average eigenvalues spectrum of the correlation matrix of log-returns of stocks represent?

An example diagram, taken from this paper, looks like follows: What is its physical interpretation? The highest eigenvalue, the paper says, represents market mode. So, what does the difference in ...
0
votes
1answer
31 views

Calculate historical duration based on current duration & historical prices

Suppose I have today current duration of a bond and it's historical daily prices. How from that I can calculate the historical duration? e.g. the value of duration I would saw if yesterday, week ago, ...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Optimal portfolio construction questions [closed]

I am working on a paper that tries to build an optimal portfolio to hedge various risks (mainly interest rate risk). I have never done this before. Which software program should I use to create an ...
3
votes
1answer
52 views

Dollar-Neutral in addition to Market-Neutral?

What is the point/benefit of using a dollar-neutral strategy in addition to a Beta-neutral strategy? What exactly does a dollar-neutral strategy buy the investor? What's useful about balancing long ...
3
votes
1answer
119 views

Mathematical Derivation of Residual Risk

I understand the difference between Excess, Residual and Active Returns. I also understand what Active Risk; defined as: $\sigma_{r_P-r_B}$ (i.e. standard deviation of the difference in returns ...
1
vote
0answers
13 views

How to calculate optimal monthly withdrawals from an investment with compound interest

I have 1.25M dollars. I want to put it in an investment with 60% annual return paid monthly and re-invest the interest to achieve compound interest. After 15 years, my principal would have grown to ...
0
votes
1answer
50 views

Volatility for time periods with little data

When I want the monthly volatility of stock and I only have data for about one month and I do calculation like this: ...
-1
votes
2answers
50 views

NPV of two annuities

For exam preparation we are given some past papers, however there are no solutions and I would like to know if my logic is correct for the following question: Assume you are 25 years old. An ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Problem with determining weights in tangency portfolio (2 risky assets)

I use the following well known formula in order to determine the weight of asset i in the tangency portfolio (in the case of two risky assets): $w_{i,T}=\frac{\sigma[r_2]^2E[R_1]-\sigma[r_1,r_2]E[R_2]...
3
votes
3answers
109 views

What is the rationale behind using SV models with 2 distinct volatility processes?

In the Double Heston model, there are 2 distinct volatility processes. The SDEs read \begin{align} & d{{S}_{t}}=r{{S}_{t}}dt+\sqrt{{{v}_{1}}(t)}{{S}_{t}}d{{W}_{1}}(t)+\sqrt{{{v}_{2}}(t)}{{S}_{t}}...
1
vote
0answers
21 views

How do I build a cross currency basis swap pricer using implied levels generated from fx forwards? [closed]

I'm building a strategy where I would take positions depending on whether the basis swap looks rich or cheap relative to the forwards, inside 1yr maturity. Depending on liquidity the market in ...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

How to apply Kelly criterion to a portfolio made by a stock plus a option?

First of all, assuming a Gaussian, Markowitz, well behaved world. Extensions for non-well behaved world will be welcomed. I know that by a portfolio made by only by one stock (and a risk free bond) I ...
1
vote
2answers
60 views

Simulate drifted geometric brownian motion under new measure

I have a very fundamental question regarding simulation of DRIFTED geometric brownian motion. We have the standard Blackos Scholes model: $dS(t)=r S(t)dt+\sigma S(t) dW^{\mathbb{P}}(t)$, where $W^{\...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Yahoo Finance data scraper [duplicate]

I am building a small financial web application and I need a data source for price (Adj. Close) and volume data. I have written a scraper to scrape equity data for yahoo finance and can pass this to ...
4
votes
0answers
23 views

Polynomial interpolation of corrected lognormal distribution

Can anyone provide a formula for a polynomial interpolation of the corrected lognormal distribution used to model returns traditionally resulting from the wrong Brownian motion generated model? ...
1
vote
1answer
74 views

Calculating the global minimum variance portfolio in R?

I am attempting to use the globalMin.portfolio command to calculate the global minimum variance portfolio in RStudio. My code is as follows (note that several libraries have been included which may ...
2
votes
1answer
35 views

How to compute the yield on the Ultra-Bond Treasury Futures

I am trying to compute the yield on the Ultra-Bond Treasury Futures which is roughly 172.2187. Heres the description of the contract: U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining term to maturity of not ...
1
vote
0answers
34 views

Minimum Variance Portfolio problem [closed]

Minimum Variance Portfolio Suppose there are N stocks in the investmentable universe and we have a fully invested portfolio investing 100% of the capital. The Covariance matrix is denoted as ∑. We ...
3
votes
1answer
85 views

Copulas and default probability

Assume a basket of 3 credits, each with some unconditional default probability ${q_i}(t) = \Pr [{\tau _i} \le t]$. Consider the joint CDF $H$ of the default times is given by $H(t,t,t) = \Pr [{\tau ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Estimating time-varying tail dependence for Archimedean copulas

Patton (2006) defines the upper tail dependence coefficient for a time-varying bivariate SJC copula as $$\tau^u_t=\Lambda \left(\omega_u + \beta_u \tau^u_{t-1}+\alpha_u \frac{1}{10}\sum^{10}_{i=1}|u_{...
0
votes
1answer
62 views

Portfolio with a certain pay-off curve

I would like to find a relevant optimization option's portfolio models which can describe a certain pay-off curve (objective function) under same assumptions. For example, assumptions on how to limit ...
0
votes
1answer
32 views

Beta = 1 and 0. Type of portfolios

I read in E. Quian's "Quantitative Equitity Portoflio Management" the following: A traditional long-only portfolio [with unit beta] would have most of its risk in the market risk. However, a zero ...
2
votes
1answer
61 views

Selection of optimal backtesting parameters

Suppose I backtest some strategy on in-sample data while varying two parameters, say $X$ and $Y$. $X$ can take the values $\{3,6,9,12,15,18\}$ while $Y$ can take $\{10,15,20,25,30\}$. I want to select ...
3
votes
1answer
138 views

Could someone teach me how to construct the portfolios by compute (like using R, Excel or Eviews)

Recently, I am doing my dissertation that covers asset pricing theory. The empirical test of Fama 3 factors model is an important part of this dissertation. Please let me review the fama model. Fama ...
4
votes
2answers
112 views

Using R with princomp to create hedge baskets

I am experimenting to try to find better ways to hedge some of our equity portfolios. It's easy enough to use R to get a PCA breakdown of exposure for a portfolio but I can't figure out how to then ...
7
votes
1answer
59 views

Who pays for sovereign ratings?

Does the "issuer-pay" model hold also for sovereign credit ratings? Do States pay for having their bond being rated?
2
votes
1answer
36 views

Time series of European sovereign credit ratings by the Big Three?

I would need time series, from 2000 to 2015 (if possible) of sovereign credit ratings by Moody's, S&P and Fitch. Could you suggest me a source or provide me such a dataset? Thank you very much!
4
votes
1answer
45 views

What approaches are there for keeping local and remote order books in sync?

Scenario: developing a custom application which defines a structured workflow for manual order submission to Bloomberg EMSX; it should minimize own persisted state and rely on the remote order book as ...
2
votes
2answers
32 views

How to take care of newly auctioned yield/price in fixed income data

This is a financial data cleaning question. I have raw price and yield data for US cash treasury across the curve. In the time-series there are jumps on the day after the treasury auction results come ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

Special term for 'intersection' of option price

Suppose, I have written two ordered lists: $S_{call}= (\textbf{8000, 8050, 8100}, 8150, 8200, 8250)$ and $S_{put} = (7850, 7900, 7950, \textbf{8000, 8050, 8100})$. Entities are correspond to strike ...
1
vote
0answers
22 views

Interest rates - Swaptions implied volatility - Volatility anchoring with Black and with normal volatilities

In a LMM+ with displacement factor a volatility anchoring technique is used, i.e. a long term volatility assumptions is applied, derived from historic time series. Should I adjust this historic ...
0
votes
2answers
40 views

In an example of “call options”

The following is an excerpt from Introduction to the Mathematics of Finance by Roman: As a more concrete example, suppose that IBM is selling for $\$100$ per share at this moment. A $3$ month ...
1
vote
0answers
64 views

Cointegration for forex using ARMA model to forecast the spread

I am working on an automatized quantitative strategy that use cointegration in Forex. I am backtesting this strategy in Python. Please see below the python file: https://drive.google.com/file/d/...
1
vote
2answers
70 views

Conditional probability of geometric brownian motion

I created paths using GBM to implement The stochastic mesh method. But the method requires the conditional distribution, given some S(t) the probability of S(t+1). I've searched and can't find this ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

Modeling the Stock Market [closed]

Hi I was wondering what is the model that best describes the price movement of the stock market? A Brownian motion Process with drift? An Ornstein Uhlenbeck_process? (where the long term mean ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

How to perform batch-trading using Interactive Broker API?

My definition of batch-trading: Given $N$ BUY orders, $M$ SELL orders and $O$ ($O < N$) as the max number of open positions to be held. Batch-trading should monitor the orders and when $O$ BUY ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

Is it possible to place hidden order inside spread when trading E-mini S&P 500?

My question is not about hidden orders in general. In equity market a trader can post his hidden order inside spread, is it the same way for E-mini S&P 500?
1
vote
0answers
37 views

“Risk” Factor vs Double Sorts

With regards to a cross-sectional asset pricing (stocks) study, I am testing if one variable can explain another. One common approach to do this, is to use the double-sorting portfolio technique (sort ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

How to write time-varying functions in R? Applied example

Let's say I want to use a Gaussian copula $$C_{R_t}(\eta_1, ..., \eta_n) = N_{R_t}(N^{-1}(\eta_1), ...,N^{-1}(\eta_n))$$ with a time-varying correlation matrix $R_t$. Through DCC we model the ...
1
vote
1answer
62 views

How to build a cross currency swap pricer?

We're looking to build a pricer to convert a funding spread in a given currency over a specific funding basis e.g. 20 bps EUR 3m€ and convert it to a funding spread to a different currency with a ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Python regenerating ARMA params using statsmodels

I am trying to regenerate the ARMA parameters from statsmodel in python. The code I am using is: ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

Define the order of GARCH(m.s)

I know that if the order of Arch(m) is over 3, we should use GARCH and GARCH(1,1) was proved to be the best. But was GARCH(1,1) proved to be available for any country's stock market? My result show ...
1
vote
2answers
79 views

How is the fundamental theorem of asset pricing used?

I know that a multi-period market model is complete and arbitrage free if there's a unique equivalent martingale measure. The thing is, I have absolutely no clue how to apply this theorem to a simple ...
0
votes
1answer
35 views

Python statsmodel ARMA question

I am reading through the documentation of statsmodel package in python from the link The (p,q) order of the model for the number of AR parameters, differences, and MA parameters to use. How do I ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

$0$-beta stock and diversification

If we invest $w$ in the market portfolio and $1 - w$ in the risk-free asset, and observe a $0$-beta asset with expected return greater than the return on the risk-free asset, how can this be used in ...
1
vote
0answers
32 views

R:log return calculation for panel data structure

I have a long form panel for hourly prices of stocks. I want to do log return calculation for this panel data structure. This is sample data: ...
6
votes
2answers
403 views

How to derive the price of a square-or-nothing call option?

At maturity $T$, the holder of a "square-or-nothing" call option written on an underlying $S_t$ receives a payoff of the form $$ \phi(S_T) = \frac{S_T^2}{K} \pmb{1}_{\{S_T \geq K\}} = \begin{cases}\...
0
votes
2answers
30 views

What is a definition of “Benchmark”?

The word "benchmark" is often used in Finance, but in a rather fuzzy manner, there for a rough idea of what it is, and how it is 'defined'. Can someone provide a rigorous and precise definition of ...
0
votes
0answers
50 views

Physical interpretation of variance in returns in a portfolio design

I have a downloaded the log-returns at successive times of 98 stocks from S&P index over 753 days. I calculated the total daily return according to the formula 1 below, where ...

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