3
votes
3answers
259 views

References on Statistical Arbitrages

Is there any basic materials (books, papers) to read on Statistical Arbitrage? I certainly understand much of the useful information is in the industry. I just want to get some understanding on the ...
3
votes
1answer
149 views

Stochastic Differentials - Ito's formula for a self-financing portfolio

Suppose I have a portfolio of stocks $(S)$ and savings account ($\beta_t$) then, the value is $$V = a_t S_t + b_t \beta_t$$ and for this portfolio to be self replicating, we need by Ito's lemma $$dV ...
3
votes
2answers
148 views

What is the use of options pricing formulas

This may seem like a dumb question, but if the EMH is generally true, wouldn't options already be correctly priced? Why do we need all these intricate formulas, unless we think the prices are wrong or ...
3
votes
1answer
176 views

Free source of historical ETF units outstanding data?

I am looking for a free source of historical daily data of the number of outstanding units of ETFs and ETNs. On a Bloomberg, this would be "VXX.SO Index HP" or something like that. Does anyone know ...
3
votes
1answer
88 views

Are CME security id's unique and constant over time?

For any given day, CME security IDs are unique - a number will always refer to a single product. Are they unique over time as well? That is, might a new security have a security id that used to be ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

constrained portfolio optimization by fmincon

I am working through this paper, http://www.nber.org/papers/w8922.pdf I want to implement the portfolio weight constraints see page 6-7. Here is the brief overview of my problem: Let ...
3
votes
1answer
240 views

Constant Relative Risk Aversion

The question: Consider a person with constant relative risk aversion p. (a) Suppose the person has wealth of 100,000 and faces a gamble in which he wins or loses x with equal probabilities. ...
3
votes
2answers
200 views

How to get around flat likelihood function when calibrating GBM parameters?

I want to calibrate jointly the drift mu and volatility sigma of a geometric brownian motion, $$\log(S_t) = \log(S_{t-1}) + (\mu - 0.5*\sigma^2) \Delta t + \sigma*\sqrt{\Delta t}*Z_t$$ where $Z_t$ ...
3
votes
2answers
152 views

How to get Multivariate Betas from an Estimated EWMA co variance Matrix?

I have a portfolio of 4 assets. I also have returns for 3 indices. I want to get the multivariate betas for these 4 assets-based on these assets. I only have the 7 x 7 covariance matrix estimated by a ...
3
votes
2answers
281 views

Black-Litterman, how to choose the uncertainty in the views $\Omega$ for smooth transitions form prior to posterior

In Black-Litterman we get a new vector of expected returns of the form: \begin{align} \Pi_{BL} = \Pi + \underbrace{\tau \Sigma P^T[P\tau\Sigma P^T+\Omega]^{-1}}_{\text{correction}}[Q-P\Pi] \end{align} ...
3
votes
1answer
140 views

Volatility updating rule using r

I'm trying to program a volatility updating rule using iteration. I start with the well know Heston-Nandi model where the returns dynamics are : with is iid standard normal randome variable, where ...
3
votes
1answer
257 views

Black-Litterman example

I'm trying to learn Black-Litterman. I feel like I get the overall idea from books like Risk and Asset Allocation by Meucci as well as some of the early papers which develop the model. What I would ...
3
votes
4answers
2k views

Simple value of a Forward contract at an intermediate time question

I am taking "Financial Engineering and Risk Management Part I" from Columbia University on coursera and I got a seemingly simple question wrong on the first quiz. This is all based on the no-arbitrage ...
3
votes
1answer
66 views

How consequential are violations of the efficient diversification assumption of asset pricing models?

When using asset pricing models such as the CAPM or the Fama-French four factor model to determine the risk-adjusted return of a portfolio, does this strictly require efficient diversification of the ...
3
votes
2answers
101 views

Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
3
votes
2answers
297 views

Libor Market Model: numeraire change

I am currently studying the Libor forward market model, and although I get the mechanics behind the main arguments, I still do not have an intuitive idea of what's exactly the objective behind ...
3
votes
1answer
193 views

formulating MVO with costs

I am trying to formulate this simple MVO utility function with a linear transaction cost penalty added using Quadprog in MATLAB tcost = 0.001; lambda = 4; mu = vector of expected returns (say 4x1) S ...
3
votes
2answers
385 views

IR Yield Curve and Fixing Dates

Consider two FRAs. 3x6 , Effective 3 months from now, terminates in 6 months. The floating leg payer pays 3-month LIBOR. Fixing date for LIBOR 40 business days. To price this at par, the fixed leg ...
3
votes
1answer
137 views

Which quantitative tools are actually used for hedging energy price and volume risk?

I'm a finance professor and I am looking for someone with actual trading and risk management knowledge within the energy sector who can tell me about pricing and hedging energy (especially electricity ...
3
votes
1answer
183 views

Different ways of portfolio optimization

There are different ways to optimize portfolios: $$ \max R^Tw\tag{1}$$ or $$ \min w^T \Sigma w\tag{2}$$ and finally using a risk tolerance $\lambda$: $$ \min{(w^T\Sigma w-\lambda R^T w)}\tag{3}$$...
3
votes
3answers
383 views

Validity of CAPM

I came across some literature regarding "Framing Theory" or "Prospect Theory", and the validity of CAPM. I was wondering if you could shed some light on a few questions I have in this regard: ...
3
votes
1answer
553 views

Pricing Callable Floating Rate Note

I have a question concerning pricing of a callable floating rate note (FRN). I have not found a lot of literature concerning callable FRNs (although a lot for callable bonds). With my understanding, ...
3
votes
2answers
150 views

Approximation of different volatilities

Suppose I model the forward swap rate lognormal $$dS_t = \sigma_{ln}S_tdW_t$$ On the other hand we could model it simply by a normal assumption: $$dS_t = \sigma_{n}dW_t$$ I would like to know if ...
3
votes
1answer
95 views

CDS - Accumulated Default Risk?

Say I issue insurance contracts covering fire damage in personal households. Fires occur with a probability of $x$% in a household (and they obviously occur independently from one another). If the ...
3
votes
1answer
195 views

Recommended Literature for creating Factor Mimicking Portfolios

Is there a textbook that contains the basics for creating Factor Mimicking Portfolios? Although there is a lot of peer-reviewed literature on this, I cannot find textbooks on Asset Pricing that ...
3
votes
1answer
216 views

Fitting stochastic variance distributions to index return data

I want to calculate option prices based on a realistic distribution of the underlying. The underlying is a liquid index such as Eurostoxx50. I think of two aproaches, both of them incorporate ...
3
votes
2answers
226 views

Martingale Stock Prices

In http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/files/pdf/Granger-stockmarket.pdf Granger makes survey of some arguments. In section I there are two hypothesis H01, and H02. H01: Stock prices are a ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

How popular is the Linear Gauss Markov (LGM) model?

Some friends recommend to me Linear Gauss Markov model, saying it's interesting to have a look at it. Basically it's a framework different from HJM, with potential to extend, and the merit is that it'...
3
votes
1answer
182 views

meaning of discount term in FRA value

Consider a forward rate agreement on LIBOR (say), which starts 2 months from now, expires after 3 months and has strike $K$, and is based on $3M$ LIBOR -- $FRA_{2\times 5}$. Now the present value of ...
3
votes
2answers
452 views

Beta arbitrage in CAPM

i'm following the "Computational Investing 1" course at Coursera.org, I was affascinated by the Beta arbitrage of CAPM Video: https://class.coursera.org/compinvesting1-002/lecture/view?lecture_id=119 ...
3
votes
1answer
182 views

Estimating Beta from unevenly spaced price history

I have a certain non-stock asset that has 1 transaction every 1 to 8 months. I also have a price index of that class of asset compiled by another party on monthly basis. If I regress $price = \alpha' +...
3
votes
1answer
392 views

Beta and Frequency of Data

Why are the betas of individual securities essentially the same whether we use daily or weekly data when calculating?
3
votes
1answer
93 views

Understanding the derivation of a ML-estimator

I'm trying to understand the derivation of a ML-estimator and more specifically the rewriting of the covariance matrix Sigma. In this rewriting a lemma is used to show that $$ (1) \hspace{1.4 cm}\...
3
votes
2answers
142 views

What impact does arbitrage have on realised volatility estimates?

Doing some research modeling/estimating volatility in the bitcoin market. There is quite a bit of scope for arbitrage within crypto-currency markets. Wonder if this has any impact on my volatility ...
3
votes
1answer
106 views

Summary statistic for the average probability of default?

I have the following scenario: Let $X_i$ denote the event where some institution $i$ 'defaults' (don't worry about the exact definition of a default here, it is not relevant to the question at hand). ...
3
votes
1answer
285 views

Attributing the change in NII to Shift, Twist and Butterfly

The movement of the zero rate curves can be decomposed into a shift movement (the level of interest rates) and a twist movement (the slope of the curve) and butterfly (the curvature of the curve). If ...
3
votes
2answers
99 views

Why are some MBS's with coupons below the FRM rate priced at a premium?

I'm looking at 30Y 4.0% Freddie Mac MBS prices as of yesterday, approximately 104:10. Meanwhile, 30Y FRM Freddie Mac quotes are 4.39%. Why are the MBS priced at such a premium, even though the coupon ...
3
votes
1answer
514 views

How should we select efficiently orders parameters in time series modelling?

A common way to select orders parameters (ex: to choose the number of AR terms to be included in the model ) in time series modelling is to rely on some Information Criteria (AIC, BIC, Hannan Quinn..)...
3
votes
2answers
326 views

Lookback option explicit formula using Black Scholes

I would like to compute the time-0-price for a lookback option using Black Scholes formula, the explicit formula is given by $$S_0[(\frac{2r+\sigma^2}{2r})\Phi((\frac{2r+\sigma^2}{2\sigma/\sqrt{T}}))-...
3
votes
2answers
104 views

What is the difference between these two equations for GBMs?

The two equations commonly found online for GBM are: $\begin{matrix} S_{ t }=S_{ 0 }\exp\left( \left( \mu -\frac { \sigma ^{ 2 } }{ 2 } \right) t+\sigma W_{ t } \right) \\ S_{ t }=S_{ 0 }\exp\left(\...
3
votes
1answer
209 views

Finite difference methods

I am simulating the price of a basket option with the help of equations from the report http://www.it.uu.se/edu/course/homepage/projektTDB/vt07/Presentationer/Projekt3/...
3
votes
1answer
97 views

How accurately can the LIBOR market model price a floating note

I am considering some hedging strategy where portfolios of derivatives are built so that each portfolio is equivalent to a floating note, even if the instruments in the portfolio might be quite ...
3
votes
1answer
285 views

Effective anti-gaming controls in dark pools

What are some indicators that a dark pool operator has effective anti-gaming controls in place? There are some that prohibit IOCs (immediate or cancel) but is that necessary? It seems like that could ...
3
votes
2answers
492 views

Question about the rationale of applying certain recovery rate by ISDA

According to ISDA standard (also here), the recovery rate for senior unsecured is 40%, that of subordinate is 20%, and emerging markets is 25% (both senior and subordinate). I wonder the rationale of ...
3
votes
1answer
328 views

What is the correct Stutzer index and Sharpe ratio relation, assuming a normal returns distribution?

Assuming the returns distribution is normal, then there is a relation between Stutzer index and Sharpe ratio. However, I found in the following paper 2 different equation: Paper I (page 10-11)‎ ...
3
votes
4answers
846 views

Robust Returns-Based Style Analysis

Sharpe's Return-Based Style Analysis is an interesting theory but flawed in practice when working with long-short funds or funds that are changing strategies over shorter periods of time due to the ...
3
votes
1answer
195 views

Deutsche Börse sample Level 2 data, how to view in Windows?

DB has some sample Level 2 market data: http://deutsche-boerse.com/mda/dispatch/en/listcontent/gdb_navigation/mda/200_market_data/650_historical_market_data/35_enbs_hist_data_xetra/...
3
votes
1answer
148 views

At what volume would you move the price at the opening auction?

At many exchanges the opening price is set using an auction which takes place pre-opening (see here for example). During the auction you are allowed to place orders according to certain rules (you ...
3
votes
1answer
165 views

Different Exercise Style Options on Same Underlying

Some equities on European markets have options traded in two different exercise styles: American and European. Examples: ABB and ABB (european) on Eurex Banco Santander on MEFF Consider ...
3
votes
1answer
223 views

Desired portfolio volume

I am working on a toy model, in part of which an investor has to decide (based on some utility theory) how much money to invest in a given portfolio. For simplicity, assume that the portfolio is ...

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