All Questions

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1answer
108 views

Is it better to hedge or reduce the position size? [closed]

Traders hedge to reduce their risk. However, wouldn't reducing the position achieve the same results while keeping the risk management process simpler? At least, one need not worry about making the ...
1
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1answer
104 views

Calculating spot level using tick data

What is a proper (or commonly used/accepted) way of calculating some spot value with tick data? At the moment I can think of two options: Take the latest available best bid, latest available best ...
1
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1answer
177 views

“Friendly” papers about maximum smoothness yield curve modelling

I'm currently looking to implement some version of the yield curve modeling techniques in the maximum smoothness framework. The papers I have found so far explains the theory pretty well, but I find ...
1
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2answers
465 views

Brownian motion - first passage time

Can anyone point me to the expression for the first passage time for a geometric Brownian motion process X(t) as a function of the starting point, threshold, drift and diffusion parameters. I am ...
1
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1answer
201 views

Has there been success in applying Mandelbrot's ideas to financial markets?

More specifically, I am looking for recent research papers that have harnessed Mandelbrot's ideas too successfully predict asset prices. I have read many papers about wavelets, and I would like to ...
1
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1answer
99 views

Trading Elasticity Research

Is there any good research on the price elasticity of trading in financial markets? Things like optimal fee structures and the like?
1
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2answers
69 views

different amount of information on return correlations from shorter and longer periods?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly (total) returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on ...
1
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1answer
283 views

Help with understanding a normal distribution/probability question

Could someone please help me translate what this is saying on page P15, section 4.2: http://www.ntuzov.com/Nik_Site/Niks_files/Research/papers/stat_arb/Ahmed_2009.pdf Specifically: When the ...
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1answer
194 views

Need to match my bond price calculation to that of Bloomberg, currently failing hard

I have a fixed-coupon bond with the following characteristics: ...
1
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1answer
137 views

Regression of Unequally Weighted Portfolio against a Single Index

When I regress a single stock against a market index, I get a high value of R2 and beta closer to 1. APPL.fit <- lm(APPL ~ JKSE) When I regress an unequally ...
1
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1answer
287 views

Blackbox Optimization + Bootstrapping = Parameter Selection?

Most automated trading systems have a number of embedded parameters such as the lookback periods, entry and exit thresholds, etc. This is like the moving average crossover system or any of the systems ...
1
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1answer
158 views

Add transaction costs to prediction

An algorithm predicts price movement by some certainty and it invests proportional to the confidence level. Predictions range from -1 to +1, -1 meaning sell for a value of ...
1
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1answer
165 views

Greeks of Basket

I am considering a product composed of 10 underlying assets. The maturity is 5 year. Each year if the performance of the equi-weighted portfolio reach a barrier, it pays a coupon. My question concern ...
1
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1answer
213 views

Regression giving the return on a stock

I have this regression equation: $$ R_{stock} = 3,28\% + 1,65*R_{market} $$ Where $R_{stock}$ is the expected return on a stock and $R_{market}$ being the market risk premium. I have a one-year ...
1
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1answer
157 views

Pricing swaptions

What are the approaches available to price a swaption (either European or American style)? So far it seems Black method is the only one used. Thanks!
1
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1answer
58 views

Why might a manager consider using an interest-rate in which the notional principal amount declines over time?

Say swap would be used to convert the payments of its portfolio of fixed-rate residential mortgage loans into a floating payment. Why might a manager consider using an interest-rate in which the ...
1
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1answer
171 views

Eurdollar Futures

Trying to understand the Eurdollar market a little better. I understand it's the market for dollar denominated deposits outside the US (not just in Europe). They are unregulated and not subject to ...
1
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1answer
316 views

Probability of trade's exit orders being triggered in random-walk market

When placing a trade with Stop Loss and Take Profit orders in a hypothetical random market (i.e. 0.5 probability of up tick and 0.5 probability of down tick), assuming: x is the distance in ticks of ...
1
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1answer
366 views

Is making a bid/ask offer a good way to lower the spreads?

I have written an algorithmic trading program which relies heavily on low spreads in the 0.1-0.3 PIP region. I was now wondering if it would be a good idea to place bid/ask offers instead of limit ...
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2answers
228 views

Absolute Dollar Form Of Kelly Criterion

Is there a absolute dollar form of the Kelly equation $f=\frac{m}{s^2}$? (i.e. one that does not use percent returns).
1
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1answer
390 views

Performance Stats of Pairs Trades

This is something I've been thinking about for a while but I can't reach a clear conclusion. When we calculate, for example, the profit factor for a pairs trading strategy, do we treat each pairs ...
1
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1answer
116 views

Exposition of Growth in a Perpetuity

Something that's bugged me since I've ever learned anything about finance: Philosophically(?) speaking, why does growth subtract from a perpetuity's return? I know the mathematical explanation, but ...
1
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1answer
214 views

Minimum variance hedge with more than one asset

My portfolio comprises of 3 assets A,B,C that are correlated and the variance-covariance structure is known. At any given point in time, my position in Asset A say is given to me. I need to ...
1
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1answer
331 views

Unsystematic/Idiosyncratic/Firm-specific volatility/variance in the market model?

I was asked to use idiosyncratic volatility as a regressor in a cross-sectional regression upon cross-sectional returns as the dependent variable. Returns can be thought of as the raw log stock return ...
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1answer
229 views

Fastest algorithm for extracting 25% and 75% marks

I'm hand rolling some visualization algorithms. Extracting the min/max of a time series is $O(n)$, for n entries. If I want the 25% and 75% mark, I could use an $O(n \log n)$ time sort, then get the ...
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2answers
403 views

What is the instantaneous P&L of a Variance Swap?

What is the instantaneous P&L of a variance swap. Is it $(\sigma^{2}_{t}-\sigma^{2}_{implied})dt$?
1
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1answer
411 views

Does amortization of bond start accumulating on trade date or settlement date?

I am sorry if this is not appropriate here. We are building a wealth management system and I really would like to know whether amortization of bond start accumulating on trade date or settlement date ...
1
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2answers
154 views

How can I estimate the parameters of an option value model of retirement?

I am modelling an option value model of retirement, see for instance Stock and Wise (1990). I am however not sure to which class of problems this model falls into and hence which optimization method I ...
1
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1answer
354 views

Does Ito/Malliavin calculus have any applications helpful for direction based trading?

I'm an aspiring computer scientist who want to move into algorithmic trading at some point. At the moment I'm mostly focusing on courses in machine learning/data analysis etc. but I've noticed that ...
1
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1answer
128 views

Brent Crude Data

I am trying to locate historical volatility data (5+ years) for Brent Crude? Does anyone know where I might be able to source such data?
1
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1answer
389 views

T-note returns from T-note yields … derivation of Damodaran's formula

Damodaran's historical data on 10-year T-note returns (found here) uses the following formula to calculate the 1-period total return on a T-note ($R_1$) given the 10-year constant maturity ...
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2answers
136 views

Derivatives with a floating Libor leg

If Libor is found to be fraudulently fixed, are any of the derivative contracts with a floating libor leg still valid?
1
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1answer
152 views

help me compare methods to compute one instrument price from another instrument price

Assume we have two instruments A and B. Also time is increasing from 1 to n. Let's say that ...
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1answer
240 views

Normalized data

I am new to this. I trained and tested my data using SVM in Matlab with the autoscale option true => the data would be normalized with unit SD. Let's say the training data have the price around 200. ...
1
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2answers
462 views

One bar look-ahead backtesting

Suppose you backtest the EUR/USD (or GBP/USD) forex pair with this system on the 1min timeframe: 1) Enter the market at any time n: go long if the "future" bar n+1 has a higher close as the close ...
1
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1answer
268 views

Testing a simple stock market trading hypothesis? [closed]

I have a simple stock market trading hypothesis ... Something along these lines: Based on a certain deviation from a stock market index over a 30-day period, 5 certain stocks tend to drift ...
1
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1answer
926 views

How is mean reversion implied by different valuations of Bermudan swaptions?

Someone told me that mean reversion can be implied by the different valuations of bermudan swaptions when using different methods for volatility calibration. Does anyone know what this means?
1
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1answer
272 views

Reading recommendation on using statistical analysis in online fraud prevention [closed]

Can you please recommend good reads on statistical analysis related to online fraud detection and prevention of account abuse?
1
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1answer
25 views

finance - using CAPM [closed]

The risk-free rate is 4%, and the expected return on the market portfolio is 12%. Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model: a. What is the risk premium on the market? b. what is the required return on ...
1
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1answer
44 views

Pricing rule shall be a martingale measure

In the book "Financial Modelling with jump processes" by Cont and Tankov there is a chapter that explains martingale pricing principles. It is not extremely formal, but gives the idea underlying the ...
1
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1answer
41 views

Cause of long term inflation in the United States [closed]

Does the US government have a policy of printing money? If so what is this number called, who decides what it is, and where can I find it? If not what is the cause of our long term inflation? (I'm ...
1
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1answer
59 views

Binary option expression

Given r=0, σ(K)=const Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K,σ(K))-C(K+ε,σ(K+ε))))/ε〗 What is the analytical expression for the binary option value? σ(K)=const Therefore, Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K)-C(K+ε)))/ε〗 ...
1
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1answer
74 views

Normalization of Market Data in Time Series Correlation

Suppose we have 2 time series of market data, one for each security and we want to correlate between these 2 securities. My question is How do we handle gaps of missing data in the time series? ...
1
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2answers
25 views

I want to prove Determine the coupon rate $r$, such that the price of the bond, at $T_0$, equals its face value

Consider a coupon bond, starting at $T_{0}$ , with face value $K$, coupon payments at $T_1, . . . , T_n$ and a fixed coupon rate $r$. Determine the coupon rate $r$, such that the price of the bond, at ...
1
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1answer
49 views

Best sources for worldwide balance sheet data?

I’m interested in databases with quarterly balance sheet data of the financial sector. I’m aware of the following datasets: -Compustat -Compustat Global -Bankscope Can someone point out other ...
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4answers
75 views

Black scholes text book

I am looking for an easy and well presented introduction to Black-Scholes theory and stochastic calculus aimed at undergraduate mathematics students. Please can you recommend a book? How about Paul ...
1
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1answer
56 views

Information on books about mathematical finance

In the past at my school the subject of "Mathematics of Derivative securities" has been taught out of two books. "Quantitative Finance" by T. Wake Epps and "Options, Futures and Other Derivatives" by ...
1
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1answer
30 views

Interpret alpha's on Dual-Beta Model regression Results

I am trying to calculate the Dual-Beta for Apple (AAPL) by running a regression against the Spyder's ETF (SPY) & using the 10-yr Risk Free rate. The formula for the dual beta is: ($r_{AAPL}-r_f) ...
1
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1answer
44 views

How to model the effect of earnings surprises on long-term returns?

I'm looking into modeling the relationship between EPS announcement surprises with long-term returns (1 quarter to 3 years with intervals). I've based my current methodology off papers looking at the ...
1
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2answers
48 views

Distribution of the value of a portfolio

Suppose there are k different stocks in a stock market. All of their prices are independent from each other. One year from now the price of the i-th stock will be $X_i^2$, where $X_i \sim ...

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