3
votes
1answer
287 views

Bayesian or Frequentist in Finance?

I'm currently an undergrad at a Canadian university and our finance courses has been brought up through the frequentist approach (ols, hypothesis testing, sampling theory). Only recently, through ...
3
votes
1answer
300 views

Stochastic Volatility CIR estimation

Would anyone have a code (pref. Matlab or R) for any type of estimation (QML, GMM) not using option prices of a stochastic volatility model driven by a CIR process described below? \begin{equation} ...
3
votes
1answer
65 views

Why Beta Distribution for Credit Migration

When modelling credit migration probabilities (e.g. AAA to AA), research has indicated the use of the Beta Distribution simply because it fits empirical data. My question is; What are some other pros ...
3
votes
2answers
340 views

How to find the best fitting GARCH model for a portfolio composed of 3 ETFs in R?

I am doing a project for my class Financial Time Series in which I am trying to forecast my portfolio log returns using a GARCH fit. I am having a bit of trouble determining the best way to fit this ...
3
votes
1answer
109 views

Maximizing utility subject to a wealth constraint

Let $\tilde{E}$ be the risk neutral expectation, and $X_t$ the wealth that time t and $R$ the return of a risk-free investment. Consider maximizing the function $EU(X_N)$ subject to ...
3
votes
2answers
137 views

Why can't I multiply two SDE Solutions?

SDE 1 is S1 = S10 exp( (r1-sigma^2/2) * dt + sigma dW1 ) S2 = S20 exp( (r2-sigma2^2/2) * dt + sigma2 dW2 ) E[dW1 dW2] = rho I want to price an option on S1 x S2 I know I need to use the SDE's to ...
3
votes
1answer
88 views

Binary option expression

Given r=0, σ(K)=const Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K,σ(K))-C(K+ε,σ(K+ε))))/ε〗 What is the analytical expression for the binary option value? σ(K)=const Therefore, Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K)-C(K+ε)))/ε〗 ...
3
votes
1answer
482 views

How trading in currency pair works, underlying techniques and mechanisms

I am somewhat experienced in Forex trading, but I have a question which has bothered me for quite some time. If we for instance go back in time four months, to before the beginning of value loss the ...
3
votes
1answer
588 views

Statistical arbitrage using eigen portfolios

I was trying to understand below paper https://www.math.nyu.edu/faculty/avellane/AvellanedaLeeStatArb071108.pdf Page 20 explains about "Entering a trade". I wan't to know clearly what it means to ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

Historical Data on $/yen forward exchange rates

Would anyone happen to know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between the yen and dollar?
3
votes
1answer
74 views

ICE oil Future Markers

i have seen Brent oil future singapore marker many times. however, i wonder what is the reason for introducing different markers in the future market. FYI - LINK
3
votes
1answer
85 views

Time Lag for Market Inefficiency

I recalled reading a academic paper that studied how long a market exploitation took to get priced into the market. I am trying to find that article. I remember it stating that the market priced in ...
3
votes
1answer
362 views

Text book or distilled guide to market making?

Are there any practical articles, blogs or books that describe common practices in market making and how to calculate and use common measures? The majority of the information I found are research ...
3
votes
2answers
332 views

Is there a way to adjust R PerformanceAnalytics function VaR with EWMA or GARCH method?

Is there a way to upgrade R PerformanceAnalytics function VaR with more risk sensitive approaches like EWMA or GARCH? Or is there another R package which can handle the issue?
3
votes
1answer
323 views

Bootstrapping Sharpe Ratios

A similar question to this was asked here: How do i test the significance of Sharpe ratio of a strategy using bootstrap I have bootstrapped the original time series (using block bootstrapping) and ...
3
votes
1answer
80 views

Sovereign Credit Rating

I am working on the determinants of sovereign credit rating. I am looking for the historical rating data-set for euro-zone ...
3
votes
1answer
110 views

Ito integrals and copulas

Let $X_{t}$ and $Y_{t}$ be two brownian motions and let their joint distribution be given by $F$. So in regularly correlated BM's where $dX_{t}dY_{t}=\rho dt$, we have a bivariate normal distribution ...
3
votes
1answer
277 views

Which is the better risk sensitive measure?

Consider the two following optimization problem 1) $$ \min_{\theta} \ln E_{\theta}[ e^{X}]$$ 2) $$ \min_{\theta} E_{\theta}[ X]$$ with the constraint $$ Var_{\theta}[X] <c$$ Is it true that ...
3
votes
1answer
357 views

Portfolio Optimization - n risky assets

I'm currently implementing a CAPM model in Excel: A portfolio of n risky assets when n=6 (in this case) A riskless borrowing rate of 8% and riskless lending rate of 3% I'm given the expected return ...
3
votes
1answer
941 views

How to Calculate Confidence Intervals for Moving Averages Given Nonindependence?

I've plotted 30-year moving averages across time for a couple of portfolios, and I was wondering how to calculate a 95% CI for the these moving average data (i.e., across all moving average data ...
3
votes
2answers
405 views

Resources for finding quantitative finance examples using excel, VBA and access

I am seeking to increase my knowledge in the quantitative finance field. I would be grateful if someone could point me to useful resource online, where I can find working examples of they types of ...
3
votes
2answers
179 views

Cross-sectional volatility vs temporal volatility

Volatility is usually defined as the standard deviation of returns, but sometimes it is calculated as the standard deviation of cross-sectional return divided by the square root of time, where other ...
3
votes
2answers
677 views

Inflation-Linked Bonds & Asset Swap Spreads

I am trying to plot the asset swap spreads of government inflation-linked bonds (ILBs) versus the asset swap spread of government nominal (plain-vanilla) reference bonds. I used the article in the ...
3
votes
1answer
321 views

Brownian Bridge's first passage time distribution

Let's say we have a Brownian Bridge $Y_{b,T}(t)$ such that $Y_{b,T}(0)=0$, $Y_{b,T}(T)=b$. Let's say we are interested in the first passage time of $Y_{b,T}(t)$ at level $b$: $\tau_b = \{\min \tau; ...
3
votes
1answer
152 views

Solving the Jamshidian Zhu (1997) PCA short rate model

This is my first time posting a question. I have very limited experience in the field of stochastic calculus and interest rate modelling. I have been tasked with implementing the short rate model ...
3
votes
1answer
87 views

Properties of a Symmetric Copula

I am working with the following copula, and have a few questions about it: $C(x,y) = xy + \theta (1-x)(1-y)xy$ Here $\theta \in [-1,1]$ and $x,y \in [0,1]$ First, I am trying to show this copula is ...
3
votes
2answers
353 views

Trend estimation techniques

What is the best way (most common) to discover if a stock is trending or not? (Despite drawing a line). A hurst exponent? A linear regression maybe?
3
votes
1answer
222 views

How to interpret negative asset volatility numerical results in Merton model?

I am currently working on my thesis where I discuss the Merton default probability model. I have a huge sample of US firms for the period 1990-2010. I use both numerical and complex iterative approach ...
3
votes
1answer
193 views

Valuation of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model

We have a Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model with parameters $u$ ("up"), $d$ ("down") , $r$ (interest rate) and $q$ (equivalent martingale probability) $(q=(1+r-d)(u-d)^{-1})$ . We have a contingent claim with ...
3
votes
1answer
122 views

Partition assets into minimally correlated portfolios

My question covers a more or less classical portfolio optimization situation with a twist: How to partition assets into minimally correlated portfolios, with and without asset overlap. I have $N$ ...
3
votes
1answer
245 views

How would you correct a GARCH model to deal with non mean reverting volatility?

I am currently attempting to model and forecast volatility of bitcoin but have not been able to find a GARCH model that fits the data appropriately. I've used tick data sampled at 1 hour intervals ...
3
votes
1answer
367 views

3 Factor HJM model, do these factors have an economic meaning?

In the HJM model, in case we have 3 factors, do these factors have an economic meaning at all ?
3
votes
1answer
186 views

Minimum Variance Hedge Ratio in Binomial Framework

In order to find the minimum variance hedge ratio when holding a portfolio of vanilla call options and hedging with stock, you can do an OLS regression. In a binomial model framework, given ...
3
votes
2answers
161 views

What information about the stochastic process is available from path-dependent options?

Assume the stock follows a process, which is defined by the following stochastic differential equation $$\frac{dS}{S}=r(t)dt+\sigma(S,t)dW,$$ so that the stock price process has local volatility. ...
3
votes
2answers
77 views

Finding Credit Risk Population Data

Are there any free or relatively cheap sources of aggregate data on credit risk for specific geographic regions, ages, and so on?
3
votes
1answer
418 views

a good book on option pricing from theoretical and practical aspect

This is the situation someone I know is in: She has good understandings of stochastic calculus and the very basics about black-scholes and binomial model, but nothing more. Her background is in ...
3
votes
3answers
410 views

Measuring historical earnings surprises, their frequency and severity

This is my first post to Quantitative Finance, so I hope my question is formatted the right way. I am starting to research the effects of earnings surprises on certain equity indices. Is there a ...
3
votes
2answers
684 views

Calculating and interpreting cumulative returns is R

I have buy and sell signals,and accordingly, I artificially generate a signal series,for which,I assign 1 to every buy and -1 to every sell: ...
3
votes
3answers
2k views

Bloomberg interest rate interpolation

I have question about the linear interpolation of interest rates. I am unable to reconcile the Bloomberg methodology for calculating risk-free rate between maturities. In theory it is a straight-line ...
3
votes
1answer
190 views

Single Most Important Fact about a Fund - Interview Question [closed]

I recently attended an interview to work as a software developer in an Asset Management company. I was asked by the interviewer: What is the most important piece of information that should be ...
3
votes
1answer
306 views

Which measure to determine Risk?

Say I hold an equity and I want to calculate the Value-at-Risk over some period. Would one calculate the Value-at-Risk of the equity under a risk-neutral (as in martingale) measure or under the ...
3
votes
2answers
221 views

stock option strategies long vs short

What makes an option strategy long or short? I got the impression that if it is a net debit (you pay to open the strategy) it is classified 'long' (strangle, straddle) Then I learned about the call ...
3
votes
1answer
511 views

How does the 2-factor Hull White model propagate the forward rates curve?

I've been trying to get a grasp on some of the basics of interest rate modeling, and am looking to simulate rates using the 2 factor Hull White model, which I am aware offers a more realistic model of ...
3
votes
2answers
216 views

Fundamental reasons for the stock price change

Let us start from the old times, where markets were less liquid. Suppose I hold some stocks of the company XYZ and I want to sell them. Why shall I expect that their price can rise in the next quarter ...
3
votes
1answer
524 views

Which method is implemented by Excel's YEARFRAC for ACT/ACT?

I know the algorithm used by Excel to calculate the YEARFRAC(startDate, endDate, basis) for basis=1. Excel calls the method "act/act". A Java re-implentation of Excel's algorithm can be found at ...
3
votes
3answers
326 views

Risk prediction based on financial statements

I have a profit loss statement and balance sheet with the following fields: Example P&L Turnover420,363 - Cost of sales £118,730 £140,169 - Gross Profit ...
3
votes
3answers
753 views

Portfolio software that shows 'total return' for each investment

I'm a high school technology teacher and sponsor for the Charity Student Investment Project. Currently our students track our investment portfolio via a google spreadsheet ...
3
votes
1answer
553 views

What is lagged interest rate?

I am trying to reproduce a plot in "Statistics and Data engineering for Financial Engineering" by D. Ruppert. The author uses the risk free returns data available in the Ecdat package in R. ...
3
votes
1answer
868 views

Replicating strategy in the Black-Scholes model

I have a two-asset Black-Scholes model for a financial market: $dB_t=B_t r dt$ $dS_t=S_t(\mu dt+\sigma dW_t)$ I introduce a European claim $\xi=max(K,S_T)$ with maturity $T$, for some fixed $K$. I ...
3
votes
1answer
715 views

R Outputs from Johansen test. Linear combination still not stationary?

I am trying to see if house price is cointegrated with interest rate, per capita income and rental vacancy rate and got the following output from ca.jo in R: ...

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