2
votes
0answers
41 views

Reference Request: Trader Replication

I am looking for any reference where the following problem was addressed: given the list of trades of a trader teach an AI to replicate that trader's strategy. There are several well-known results ...
3
votes
1answer
71 views

Option price derivation with these dynamics

If my underlying follows a dynamics of the form \begin{align*} dF(t,T)/F(t,T)=\sigma_1(t,T)dW_1(t)+\sigma_2(t,T)dW_2(t), \end{align*} where $\sigma_1(t,T)=h_1e^{-\lambda(T-t)}+h_0$, and $\sigma_2(t,T)...
6
votes
1answer
71 views

Why does jump process has to be Cadlag and not the other way around

In all books and references that I have been exposed to, the jump processes have been defined to be Cadlag(right continuous with left limits). But no one has explained why this is the preferable case, ...
4
votes
1answer
108 views

Correlation of a lognormal asset and a normal asset

So if i want to calcualte the correlation between a pair of assets, my intuition is that i should calculate whatever correlation i plan on using; When we look at correlation, it's normally the ...
2
votes
0answers
56 views

Changing timezones with historic forex data (Interactive Brokers API IBPy)

I would like to be able to change the timezone for my requests to the IB API, how can I do this? I am writing in Python, and thus use the IBPy wrapper found here. How to reproduce the problem: ...
4
votes
1answer
129 views

GARCH volatility modeling, squared returns, and convergence

After reading some more of Volatility Trading, I decided to try to make a simple volatility model using daily log returns of an ETF I follow. It turns out "simple" is sort of relative. Unfortunately, ...
1
vote
3answers
122 views

Python everywhere but where do they execute orders?

About every introduction I've read about automatic trading writes about how well python is suited for the task. But looking around, I've been able to find just one brooker, Oanda, which has a python ...
1
vote
0answers
50 views

Constructing Swap Curve from LIBOR

Say I'm considering a long maturity fixed rate swap, for instance 20 years paid semi annually. Now I want to find the fixed rate for this hypothetical swap. I understand that this fixed rate is going ...
2
votes
1answer
47 views

Where to find historical time series data for number of new investor accounts

I am examining the impact of investor sentiment on the probability of stock market crises. I am constructing a composite measure of investor sentiment according to the methodology used in this paper ...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

How to measure the real interest rate using the consumer price index

I am examining how investor sentiment affects the probability of stock market crises. I am using methodology similar to this paper https://ideas.repec.org/p/dij/wpfarg/1110304.html. One of the ...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Discount curve from spot rates for bond pricing

I have a bond with the following cash flow and maturity: ...
1
vote
1answer
121 views

Understanding Yang-Zhang Volatility Estimator

I am using TTR in R and I am trying to understand the Yang Zhang volatility estimator. The following equations seem to imply a single value: $$ \sigma = \sqrt{{\sigma_o^2}+k\sigma_c^2+(1-k)\sigma_{rs}...
1
vote
2answers
40 views

Unemployment data and bond futures

All other things being equal, why would rising unemployment data lead to (a trend) of increasing bond futures? Is the line of thinking that bond futures prices have the same relationship with ...
1
vote
1answer
69 views

Papers on temporary price impact

Can anyone recommend papers that model how long temporary price impact last when you buy / sell a trade? This would fall under the TCA realm (Trade Cost Analysis). Thank you.
3
votes
0answers
65 views

Calculating the CVA of a Forward Contract

I am having trouble calculating the CVA of a forward contract. The question is presented below Question: There exists a long forwards position underlying on gold with 2 years remaining. The ...
1
vote
2answers
57 views

How to apply the CAPM to 6 stocks from different markets?

I would like to apply the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) for selecting proportions of 6 different stocks. In introductory books, the CAPM model assumes that there is one market index (e.g. the S&...
3
votes
1answer
140 views

Monte Carlo and PDE results are different for a Call Option!

Okay so this might be a fairly trivial question but I'm having an issue with valuing a call option using both a Monte Carlo method and a PDE method. When I started I first used the parameters: Spot =...
3
votes
1answer
72 views

How does financial institutions value European options in practice?

I am a little bit confused, or uninformed more truthfully, regarding how option pricing (Europeans only in this case) are handled in real life. Up to now I have acquired some theoretical knowledge of ...
4
votes
0answers
77 views

Block bootstrap to synthesize asset prices

I have a few basic questions on block bootstrapping on a financial time series ('TS'). Assuming my trade universe consists of 10 stocks, I would like to create a set of synthetic prices for all 10 ...
4
votes
2answers
82 views

Is it possible to defend a Computer Science master thesis by writing a project about quantitative finance?

What are features and examples of computational finance (financial computing) problems (for thesis project in Master in Computer Science)? Is it possible to defend Computer Science master thesis by ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views

How was money made from bond yield convergence?

I'm currently reading a book which provides examples of how hedge funds employed a global macro trading strategy in the past to generate significant returns. Once such example is the convergence of ...
3
votes
1answer
86 views

How to compute 30/60/90-day Implied Volatility?

I want to calculate the 30/60/90/180 day 100% moneyness implied volatility for a stock. I think I know how to do it but would like to share my thought processes with the group to verify I'm on the ...
1
vote
2answers
70 views

Sharpe Ratio and your annualization

My question is related on this How to annualize Sharpe Ratio? but is a bit different. Under assumpion of IID returns, if excess return is positive, the SR increase over time horizon, with factor $\...
3
votes
1answer
34 views

Consensus Forecast Data for NFP

Does anybody know where I can get historical consensus forecast data for Non-forma Payroll (NFP)? Or any forecast data for NFP. Thanks,
2
votes
1answer
65 views

How do I calculate the probability of a short option position expiring worthless?

I want to be able to determine the probability of a short option position (call or put) expiring worthless. Don't know where to start but I see probabilities derived from the greeks on some web sites?...
1
vote
0answers
60 views

How to calculate the theta of a bond?

For calculating P&L from interest rate risk, we often use PV01 to estimate the day over day P&L by multiplying PV01 with a change in curve. Is there any approach to calculate theta P&L in ...
1
vote
0answers
42 views

Problems in computing VaR with GARCH-GPD-copula approach

I use a time-varying Gaussian copula (with GARCH-filtered standardized residuals modeled semiparametrically with Gaussian kernel interior and GPD tails, i.e. generalized pareto distributed) to ...
1
vote
1answer
41 views

Choosing an exchange rate in a macroeconomic panel data set

I am constructing an investor sentiment index to determine the impact of investor sentiment on stock market crises. I am following the methodology in this paper, http://121.192.176.75/repec/upload/...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

How to measure practically the performance of Venture Capital backed tech firms following an IPO?

I am currently writing a thesis about whether the fact that a tech firm backed by venture capital companies achieves higher returns following an IPO (Horizon of 3 years). I have about 800 tech ...
2
votes
1answer
141 views

How PCA is performed in the paper “Markov Models…”

can anyone explain in a bit detail on how PCA is performed in the paper "Markov Models for Commodity Futures: Theory and Practice" by Leif B. G. Andersen. I'm not clear on how the high dimension ...
5
votes
3answers
138 views

Cross Currency Swap pricing

I have seen two methods for calculating the value of a xccy swap - 1) Convert the future foreign payments to the base currency using forward FX rates, net with the base currency payments and ...
1
vote
1answer
37 views

Trinomial model for stock options with deterministic interest curve

I am implementing a basic trinomial model with constant volatility right now. I want to do an extension that does not take a constant riskfree rate as input, but interpolates between different given ...
3
votes
1answer
195 views

kalman filter update equation

Assume that futures price $F(t,T)$ follows the Ito process as described by the following stochastic process $$ln F(t,T)=lnF(0,T)+(Z_1(t)e^{-k(T-t)}+Z_2(t))-(1/4k)[(1-e^{-2kT})(h_1^2+h_2^2))+4h_1h_0(1-...
0
votes
1answer
121 views

Probability of Brownian motion particle touching barrier given path starts at $X_0$ and ends at a known $X_t$

I have been reading Su and Rieger's paper on barriers and from there have been able to work out the unconditional probability of the process $dXt = μ dt + σ dWt$ touching a down barrier $α$ to be $\...
1
vote
1answer
16 views

Roll convention applied to weekend swap maturity date

Suppose a swap is booked with maturity on June 19, 2016 (which is a Sunday). Accruals are adjusted according to the modified following roll convention and follow U.S. holidays. For the last cashflow ...
3
votes
1answer
54 views

Model reference price of Limit order book

first of all, the description of this Stackexchange forum says its for professionals or academics. I'm doing a lot of self studying and with that I was able to understand some white papers but still I'...
1
vote
0answers
48 views

Programming language to compliment Finance degree [closed]

I've read a few questions regarding this, but want some new (more recent) opinions. I'm in the process of pursuing a degree in Finance, complimented with some Math and a sprinkle of Computer Systems. ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

Outlier removal, issue with TSO function

I'm trying to detect outliers within a financial time series which represents the ratio of cash distributions to equity holders as a percentage operating earnings for the period. Visual inspection ...
0
votes
0answers
58 views

The difference between the binomial model and monte carlo simulation

In my project I have focused on the least squares method by Longstaff and Schwartz to find the lower bound of the American put option. I also focused on the dual method to find the upper bound of the ...
3
votes
0answers
96 views

What is the most stable, non-trivial dependence structure in finance?

The highest rated answer to the question on What concepts are the most dangerous ones in quantitative finance work? is this one: Correlation Correlations are notoriously unstable in ...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Where can be found the tick size list for stocks traded in NASDAQ and NYSE?

Answering this question is relevant to assess the quality of a time series in order to observe whether the data vendor applies some rounding to the data or is more decimal are present than the actual ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

How to convert Jensen's Alpha from monthly to quarterly observations

I am being puzzled while calculating jensen's alpha for single stocks. I have monthly returns data and have calculated alpha for each stock on a monthly basis (used 36-month rolling window for beta ...
1
vote
1answer
48 views

How should I understand expiration dates?

The following is an excerpt from Introduction to the Mathematics of Finance by Roman: Expiration Dates The last trading day of an option is the third Friday of the expiration month and the ...
1
vote
1answer
50 views

Implied Expected Stock Return from European Option Prices

We can calculate the expected stock return (under the measure $Q$) from at-the-money ($K=S_t$) option prices as: $$E\left(\frac{S_T-S_t}{S_t}\right)=\frac{e^{rT}}{S_t}(C_t-P_t)$$ The result is ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

NOK NOWA overnight day count

The NOK overnight index NOWA is defined as: Reported interest rates shall be calculated as nominal annual rates for the actual number of days in the year ahead (365 or 366). (The percentage ...
3
votes
0answers
57 views

Kalman vs simple OLS

I am studying how some local and global variables (x and alpha) affects a local variable y have the following regression $y_{it} = \sum_{j} \beta_{ij} x_{itj}+\sum_j \delta_{ij}\alpha_{jt}+\epsilon$ ...
2
votes
0answers
53 views

What is the unconditional variance for a GARCH model?

I want to use a Matlab script to calculate Heston Nandi GARCH prices. I found an appropriate script online and it asks for the "unconditional variance" as an input. How do I calculate the appropriate ...
4
votes
2answers
254 views

Brexit implied probability

It is possible to bet on the Brexit e.g. on this page: https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/british/eu-referendum/uk-european-referendum/220800266/ The quotes are 8/15 for remain, and ...
3
votes
1answer
109 views

How to derive an option price for an asset with these dynamics?

Assuming my underline asset price follows the process: $$d\ln (F_{t,T})=-(1/2)\sigma ^2e^{-2\lambda(T-t)}dt+\sigma e^{-\lambda(T-t)}dB_t $$ How should I derive an option price formula?
1
vote
2answers
31 views

I need a low volatility asset that gives an interest/dividen [closed]

I have some cash that needs to sit on an account for some time (less then a year, where I will withdraw an amount every month). I need them in a fixed price/low volatility asset that gives an interest ...

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