4
votes
1answer
90 views

justification of square root process

In finance, many stochastic processes $X(t)$ are defined via \begin{equation} dX = \text{(some drift term)} dt + \sigma X^\gamma dW_t \end{equation} with $\gamma = 1/2$ (for instance the Heston model ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

What is some book that is complete and easy but hard enough to serve as prerequisite for asset pricing and portfolio choice theory?

What is some book that is complete and easy but hard enough to serve as prerequisite for asset pricing and portfolio choice theory by kerry back? I wonder how come a beginning graduate textbook is so ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Where to download Earnings Conference Call transcripts?

Is there any places (like EDGAR) that I can download Earnings Conference Call transcripts in bulk? Thanks.
3
votes
1answer
119 views

Computation of Expectation

This question has so long preoccupied my mind.Please help me to solve it. Question: Assume $X_t$ described by the following stochastic differential equation $$dX_t^{\,\alpha}=\alpha X_t^{\,\alpha} ...
0
votes
2answers
64 views

How to get list of all symbols in fred database?

I am trying to query every single series in the fred database using r. I have checked out both the quantmod and fImport packages, and they work fine, though it seems that quantmod fits my use a bit ...
2
votes
3answers
139 views

Intuitive Explanation for Volatility Smile for Equity

I am trying to understand the intuitive reasoning for why volatility is more for deep OTM/ITM put/call then ATM..(why Simles for equity) Why ATM will not have more volatility as deep OTM/ITM option ...
2
votes
4answers
176 views

Why square root of volatility in Heston model?

Why do we model it as sqrt root of v(t)? Is that because we don't want the volatility to go negative? If this is the case, can we model it as square of v(t)?
0
votes
1answer
36 views

What P&L netting should one use when a strategy has trades in two different geographic locations?

I am familiar with the FIFO methodology of netting buys and sells to obtain a realized P&L and outstanding position. Suppose there's a strategy which runs in two different places A, and B and ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

Settlement/Spot/(bid ask spread) ratio

Are there any studies on the average difference or ratio between Settlement (execution price) and the Spot price dependant on lot size. I'm looking for a function such as ...
-3
votes
2answers
40 views

Approximating the IV of an underlying from Individual Options IV

Is it possible to get a calculation of IV from the volatility on components of the options chain? EG I have this data: ...
2
votes
1answer
86 views

Evaluation of the semi-closed Heston pricing formula for call options

I'd like to know, how the integral part of the semi-closed Heston pricing formula for call options can be simulated for a given set of model parameters. Monte Carlo simulations shoud work for this ...
5
votes
2answers
224 views

How does one estimate the probability of the Fed increasing its benchmark rate based on Fed funds futures?

How was this 67% probability calculated from Fed funds futures? Fed funds futures show a 67 percent chance the central bank will increase its benchmark rate by year-end from virtually zero, ...
2
votes
2answers
130 views

How to interpret Realized Volatility and TSRV using R

I am looking at some high frequency data and I would like to know how to interpret and compare Realized volatility (RV) and Two Scale Realized Volatility (TSRV). References below. Given X is the log ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

Does it make sense to interpret autocorrelation and box test on 5 data points?

I am trying to see if after I trade a stock the price movements at 2, 5, 7, 10, 30 and 60 seconds after exhibit any autocorrelation. Below I have the returns from my trade price to the trade 2,5,7,10 ...
0
votes
0answers
83 views

Monte Carlo, convexity and Risk-Neutral ZCB Pricing

I've built a simplistic Excel monte carlo model to price a zero-coupon bond, but it came up with a slightly unepxected result so I wanted to confirm whether my maths is just a little rusty or my model ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Performance analysis for a changing portfolio

I am trying to do a performance analysis of an investment in five different funds (A to E). I am investing a fixed amount at each fund (say 10m in A, 20m in B, 10m in C, 20m in D, 10m in E) but the ...
2
votes
0answers
68 views

Calculating Net Annualized Return on LendingClub historical data

I am interested in the formula LendingClub provides as their measure of "Net Annualized Return": $\big(1 + \frac{\sum_{i=1}^N{((I_i + L_i - S_i - C_i + R_i) / P_i) ...
-1
votes
1answer
22 views

What is wrong in my investment calculation [closed]

I am thinking to start investing monthly and i am trying to calculate my investment using excel with a compound interest of 5% monthly plus addition of certain amount. First month investment is 10000 ...
1
vote
1answer
74 views

Geometric Brownian Motion - Why Sqrt(dt)? [closed]

I was going to simulate a geometric brownian motion in matlab, when I recognized that I didnt fully understand the underlying Wiener process. Following the instuctions here I am starting from the ...
0
votes
1answer
17 views

Intrepreting the Capital Market Line plot

I am looking at plots of the Security Market (SML) line and Capital market line (CML). The X axis is the beta for the SML and Standard deviation for CML; the y axis is labeled with excess return. ...
0
votes
4answers
76 views

analytic formula for the value of an American put option

It seems to be a foolish question but I can't take my mind off from , Is it true that there is no analytic formula for the value of an American put option on a non-dividend-paying stock (or a divident ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Programmer new to the quant world - learning material request [duplicate]

So I am a programmer in Uni and was looking for all types of resources to learn about quantitative analysis techniques from: Podcasts. Videos. Tutorials. Books. Lectures. Examples. All of these ...
1
vote
3answers
150 views

Latency and Delays across Exchanges

I have recently come across this paper by Battalio et al. "Can Brokers Have it all? On the Relation between Make Take Fees & Limit Order Execution Quality" and realized how little I know about the ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

Texts on the Generalized Method of Moments

I was looking for a book that could explain me well the Generalized Method of Moments, its mathematical nuances, and even have a look to the empirical side, maybe with some guided exercises with Stata ...
2
votes
2answers
159 views

Real world monte-carlo (P-measure)

Consider the 2 following approaches to pricing a security: Monte-carlo ($\mathbb{Q}$-measure) $\begin{equation} C = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{n} e^{-rT} max(S_i(t) - K, 0) \end{equation}$ Monte-carlo ...
1
vote
1answer
73 views

Vega in Heston / Bates Model

Just a question regarding "convention": Is the Vega in Heston / Bates model the sensitivity with regards to $\sqrt v_0$ or a term of $\sqrt v_0$ and $\theta$ (Long term variance)? Regards
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Broker or source of intraday futures data for a python API?

I am looking for a broker that offers a python API for downloading historical intraday data on futures. So far I have only seen Interactive Brokers and Tradestation. Are there some other brokers ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

Why is CSA currency OIS rate used in discounting instead of local currency OIS?

I have been struggling to understand the logic behind cross currency OIS discounting (where cash flows happen in different currencies than the collateral is paid). I will illustrate my question ...
4
votes
0answers
124 views

Markov-Switching Multifractal and FX Rates

Is there a better model than Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM) for detecting regime shifts in FX rates across multiple time horizons? I am especially interested in the different aspects of the ...
2
votes
0answers
59 views

How does one simulate intraday strategies which don't end up flat at the close?

I ran into this trying to simulate trading interlisted names between the NYSE and the TSX. Depending on my strategy parametrization it would sometimes end up with a significant short or long dollar ...
2
votes
3answers
98 views

How free are we in risk-neutral distributions?

Suppose we do not have a particular pricing model, we have just a frictionless market with constant interest rate (say $0$), and some traded stock $S$ which does not pay dividends. For any expiry $T$ ...
0
votes
1answer
137 views

Which distribution do I get?

Let's assume the stock moves according to a classic Black-Scholes model, and makes a proportional jump with an unknown proportion. Say, it is either +1% or -3% of the stock value, and we know for sure ...
0
votes
1answer
35 views

Should earnings be modelled normally or lognormally?

I am having difficulty deciding whether a company's earnings should be modelled normally or lognormally. If we consider two arguments: (i) The earnings of a company are the returns on the assets of ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

What's the risk-neutral expectation of the arithmetic average of stock price?

All Black-Scholes assumptions apply ($y$ is yield): what's $E(A_T), E(A_T^2)$ and $Var(A_T)$ where $A_T=\frac{\int_0^T S_tdt}{T}$ is the continuous-sampling arithmetic average of the stock price ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

Interpretation of Johansen cointegration test in R

I am using urca package of R for Johansen Cointegration test in 2 stocks datas( A and B. My question is very elementar, but have cause some problems for me. How I interpret the critical values, for ...
0
votes
1answer
59 views

Understanding Quandl Futures Data

I'm interested in learning how to adjust my own futures contracts for analysis. Unfortunately my quantitative classes didn't really go into this, and I would like to learn it on my own. The methods ...
2
votes
0answers
74 views

Simulation of Heston process

I am currently working on implementing Heston model in matlab for option pricing (in this case I am trying to price a European call) and I wanted to compare the results I obtain from using the exact ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

short term trading does it really add value and to whom?

Short term traders who flip their stocks within 5-10 minutes, do they really add value to any one? Text book answer is yes, they help price discovery and provide liquidity. Within that 5 minutes ...
2
votes
2answers
141 views

Why are Quantquote historical trades different vom ActiveTick historical trades

I bought quantquote.com historical data of AAPL on second basis. To comapre I also got activetick.com For activetick I used the historical trading API. If you look at around 15:13:53 you see that ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

Risk neutral pricing formula justification in incomplete markets [duplicate]

I'm having trouble understanding how to justify the use of the risk-neutral pricing formula $V(t) = \mathbb{E}^{*}[e^{r(T-t)}H(S_{T})|\mathcal{F}_{t}]$ in models which are characterized by ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

How was the adj.close for RIG calculated after Transocen - GobalSantafe merge

Yahoo's algorithm for adj.close calculation is pretty clear, as explained in the link. Said that, however, the values for RIG till 2007-11-26 don't follow such rules, as shown here. Indeed, if one ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

Modeling EOD ETFs price returns together or individually?

Let's say you want to model the next day price returns for a set of US equities large cap ETFs (a relatively homogenous group). Would you model all the ETFs as a single, 15 years data set, or each ETF ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

negative yield (interest rate) and Option Pricing [duplicate]

If i have negative yield (interest rate) can I still proceed with Standard Black and Scholes or Simple Binomial Model? any Adjustment is required to the model? how does it effect the pricing model in ...
2
votes
1answer
60 views

Expert System for Credit Scoring

I am working on a credit scoring model for a credit without a garanty (consumer credit). I'm looking for a methodology for an expert system for credit scoring decision that doesn't base on ...
0
votes
3answers
71 views

What's the disadvantage of using linear programming for portfolio optimization?

I am a MFE student and we have project on the Markowitz portfolio optimization problem. i am wondering how much impact there will be, if I use a simpler linear optimizater instead of a quadratic ...
3
votes
1answer
56 views

French Data from daily to monthly returns

Ken French on his website publishes daily, monthly and yearly returns for the Fama-French 3 Factors model which are excess market (Rm-Rf), small-minus-big (SMB) and high-minus-low (HML) returns. I ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Values for Heston Model Parameters

Under the Heston model, the stock price and volatility follow the processes \begin{align*} dS & = \mu S dt + \sqrt{V} S dW^1, \\ dV & = \kappa (\theta - V)dt + \sigma \sqrt{V} dW^2, \\ dW^1 ...
3
votes
1answer
104 views

Compare events effect on stock prices from different time periods

I’m going to test for the effect corporate credit rating announcements have on stock prices through different economic climates (good times vs. bad times). I want to research whether or not the stock ...
1
vote
1answer
77 views

Is the Black-Scholes model price a bijection on the interval of static arbitrage free prices

Consider some stock with observed price $S$ and a call option on the stock with value $C$, time to maturity $T$ and strike $K$. Assume there is a constant, continuously compounded interest rate $r$. ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Identifiability of a state space model (Dynamic Linear Model)

Take a general linear Gaussian state space model (SSM)(aka Dynamic Linear Model DLM): $X_{t+1}=FX_t + V_t$ $Y=HX_t+W_t$ $V_t \sim N(0,Q)$ $W_t \sim N(0,R)$ I am interested in the ...

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