12
votes
1answer
469 views

What time are Bloomberg Open Symbology Files updated daily?

Does anyone know what time the Bloomberg Open Symbology precanned files are updated every day? I am planning on upating my view of them at 9 AM EST every morning. Furthermore, will the files for ...
8
votes
2answers
1k views

What are some quantitative approaches to value investment?

As a developer and statistician, I consider value investing to be a statistically sound investment strategy. I've read a few books on the area but I am still not clear on valuation measures. So I ...
5
votes
1answer
443 views

What are some simple algorithms for hedging vanilla bonds?

My team will soon be implementing an auto hedger for our bond trading desk which will be integrated tightly with our risk application and I am interested in researching how this may work. Any advice ...
5
votes
4answers
611 views

Are there any brokerages which use URL-based web APIs?

We already have a list of brokerages that provide apis. What about brokerages that provide web apis? For example, Collective2 has a url-based web api for entering trades. Are there any brokerages ...
15
votes
1answer
992 views

Portfolio optimization with monte carlo sampling from predictive distribution

Let's say we have a predictive distribution of expected returns for N assets. The distribution is not normal. We can interpret the dispersion in the distribution as reflection of our uncertainty (or ...
13
votes
3answers
975 views

How does one analyze diversification if stock prices follow a Cauchy distribution?

How does diversification actually lead to less variance in a portfolio? I'm looking for a formal reason why this is the case. There are a number of explanations I have been able to find, but they make ...
2
votes
3answers
2k views

Why are exotic options most popular in FX?

I was reading Derman's latest blog post on Vanna Volga pricing, which, according to the linked Wikipedia article, is used mostly for pricing exotic options on foreign exchange (FX). This Willmott ...
5
votes
1answer
518 views

Historical Hedge Fund Index Data

Can anyone point me to some Hedge Fund index data - daily levels of the HFRX or something similar, that is available for free and has history back to 2007? The data available through my broker seems ...
28
votes
5answers
4k views

How do I graphically represent the evolution of a covariance matrix over time?

I am working with a set of covariance matrices evaluated at various points in time over some history. Each covariance matrix is $N\times N$ for $N$ financial time-series over $T$ periods. I would ...
9
votes
3answers
2k views

How do I calculate the skewness of a portfolio of assets?

I need to calculate the skewness of a portfolio consisting of 6 assets. I know that for that I would need the co-skewness matrix between the assets. Does anybody know the formula for co-skewness or ...
4
votes
1answer
331 views

Will price levels fall even though money supply increases?

Given this equation, according to the article at this location , which provides the following equation as an argument, the author claims that he predicts "deflation" in the last paragraph of the ...
5
votes
0answers
580 views

Alternative to Block Bootstrap for Multivariate Time Series

I currently use the following process for bootstrapping a multivariate time series in R: Determine block sizes - run the function b.star in the np package which produces a block size for each series ...
2
votes
1answer
200 views

How to quantify the impact of management cost on return?

Suppose funds X and Y are the same but X has 0.25% higher management cost. Suppose we are analyzing a 2 year interval. The simple models with discrete/continuous interval -assumptions are not really ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

How do I backtest a convertible bond arbitrage strategy in R/Matlab?

Since no one was able to answer my previous question, I am going to try to backtest a modern convertible bond arbitrage strategy myself (perhaps I'll report the results back here, if you're lucky :)). ...
7
votes
1answer
495 views

What methods do I need to learn in order forecast asset price movements?

What are the standard models used to forecast asset price movements? For example, if I were to trade an option, what model would I use in conjunction with option pricing models to forecast the stock ...
4
votes
2answers
665 views

Use Trades as Input for PerformanceAnalytics

I'd like to use the PerformanceAnalytics R package to view various metrics from a list of trades with profit values. From looking at the documentation from the PerformanceAnalytics package that most ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

Basket equity swap

What are the advantages of buying basket equity swaps derivative compared to single equity swap? Will correlation play a role in basket equity swap? Thanks in advance
9
votes
2answers
2k views

How can I learn about the quantitative aspects of market making in illiquid single stock options?

I would like to learn more about the possible ways of doing quantitative research regarding option market making. In particular, while the mainstream index option market may be very liquid, the ...
4
votes
1answer
529 views

What research is available on the performance of convertible bond arbitrage models?

The basic principles of convertible bond arbitrage have been clear at least since Thorp and Kassouf (1967). For those who are not familiar, the arbitrage entails purchasing a convertible bond and ...
7
votes
2answers
2k views

robust portfolio optimization re-balancing with transaction costs

The optimal re-balancing strategy takes account of factors including i) objective function, ii) current portfolio weights, iii) expected return vector containing updated views/alpha forecasts, iv) ...
30
votes
6answers
5k views

Which approach dominates? Mathematical modeling or data mining?

According to my current understanding, there is a clear difference between data mining and mathematical modeling. Data mining methods treat systems (e.g., financial markets) as a "black box". The ...
9
votes
5answers
7k views

Why would an investor trade a variance swap over a volatility swap?

Why would an investor trade a variance swap over a volatility swap? Is it simply related to the leverage involved in a Var (i.e. sigma-squared) or is there something else to it?
9
votes
3answers
6k views

How should I calculate the implied volatility of an American option in a real-time production environment?

There are many models available for calculating the implied volatility of an American option. The most popular method, employed by OptionMetrics and others, is probably the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model. ...
9
votes
3answers
2k views

What is the ideal ratio of in-sample length to out-of-sample length?

Suppose you are running a portfolio of quantitative strategies and that you develop a new potential strategy to be added to the mix. Assume for simplicity that the new strategy is independent of the ...
5
votes
5answers
2k views

What are the advantages of switching platforms/languages between strategy development and implementation?

I am interested in coding a medium frequency (trading over minutes to hours, holding for days to weeks) quantitative trading strategy and trading it with Interactive Brokers. I have seen many people ...
4
votes
1answer
409 views

How to model the risk of a CFD

I'm struggling to understand why the risk on an equity CFD is not the same as for the corresponding equity. The RiskMetrics FAQ mentions two ways to model a CFD, but it does not explain why this is ...
6
votes
1answer
560 views

How to calculate equivalent futures position?

Let's say I have the following two positions: Buy ATM SPX call, expires in 1 month Sell ATM SPX put, expires in 1 month This creates a synthetic futures position. How do I calculate how many ...
8
votes
2answers
2k views

How we can forecast stock prices using chaos theory?

I saw an article in which the writer had mentioned that he used chaos theory to predict stock prices and ended up with a profit over 30%. Chaos theory is basically about finding patterns called ...
6
votes
2answers
412 views

Efficiency vs. Robustness - To use a constant or not in single factor time-series regression?

Arbitrage pricing theory states that expected returns for a security are linear combination of exposures to risk factors and the returns on these risk factors. Betas, or the exposures of the security ...
4
votes
1answer
3k views

How to replicate a digital call option

Call Option S=100 K=100 Payoff=1 (option is not available) How can i replicate this (payoff) with calls and puts with strike prices with multiples of 5$ Thanks for help
15
votes
5answers
4k views

Free paper trading site with an API

I've got a quanitative trading model I want to test out in the real stock market. Right now, I'm writing some code to pull "live" quotes from yahoo, feed them to my model, and keep track of the ...
-3
votes
2answers
736 views

Market Data For Project

I'm looking to find a service that will allow me to download historical data on stocks, bonds, options, futures, indices, etc and also to pick up new files either on a daily or weekly basis. I've been ...
7
votes
2answers
312 views

Obtaining characteristics of stochastic model solution

I want to use the following stochastic model $$\frac{\mathrm{d}S_{t}}{ S_{t}} = k(\theta - \ln S_{t}) \mathrm{d}t + \sigma\mathrm{d}W_{t}\quad (1)$$ using the change in variable $Z_t=ln(S_t)$ we ...
6
votes
2answers
204 views

Reference material about Quantified Asset Allocation?

I am looking for papers that would describe asset allocation with geometry, group theory, markov chains or things like that. Keeping asset allocation in a range is easy but to keep it more precisely ...
-1
votes
1answer
950 views

Please Explain the Debt to China [closed]

Can someone please explain to me how we are in debt with China? Every weblog, article, journal I read have people in the comments going insane about how we "owe China monies" and "China owns the US" ...
5
votes
1answer
4k views

Annualzing the log of daily returns riddle

Two popular ways to measure returns are Arithmetic returns and Log returns. Let's define arithmetic (simple period) returns as: P(t) - P(t-1) / P(t-1). Let's define log return as Ln( P(t)/P(t-1) ) or ...
9
votes
1answer
2k views

Easiest and most accessible derivation of Black-Scholes formula

I am preparing a QuantFinance lecture and I am looking for the easiest and most accessible derivation of the Black-Scholes formula (NB: the actual formula, not the differential equation). My favorite ...
5
votes
2answers
1k views

Market Value of a CDS

I need to model the market value of CDS in a portfolio. My current approach is to calculate the present value of the future spread payments - does anybody have a better idea to solve the problem? ...
8
votes
4answers
691 views

What are the risk factors in analysing strategies?

What do you think of strategies displayed on timelyportfolio.blogspot.com? I really like the fact that there is some code to reproduce the strategies, but they seem very elementary because he does ...
6
votes
4answers
987 views

Which data service to buy for redistributable data?

This is a follow-up to my previous question regarding anyone whom wanted to 'donate' data. So far no one has stepped up (learning more about buying and selling data, I realize that I'm going to have ...
4
votes
1answer
144 views

Where can I find the standard discount curves for the standard CDS model?

Where can I find the standard discount curves for the standard CDS model? In particular I'm keen to see if ZAR is a supported currency yet...
8
votes
1answer
490 views

QuantLib and exact numerical simulation

I've just downloaded quantlib and started playing around with it, and it looks like it's designed primarily to use Euler discretizations for everything -- so far as I can tell, there's not even a ...
9
votes
1answer
266 views

Is there a standard / methodology to determine and grade the quality of OHLC data?

Inputs are most important to any decision making. For strategy backtesting, the OHLC data is one of the most inputs. So to ensure the correctness and integrity of OHLC data, we have checks on the ...
3
votes
3answers
12k views

How to calculate expected return based on historical data for Mean Variance Analysis

I've recently started reading some books on asset allocation and portfolio theory but I don't work in the field and don't have much knowledge yet. So I've been reading up on mean-variance analysis ...
6
votes
2answers
245 views

How to represent constraints for optimization problems in a data model?

I am at the moment writing a program focusing on asset allocation and I am thinking about how I should represent my constraints in the data model. The first approach that came to mind was to define ...
3
votes
1answer
335 views

FX option history

I am testing my model and I am interested in options prices on EUR|USD for Jan, 2011. The history can be even daily - but I have never had a deal with fx options, so I don't know where start to look ...
15
votes
4answers
8k views

Usage of NoSQL storage in Finance

I am wondering if anyone has used NoSQL (mongodb, cassandra, etc.) to store and analyze data. I tried searching the web but was not able to see if the financial firms had gotten in to using nosql ...
11
votes
3answers
3k views

Papers about backtesting option trading strategies

I am looking for all kinds of research concerning option trading strategies. With that I mean papers that publish results on different option trading strategies properly backtested with real-world ...
1
vote
1answer
273 views

Reading recommendation on using statistical analysis in online fraud prevention [closed]

Can you please recommend good reads on statistical analysis related to online fraud detection and prevention of account abuse?
3
votes
0answers
161 views

Benefits of Diversification and Rebalancing with negatively skewed leptokurtic return distribution?

I am missing tools to investigate this issue. I am trying to solve this question here. What kind of issues should you acknowledge over the naive diversification/rebalancing with normal distribution? ...

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