# All Questions

78 views

### Trying to understand the sign of Theta

I guess this a pretty easy question to answer, but I'm not able to get the intuition despite reading the concept a couple of times. So, the Greek Theta is almost always negative, except for when an ...
74 views

131 views

### Bayesian logit model in Psychometric or Behavioural Testing for Credit Scoring in Developing Countries

A lot of parameters in one title, I know. So there's credit scoring but not using credit history. Then there's using a Bayesian logit model. Then there's doing so in a developing country such as Haiti ...
65 views

### Long-term proportion of convex and concave strategies in artificial financial markets

In their classic paper "Dynamic Strategies for Asset Allocation" Perold and Sharpe state: "That convex and concave strategies are mirror images of one another tells us that the more demand there ...
200 views

### Forecast of ARMA-GARCH model in R

I managed to forecast a GARCH model yesterday and run a Monte Carlo simulation on R. Nevertheless, I can't do the same with an ARMA-GARCH. I tested 4 different method but without achieving an ARMA-...
136 views

### Simulation of Heston process

I am currently working on implementing Heston model in matlab for option pricing (in this case I am trying to price a European call) and I wanted to compare the results I obtain from using the exact ...
129 views

### Identifiability of a state space model (Dynamic Linear Model)

Take a general linear Gaussian state space model (SSM)(aka Dynamic Linear Model DLM): $X_{t+1}=FX_t + V_t$ $Y=HX_t+W_t$ $V_t \sim N(0,Q)$ $W_t \sim N(0,R)$ I am interested in the ...
93 views

### Problem with Naive Bootstrapping (US Government Bonds)

I am using the formula here to determine the discount factor function and eventually the zero-coupon yields. I get the data for Coupons, Face Values and Closing Prices from Thomson Reuters, which I ...
57 views

### Time discretisations, FDM vs FEM

I am interested in adaptive mesh methods for numerical solution of PDEs with applications to finance. As part of a school project, I have been pricing vanilla European call and put options using 2D ...
107 views

### Can you tell me what this RBloomberg formula means?

I've been asked to re-create a spreadsheet that used RBloomberg using a different data source. But I'm having trouble figuring out exactly what one of the spreadsheet's formulas does. Can anyone tell ...
52 views

### replicating strategy three step binomial

I am having some trouble setting up a replicating strategy for a call option with a three step binomial model (discrete). I have no trouble doing this in a two step binomial model by backward ...
289 views

### GARCH modelling and forecasting

I have a few questions regarding GARCH modelling and forecasting and it would be great if someone could help me. I am modelling the log return of oil spot prices using various GARCH models: GARCH, ...
130 views

### Multivariate Itô's lemma

Hey guys I'm looking for worked examples who show how to apply Itô's lemma in several variables, starting from the very basics. Thank you in advance!
66 views

49 views

### Value-at-Risk Calculation with respect to the Capital Requirements

I want to calculate the Value-at-Risk at date $t$ in such a way that I minimize the capital requirements given as \begin{align} \text{CR}_{\,t+1\,:\,t+250} = \sum_{h=0}^{249}\max\left( -(3+k_{t})\...
51 views

### Show that in an arbitrage-free and non-redundant market a certain set is compact

Some notation: We consider a financial market with $d+1$ assets, the $0$-th asset is considered the risk-free asset, the others are the risky ones. The vector $\overline \pi \in \mathbb R^{d+1}$ ...
33 views

### Budget Constraint in Duffie's book

On Page 5 of Duffie's Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the budget-feasible set is defined as: $$X(q,e) = {e+D^T\theta \in R_+^s:\theta \in R^N, q\theta \leq 0}$$ Compared to Kerry Back's presentation of ...
148 views

### Modeling market sentiment and pricing options by volume, open interest

Are there any empirically-proven methods/formulas for weighting IV surfaces, pricing a discount/premium in an option, and/or adjusting any of the 1st- or 2nd-order Greeks for the magnitude (volume or ...
194 views

### Modified duration in multi-currency portfolio

I was thinking about how to figure aut duration for portfolio of bonds denominated in different currencies… I would like to compare sensitivity of portfolio to shift of yield with competitive ...
45 views

### Time between end of use of ticker symbol by one company and beginning of use by another?

I have a CRSP stock dataset that goes up to december 2013. I'm trying to append yahoo finance data to it in order to bring it up to the current day. However, there are ticker symbols that once ...
108 views

### forecasting trading costs with end of day data

I am trying to create a model that forecasts trading costs (using end of day data, so no intra day data). My trading cost (also called Implemented Shortfall (IS) is defined as such for a single stock, ...
90 views

### How to calibrate volatility surface for Interest Rate Cap&Floor pricing

I'm using Black model to do interest rate Cap & Floor pricing. The volatility is determined by using the bootstrapping methodology. However, afterwards, how should I do the calibration, or ...
103 views

### Calibration of Heston version of CIR

I'd like to calibrate a variant of Heston model for interest rates which is describe by this couple of SDE \begin{aligned}dr_t&=a(b-r_t)+\sqrt{r_t}\sigma_t dW_t^1 \\ d\sigma_t&=k(\theta-\...
113 views

### Empirical distribution function of overlapping time series data

If we model asset return volatility for periods of more than one (say more than one day) there is the square-root rule which holds true under some assumptions. The situation is more tricky if we look ...
29 views

### What does it mean to change the currency of a spread between bonds from 2 different countries?

On reuters I charted the spread between the 10yr US bond and the 10yr UK bond. It gives the me the option of choosing the currency. For just the standard spread(ie: yield(US)-yield(UK)) you select ...
73 views

### Why do leveraged and inverse leveraged WTI ETNs have this price relationship?

UWTI: 3x leveraged exposure to WTI DWTI: 3x leveraged inverse exposure to WTI The inverse relationship between these two symbols seems to trend toward the origin on a log-log plot (using log base 2)....
83 views

### Intraday versus daily volatility in slippage estimation

On page 21 of http://www.cims.nyu.edu/~almgren/papers/costestim.pdf Almgren has the formula \$\displaystyle{\text{Slippage} = \frac{1}{2}\gamma\sigma\frac{X}{V}\left(\frac{\Theta}{V}\right)^{\frac{1}{...
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46 views

### Charting order depth over time periods

I do a lot of analysis on order flow, tape reading, as it gives insight into what market participants want, or may be willing to do. In comparison, price charts show what happened, and technical ...
825 views

can I ask you where am I doing something wrong when downloading high-frequency (5-min) S&P 500 data ("USA500.IDX") from https://www.dukascopy.com/swiss/english/marketwatch/historical/ and when ...
73 views

### How to Handle Error in SEC Filings

Sometimes I see obvious errors in the 10-K or 10-Q filings that appear to go uncorrected in subsequent filings for the same period. For example, on June 9, 2014 Apple, Inc. did a 7-to-1 stock split. ...
137 views

### Calibration of Hull White One factor model in F.C.Park paper

I want to ask a question with reference to a paper from below link http://www.cmpr.co.kr/asset/research_material/implementing_interest_rate_models.pdf Minimization specified in Page 14: Mean ...
100 views

### Finding relative price strength as defined in CANSLIM stock picking methodology

I am wondering if there is any website that provides relative price strength as is defined in CAN SLIM stock picking methodology. For the CAN SLIM difinition I am looking at this article: http://www....
114 views

### Non-Negative Matrix Factorization - Estimating the Mean

How do you estimate the mean in a Non-Negative Matrix Factorization framework? It is obvious and well known how to estimate the covariance matrix, how ever I also need the estimated mean. I'm ...
137 views

### Is Geometric Brownian Model suitable for long term price forecast?

I was thinking of using Geometric Brownian Motion to forecast future prices of timber (say one variable, the stumpage price of sawtimber). I tested the time series with Augmented Dickey-Fuller test ...