1
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0answers
30 views

Use of Black-Scholes Model on Guaranteed Fund Investment

I am stuck with a revision question at home on Black-Scholes pricing model. The question is on a fund manager selling one unit of the fund to a customer for S(0) at time 0 and then guaranteeing at ...
1
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0answers
54 views

Method to combine trading signals to achieve higher sharpe

There are a few thread with the question of methods to combine different trading signals/strategies. But is there any method that can ensure that by combining two signals, we can achieve a better ...
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0answers
46 views

Here is an approach for measuring Data Snooping; is it new?

I came up with an approach for measuring data snooping, or overfitting. My question is whether this approach was published and expanded-on already, or is it new? My approach relies on the observation ...
1
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0answers
68 views

How to hedge a long stock with the corresponding volatility ETF

Let us say I want to establish a market neutral position. So if I buy 50 shares of stock (SPY) and I want to delta hedge, I sell an ATM covered call. So that brings the position delta to 0. Now, I ...
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0answers
41 views

How to value a Binary Option using market data?

Is there a way to calculate the price of a binary option (i.e., an option that pays out 1 dollar when the stock price hits $x$ amount) using market call/put option prices, forward prices, etc. for a ...
1
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0answers
25 views

How to estimate constrained a constrained VAR(1) with MATLAB?

Suppose I want to estimate the following VAR(1) model: $$ Y_t = \mu + \Phi Y_{t-1} + \varepsilon_t $$ where $Y_t=(y_{1t}, y_{2t},…,y_{kt})'$, $\mu=(\mu_1,…,\mu_{k})’$ and $\Phi$ a matrix of ...
1
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0answers
26 views

Why the growth of the American Economy is going to cause the Fed to raise interest rates?

Due the growth of the American economy the Fed have published that interest rates are likely to increase. Why is that the response of the Fed?
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0answers
42 views

Time-Varying Copulas (GAUSS)

Could anyone suggest me how to begin with Time-varying Copulas or Stochastic Copulas? I'm looking for the GAUSS code, however it seems there are only MATLAB code available over the internet. I'm ...
1
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0answers
11 views

Annuity Duration Based on Closed Derivative is half of Effective Duration?

I am analyzing an annuity with a stub. I calculate the effective duration as (P(-10bps) - P(+10bps))/(2*Principal * (.001)) I then take the derivative of the standard annuity formula discounted by ...
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0answers
28 views

How to apply the chain rule for partial derivatives to transformations?

I'm currently working to solve the Black-Scholes model partial differential equation (it's a model for a.o. stock option prices). The Black-Scholes equation for a calloption C(S,t) is given by $ ...
1
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0answers
37 views

Comparing cost of two alternative given their distribution

I have distribution for cost of two alternative through Monte Carlo simulation. The distributions are not normal. Given the benefit of the two alternatives is the same but ungiven, I want to choose ...
1
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0answers
38 views

On a source for a mean-variance portfolio optimization result

In the context of a mean_variance framework consider an optimizing investor who chooses at time $T$ portfolio weights $w$ so as to maximize the quadratic objective function: $$U(w) = E[R_p] - ...
1
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0answers
42 views

Interpretation of Correlation Matrix

I have past data which is in vector form. The information shows the probabilities of a AAA rated company to migrate to another credit rating. So for example, (x1, x2, x3) has the probabilities of ...
1
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0answers
25 views

Convolution of inverse gaussian and power law distributions

I am trying to understand how the first passage time density of Brownian motion with drift is modified by the presence of waiting times that are distributed as a power law In other words, what is the ...
1
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0answers
49 views

Straddle neutral strategy

What does it mean to implement a delta-neutral strategy for straddle ? A straddle consists in buying a call and a put simultaneously, at the same date, on same underlying, with same maturity and ...
1
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0answers
31 views

Stock prices and probability

Lets say that the current price of a security is £245 , $\mu =5%$ and $\sigma=32%$ Assume that the natural logarithm of $\frac{S_{t +\delta t}}{S_t}$ is approximately normally distributed with mean ...
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0answers
44 views

Why random walk Metropolis Hasting algorithm works bad on GARCH(1,1) parameters estimation

I am trying to estimate the parameters of the GARCH(1,1) model with MCMC method, firstly, I read the paper: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/12985/1/MPRA_paper_12985.pdf Metropolis Hasting method is ...
1
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0answers
59 views

Volatility Surface Constituents, do's and dont's

Recently I have been working a lot with implied volatility and volatility surfaces. The basic idea is easy to follow: 1) Gather market prices of options at different (Strike,Expiry) 2) Calculate ...
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0answers
37 views

Convertible bonds market data

My question is twofold. First, what are the key informations used to describe a convertible bond market ? I'm thinking about market size, conversion rate, appropriate index, ... Second, where to ...
1
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0answers
26 views

Multi-objective optimization: Where to find qualified examples for portfolio management?

I am looking for qualified examples of multi-objective optimization applied to a portfolio management situation in non-normal markets. Where can I find one or more examples of such a multi-objective ...
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0answers
15 views

Non-overlapping ranges of HCNN' observables and of state transition function

In the artcicle Forecasting and Trading the High-Low Range of Stocks and ETFs with Neural Networks HCNN is used for forecasting of nine time-series, namely: returns of the lows returns of the highs ...
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0answers
31 views

What is the the correct treatment while short for the cash in lieu of a reverse split?

Long case: Assume I am Long 50 shares and there is a 2 for 3 reverse split. Let's denote the quantity of stock by x Prior to the split Portfolio is $-cash_0$ $+50x$ I am then at $-cash_0 +33x ...
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0answers
50 views

Fixed Income risk attribution in the historical simulation of a sovereign bond portfolio

We use historical simulation for risk analysis. I.e. for each bond there is a repricing of the form $$ P_j = PV(\text{yield curve in scenario } j), $$ where the yield curve is the zero rates curve of ...
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0answers
37 views

Should I use a correlation coefficient formula or a multiple regression formula?

I have an assignment dealing with the stock market and I'm a little lost. My instructions are to come up a method to create a score for a stock then compare the score against what the stock actually ...
1
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0answers
58 views

Value of an option to exchange an asset for another

I'm working out the examples in the paper "Changes of Numeraire, Changes of Probability Measure and Option Pricing", corollary 3. An option of exchanging asset 2 against asset 1 at time T, its time-0 ...
1
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0answers
83 views

Normalized price process $Z(t)=\frac{\Pi(t)}{B(t)}$

If an interest rate model with the following $P$-dynamics for the short rate. $$dr(t)=\mu(t,r(t))dt+\sigma(t,r(t))d\bar{W}(t)$$ Now consider a $T$-claim of the form $\chi = \Phi(r(T))$ with ...
1
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0answers
79 views

Stochastic Volatility CIR estimation

would anyone have a code (pref. Matlab or R) for any type of estimation (QML, GMM) not using option prices of a stochastic volatility model driven by a CIR process described below? \begin{equation} ...
1
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0answers
53 views

Get: Historic S&P500 Market Cap

I need the market cap of the S&P500 components on 2.6.2013. It should be easily downloadable via Bloomberg, but I dont have this databank. E.g. you could use ...
1
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0answers
61 views

Ibrokers: reqMktData extremely slow when adding tickers

I am trying to snap prices in R for the latest price for a list of stocks (around 150). When I snap them for 2 stocks, it's almost instantaneous: ...
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0answers
45 views

Jensen's alpha with timing activities

Why is Jensen’s Alpha not an appropriate measure of performance anymore, if the fund manager is a perfect market timer as stated for example in the Treynor-Mazuy-model or the Henriksson-Merton-model?
1
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0answers
68 views

Risk measures, Risk Management and Financial Risk Area

I'm currently searching material about market risk and I learned about coherent risk measures, VaR, CVaR (or expected shortfall), volatility. All that because I have to make a Financial Risk Area for ...
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0answers
45 views

How to compare market values with model values after calibration?

After calibration the G2++ model for interest (with swaption volatilities), I want to statistically test the quality of the calibration by comparing market to model values. What is the best way to ...
1
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0answers
24 views

Sharpe Ratio for loans

I am trying to calculate the sharpe ratio for a set of loans. These loans have already matured and I know if they were good or not: grades are the different grades of the loans. interest rate is the ...
1
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0answers
76 views

Review of Excel Stock Simulator

I am currently a senior in high school and I built a stock simulator using knowledge gained from a semester of AP Statistics. I was wondering if someone could tell me if my simulation is ...
1
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0answers
38 views

suitable benchmark to use for Sharpe ratio of power trading strategy

I have a algo which is trading a certain power contract. For calculating the Sharpe ration what would be a suitable benchmark to use?
1
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0answers
49 views

Opposite of hard to borrow?

If market participants are certain a stock will suffer a huge decline, the shares will become hard to borrow and an interest fee will be applied to borrow the stock. This interest fee eliminates the ...
1
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0answers
56 views

How to prepare data for superior predictive ability (SPA) test?

Can anyone please let me know how to prepare data to compute superior predictive ability (SPA) test in R? I am working on forecasting volatility in stock markets, the context is, I used ...
1
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0answers
59 views

Adjusting for your own orders in future backtests

I was asked this question in an interview and despite thinking about it for a while, I haven't been able to come up with a good answer. Suppose you have a strategy you are running where at certain ...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Total demand under logit model

The setting is simple, i.e. formula for demand of service/product is linear $$ d = \alpha - \beta p $$ where $ \alpha $ is maximum demand, $ \beta $ is some coefficient, and $ p $ is price. There ...
1
vote
0answers
22 views

What is the future value of a growing annuity with different periods for payment growth and monthly payments?

How can I modify the formula in this answer so that the frequency of payment growth is also a variable? For example, instead of payments growing by 2% each year I would like them to grow 2% every two ...
1
vote
0answers
61 views

GARCH parameters

I'm trying to estimate parameters of GARCH(p,q) model. I tried p=1, q=1 with t-distribution errors. Ljung-Box showed no correlation in residuals and squared residual. But the null hypothesis that ...
1
vote
0answers
91 views

Stationarity tests in the frequency domain for regression

Strict stationarity is the strongest form of stationarity. It means that the joint statistical distribution of any collection of the time series variates never depends on time. So, the mean, variance ...
1
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0answers
40 views

Price 3m libor autocap with LMM calibrated on 1y swaption data

I need to calculate a price of an autocap contract which is An autocap is similar to a cap, but at most γ ≤ β caplets can be exercised, and they have to be automatically exercised when in the ...
1
vote
0answers
179 views

Black Scholes - how to calculate delta with a vol skew

I am trying to calculate the delta of an option at different strike prices where the underlying has a pronounced implied volatility skew in order to correctly hedge an options strategy. Researching ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

Model-independent dynamic portfolio optimization techniques

For a problem where we need to optimize the portfolio based on the data, going for Markowitz MPT has the following advantage: we only have to estimate mean and covariance to find optimal weights. I'd ...
1
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0answers
83 views

Provide a bond pricing differential equation and invoke Feynman-Kac

Grateful for any assistance. Consider the process: $dZ=r(t)Z\,dt$ , where $r(t)$ is stochastic and $Z=Z(r,t;T)$ is a zero coupon bond. Provide a bond pricing differential equation and invoke ...
1
vote
0answers
105 views

PDE and Black Scholes problem

Consider Black Scholes problem $\frac{\partial V}{\partial t} + \frac{\sigma^2 S^2}{2}\frac{\partial^2V}{\partial S^2} + rS\frac{\partial V}{\partial S} -rV = 0$ with boundary condition $V(S,T)=f(S)$, ...
1
vote
0answers
51 views

Is it important to equalize the minimum price fluctuation in pairs trading?

For example, suppose we were trading a strategy which buys one Brent contract and sells one Gasoil contract. The minimum price fluctuation for a Brent contract is \$10, and the minimum price ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

PerformanceAnalytics and Annual Charting

I have seen a charts that look's like Is it possible to do something like this with PerformanceAnalytics or is there any other package for doing this? Thanks in advance
1
vote
0answers
75 views

run time error 424 in IB TWS Excel DDE API; failed to add combo orders

I'm using an Excel DDE to connect to Interactive Brokers TWS via their API 9.72 sample, excel 2013. When I tried to create a combo order, the rum error code 424 said "object required". It seems that ...

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