1
vote
0answers
54 views

proper choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion

Suppose I want to minimize certain risk sensitive cost. Is it a valid question to ask what is the proper (also in which sense) choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion ? ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

What is the distribution of stock splits?

I want to know how rare are splits more extreme than, say, 7:1 (and reverse splits similarly). An answer here points to announcements on Yahoo Finance, but apparently only monthly views. What is a ...
5
votes
1answer
210 views

Heat/Diffusion Equation

I am working on a problem where I have successfully reduced a version of Black Scholes to the Heat Equation and then shown the solution to be: $$u(x,t)=\frac{1}{2\sqrt{t\pi}}\int_{-\infty}^\infty{f(\...
6
votes
2answers
408 views

Why are we obsessed over normalizing financial data?

I have recently began work on some high frequency financial tick data. I have been told to 'normalize' the data as much as possible and run linear regressions through them. In fact, the data doesn't ...
3
votes
2answers
704 views

Inflation-Linked Bonds & Asset Swap Spreads

I am trying to plot the asset swap spreads of government inflation-linked bonds (ILBs) versus the asset swap spread of government nominal (plain-vanilla) reference bonds. I used the article in the ...
1
vote
0answers
72 views

Underlying changes impact on implied volatility

What are some valid techniques that can be used to simulate how changes in the underlying are most likely to impact implied volatility along with the skew of all strikes for options with the same ...
1
vote
2answers
155 views

Probability of Hyperinflation as a function of Probability of Soverign Default

I'm looking for some academic research on modeling risk of hyperinflation. Specifically, I'm interested in modeling the probability of hyperinflation over some time interval (e.g., probability of ...
1
vote
1answer
122 views

CVA number used by Finance Team

What are different reasons, Finance Team will need CVA number for? Is there any specific regulatory reporting to be done?
1
vote
2answers
192 views

Non-Negativity of up-factor and down-factor in Binomial No-Arbitrage Pricing Model

Consider a stock which is trading at $S_0$ at time $t=0$ and is expected to be trading at price $uS_0$ or $dS_0$ at time t=1 where $u$ and $d$ are up-factor and down-factor. The theory says that to ...
3
votes
1answer
340 views

Brownian Bridge's first passage time distribution

Let's say we have a Brownian Bridge $Y_{b,T}(t)$ such that $Y_{b,T}(0)=0$, $Y_{b,T}(T)=b$. Let's say we are interested in the first passage time of $Y_{b,T}(t)$ at level $b$: $\tau_b = \{\min \tau; ...
1
vote
1answer
192 views

Selling an American call option early

I understand it is never optimal to exercise an American call option early. [1] [2] However, here are my two contradictory thoughts about selling an American call option early. Assumptions I can ...
0
votes
0answers
613 views

Difference between “basic risk” and “basis risk”

Returning to Futures contracts, basic risk refers to the risk remaining after the hedge has been put in place and essentially represents the difference between the Futures price – should the ...
3
votes
2answers
241 views

Finding a basket of stocks that tracks an index

Given an index, let's say S&P500, I am trying to find a list of maximum n underlyings, which altogether track the index quite well. I am thinking of running a portfolio optimization algorithm, ...
4
votes
4answers
326 views

Why is the equity premium not arbitraged away?

The Equity Risk Premium Puzzle concerns the observation that equity returns are generally greater than bond returns. The puzzle is well known and widely studied, what is keeping investors from ...
2
votes
1answer
127 views

Ito integral approximation by Euler?

I was wondering how to find the solution of the following stochastic integral: $$dY_{t}=a(W_{t},Y_{t})dW_{t}+b(W_{t},Y_{t})dZ_{t}$$ or in integral notation $$Y_{t}=Y_{0}+\int_{0}^{t}a(W_{s},Y_{s})dW_{...
2
votes
1answer
186 views

Formula for the forward rates?

I'm reading a book about interest rate modelling. It states the following formula P(0,T) = exp(-sum of the forward rates) But I thought it's the average of the forward rates?
2
votes
1answer
120 views

How does trade deficit affect the economy of a country

How does trade deficit for a prolonged period(say 10-15 years) affect a country's economy? I have read that it should affect it adversely, but the US trade deficit has been negative since the mid 1960'...
1
vote
1answer
137 views

Company rank within an industry

I'm looking at the list of companies in the S&P 500 Pure Value Index. For each firm, I want to obtain the dividend yield industry percentile rank and the PEG ratio industry percentile rank. I've ...
3
votes
1answer
213 views

Fitting stochastic variance distributions to index return data

I want to calculate option prices based on a realistic distribution of the underlying. The underlying is a liquid index such as Eurostoxx50. I think of two aproaches, both of them incorporate ...
1
vote
3answers
246 views

Is an economy where money yields interest able to be sustainable and healthy? If yes, how?

There are two points that concern me Loans If someone takes a loan of let's say 1000\$, he has to pay back the money with 5% interest, i. e. 1050\$. But where do the 50\$ come from? They didn't ...
4
votes
1answer
395 views

How to find optimal look back in quant trading models

I'm in the process of building a quantitative trading model, I want to improve on the way in which I decide upon a look back length for the indicators. I understand the different pros/cons for very ...
1
vote
1answer
232 views

Should I analyze the tick data day by day?

Let assume that we have one month of tick data which were traded at NYSE. We want to model the price changes as a function of the last p lags of price changes and the last q lags of the time duration ...
3
votes
4answers
2k views

What happens when bond price is less than the recovery rate

I am simulating various price path of bonds, and one issue that came up is the recovery rate. When a bond defaults, the amount you get back recovery rate * principle. This creates a problem if the ...
1
vote
0answers
481 views

where to find historical option prices?

I have a dataset of options (traded in European exchanges such as NYSE Euronext) and I would like to find their price history. Where to find it? I see that ...
4
votes
2answers
463 views

Some clarifications on eigenvectors and eigenvalues from PCA

Could somebody tell me whether suggestions in bold true or not? Q # 1: http://www.math.nyu.edu/faculty/avellane/AvellanedaLeeStatArb071108.pdf ...
1
vote
1answer
274 views

reference question about portfolio optimization

I know the "classical" modern portfolio theory. However I have quite a lot of different sources. It seems that there is not a book which cover this topic in a rigorous way: theory application ...
4
votes
4answers
366 views

How to deal with extreme cases in normal random numbers generation?

In order to generate normal random numbers, one usually generates random numbers following a uniform distribution $Z \sim \mathcal{U}(0,1)$ and then applies the reverse CDF function on them $X=\Phi^{-...
1
vote
2answers
87 views

Opposite of Tail-Risk Hedge (Established Vocabulary)

I'm working on a client memo explaining several approaches to equity hedging, and I'm looking for a not-too-technical term for a hedging strategy where I try to keep options near the money, as to have ...
11
votes
1answer
777 views

How to price a Swing Option?

I'm working in the commodity market and I've to price Swing Options with MATLAB, preferably with finite element. Has anyone already priced these kind of derivatives? I'm thinking about using the ...
1
vote
1answer
578 views

How to get Geometric Brownian Motion's closed-form solution in Black-Scholes model?

The Black Scholes model assumes the following dynamics for the underlying, well known as the Geometric Brownian Motion: $$dS_t=S_t(\mu dt+\sigma dW_t)$$ Then the solution is given: $$S_t=S_0\,e^{\...
2
votes
1answer
296 views

Comparison of multicurve calibration methods

It seems that there are mayor softwares around offering a multicurve framework based on bootstrap. I find this puzzling nowadays, given the distinct advantages of best-fit optimization methods and ...
10
votes
2answers
9k views

Worked examples of applying Ito's lemma

In most textbooks Ito's lemma is derived (on different levels of technicality depending on the intended audience) and then only the classic examples of Geometric Brownian motion and the Black-Scholes ...
1
vote
0answers
48 views

Questions related to the banking crisis during the European sovereign debt crisis

I am studying the European Sovereign Debt crisis and I have the following questions which I am struggling to find examples for: 1) I have heard that during the sovereign debt crisis, European ...
7
votes
4answers
827 views

Does Modern Portfolio Theory align with EMH?

I came to the conclusion that in literature Markowitz' Portfolio Theory is believed to be compliant with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. The weakest form states that the current price fully ...
1
vote
2answers
301 views

Historic Value at Risk - Ratios vs. Differences

Quick Summary on Historic VaR Let $S_0,...,S_n$ be the daily values of some stock (where $S_0$ is the current value). Then for $i=1,\ldots,n$ we let $$\hat r_i:=S_{i-1}/S_i \quad \text{and}\quad \hat ...
0
votes
1answer
1k views

Calculate bond yield in python

I want to run the newton method on a large dataset to calculate bond yield. Below is the code I created using a loop. I need to run it on ~50 million lines and the loop is quite unwieldy. Is there a ...
0
votes
2answers
155 views

How is the price of a bond actually determined?

How the price of a bond is actually determined? Is it the supply-demand that determines the price first and then the YTM is calculated on the back of this for that bond. Or is it that the changes to ...
2
votes
3answers
10k views

How is PnL calculated

In Fixed Income, I know that bonds PnL are evaluated depending on where the price lies on price/yield curve at the end of the day, compared to where it started from at beginning of the day. The ...
2
votes
3answers
987 views

Handling Missing values in stocks returns when estimating the co variance matrix

What is the best way to handle missing values when stocks did not exist for the entire historical period?.
1
vote
3answers
539 views

Arbitrage free implies complete market?

In Tomas Björk's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this proposition It seems that to show that the model is complete, we must show that the claims are reachable. That is, we ...
1
vote
2answers
145 views

Pricing Principle 1

In Tomas Björk's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this Pricing Principle. Is the one in red supposed to be the proof of the Pricing Principle 1? Or merely an intuitive ...
1
vote
0answers
101 views

forecasting crash time of KLSE index (1991-1994)

Price deviation = financial bubbles. i try to fit the following stock price index to predict recession. I couldn't fit the model with the data(Data are not available in yahoo finance for the ...
2
votes
1answer
320 views

ETFs have lower tracking error than Futures?

I used the daily returns of SPX Index, SPY US Equity, and SPA Index. I then calculate their standard deviation as hedging instruments with respect to SPX Index, i.e., (spx_ret - spy_ret) or (spx_ret - ...
2
votes
2answers
326 views

Logic behind Gordon Growth Model in a DCF analysis?

Sorry, I wanted to ask this on the finance/money forum, but they don't support LaTeX there. Let's say we are valuing a company using the DCF methodology with a 5-year projection period. We project ...
2
votes
2answers
565 views

SVCJ (SVJJ) Duffie et. al Model implementation in Matlab

I'm attempting to implement aforementioned SVCJ model by Duffie et al in MATLAB. so far without success. It's supposed to price vanilla (european) calls . parameters provided, the expected price is: ~...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

How to construct a deterministic trading model based on a loess (local regression) model?

Given data that has been fit to a loess model, can you make reliable decisions on future trades given a good past fit? Has anyone here done so and can give an example of their use case? I am yet to ...
0
votes
1answer
45 views

(Purchased) terminology on Net Preferred Equity Issued

I understand what we mean when we say: Net Preferred Equity Issued it is the total amount of Preffered Stocks plus their price. But does the chart mean when it says (Purchased)? What other can it be? ...
-1
votes
1answer
703 views

Difference between Total Long Term Debt and Net Total Long Term Debt

What is the difference between Total Long Term Debt and Net Total Long Term Debt? Below you can see a picture revealing that they are not equal.
1
vote
3answers
81 views

Interpretation of equation derived from the delta of a call European call option

I have started reading an introductory book called: A Course in Derivative Securities by Kerry Back. On page 12 they mention the following: The delta of the call option is $\delta = (C_{u} - C_{d}) / ...
2
votes
2answers
2k views

Sharpe Ratio - my own calculation differs from Yahoo finance, Morningstar

I am trying to compute the Sharpe ratio for my portfolio. To check that I am doing this correctly, I am first trying to compute it for SPY (the S&P 500 index). ...

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