7
votes
1answer
4k views

Time Series Regression with Overlapping Data

I am seeing a regression model which is regressing Year-on-Year stock index returns on lagged (12 months) Year-on-Year returns of the same stock index, credit spread (difference between monthly mean ...
6
votes
3answers
7k views

Are public historical time series available for ratings of sovereign debt?

The nice list of free online data sources Data sources online does not mention any data from ratings agencies. Are historical time series available for sovereign credit ratings (other than as ...
8
votes
2answers
2k views

Cluster analysis vs PCA for risk models?

I built risk models using cluster analysis in a previous life. Years ago I learned about principal component analysis and I've often wondered whether that would have been more appropriate. What are ...
9
votes
2answers
625 views

Is Walk Forward Analysis a good method to estimate the edge of a trading system?

Do you think Walk Forward Analysis is a good method to estimate the predictability or edge of a trading system? Are there similar methods to know (estimate) how much alpha can capture an algo (in the ...
4
votes
1answer
165 views

Any example code implementing the Shelton CDO 'Back To Normal' Paper?

I'm having a hard time getting my expected loss calculations to tie out with the standard recursion method when implementing the proxy distribution algorithm described by the Back To Normal CDO paper ...
5
votes
3answers
2k views

Longstaff Schwartz method

I try to implemente the LSM method with this algorithm but my price is always too low. By example for an American put option with the following parameters: S0 = 36, Strike = 40, rate = 6%, T = 1 ...
38
votes
11answers
14k views

Switching from C++ to R - limitations/applications

I've only recently begun exploring and learning R (especially since Dirk recommended RStudio and a lot of people in here speak highly of R). I'm rather C(++) oriented, so it got me thinking - what are ...
6
votes
1answer
174 views

Data on US bankruptcy rate vs. standard valuation ratios

Does anyone know of any research or data on US corporate bankruptcy rates as a function of standard valuation ratios, such as P/B, P/E, etc.? I'm trying to adjust the results of backtests to account ...
10
votes
4answers
6k views

Rationale for OIS discounting for collateralized derivatives?

Can someone explain to me the rationale for why the market may be moving towards OIS discounting for fully collateralized derivatives?
4
votes
3answers
3k views

Arbitraging OANDA continuous rollover vs other brokers' discrete rollover

Most brokers compute rollover once a day (2200 GMT), but OANDA calculates it continuously. I thought I'd cleverly found an arbitrage opportunity, but it turns out OANDA knows about this and ...
9
votes
1answer
330 views

Currency Hedged ETFs

At work we were talking about currency hedging our equity index exposures but I am struggling to understand how this happens in a typical iShares ETF. If we take the Japan ETF IJPN then we see this ...
5
votes
4answers
852 views

Does HFT make sense in a pro-rata market?

If orders are filled pro rata, is there still incentive to engage in HFT? Because pro rata nullifies the time precedence rule, my intuition is no, but I figure there could be other aspects to it I'm ...
6
votes
5answers
3k views

Predicting Price Movements on a Betting Exchange

On a betting exchange the price (the odds that an event will happen expressed as a decimal, 1/(percentage chance event occurring) of a runner can experience a great deal of volatility before the event ...
6
votes
1answer
2k views

How do I reproduce the cross-sectional regression in “Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns”?

Recently I was trying to reproduce the results of "Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns". The authors used cross-sectional regression to determine which intraday lags have ...
5
votes
4answers
803 views

Do low volatility stocks outperform high volatility stocks over the long run?

A recent article from Forbes seems to indicate that low volatility stocks outperform high volatility stocks over the long run. Does anyone have any supporting or contradicting evidence to this claim? ...
7
votes
3answers
779 views

Does the gamma function have any application in quantitative finance?

I was looking into the factorial function in an R package called gregmisc and came across the implementation of the gamma function, instead of a recursive or iterative process as I was expecting. The ...
2
votes
2answers
1k views

On my way to becoming a Quant [closed]

I'm currently studying for my undergrad in CS, and considering to do a grad in both CS and Math. I would like to see what you guys would recommend to prepare myself for a field as a Quant. I am ...
7
votes
4answers
1k views

Methods for pricing options

I'm looking at doing some research drawing comparisons between various methods of approaching option pricing. I'm aware of the Monte Carlo simulation for option pricing, Black-Scholes, and that ...
8
votes
4answers
393 views

Seeking Historical Non-Finance Datapoints for Backtesting

I'm working on some financial analysis code which I'd like to test against a historical dataseries to analyze the correlations to my algorithm to some non-finance related data. Ideally, I'd like to ...
6
votes
2answers
809 views

How do practitioners use the Malliavin calculus (if at all)?

This question is inspired by the remark due to Vladimir Piterbarg made in a related thread on Wilmott back in 2004: Not to be a party-pooper, but Malliavin calculus is essentially useless in ...
5
votes
2answers
302 views

How do bond pricing formulae differ between the US, UK and the Euro zone?

Let's restrict the scope of the question a little bit: I'm interested to learn about major differences in pricing formulae for nominal government bonds. The pricing formulae for inflation-linked bonds ...
8
votes
3answers
551 views

How would one price a “credit event binary option”?

CBOE has introduced credit event binary options, kind of as a retail trader's CDS. These binary options are worth $1 if there is a credit event (ie, bankruptcy) before expiration, and $0 if there is ...
6
votes
2answers
677 views

Varswap Basis - What is it in practice?

What is the varswap basis? I am not completely sure what this number represents. Is it the basis between the estimated future realized volatility and the vol surface implied volatilty at a specified ...
4
votes
1answer
569 views

Quant PMs need to know the following… [closed]

To the degree in which it's possible, I'd like to know what the community believes are the objective skills/knowledge required to run a successful Quant book. I'm not interested in strategies, ...
16
votes
6answers
9k views

Python library for Portfolio Optimization

Does anyone know of a python library/source that is able to calculate the traditional mean-variance portfolio? To press my luck, any resources where the library/source also contains functions such as ...
11
votes
1answer
317 views

Enhancing Monte-Carlo convergence (crude method)

I am currently doing a project involving Monte-Carlo method. I wonder if there is papers dealing with a "learning" refinement method to enhance the MC-convergence, example : Objective : estimate of ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

What is a persistent variable?

What is a persistent variable in the context of regression analysis? For example, dividend to price ratio (D/P) is considered to be persistent variable when used to model future returns (Stambaugh ...
14
votes
7answers
9k views

Switching from Matlab to Python for Quant Trading and Research

Has anybody else out there made this switch? I'm considering it right now. What were the negatives and positives of the switch?
2
votes
1answer
214 views

Picking from two correlated distributions

Can anyone provide a simple example of picking from two distributions, such that the two generated time series give a specified value of Pearson's correlation coefficient? I would like to do this in ...
12
votes
4answers
2k views

Is there any good research on support and resistance?

Could somebody advise me on where to find good literature on the justification or motivation for using support and resistance lines - and also lines of maximums and minimums. In finance, it is ...
17
votes
3answers
3k views

Main backtesting & trading solutions: QuantFactory, Deltix, etc.

What are the most used/mature/promising commercial solutions today which handle backtesting/ automated trading needs? I'm talking about vertical product suites like QuantFactory or Deltix which ...
12
votes
3answers
1k views

How to encode trading strategies mathematically

If you have a bunch of different econometric data (e.g. indexes, FX, commodities, interest rates...) you can try to find a formula to see if there is any relationship in the data - e.g. to forecast ...
7
votes
2answers
332 views

illiquid american options pricing

What are the standard methods to price american call/put options on illiquid underlyings?
5
votes
4answers
1k views

How to compute momentum from equity time series?

Let's say I have time series of stock prices for many stocks. What's the best way to sort the stocks based on which have been going up/stayed the same relative to others? Can this be done with a ...
4
votes
3answers
632 views

Supply and Demand of Oil [closed]

This is probably not the best place to ask this question but the one that seems most appropriate on stack exchange(doesn't seem to be an economics one). Anyways, My question, a serious one and not ...
9
votes
1answer
1k views

Is there a popular curve fitting formula of options skew vs strike price or vs Delta?

I was trying to build a options trading/optimization system. But it often gets more inaccurate as it scans through the far from ATM options because, you know, options skews. That is because I did ...
3
votes
2answers
408 views

Hedgefund-like behavior for covered call selling account?

I make money selling covered calls on FX spot options, and some of my friends want to buy in to this without having to trade their own accounts. One method is for each of them to get an account, ...
15
votes
8answers
7k views

What is the best data structure/implementation for representing a time series?

I was wondering what is best practice for representing elements in a time series, especially with large amounts of data. The focus/context is in a back testing engine and comparing multiple series. ...
5
votes
1answer
539 views

USDCAD options vs CADUSD options arbitrage?

I think I've found an arbitrage opportunity. Right now, I can do this (first via CME, second via SAXO) : BUY CADUSD AMERICAN PUT 10200 STRIKE EXPIRING 16 MAR 2011 FOR 53 pips USD SELL USDCAD ...
13
votes
4answers
11k views

Why are GARCH models used to forecast volatility if residuals are often correlated?

The answers to this question on forecast assessment suggest that if the sequence of residuals from the forecast are not properly independent, then the model is missing something and further changes ...
11
votes
3answers
672 views

What is the most effective way of determining & measuring the level of HFT activity in a stock in (close to) real time?

On a security by security basis, I want to be able to quantify the level of HFT activity (and later institutional & retail activity). Is it higher than it normally is? How much so? What would you ...
7
votes
2answers
1k views

Which risk-free rate to use to price a bond issued in one currency but convertible into equity in another?

A convertible bond denominated in USD is issued by an Indian company (with equity traded in INR). The bond will be repaid in USD and if converted into equity in the company, the conversion price will ...
5
votes
2answers
709 views

How do I incorporate time-variability in a pair trading framework?

Recently I have been looking at pair trading strategies from a cointegration perspective, as described in chapter 5 of Carol Alexander's Market Risk Analysis volume 2. As most quantitative finance ...
10
votes
3answers
854 views

How does UBS hedge its exposure to XVIX ETN?

I am wondering how UBS hedges its exposure to its ETN XVIX. Unless I am grossly overestimating the trading costs, executing the strategy they describe in their prospectus with futures would be quite ...
8
votes
3answers
619 views

Price of Brent versus West Texas Intermediate

As of right now, the price of Brent Crude is $\$$111.59/bbl and the price of WTI Crude is $\$$98.36/bbl. I'm well aware that futures markets don't set the spot price for oil, but actual ...
3
votes
2answers
408 views

Need advice on finding forward spot rates

So this is a "work homework" question. As part of my job they are sending us through sort of a training course. I'm looking for advice, or a link to a site that explains how to do this with maybe some ...
6
votes
1answer
348 views

How do you calculate the implied liquidity of an option?

How does one calculate the implied liquidity of a specific option contract given a set of vanilla puts and calls with various strikes and maturities on a single underlying?
3
votes
3answers
236 views

estimating the accuracy of a method for forecasting the distribution

Say for a stock I want to do a simulation using 30 days of historical returns, and maybe generate 1000 paths, with 2 days as the forecast horizon. Say I have 100 of these 5 day blocks used for ...
12
votes
2answers
2k views

How to update an exponential moving average with missing values?

Say you have an Exponential Moving Average being continuously updated over a time series using 1-second-long time periods. What should happen if there is no value for the next second, e.g. there were ...
12
votes
3answers
678 views

Discrete-time model: stock dynamics

I am working in the area of probability theory and for a case study I would like to make some calculations in finance. Since I am developing theory for the discrete time, I am interested in models for ...

15 30 50 per page