1
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1answer
97 views

How do I take an unbiased, sector neutral sample from a stock index?

I am looking to take a cross sector subset of a larger stock index universe. What steps to I take to assure that sector representation is as equal as possible to help smooth out my variance(while ...
1
vote
1answer
105 views

Trading Elasticity Research

Is there any good research on the price elasticity of trading in financial markets? Things like optimal fee structures and the like?
1
vote
2answers
1k views

Covariance of a GMV portfolio with any asset

Why is that the covariance of a global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the efficient frontier with any asset is always the same?
1
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2answers
77 views

different amount of information on return correlations from shorter and longer periods?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly (total) returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on ...
1
vote
1answer
118 views

What is the smart way to reallocate money?

We are running a portfolio of fund managers in our fund. When one of the managers hits the max DD constraint we pull money from this manager. This may happen in the middle of the allocation period and ...
1
vote
1answer
300 views

Help with understanding a normal distribution/probability question

Could someone please help me translate what this is saying on page P15, section 4.2: http://www.ntuzov.com/Nik_Site/Niks_files/Research/papers/stat_arb/Ahmed_2009.pdf Specifically: When the ...
1
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1answer
378 views

Need to match my bond price calculation to that of Bloomberg, currently failing hard

I have a fixed-coupon bond with the following characteristics: ...
1
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1answer
165 views

Regression of Unequally Weighted Portfolio against a Single Index

When I regress a single stock against a market index, I get a high value of R2 and beta closer to 1. APPL.fit <- lm(APPL ~ JKSE) When I regress an unequally ...
1
vote
1answer
383 views

Blackbox Optimization + Bootstrapping = Parameter Selection?

Most automated trading systems have a number of embedded parameters such as the lookback periods, entry and exit thresholds, etc. This is like the moving average crossover system or any of the systems ...
1
vote
1answer
176 views

Add transaction costs to prediction

An algorithm predicts price movement by some certainty and it invests proportional to the confidence level. Predictions range from -1 to +1, -1 meaning sell for a value of ...
1
vote
1answer
426 views

Greeks of Basket

I am considering a product composed of 10 underlying assets. The maturity is 5 year. Each year if the performance of the equi-weighted portfolio reach a barrier, it pays a coupon. My question concern ...
1
vote
2answers
220 views

changes in open interest vs changes in underlying volume

Has a relationship been noted? Mostly, I'd like to know if the open interest increases on an underlying, does the underlying usually see increased trading? My guess would be "yes" since MMs can ...
1
vote
1answer
258 views

Regression giving the return on a stock

I have this regression equation: $$ R_{stock} = 3,28\% + 1,65*R_{market} $$ Where $R_{stock}$ is the expected return on a stock and $R_{market}$ being the market risk premium. I have a one-year ...
1
vote
1answer
149 views

Volatility Index Weighting Scheme

Among the several weighting schemes used for constructing volatility indices, which ones are the best for forecasting (realized) volatility? I've constructed a volatility index for emerging markets ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

Why might a manager consider using an interest-rate in which the notional principal amount declines over time?

Say swap would be used to convert the payments of its portfolio of fixed-rate residential mortgage loans into a floating payment. Why might a manager consider using an interest-rate in which the ...
1
vote
1answer
190 views

Eurdollar Futures

Trying to understand the Eurdollar market a little better. I understand it's the market for dollar denominated deposits outside the US (not just in Europe). They are unregulated and not subject to ...
1
vote
1answer
354 views

Probability of trade's exit orders being triggered in random-walk market

When placing a trade with Stop Loss and Take Profit orders in a hypothetical random market (i.e. 0.5 probability of up tick and 0.5 probability of down tick), assuming: x is the distance in ticks of ...
1
vote
2answers
274 views

Absolute Dollar Form Of Kelly Criterion

Is there a absolute dollar form of the Kelly equation $f=\frac{m}{s^2}$? (i.e. one that does not use percent returns).
1
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1answer
569 views

Performance Stats of Pairs Trades

This is something I've been thinking about for a while but I can't reach a clear conclusion. When we calculate, for example, the profit factor for a pairs trading strategy, do we treat each pairs ...
1
vote
1answer
118 views

Exposition of Growth in a Perpetuity

Something that's bugged me since I've ever learned anything about finance: Philosophically(?) speaking, why does growth subtract from a perpetuity's return? I know the mathematical explanation, but ...
1
vote
1answer
282 views

Minimum variance hedge with more than one asset

My portfolio comprises of 3 assets A,B,C that are correlated and the variance-covariance structure is known. At any given point in time, my position in Asset A say is given to me. I need to ...
1
vote
1answer
442 views

Unsystematic/Idiosyncratic/Firm-specific volatility/variance in the market model?

I was asked to use idiosyncratic volatility as a regressor in a cross-sectional regression upon cross-sectional returns as the dependent variable. Returns can be thought of as the raw log stock return ...
1
vote
1answer
245 views

Fastest algorithm for extracting 25% and 75% marks

I'm hand rolling some visualization algorithms. Extracting the min/max of a time series is $O(n)$, for n entries. If I want the 25% and 75% mark, I could use an $O(n \log n)$ time sort, then get the ...
1
vote
2answers
512 views

What is the instantaneous P&L of a Variance Swap?

What is the instantaneous P&L of a variance swap. Is it $(\sigma^{2}_{t}-\sigma^{2}_{implied})dt$?
1
vote
1answer
672 views

Does amortization of bond start accumulating on trade date or settlement date?

I am sorry if this is not appropriate here. We are building a wealth management system and I really would like to know whether amortization of bond start accumulating on trade date or settlement date ...
1
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2answers
155 views

How can I estimate the parameters of an option value model of retirement?

I am modelling an option value model of retirement, see for instance Stock and Wise (1990). I am however not sure to which class of problems this model falls into and hence which optimization method I ...
1
vote
1answer
141 views

Brent Crude Data

I am trying to locate historical volatility data (5+ years) for Brent Crude? Does anyone know where I might be able to source such data?
1
vote
1answer
540 views

T-note returns from T-note yields … derivation of Damodaran's formula

Damodaran's historical data on 10-year T-note returns (found here) uses the following formula to calculate the 1-period total return on a T-note ($R_1$) given the 10-year constant maturity ...
1
vote
2answers
143 views

Derivatives with a floating Libor leg

If Libor is found to be fraudulently fixed, are any of the derivative contracts with a floating libor leg still valid?
1
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1answer
169 views

help me compare methods to compute one instrument price from another instrument price

Assume we have two instruments A and B. Also time is increasing from 1 to n. Let's say that ...
1
vote
1answer
256 views

Normalized data

I am new to this. I trained and tested my data using SVM in Matlab with the autoscale option true => the data would be normalized with unit SD. Let's say the training data have the price around 200. ...
1
vote
1answer
1k views

How is mean reversion implied by different valuations of Bermudan swaptions?

Someone told me that mean reversion can be implied by the different valuations of bermudan swaptions when using different methods for volatility calibration. Does anyone know what this means?
1
vote
1answer
291 views

Reading recommendation on using statistical analysis in online fraud prevention [closed]

Can you please recommend good reads on statistical analysis related to online fraud detection and prevention of account abuse?
1
vote
1answer
37 views

Vasicek model problem

I am analyzing a problem where the below is given Vasicek model with risk-neutral dynamics $$dr_t = \kappa (\theta - r_t)dt + \sqrt{r_t} dW_t \quad \quad (1) $$ bond prices ...
1
vote
1answer
27 views

Quanto/Compo adjustments - Product of two geometric brownian motion

Let's say I have two processes $X_t =X_0 \exp((a-\frac{1}{2}\sigma_X^2)t +\sigma_X dW_t^1)$ and $Y_t=Y_0 \exp((b-\frac{1}{2}\sigma_Y^2)t +\sigma_Y dW_t^2)$ and I then multiply them together (like ...
1
vote
2answers
32 views

Implied Volatility as proxy for instantaneous volatility

In many papers and book I have found a reasoning that it is well summarized in this paper as "The first proxy we use is an unadjusted Black-Scholes proxy in which the implied volatility of a ...
1
vote
1answer
52 views

Integration in the Hull-White SDE

I'm stuck in solving the SDE in Hull-White interest rate model. I do not have a thorough background in math (only Real Analysis during my blissful undergrad years), so I am having trouble ...
1
vote
1answer
39 views

investor terminal value of portfolio with two risky assets 1) correlated 2)not correlated $\phi_t^1=S^{2}_{t}, \ \phi_t^2=S^{1}_{t}$

I am analyzing a problem where I have two stocks described by the equations $$ \frac{dS^{1}_{t}}{S^{1}_{t}}=\mu_{1} dt + \sigma_{1} dW^{1}_{t}$$ $$ \frac{dS^{2}_{t}}{S^{2}_{t}}=\mu_{2} dt + ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

Finding rate of return of bond sold before maturity

You purchase a bond today for $980; M=$1000, the coupon rate is 4% paid semi-annually, and there are n=7 years to maturity. If you sell the bond for $1025 in six months time, what is your rate of ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Isn't Black's approximation for American options inconsistent?

I have came across a formula suggested by Fisher Black (Fact and fantasy in the use of options, FAJ, July–August 1975, pp.36) for approximating the price of an American call written on a ...
1
vote
1answer
39 views

given someone's past investing history, is there a way to calculate his risk aversion?

given someone's past investing history, is there a way to calculate his risk aversion? Say, we know this client's investment history for example his past return, is there a way to calculate his risk ...
1
vote
1answer
71 views

Calculation of Bond Carry from Synthetic future prices

I have only government bond yields with different maturities. How can I obtain sythetic future prices on bonds? After obtained the future prices, I am supposed to compute the return and carry returns. ...
1
vote
1answer
65 views

How frequently do traders rebalance their gamma hedges?

Say, for instance, that you've set up a delta-neutral straddle (i.e. you are long volatility, short time decay) and want to dynamically hedge your gamma in order to offset losses due to theta. Is ...
1
vote
2answers
37 views

Swap prices (preferably based on 3 month LIBOR)?

Where can I find a listing of forward swap rates based on libor. E.g. pricing on a swap of rates floating over 30 day libor for 3 year fixed, one year from now?
1
vote
1answer
25 views

Historical VaR on Commodity Physical Forward

Recently came across building Histroical VaR for commodity forward position. Understood from quants guru the best way to calculate VaR is using full re-valuation, Full reval is computationally ...
1
vote
1answer
42 views

Portfolio optimization - maximize variance with exposure to risk factors equal to zero

Optimize a portfolio such that the exposure to risk factors is zero and the variance is maximized (instead of traditional minimization problem). so the optimization problem look like: ...
1
vote
1answer
66 views

Static and Dynamic Hedging of Vol/Var Swaps

Why can a variance swap be perfectly statically hedged whereas a volatility swap requires dynamic hedging? Possible reference request to the corresponding literature.
1
vote
1answer
33 views

Who/What is a promoter of a company?

As Investopedia defines it: A promoter is an individual or company that, for a fee, helps raise money for some type of investment activity. Most often, promoters raise money for a company through ...
1
vote
1answer
33 views

Backtesting and dividend adjustments

I am backtesting a number of trading strategies using a feed of unadjusted data from Factset. Before I run the backtest my routines adjust the data for splits and for special dividends. One question ...
1
vote
1answer
48 views

Symmetric probability and subjective return

Let $\{Z_k\}_{k=1}^{N}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with the following distribution $$Z_k = \begin{cases} \alpha &\text{with probability} \ \hat{\pi}\\ -\beta &\text{with ...

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