0
votes
1answer
158 views

Estimate the market maker's price from the posted Bid/Ask and Trade price

If I see a Bid at 181.77 and and Ask at 181.78 for SPY and then immediately see a trade filled at 181.77 on BATS, then what can we conclude about market making activity? i.e At what price did the ...
0
votes
1answer
239 views

Interpolation on CDS rates

I am just wondering if there is any way we could calculate a CDS Spread (not harzard rate) on a CDS curve. Most of the papers that I have come across so far discuss about interpolating the hazard ...
0
votes
1answer
121 views

what is considered material information? [closed]

I'm trying to understand what is considered "material" information held by an executive of a company. There is company information that an executive (say insider) will know that a public investor will ...
0
votes
1answer
525 views

Is there a difference between crossing network and ECN

Is there a difference between a crossing network and an ECN? The wikipedia page for Crossing Network says that ECN is a type of crossing network. But crossing network has the smell of a semi-legal ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

How does a cross trade pose a problem to the retail investor

How does a cross trade pose a disadvantage to the retail client. In this explanation It says: ...
0
votes
1answer
164 views

Expected payoff and weighted average price

Settings Let you're trading a security whose probability to be equal to $S_{T}$ at time $T$ follows a p.d.f. like the ones in the picture below. (That is just an example found with Google images, ...
0
votes
1answer
385 views

How can I calculate the Cumulant-Generating Function in Matlab?

Let $M(h)$ be the moment-generating function, then the cumulant generating function is given by $$K(h)=\text{ln}M(h)=\\ =\kappa_1h+\frac{1}{2!}h^2\kappa_2+\frac{1}{3!}h^3\kappa_3+\ldots$$ where ...
0
votes
1answer
130 views

What is the realized volatility's estimation error?

Given an estimation procedure and real data, how would one compute the mean squared error? What value represents the "true" realized volatility in the case of calculating the Mean Squared Error in ...
0
votes
1answer
333 views

IB with R which package?

I want to implement my models in R and trade according to them with my IB account. Now I am wondering, how I should solve this problem? Do I need to program with C an access ...
0
votes
1answer
121 views

Choosing a weak learner

I want to compare different error rates of different classifiers with the error rate from a weak learner (better than random guessing). So, my question is, what are a few choices for a simple, easy to ...
0
votes
1answer
112 views

Why does the SMA and EMA appear to be relative to the timeframe?

Why does the value of the SMA and EMA for the current time appear to change when I change my timescale. I'm using ActiveTrader by Fidelity, but I'm hoping there's an general phenomenon so that someone ...
0
votes
1answer
645 views

Question about weighted midpoint formula

The answers from these two replies seem to contradict each other. The first numerator is bidSize*bidPrice + askSize*askPrice but the second is bidSize*askPrice + askSize*bidPrice. Price functions ...
0
votes
1answer
689 views

converting US tickers into Reuters RIC [duplicate]

I have a large list of US equity tickers such as: "GIRO", "ITUB", "BITA" etc and I would like to convert them into their corresponding RIC codes. Do you know how can I do it? I have access to ...
0
votes
1answer
85 views

Implementing Orders with Interval Estimates

There's a better chance that stock price reaches an interval, say between \$16.91 and \$16.97, then a single price, say \$16.95. Hence, I generate an interval for a target price, instead of a single ...
0
votes
1answer
628 views

Relationship in Order Book between S&P500 and S&P500 Futures Contracts [duplicate]

What is the relationship between E-mini SPX futures and the SPX index. Besides the obvious, one is cash the other is a futures product. How does buying/selling in one product influence the other. If ...
0
votes
1answer
112 views

Difference between Ibovespa full and mini futures contract

What is the difference between the following two Brazilian futures contracts: The Ibovespa Futures Contract The Mini Ibovespa Futures Contract As far as I can tell, both are priced in Brazilian ...
0
votes
4answers
756 views

compute sharpe ratio for options?

Calculating sharpe ratio for shares is a straight forward task: (average returns - risk free ) / standard deviation. However i remain baffled as to how to tackle the task for options, can someone ...
0
votes
1answer
925 views

Deriving the par-yield curve

Given for example 6 bond prices and their respective 6 cashflows over a time period of 6 years, I have managed to derive the zero-coupon yield curve using the bootstrap method. However, it got lost ...
0
votes
1answer
94 views

Plain vanilla risk parity with trends forecasting power

I have built an asset allocation model (plain vanilla risk parity) but I would like to adapt the initial asset allocation with respect to potential futures changes in the trends of the assets under ...
0
votes
1answer
259 views

adjusted close prices on SP500

When I look at the adjusted close prices of SP500, for example, I notice that the numbers are always significantly below the actual closing. In the explanation of what adjusted prices are, one gets ...
0
votes
1answer
292 views

Delta in Covered Calls?

Just want to check whether i understand it correctly: Long Calls have positive delta Long Puts have negative Delta Long stock has 0.01 delta 100 Shares have 1 delta Therefore: Covered Call = 1 ...
0
votes
1answer
412 views

Question about option theta

I have a question about a option theta. When I evaluate the option theta of near expiry put option using Black-Scholes formula given the data as follow: Index Level = 20,500 Strike Price = 20,000 ...
0
votes
1answer
356 views

Where can I get real-time equity options quotes for a reasonable price (i am not a company) besides screen scrapping Yahoo! Finance? [duplicate]

Want to have electronic access to equity options quotes in real-time. Is there anyone offering this service to the individual investor for a reasonable price? Again it must be electronic, in other ...
0
votes
1answer
356 views

How to compute a sector's volatility within a portfolio?

Assume I have a large portfolio of equities spread across three sectors. I am attempting to compute the volatility of these sectors within the portfolio considering the cross correlations among the ...
0
votes
1answer
65 views

Liquidity and Prices

Do fewer transaction costs and higher liquidity relate to lower market prices? Are there any good resources that deal with these topics in more detail?
0
votes
1answer
1k views

how to chain monthly excess returns into annual?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on the ...
0
votes
1answer
115 views

Symmetry of option-implied probability density

I was wondering whether the option implied probability density of the log returns: $x = \ln\left(\frac{S}{S_0}\right)$ with S the value of a certain stock, is always symmetric ? I was asking myself ...
0
votes
1answer
386 views

Non-intuitive correlation between S&P sector indexes and economic indicators

I am trying to understand how changes in economic indicators like Unemployment Rate, Inflation Rate, and Consumer Sentiment affect the portfolio values. For that I want to measure the correlation ...
0
votes
1answer
105 views

Analyst Forecasts for monthly unemployment rate

Are there any resources that tabulate past analyst forecasts for the monthly unemployment rate along with the dispersion of the forecasts
0
votes
2answers
693 views

expected value of the discounted payoff

I don't understand the following statement: The price of a contingent claim is the expected value of the discounted payoff value under the risk neutral probability measure Q defined in complete markets ...
0
votes
1answer
183 views

Floor and Cap problem

So I have a problem from Marcel Finan's "A Basic Course in the Theory of Interest and Derivative Markets." We are going over floors and caps, covered puts and covered calls. Consider the following ...
0
votes
2answers
368 views

Matlab; How to specify Coupon frequency for Interest Rate Swap

I'm trying to price an interest rate swap and would like to change the default coupon payment frequency from 1 a year to 2 or 4 a year. I'm using ...
0
votes
1answer
191 views

Grokking Stochastic Oscillator for Stocks

In software, I'm trying to implement the Stochastic Oscillator (see here), and I'd like to figure out a few things. Let's say I use standard inputs 14, 3 and 3. If my 14 is for intraday ticks, what ...
0
votes
2answers
172 views

monthly contract volume required for penny increments?

Have the exchanges disclosed their criteria? Does anyone have a best guess based upon observations of volume (however you wish to define it)? Please no qualitative answers.
0
votes
1answer
105 views

Assessing Forcasting with Correlated Residuals

Trying to use a linear regression model to forcast the CPI. I noticed that when I took a moving average of the residuals, though homsokedatisc and nonautocorrelated(ie they squiggle up&down with ...
0
votes
1answer
343 views

Doesn't a perpetual option contradict the Black-Scholes framework?

A standard example when learning to price American options is the perpetual American put. This is a put that has no expiry (or you can consider T = infinity). The standard solution prices this using ...
0
votes
1answer
487 views

main arbitrage & statistical arbitrage concepts

can we please summarise here some of the basic concepts, tools used in arbitrage and statistical arbitrage in real life? ARB: benefit from price difference on same asset ARB: difference between ...
0
votes
1answer
181 views

Numerical difficulties in fitting option prices

In [1], the authors state that "Although some studies apply the curve-fitting method directly to option prices, the severely nonlinear relationship between option price and strike price often leads to ...
0
votes
1answer
627 views

Liquidity detection based strategy in HFT

This article contains the following statement. In terms of liquidity detection, traders intend to decipher whether there are large orders existing in a matching engine by sending out small ...
0
votes
1answer
133 views

Volatility Index Weighting Scheme

Among the several weighting schemes used for constructing volatility indices, which ones are the best for forecasting (realized) volatility? I've constructed a volatility index for emerging markets ...
0
votes
1answer
356 views

Using OpenCL video cards to offload Quant Finance calculations, what features should I look for?

I'm benchmarking some software and am looking for cards that are better at parallel multiplication vs parallel addition. Is there any prior work that may have this information? What GPU features ...
0
votes
3answers
407 views

How to do performance attribution for a few characteristics?

Let's say the characteristics that I am interested in are FX Country Security selection I have the benchmark weights and returns, the FX returns, and the portfolio weights and returns. Can ...
0
votes
1answer
3k views

Calculating pre-tax cost of debt

This is a simple problem but I'm not sure about one aspect of it. A company has 15 year bonds outstanding, with a 5% annual coupon, a face value of \$1000, and a current market value of \$1100. ...
0
votes
2answers
395 views

Howto Calculate An Error's Partial Derivative in ANN

This is a follow-on question from this post I made, "Multilayer Perceptron (Neural Network) for Time Series Prediction", a few months back. I'm constructing a feed-forward artificial neural network, ...
0
votes
1answer
465 views

S&P 500 P/E percentile

I am researching the past five year return for the securities in the top and bottom 10 percentile of the S&P 500 on date 5 years ago. I used Bloomberg to get this data. When I searched for the ...
0
votes
1answer
396 views

Question on OptionMetrics: “Strike Price times 1000” differs too much from Index price

I have a question regarding the strike price that is given on OptionMetrics. My goal is to primarily retrieve options prices of a specific maturity with strike prices that are 20% in-the-money, ...
0
votes
1answer
208 views

What would be the impact of the US Credit Rating downgrade on Crude Oil Prices? [closed]

From a modeling point of view, here are my primary assumptions for Monday: a) I would expect the US$ to depreciate and crude oil to rise in the long term. b) Expect crude oil to dip in the short run ...
0
votes
1answer
21 views

Derivation using Ito's Lemma of price process

define q(t) as the log price minus a linear trend $$ q(t) = logP(t) - \mu t $$ assume teh log price process = Equation 1: $$ dq(t) = - \Theta q(t) dt + \sigma dW(t) $$ Can you show that the ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

Estimate volatility in forecast

I have a model with a rolling forecast. In each time step $t$, I predict the price for the next periods, e.g. $\hat{p}(t, t+1)$ and $\hat{p}(t, t+2)$. If I start in $t=0$ and arrive at $t=2$, I ...
0
votes
1answer
30 views

Delta hedging cost of exotic options?

I'm simulating dynamic delta hedging for up-and-out call option. For plain vanilla call options, I heard that the option price is the expected value of the accumulated delta hedging cost. Does it also ...

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