1
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0answers
29 views

Determining rate of interest

If I have trade prices of 10Y futures contract (ZNH6) is it possible to derive the interest rate from it? Or is there a better way to obtain historical 10 year rates?
1
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0answers
52 views

School project about Black Scholes with stochastic volatility

In a university project I am looking at Black Scholes model with a stochastic volatility. I’m still not quite sure about my focus (I am in the beginning 'Idea phase'). I want to explain the theory ...
1
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0answers
50 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
1
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0answers
49 views

How was this probability of negative U.S rates by end 2017 calculated?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-26/bets-on-negative-u-s-rates-by-end-2017-jump-above-10-chance Options markets show some investors are taking out protection in case rates instead ...
1
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0answers
45 views

Estimating Daily Dynamics using Hourly Data

This article gives a nice outline of how daily data can be used to estimate cointegration on a monthly horizon. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1404905 I'd like to use the same ...
1
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0answers
33 views

Mean Variance spanning test

Is there any r code for performing Mean Variance spanning test. This test is used to check if the return from K+N assets are significantly different from K benchmark assets return. Huberman and Kandel ...
1
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0answers
52 views

Market Making Literature

I am not sure if this is the correct site to ask this, if not I apologize. I have noticed some markets that lack in liquidity, and wonder why market makers in these markets cannot provide liquidity ...
1
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0answers
43 views

Implementation of Kelly in multivariate case using modeled distributions

I am exploring how to determine an "optimal" portfolio in the context of real life data and systems. Specifically, I want to calculate a Kelly Optimal Portfolio (see this paper, especially section 8.4 ...
1
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0answers
38 views

How are CDS prices calculated for financial institutions?

If you need to estimate the fair price of a credit default swap on a financial institution, can it be done? Typical structural models tend to break down for the complex debt and asset characteristics ...
1
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0answers
10 views

Optimizing Monte Carl integral calculation with control variate

For an exercise I am asked to calculate an integral with a monte carlo simulation, after that I need to optimize the results with a control variate. This was the given integral: $\int_0^1 \! ...
1
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0answers
46 views

Looking for most current Financial API that is fast and accurate for NYSE NASDAQ AMEX OTC and PINKs

Looking to build a real time data feed, stock monitor window. Pretty much the same as equityfeed.com market viewer window, just with a few addedfeatures and or different filter columns with more up ...
1
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0answers
15 views

Regression on default rates and backward extrapolation

Suppose that we have bankruptcy data representative for Small and Medium-sized enterprises in a country. We can therefore calculate default rates. Furthermore suppose that we found that GDP, ...
1
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0answers
70 views

VXV vs. VIX futures: arbitrage opportunities?

At a first glance, VXV and VIX futures should not be compared at all: VXV is an underlying index, whilst VIX futures are derivatives written on a different underlying index, that is, VIX. As ...
1
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0answers
86 views

Generating financial data

I am trying to generate monthly stock data using a one-factor model: $$R_{a,t} = \alpha + BR_{b,t}+\epsilon_{t}$$ The description says: $R_{a,t}$ is the excess asset returns vector, $\alpha$ is the ...
1
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0answers
25 views

HJM model, existence of arbitrage:

The Setup: Suppose I know the yield curve of a Bond satisfies: f (0, t) = 0.04 for t ≥ 0 and f (ω, 1, t) = 0.06, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 1 , 0.02, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 2 , where Ω = {ω 1 , ω 2 } with P[ω i ] > 0, i = ...
1
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0answers
27 views

References about market neutral portfolios that isolate unsystematic risk

I am looking for references, information, backtests etc. about market neutral portfolios that go long the index and short stocks of that index with high unsystematic (idiosyncratic) risk. The idea is ...
1
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0answers
36 views

How to fit exogenous + GARCH Model In Python?

I am studying a textbook of statistics / econometrics, using Python for my computational needs. I have encountered GARCH models and my understanding is that this is a commonly used model. In an ...
1
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0answers
72 views

Heston model - Andersen scheme implementation

I would like to implement Andersen scheme for Heston simulation. On the following snipped is my code for generating asset path: ...
1
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0answers
36 views

Simulating returns from ARMA(1,0)-GARCH(1,1) model

I want to obtain a simulation of one-step ahead forecasts of stock returns process governed by ARMA(1,0)-GARCH(1,1) process. The returns are of form: $x_t = \mu + \delta x_{t-1} + \sigma_t z_t$ From ...
1
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0answers
24 views

Change in portfolio when IPO announced

I'm wondering whether there would be a change to my answer of the change in portfolio when there is a new stock introduced. My investment strategy is to maximise expected return such that my standard ...
1
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0answers
33 views

Avellaneda/Cont model Order Book Model

The model given in the following paper by Avellaneda et al http://people.stern.nyu.edu/jreed/Papers/limitorder.pdf On page 7 he explains that the initial Bid and Ask size should be normalised by ...
1
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0answers
51 views

Skewed Generalized Error Distribution's (SGED) pdf

I want to use the SGED distribution of Theodossiou for GARCH estimation, however, I am struggling to understand which is the correct pdf function of the distribution. Let me just say that the ...
1
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0answers
26 views

Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields

The Fed publishes Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields here. These yields are not broken out by maturity. According to this website, the yields represent "long-term" bonds, with minimum and ...
1
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0answers
28 views

Cumulants of variance gamma with stochastic arrival (VGSA) model

The characteristic function of the VGSA model is defined as a specific parameterization of the characteristic function of the CIR (Cox-Ingersol-Ross mean reverting process) time-change: $ ...
1
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0answers
12 views

Which rate have to be considered by using multiliteral netting?

I do have a netting structure consisting of four companies (A,B,C,D) and a netting center. The center also takes place in the netting process. The netting center uses the EUR as currency. Company A ...
1
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0answers
34 views

Simulating Option Positions VaR with Monte Carlo in Python

I'm trying to calculate VaR for overall option positions. Currently I do a MC simulation for the underlying, and derive the theoretical value of the option from those theoretically. Then I calculate ...
1
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0answers
33 views

Where can I find bonds time series?

I want to study dependence and correlation between bonds and CDS. I have already found a large CDS database of time series there: www.datagrapple.com I am looking for such a similar database (with an ...
1
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0answers
20 views

Through the Cycle calibration of PD values

It is a known fact that default rates seem to exhibit cyclic behavior. Most probability of default models use one-year averages of default rates to calibrate the models. The one-year averages should ...
1
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0answers
16 views

Are COFER unallocated resource changes meaningful?

I've been looking at the currency reserves (COFER) data on the IMF site: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4&ss=1408202647052 What caught my eye was the 5% drop in ...
1
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0answers
39 views

What's the problem with simple EMA-crossover strategies?

I'm looking at charts of bitcoin here: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/kraken/btceur with the option of displaying a short term as well as a long term EMA. It seems to me that if I were to buy ...
1
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0answers
18 views

jump-resetted diffusion process

I'm working on a model in which there are two processes, $H$ and $L$, and the final variable to model starts as $H$ and then whenever a jump occurs, an instance of the $L$ processes starts and ...
1
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0answers
27 views

Is the European call option delta an increasing function of the spot?

In the Black-Scholes' setting, the delta hedge ratio of a European call option is given by $N(d_1)$, which is an increasing function of the underlying equity spot $S_0$. Does this property hold ...
1
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0answers
41 views

Portfolio Optimization with equal weight for assets selected

I have a data frame of bets, with 1 being a win and 0 being a loss. These bets are correlated so I cannot just pick the highest winning percentage. Goal is to get 2 optimizations, 1 for max sharpe ...
1
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0answers
44 views

copulas and time series

Can anbody explain how Copulas are used to describe the dependency between, for example, the return on two different stocks? I understand how Copulas are the "glue" that binds the two marginals ...
1
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0answers
41 views

simple game - fair value

Suppose a person A has the following game: there are 2 red balls, 2 green balls and 1 white ball in a bag you take 1 ball (don't put it again in the bag) and then a second ball if you take the white ...
1
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0answers
48 views

Fourier transform covariance estimator

I am estimating realized variance and covariance by the estimator described in this paper, and relying on Fourier Transform. Now, as my data is one day of data in ultra high frequency, so that the ...
1
vote
0answers
69 views

Good state of the art document about Algo Trading systems

I'm currently working on the requirements phase of a software project, and need get an overview of the industry regarding the tools available for Algo Trading. My first idea was to look for Gartner's ...
1
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0answers
67 views

Match different option high frequency databases

I downloaded the “E-mini S&P 500 (Dollar) Options for 1/10/11” Top-of-Book (BBO) data. If you are interested you may download the data from the following link (approx. 80MB zipped and 1GB ...
1
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0answers
36 views

Fair Price CDS Spread for a Bank

I have been using CreditGrades to calculate fair one year CDS spreads for firms. However, the authors of the model explicitly say that the model does not hold for banks or financial firms. If I need ...
1
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0answers
27 views

Significance testing of average returns from Sharpe ratio

I'm aware that one way to do significance testing on a strategy is based on the sampling distribution of its Sharpe (see, e.g., Lo, 2002 and Opdyke, 2008). However, it appears to me that there's ...
1
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0answers
86 views

Option greeks vs Position greeks

I know that when it comes to delta, you would calculate your position delta (of a stock position) as follows: option delta * position size * 100 For example if I ...
1
vote
0answers
62 views

Comparing Implied Vol. to Historical Vol. using intraday data

I'm interested in estimating what my profit/loss would be for continuously gamma scalping a delta hedged option over the course of one day, using historical intra-day price data. I found an equation ...
1
vote
0answers
63 views

Adding Asset Weights To Cholesky Output - Monte Carlo in VBA

I am looking to create a Monte Carlo generator in Excel to plot correlated asset paths for a portfolio containing 1 to 10 assets. I have the correlation matrix for all 10 assets and have performed the ...
1
vote
0answers
105 views

Formula behind pandas.Options() implied volatility

I noted that implied volatility (IV field) from pandas.Options class is very different (especially, for out of money options) than what I compute with Black-Scholes model. (risk free rate is pulled ...
1
vote
0answers
58 views

Triangular Arbitrage with CFD

I cannot understand how the triangular arbitrage fits with CFD. Assuming there is an arbitrage opportunity: EUR/USD < USD/GBP * GBP/EUR If I do this strategy: 1 Long on EUR/USD at Ask price 1 ...
1
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0answers
39 views

Motivation for hedging volatility using VIX ETNs

i wondered what the motivation for professional investors could be to engage in VIX ETNs. Would they even think about trading this kind of product? (they normally should have access to VIX options, ...
1
vote
0answers
14 views

Scalar and vectorial sensitivities

In a recent discussion about the implementation of the calculation of derivative sensitivities, the notion 'scalar' and 'vectorial sensitivities' were used. I am not familiar with this notion and ...
1
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0answers
48 views

“Spot rate is not observable” meaning

In Bruno Remillard's text, "Statistical Methods for Financial Engineering," he states the following on p 148 after giving the general form of a bond price $P(t,T)$ under Vasicek's model: Note that ...
1
vote
0answers
84 views

Determining the investment strategy

I have the following problem: Consider the 5 year investment strategy and given the yearly portfolio returns $S_{t+1}/S_t$ and dividends $D_{t+1}$ paid at $t+1$ which are modeled as: ...
1
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0answers
23 views

Construction of bond portfolio represented by a CDS-Index

Markit publishes investable basket CDS indices. These are indices intended to track the credit risk of a basket of issuers (e.g. in the case of iTraxx Europe Series 24 these are 125 names) in an ...

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