# All Questions

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### What to do with linear regression or regression splines outside of the training range?

This is a cross-post from here In my question on a load forecast model using temperature data as covariates I was advised to use regression splines. This really seems to be a/the solution. Now I ...
38 views

### How does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?

I need help with understanding how does a covered bond characteristics compare to a mortgage security for credit enhancement?
181 views

### Pricing a Power Contract derivative security

I'm trying to price a "power contract" and would appreciate guidance on the next step. The payoff at time $T$ is $(S(T)/K)^\alpha$, where $K > 0$, $\alpha \in \mathbb{N}$, $T > 0$. $S$ is ...
188 views

### How to calculate a the PFE for a Swaption?

How do you calculate the Potential Future Exposure (PFE) for a swaption? Do you incorporate the dynamics of implied volatility when you are running your simulations? Is there a standard way to ...
168 views

### Backtesting benchmark / control test design

I am designing a backtesting system to test an algorithm. I'd like to have a benchmark / control test results to compare to the results of a custom algorithm. A limited "set" of stocks is selected ...
131 views

### How is a quanto priced?

How would one price a derivative denominated in EUR that pays in USD?
461 views

### Oscillatory time-series forecasting

I was wondering if this mean(160)-reverting/oscillatory time series "SUM" can be considered chaotic & forecastable to some extend short-term? ...
78 views

Why does dividing daily returns by daily range eliminates fat tails and results in an (almost) gaussian distribution? And how could that distribution be exploited to enter trades?
284 views

### VaR backtesting with overlapping time intervals

Of course the issue here is dependence: can it be removed or accounted for (in independence tests too, which of course would be troublesome)? There's a lot of literature on regression in this setting, ...
197 views

### Modeling asset performance to Bitcoin revenue

I'm attempting to model asset performance to Bitcoin revenue, which is a driving force in the Bitcoin community. Question Is there any model, or research being done that tracks "hashes per second" ...
66 views

### Neglect the positive values in negative interest rates modelling?

The magnitude of the negative interested rate should vary correlated with the increase in fixed assets prices and with cross-currency basis spreads. Could their volatility / correlation ...
129 views

### Is there a general format for various sources of futures market-data?

I am developing a market-data engine that receives market-data from different futures exchanges. So I need a general format to deal with sources from different exchanges. Protocols like FIX only ...
89 views

### how to identify similar assets based only on a few price samples

Using quantitative finances techniques on limited information, how might one go about finding similar(highly correlated) assets whose public information is available? The only data offered on a list ...
51 views

### Performance of 1X0/X0 funds vs. traditional benchmarks?

Some years ago there was a proliferation of new products touting the ability of active managers to take short bets on securities: 130/30 funds, 150/50 funds, and the like. What is the empirical ...
13 views

### Impulse Response Function, VAR

I calculated VAR coefficients and got stability coeficients. But then I calculated Impulse Response function and it turned out to be spike-shaped function (like cos(x)*exp(-x) with acute extremuma ...
21 views

### Exercise on American call option and dividends

Consider an americal Call option on an underlying paying dividends. Then it is often argued that it is only optimal to exercise right before the dividend is paid out, otherwise one will not exercise. ...
34 views

### How do I track implied volatility of specific delta?

I'm a newbie with respects to volatility trading and options. I recently purchased a book on the topic called "Trading Implied Volatility -An introduction" by Simon Gleadall. It's been one of the most ...
31 views

### What is the best real time data feed - IQFeed, kinetick.com, etc?

This is my first post, and I know of quant's vast knowledge base of the users. Thanks in advance for any assistance. Any quantitative testing, benchmarking, expected lag, true numbers comparing all ...
10 views

### discounted price economic meaning

Could you please explain why we discount the prices using bank account or some numeraire, what is its economic meaning. Specifically The movement of the security prices relative to each other ...
25 views

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### Cost of carry for posting bonds as collateral

Cost of carry for posting bonds as collateral How do you calculate cost of carry for posting bonds as collateral?
35 views

### Interpretation of Cointegration results, pValues and t-Stat

This is a follow up to: Cointegration results interpretation validation? I ran another Engel Granger Test on a pair, The results I get: ...
35 views

### What interest rate dynamics would you suggest to simulate a single swap?

I need to calculate the Potential Future Exposure (PFE) for a single swap (not a portfolio). As far as I know, a stochastic model is needed to simulate the interest rate curves (from here). Could ...
24 views

### Is the Volatility of the Fx Inverse process same as Fx

Let St = Fx and St(Inverse) = 1/Fx. Do both of these have same volatility and if so how would you prove it?
3 views

### Foreclosure Implications on CMO Cash Flows

I have a simple homework project where I am to create some models to value a CMO. Please make any simplifying assumptions necessary to provide an answer. Prepayment is simple to account for. This ...
23 views

### Is it possible for two securities to have the same first 8 characters of a cusip, but differ in the check sum?

CUSIP is a 9 character long identifier. The last digit is a check sum checking the first 8 previous characters. This seems to me that it is not possible for two securities to have the same 8 ...
18 views

### Web Based Market Profile Code

I am looking for someone who knows of or has access to web based charting code using Market Profile. Does this exist out there? I would prefer the source code so I can make changes to it. Any ...
33 views

### volatility grouping

I was working on risk levels of a combined portolfio (includes options,futures as well as stock). While using greeks we can asses some value of a portolio, but when one needs to assess some kind of ...
23 views

### Sample long/short portfolio profit and loss template

Does anyone have a suggestion of where I might be able to find a profit and loss template for a long/short equity portfolio? Thank you in advance.
45 views

### FX Delta Conventions

I'm currently reading Iain Clark's book Foreign Exchange Option Pricing and I got stuck at one sentence in the beginning of Section 3.3 that I feel is important to understand. He writes: FX ...
33 views

### Derivation of the formulas for the values of European asset-or-nothing and cash-or-nothing options

The asset-or-nothing European option pays at t = T the value of the stock when at time T that value exceeds or is equal to the exercise price E, and nothing if the value of the stock is below E. So, ...
23 views

### What is the intuition behind the relationship between herding and trade (or investment) size?

I am studying herding behavior among investors, in particular I found a u-shaped relationship between herding and trade (or investment) size. As such, traders with the smallest or the largest trades ...
19 views

### How to calculate intraday implied vol on the last day of trading an OTM option

i've been trading globex options on US Treasury futures, but my option calculator only takes the date as the time input..so on the last trading day, the model assumes all values are errors because the ...
7 views

### CFD on warrants or options?

I'm looking for CFD-type contracts based off warrants or ETO prices; does such a thing exist? I'm interested in Asian markets; Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan.