0
votes
1answer
496 views

main arbitrage & statistical arbitrage concepts

can we please summarise here some of the basic concepts, tools used in arbitrage and statistical arbitrage in real life? ARB: benefit from price difference on same asset ARB: difference between ...
0
votes
1answer
182 views

Numerical difficulties in fitting option prices

In [1], the authors state that "Although some studies apply the curve-fitting method directly to option prices, the severely nonlinear relationship between option price and strike price often leads to ...
0
votes
1answer
640 views

Liquidity detection based strategy in HFT

This article contains the following statement. In terms of liquidity detection, traders intend to decipher whether there are large orders existing in a matching engine by sending out small ...
0
votes
1answer
133 views

Volatility Index Weighting Scheme

Among the several weighting schemes used for constructing volatility indices, which ones are the best for forecasting (realized) volatility? I've constructed a volatility index for emerging markets ...
0
votes
1answer
361 views

Using OpenCL video cards to offload Quant Finance calculations, what features should I look for?

I'm benchmarking some software and am looking for cards that are better at parallel multiplication vs parallel addition. Is there any prior work that may have this information? What GPU features ...
0
votes
3answers
419 views

How to do performance attribution for a few characteristics?

Let's say the characteristics that I am interested in are FX Country Security selection I have the benchmark weights and returns, the FX returns, and the portfolio weights and returns. Can ...
0
votes
1answer
4k views

Calculating pre-tax cost of debt

This is a simple problem but I'm not sure about one aspect of it. A company has 15 year bonds outstanding, with a 5% annual coupon, a face value of \$1000, and a current market value of \$1100. ...
0
votes
2answers
399 views

Howto Calculate An Error's Partial Derivative in ANN

This is a follow-on question from this post I made, "Multilayer Perceptron (Neural Network) for Time Series Prediction", a few months back. I'm constructing a feed-forward artificial neural network, ...
0
votes
1answer
469 views

S&P 500 P/E percentile

I am researching the past five year return for the securities in the top and bottom 10 percentile of the S&P 500 on date 5 years ago. I used Bloomberg to get this data. When I searched for the ...
0
votes
1answer
406 views

Question on OptionMetrics: “Strike Price times 1000” differs too much from Index price

I have a question regarding the strike price that is given on OptionMetrics. My goal is to primarily retrieve options prices of a specific maturity with strike prices that are 20% in-the-money, ...
0
votes
1answer
208 views

What would be the impact of the US Credit Rating downgrade on Crude Oil Prices? [closed]

From a modeling point of view, here are my primary assumptions for Monday: a) I would expect the US$ to depreciate and crude oil to rise in the long term. b) Expect crude oil to dip in the short run ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

Estimating Credit VaR using a simulation of joint defaults with a copula

I'm trying to follow the steps Malz gives to calculate Credit VaR using simulation of joint defaults with a copula. I'm having trouble understanding some of the steps. My math knowledge is rather ...
0
votes
0answers
7 views

Unexplained delimiters in Nasdaq ITCH file

I'm working on writing an order book constructor for Nasdaq ITCH v5 files, and I'm noticing some occasional message identifies/ delimiters that are not included in the ITCH5 specification, ...
0
votes
1answer
13 views

Calculating unweighted performance of stocks within a period

The well known calculation of unweighted index of stocks is just calculating an arithmetic average. And then, to calculate the performance of the index, I calculate the %change of the unweighted ...
0
votes
1answer
38 views

Feynman Kac Formula for path-dependent options

Consier geometric Brownian motion: $dS_t/S_t=\mu dt+\sigma dW_t$ Feynman Kac theorem tells us that the conditional expectation $v(t,x)=E[ e^{-rT}\Psi(S_T) | S_t=x]$ can be computed by solving the ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Shrinkage Estimator giving unrealistic portfolio variances

I have a historical covariance matrix which is invertible for daily and monthly returns. I used the Ledoit,Wolf shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix and now I get really small portfolio ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

C++: Derive a class template from QuantLib::PiecewiseYieldCurve [migrated]

I would like to derive a class template from QuantLib::PiecewiseYieldCurve. This is my derived class definition: ...
0
votes
1answer
26 views

Ledoit-Wolf Shrinkage estimator not giving positive definite covariance matrix

I used ten year daily data for 407 stocks and computed the daily and monthly covariance matrices. Since I have more variables than observations for the monthly matrix, I wasn't surprised to find the ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

The calculation of NIBID rate from 2013 by using NIBOR rate (UIP)

I need to calculate the NIBID rates from 2013. I have the NIBOR as a starting point and some indications but I am still quite confused. I found some advices online, but it does not seem to get me the ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Expectation Hypothesis: forward variance

I am trying to understand the Expectation Hypothesis from Campa and Chang (1995). In the paper of Byoun et al. they use this formula to estimate the forecast biasness of options. $$ V_{1,k} - V_{0,k} ...
0
votes
0answers
8 views

What equal installment of annual payment will discharge a debt which is due as Rs. 848 at the end of 4 years at 4% per annum simple interest? [on hold]

The above question can be calculated by using the formula x=100P/(100n+n(n−1)r/2), which gives the result = 200. My doubt is that 200*4 gives 800. So when the balance (848-800) 48 will be paid?
0
votes
0answers
39 views

What to expect when switching from backtesting to live trading?

I am back-testing my model using the closing price of 5 minute candle-bars. I am trading S&P 100 stocks. I simulate executions with the assumption I can get them 2 ticks away from the closing ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

Futures Parameters for Value at Risk

I am new to risk management. I am calculating the VaR for a portfolio of futures contracts, long and shorts. I calculated it using the historical, parametric, and MC method. But there is something ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Historical UK Gilt 2-year and 5-year data

Data on the Medium (approx. 5-years) and Short (approx. 2-years) futures contract listed on ICE only goes back to 2009. Is anyone able to point me towards where I can get a longer time series, perhaps ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Stock valuation: Solving non constant growth problem statement: stock evaluation [on hold]

Note: I have the answer I think but it doesn't make any sense to me as to what the question actually is asking or what the method is to solve. •Suppose a firm is expected to increase dividends by 20% ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

Mutual Fund Cash Level Data

I look for a source to download historical monthly mutual fund cash level data from. Is there any free/cheap source available?
0
votes
0answers
19 views

reference for elementary mortgage math

I have a student doing a project on default rate & prepayment rate for mortgages. She would like to include a section on how the quantities affect pricing, & so would like to reference a ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

how best to equalize individual pair risk in a portfolio of stock pairs?

I am building a portfolio of stock pairs in which each pair is individually hedged via beta/hedge ratio adjustment. I am looking for a method to ensure that I am taking the same risk in each pair that ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Stiffness of numerical methods for SDE

What can I do with stiffness of numerical methods for SDE? I want to use numerical approach for solving SDE in market's scenarios generation. Is there any general approach to handle it?
0
votes
1answer
20 views

How do right-to-break clauses affect CVA calculations

Does the presence of a optional/mandatory right-to-break clause affect CVA calculations, and if so, how? Given two (otherwise identical) 10y swaps with the same counterparty, one of which has a right ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Smoothening yield curve by minimizing forward curve slope

I am using government bullet bond data and have bootstrapped a yield curve by solving the following optimization which minimizes unweighted price error: ...
0
votes
1answer
24 views

DCF equity valuation [closed]

I am trying to gain a deeper understanding of equity valuation. I have been looking for excel examples. Can someone suggest me a source. Thank you very much.
0
votes
2answers
60 views

Question about find no arbitrage trading strategy

We got the stochastic process for stock price of n stocks at continues time. We can find if there is a arbitrage trading strategy or dominant trading strategy. I wonder if we cannot find such ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

Whats the formula to calculate the FV, incorporating monthly deposits?

I need a Formula to calculate the future value of an investment based on current principal, interest, number of years, compounding interval (times annually) and monthly deposit. So basically ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Strange / Incorrect / Unusual Data on Google Finance 1988 [duplicate]

Looking at XOM (but it is the same for many stocks) there is an odd drop in the stock price during 1988. It drops around the new year and pops back up around the next new year. This drop is present ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Heston Model using Matlab

My question is based on the MLE of the Heston model discussed in this paper URL: http://www.princeton.edu/~yacine/stochvol.pdf with Matlab code: http://www.princeton.edu/~yacine/closedformmle.htm ...
0
votes
0answers
34 views

How to compute the cumulative return between two dates? [closed]

I have a table that carries data with cumulative return of some instrument. Data is described with start date, end date and cumulative return for date range (start-end): ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
0
votes
0answers
66 views

stochastic calculus and multidimentional itos lemma

I am considering a number of assets (N) in a portfolio. each asset follows a geometric Brownian motion process therefore the stochastic differential equation is dS(i) = S(i)μdt + S(i)σdX(i). The ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

How to evaluate data handlers

How would I go about evaluating CME data handlers? Looking at:how to define and measure latency Two colo servers should have the same Order to Accept times. If the algorithm to generate the order ...
0
votes
0answers
23 views

Where can I find historical P/E values of Russell 2000 Value and Russell 2000 Growth index?

I have no problems finding the current values, but historical (ie yearly) is harder and even my commercial databases have failed. Only need the last ~15 years or so, and yearly is enough. Do any one ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Choosing Optimum Sampling Frequency

There was an interesting post made by Jonathan Kinlay where he discusses the use of a Fourier Transform to discover a potentially optimum bar frequency to choose as an input to a trading system. I am ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

GARCH filtering and extreme value theory

We are evaluating a model for risk management based on extreme value theory using peaks over threshold and markov chain monte carlo methods. In doing this, we are firstly fitting a GARCH (we have ...
0
votes
1answer
54 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

ROC — Output from Calculating Stock Returns Producing Lower Numbers Than Actual

I tried this on stack exchange, but think it is a better question here. I am beginning user and I need help with an error / bad output I am getting when calculating returns (using ROC) on stock ...
0
votes
0answers
46 views

Is this R back-testing code correct

I am new to R back-testing and I have tried to make a back-testing strategy (a modified simple moving average crossover)in quantstrat and it failed. My skills in programming is average and the syntax ...
0
votes
0answers
28 views

2-step estimation of DCC GARCH model in Python

Embedded in this thread are multiple questions. I'm currently im the process of implementing a DCC GARCH forecast model on quantopian (a python-powered trading platform). The two step consists of ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Effects of Subprime crisis on M&A?

I was wondering, besides the drastic drop (although not that much) in the number of deals and the total value of deals between 2007 and 2008, how did the Subprime crisis affect the M&A industry? ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Future value of the debt under Merton model

The author Malz states the future value of the firm's debt under the Merton model can be found from: $$ D_{t} = D - max(D - A_{t} , 0) $$ (where D is the par value of the debt, $A_{t}$ is the ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

GARCH estimation does not work, error in my returns?

Hey everyone and I hope that there are some smarter people out here that can help me out with my problem...: I have trouble with my implementation of a GARCH(1,1) model and I do not know how to move ...

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