1
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2answers
198 views

what volatility do we calculate using GARCH model

what volatility do we calculate using GARCH model, Historical vol or Implied vol or Future Vol or Actual vol.
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1answer
199 views

Historical Implied Volatility Calculation

I'm trying to calculate implied volatility for the FTSE 100 for the last few years. I have all the end of day data from LIFFE for the last few years. I have combined the data by weighting the ...
1
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1answer
147 views

What are the dynamics of the reverse of this FX process?

Assuming the dynamics of the exchange rate between two currencies at time $t$ is given by: $$ dX_t=\Delta r X_t dt+ σ X_t dW_t$$ Is the FX Reverse process $\frac{1}{X_t}$ a brownian motion? How can ...
1
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2answers
115 views

Where to get master list of mutual funds?

I cant seem to find a straight answer anywhere on Google for this. I would like to create a master list of all known mutual funds and their ticker symbol. Is it possible to get this data from Edgar'...
1
vote
1answer
202 views

Implied volatility and pricing of vanilla options

As far as I understood, implied volatility (IV) is a lucky parametrization of the vanilla option's price. That is, instead of deciding how much the call worth now, you can decide on its IV and put ...
1
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2answers
92 views

Anybody knows the answer to this exercise found in PWIQF?

I got this question from the last exercise of chapter 2 from "paul wilmott introduces quantitative finance" book. Appreciate your help.
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1answer
52 views

Risk-free arbitrage given a volume oracle?

Given a magical oracle who can correctly predict the volume, but not the price, of a given security, does there exist a risk-free arbitrage to capitalize on this information?
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1answer
1k views

Where can I find literature (books, articles, etc.) about basic HFT / arbitrage strategies? [closed]

I am not looking for your winning strategies. Just the basic stuff from where to start. Can anyone share their opinions about what should I read to hit the ground running?
1
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3answers
608 views

forward implied volatility skew

I would like to calculate implied forward volatility skew. I have stochastic volatility monte carlo. What kind of payoff do I need to price and how to use Black() formula to calculate the implied ...
1
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1answer
202 views

Efficient Frontier Derivation: why minimize half the portfolio variance instead of just the variance?

In Robert Merton's derivation of the efficient frontier of a portfolio, he minimizes $\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2 $ over the investment weights in each asset, where $\sigma^2$ represents portfolio variance. ...
1
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2answers
73 views

Is it possible that a security with a positive variance can have a required return that is less than the risk free rate?

I'm not sure of the answer but I think it's possible. What I don't get is what characteristics this asset would need to have and why it would mean that an investor would accept a return less than the ...
1
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1answer
81 views

optimisation problem with linear constraint

I have an optimisation problem. I wish to maximise a function subject to a constraint. It is the constraint that is causing me problems. I am using an addin in Matlab which does the optimisation ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

Why interest rate future does not support fed policy on reducing assets buying?

Using the 3-mon eurodollar interest rate futures, I construct a yield curve each year for 2015-2021 using sampling date from the end of the month. If you graphed this out, you would see that the ...
1
vote
1answer
611 views

detecting and measuring lead lag effect

Given two time series data. I remember there is one statistics that tells you one is the leading factor while the other is the lagging factor. However, i do not remember the exact details. correlation ...
1
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5answers
739 views

API-based equity screeners?

I know there are APIs from different brokers that allows you to trade and also obtain information about specific companies, but I wonder if there are equity/asset screeners that are API-based and can ...
1
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2answers
106 views

Does the correlation of matrices have explanatory power when building a pattern recognition model?

I'm using 8 different variables (with daily observations) with the purpose to compare different months across the historical data. For that purpose I calculate the correlation between each month and ...
1
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2answers
379 views

How to combine Gaussian marginals with Gaussian copula to obtain multivariate normals?

in the book "Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance" I red the following: "Combining the Gaussian copula with Gaussian marginal gives a fancy way of expressing multivariate normals. However, ...
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1answer
1k views

What is Base- vs. Implied Correlation of a CDO tranche?

What is the difference between Base Correlation and Implied Correlation for a CDO tranche?
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2answers
114 views

Different interim balances when calculating annual compound interest different ways

Something interesting that doesn't quite make sense to me. When calculating compound interest using P(1+r)^t, I'm calculating in two ways - one using the day 1 principal balance, and the other using ...
1
vote
1answer
131 views

Choosing broker to run with Zipline

Which brokers offer Python integration/API? Which brokers offer R integration? I'm starting on trading, and I want to learn about algorithm trading. So I would like to know what brokers offers these ...
1
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1answer
240 views

Estimate correlation of time series whose histories differ in length

Very often in quantitative analysis (e.g. calculating portfolio volatility) we have to analyze various time series - mostly returns - whose lenghts differ. Risk systems usually apply a one-factor ...
1
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1answer
8k views

Conversion factor for bonds

Hull defines the conversion factor for a bond as the "quoted price the bond would have per dollar of principal on the first day of the delivery month on the assumption that the interest rate for all ...
1
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2answers
122 views

CVA/CDVA - Worsened Credit Quality implies profit?

In the book Counterparty Credit Risk, Collateral and Funding by Brigo et al I found the following: credit quality of investor WORSENS $\Rightarrow$ books POSITIVE MARK TO MKT credit quality of ...
1
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2answers
1k views

Correlation between S&P500 returns and 10y US Treasuries yields

I'd like to investigate the comovement of stock index returns with bond yields but I don't know which return's duration to use (1-year, 1-month or anything else) to get a better view of the ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

What is the distribution of stock splits?

I want to know how rare are splits more extreme than, say, 7:1 (and reverse splits similarly). An answer here points to announcements on Yahoo Finance, but apparently only monthly views. What is a ...
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3answers
246 views

Is an economy where money yields interest able to be sustainable and healthy? If yes, how?

There are two points that concern me Loans If someone takes a loan of let's say 1000\$, he has to pay back the money with 5% interest, i. e. 1050\$. But where do the 50\$ come from? They didn't ...
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1answer
232 views

Should I analyze the tick data day by day?

Let assume that we have one month of tick data which were traded at NYSE. We want to model the price changes as a function of the last p lags of price changes and the last q lags of the time duration ...
1
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2answers
87 views

Opposite of Tail-Risk Hedge (Established Vocabulary)

I'm working on a client memo explaining several approaches to equity hedging, and I'm looking for a not-too-technical term for a hedging strategy where I try to keep options near the money, as to have ...
1
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2answers
145 views

Pricing Principle 1

In Tomas Björk's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this Pricing Principle. Is the one in red supposed to be the proof of the Pricing Principle 1? Or merely an intuitive ...
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3answers
81 views

Interpretation of equation derived from the delta of a call European call option

I have started reading an introductory book called: A Course in Derivative Securities by Kerry Back. On page 12 they mention the following: The delta of the call option is $\delta = (C_{u} - C_{d}) / ...
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1answer
387 views

Non-linear Dynamical Systems and Quantitave Finance

The vast majority of what I have read about quantitave finance is to do with option pricing and time series analysis for forecasting. However the economy as a whole behaves as a dynamic system with ...
1
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3answers
697 views

What Is A Good Success Rate Using Machine Learning For A Beginner?

I know this question will be quickly destroyed and my account summarily banned, but I just have to ask: For a trader using machine-learning algorithms (SVMs, ANNs, GAs, Decision Trees) for ...
1
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2answers
122 views

Standard Deviation as listed in Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation: Binomial Replication 2.3.4 Worked-Out Example

I am reading Rebonato's Volatility and Correlation (2nd Edition) and I think it's a great book. I'm having difficulty trying to derive a formula he used that he described as the expression for ...
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1answer
490 views

What is the Rho of an option on a futures contract priced using the Black 76 model?

I wanted to quickly confirm some simple calculations for the Black 76 greeks and was making use of the formulas on this website: http://riskencyclopedia.com/articles/black_1976/ I have an issue with ...
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1answer
381 views

Interpolation of volatility curve for Swaption

I have found volatility in the black model for swaption for different maturity (1-2-3-6-9M, 1Y, 18M, 2-10Y, 15-20-25-30Y) and Tenor (1-10Y, 15-20-25-30Y). Now I need another values (Maturity: 2, Tenor:...
1
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2answers
101 views

Implied Correlation using market quotes

Is there a way to retrieve the implied correlation between stock price and zero coupon bonds?
1
vote
1answer
1k views

What is Prompt Date Structure?

In LME website Prompt Date Structure is explained as this. Why there are prompt dates? LME trading calendar isn't universal to all other calanedars found in the market. So how do "Non-tradable dates ...
1
vote
1answer
104 views

Where can I buy historic raw recording of an exchange

Say I want to buy historically recorded raw feed from an European exchange (say LSE). Is there a vendor that would sell me this data ? EDIT: By raw feed I mean the order by order feed (or equivalent) ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

In a mis-matched trade who profits?

I am building a service similar to the BullionVault where users can buy and sell bullion. They will be placing their Buy and Sell orders on the service. Matched orders will get executed. My question ...
1
vote
1answer
482 views

Where can I find implementations of the time-varying copula (BBX) in Matlab or R?

I want to construct some time-varying BBX copulas, however, I found that patron's package does not contain time-varying BBX copula. Anybody know where I can download them?
1
vote
3answers
199 views

What does “true”volatility mean in volatility comparison?

In Sinclair's book, wee need to compare standard deviation with "true volatility" to check the power of the model suggested, close -to-cloce, or Parkinson formula, etc. What do we mean here by "true" ...
1
vote
1answer
216 views

novice question on fixed coupon schedule in QuantLib

For some bonds I work with the last coupon date is not equal to bond's maturity date. E.g. the last coupon date is April 25th, 2020 and maturity date is April 25th, 2021. I looked at Schedule class ...
1
vote
2answers
382 views

How to price this option using the Black Scholes model?

I have a question regarding regular option pricing. In the standard Black-Scholes model, with interest r and volatility $\sigma$, I have to eetermine the arbitrage free price at time $t$ of an ...
1
vote
1answer
212 views

FX Rate dynamics

Let's suppose USD/EUR price in USD follows a GBM with $$ dS_t = rS_tdt + \sigma S_tdW_t $$ What process does EUR/USD follow in EUR?
1
vote
2answers
126 views

Harnessing small correlations for reliable profit

It is said that Edward O. Thorp was able to harness small correlations for reliable financial gain. I've seen some strategies based on strong correlations which did not seem particularly reliable. ...
1
vote
2answers
156 views

Simple question about expected value of brownian motion

I would appreciate some help with the math in this paper : High Frequency Trading in a Limit Order Book Specifically, I would like to understand how the authors calculated the expected value of price ...
1
vote
1answer
243 views

Different range price data on one chart

I'd like to evaluate 3-4 instruments on one price chart. For example: Stock A: 90,05 90,15 90,25 90,09 Stock B: 0,0045 0,0049 0,0039 0,0040 Stock C: 1998,1 1998,7 1998,8 1997 I try to use: Ln(...
1
vote
1answer
96 views

Simple pricing example confusion

This it taken from "Heard on the Street", Section B. Consider a market with $0$ risk-free rate, no transactions costs etc. The IBM stock costs \$75 and does not pay dividends. Design a security ...
1
vote
4answers
547 views

Trading spot volatility

I am reading a paper that very briefly talks about some volatility arbitrage strategies. It's so brief that I do not exactly understand how it works. It says one of the strategy is based on "short ...
1
vote
1answer
92 views

what is the vol in the BS formula?

I need to compute the delta of an option for which I know a) the time to maturity, b) the price of the option, c) the price of the underlying asset. what is the formula to get this delta It seems ...

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