1
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1answer
48 views

ARIMA Forecasting always converges?

I read an article about arima forecasting and i said that before we forecast arima model, its stationarity has to be checked. If the model is stationary, it is clear that forecasting converges to ...
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1answer
80 views

What is more likely effect to call and put prices, respectively, if the stock price decreases by$1?

The current stock price is \$80.Call ,and ,put, options, with ,exercise ,prices, of $50 and 3 days to maturity are currently trading. What is more likely effect to call and put prices, respectively, ...
1
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1answer
50 views

Differences between dummy regression event study and regression on residuals from market model

I have two different event study approaches and I wonder if the results are exactly the same. Model 1 applies a dummy regression market model: (1) $R_{t}=\beta_{0} + \beta_{1}R_{mt}+\beta_{2}D_{t}+\...
1
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1answer
376 views

Is there a good backtesting package in R?

My model exports a vector that have for each day b-buy s-sell or h- hold it's look like this: sig [1] b b s s b b b s s b s b s s b s b s s s s b b s s b b b b b b s b b b b b b b I want to ...
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2answers
44 views

Finding a stock traded at two venues

For a project of mine I need to find a stock that is traded on two venues, e.g. NYSE and NASDAQ, but could be others. So I ...
1
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2answers
90 views

put call parity for futures options derivation in Hull

In Hull, the following derivation of PCP for futures options: What confuses me is that it is stated that the payoff of the long futures is $F_t-F_0$. The footnote states: the analysis assumes that ...
1
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1answer
38 views

Testing day of the week effect

I am currently reading a bit about testing day of the weeks effects. I saw two different model specifications and wonder how to interpret the results. The first model type includes only 4 dummies for ...
1
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1answer
89 views

How we decide the target price for stock

people giving intraday target price of particular share. Most of the times the target is achieved.I am still puzzled how the target price of stock for intraday can calculated. To elaborate my query ...
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2answers
147 views

How do you calculate price of non-existant call option on commodity future

I've been stumped on this for awhile now. I'm trying to determine the price of a call option on a commodity futures contract that expires in the future. My issue is that while the future's contracts ...
1
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1answer
63 views

Why some exchanges enforce that you send the total quantity (fill qty + open qty) when changing the order size?

Is it to protect against overfills? Can anyone explain in simple terms?
1
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1answer
33 views

Aggregating growth rates

I'm working on a simple forecast model that uses Cumulative Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) to project future growth, and I've run into an apparent paradox. The model includes multiple lines of business ...
1
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1answer
129 views

How to calculate returns and sharpe ratio for futures?

What is the industry standard way to calculate returns, which will be used to calculate sharpe ratio for e-mini S&P500?
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1answer
32 views

Calculate short log return including fees

log long return is log((exitprice-fees)/entryprice) without leverage. log short return is the negative long return. So, from the above I would get short return = log(entryprice/(exitprice-fees)). ...
1
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1answer
81 views

Segmented investment to yield same monthly return in each segment

Not an investment specialist, so please excuse the very basic math. Given a lump sum, I need to distribute this lump sum over (x) segments, each lasting (y) years (years can be different for each ...
1
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1answer
176 views

Original Fundamental Accounting Data (Not Ratios)

Where do I get original fundamental accounting data from income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement, like Sales/Revenue, Gross Income, EBIT, Operating Income, Cash & Short Term ...
1
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1answer
23 views

Source of market or security attribute information?

There are many securities and exchanges on platforms like Bloomberg and Quandl, but many securities are described with the relevant pit close times and pit open times, exchanges, related futures, and ...
1
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1answer
197 views

Utility Theory - Certainty equivalent approximation formula derivation

I have a question on an exercise from chapter 9 of D. Luenberger, Investment Science, International Edition, where I suspect there may be a typo. Exercise 8 (Certainty approximation) There ...
1
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1answer
185 views

How are netting sets determined for CVA calculation?

In his book, Gregory describes a netting set as a set of trades that can be legally netted together in the event of a default Obviously, the netting agreements (as per ISDA master agreement) ...
1
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3answers
99 views

reference for elementary mortgage math

I have a student doing a project on default rate & prepayment rate for mortgages. She would like to include a section on how the quantities affect pricing, & so would like to reference a ...
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2answers
340 views

Vega hedging with implied volatility smile

I have a problem with vega hedging. Consider the management of an exotic derivative, such as Barrier option. Typically we do the following tasks: selecting a pricing model, say, a local volatility ...
1
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1answer
70 views

Rebucketing Risk using PCA/other methods

was working on a project and could use some help. New to the community and looking fwd to being an active part of it. My question is, let's say we have a vector of securities V, and it trades with ...
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2answers
88 views

Question about find no arbitrage trading strategy

We got the stochastic process for stock price of n stocks at continues time. We can find if there is a arbitrage trading strategy or dominant trading strategy. I wonder if we cannot find such ...
1
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3answers
119 views

When valuing a vanilla option on an index, should we take dividend into account?

When valuing a vanilla option on an index (eg FTSE 100), should we take index dividend yield into account? $$ c=Se^{-q\tau}N\left(d_1\right)-Ke^{-r\tau}N\left(d_2\right) $$ $$ d_1=\frac{\ln\left(\...
1
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1answer
104 views

Option writing optimal sell time

When selling options, e.g. a straddle I read often the optimal time for selling options is 30-40 days until expiration. For me intuitively the optimal time would be around one week until expiration ...
1
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3answers
102 views

Is it realistic to assume that the current price of a stock takes into account the probability of it going up or down in the future?

I'm currently reading the following lecture notes: http://www1.maths.leeds.ac.uk/~jitse/math2515/lecture04.pdf On the second page, under the subsection titled "The Risk-Neutral World" it points out ...
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1answer
75 views

Selecting bonds to be used in Nigel-Siegel Svensson OLS Regression

I need to obtain the initial parameters that would be used in the Non-Linear Optimization that provides the Nelson-Siegel Svensson parameters for US Treasury Bonds. The Optimization appears to be very ...
1
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1answer
235 views

Understanding how to calculate Accrued Interest of Bonds

When calculating the accrued Interest of Treasury Bonds, how does one set the settlement date? And, is it possible for certain bonds that there are no coupon payments before the settlement date and ...
1
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1answer
110 views

Calculating Accrued Interest of Bonds

I am trying to calculate the accrued interest for a set of Treasury Bonds. I am comparing the answer from the code below with that for the 1st Bond(row) over here. In the link the AI is ...
1
vote
1answer
40 views

Correct Theoretical Discount Factors from Nelson-Siegel-Svensson?

I am calculating the theoretical discount factors associated with a bond that has 30 months to maturity from today with the parameters below obtained from here using the Nelson-Siegel-Svensson Model. ...
1
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1answer
109 views

Delta hedging cost of exotic options?

I'm simulating dynamic delta hedging for up-and-out call option. For plain vanilla call options, I heard that the option price is the expected value of the accumulated delta hedging cost. Does it also ...
1
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2answers
91 views

how to convert notional to nominal of bond future to ctd bond

I want to know if you can easily convert a notional of a bond futures contract into the nominal of the ctd bond if you have the conversion factor. For example you have 1000 notional of a futures ...
1
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1answer
73 views

Connection between implied volatily and implied probability

I am reading some lecture notes about Black-Scholes (BS) option pricing. Since the BS-formula is not supported by observed data because of the dependence of the implied volatility on the strik and ...
1
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1answer
149 views

Numerical Solutions for PIDE

I want to solve an exotic options of PIDE by Numerical Methods.I just focus on the integral part of PIDE and want to underestand some tips on numerical solution of how to numerically solve it. Exactly ...
1
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1answer
111 views

What Exactly is Expected Return

Consider the following plot, courtesy of this page: Regarding the $y$-axis, how does this "expected return" relate to the "instantaneous expected return" in a geometric Brownian motion (GBM)? E.g., ...
1
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1answer
31 views

Consumption Based Asset Pricing

I am working on some consumption based asset pricing models. I am modelling consumption growth in several different ways. An obvious one is to model consumption growth as an AR(1) process: $g_{t+1} = ...
1
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2answers
349 views

How to get list of all symbols in fred database?

I am trying to query every single series in the fred database using r. I have checked out both the quantmod and fImport packages, and they work fine, though it seems that quantmod fits my use a bit ...
1
vote
1answer
64 views

Does it make sense to interpret autocorrelation and box test on 5 data points?

I am trying to see if after I trade a stock the price movements at 2, 5, 7, 10, 30 and 60 seconds after exhibit any autocorrelation. Below I have the returns from my trade price to the trade 2,5,7,10 ...
1
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1answer
177 views

Broker or source of intraday futures data for a python API?

I am looking for a broker that offers a python API for downloading historical intraday data on futures. So far I have only seen Interactive Brokers and Tradestation. Are there some other brokers ...
1
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1answer
146 views

Interpretation of Johansen cointegration test in R

I am using urca package of R for Johansen Cointegration test in 2 stocks datas( A and B. My question is very elementar, but have cause some problems for me. How I interpret the critical values, for ...
1
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3answers
115 views

What's the disadvantage of using linear programming for portfolio optimization?

I am a MFE student and we have project on the Markowitz portfolio optimization problem. i am wondering how much impact there will be, if I use a simpler linear optimizater instead of a quadratic one....
1
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2answers
143 views

convert three months interbank rate into monthly rate

I have a time series of the three month interbank rate each month and I suppose that the rate is has yearly frequency. I need these interbank rates to be on a monthly basis because I want to us these ...
1
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1answer
324 views

How to use Halton sequence in monte carlo simulation

Does anybody know how to use the Halton pseudo random technique in monte carlo simulation. I'm able to generate the sequences and I know they are correct. I checked a couple of numbers from different ...
1
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1answer
121 views

What is type of Operating income to total assets ratio? [closed]

What is type of Operating income to total assets ratio? Leverage, Profitability, Asset composition or Liquidity? and why?
1
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1answer
198 views

Conversion of SPY prices to ES prices

I have a system that I use intraday that works great on SPY. Due to the extra leverage available plus other benefits I am thinking about trading the system using ES. Is there a conversion factor ...
1
vote
2answers
105 views

Using IRR to calculate future value of cashflow

Discounting a cashflow using given forward rates will result in the following present value: PV = 102.875 = ${5\over (1+3\%)}$ + ${5\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)}$ + ${105\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)(1+5\%)}$ where ...
1
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1answer
183 views

Finding the Interest Compounded with Bank Advertising Yield

A bank is advertising 9.5% accounts that yield 9.84% annually. How often is the interest compounded. Answer is Quarterly. I've been trying to look for the formula for this; it doesnt seem to be ...
1
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1answer
83 views

Pricing employee stock options

ESOs are typically priced using the black-scholes model, but with an additional parameter for for the employee turnover rates . An example http://www.investopedia.com/university/employee-stock-...
1
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1answer
207 views

Jacobian transformation

I am trying to calculate pillar-wise sensitivity of a fixed coupon bond using par rates (given pillar-wise zero coupon sensitivities). I came across the formula pv01(par) = pv01(zero) * dz/dr, where ...
1
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1answer
136 views

Capital gains and dividends tax arbitrage

There is a statement in Paul Wimott Introduce Quantitative Finance: Often capital gains due to the rise in a stock price are taxed differently from a dividend, which is often treated as income. ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views

Regression model syntax

I'm following the methodology outlined in Developing High-Frequency Equities Trading Models. On page 27, the author outlines an OLS regression model to obtain beta coefficients. The model is defined ...

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