0
votes
1answer
12 views

Accuracy of GARCH& ARCH forecast

I'm learing ARCH&GARCH model. I have four questions that I don't know the answers 1st: ARCH & GARCH are often used to evaluate equities. Does it mean that ARCH and GARCH are fitter for high ...
1
vote
0answers
5 views

Underlying Sample Space in Continuous Market Model

E.g., a model for $N$ stocks might have each follow a GBM $dS_i = \mu_i S_i dt + \sigma_i S_i dW_i$, where each $W_i$ is independent of the others. Letting $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be the ...
5
votes
1answer
118 views

Normalized price process $Z(t)=\frac{\Pi(t)}{B(t)}$

If an interest rate model with the following $P$-dynamics for the short rate. $$dr(t)=\mu(t,r(t))dt+\sigma(t,r(t))d\bar{W}(t)$$ Now consider a $T$-claim of the form $\chi = \Phi(r(T))$ with ...
5
votes
0answers
97 views
+100

Why do people always seek finite-variance models for option pricing

For the purpose of getting fatter tails than the Guassian, I have seen people for example use $\alpha$-stable processes to model the stock. But in that case they end up using 'tempered' versions of ...
12
votes
8answers
7k views

Should I use an arithmetic or a geometric calculation for the Sharpe Ratio?

What are the advantages/disadvantages of using the arithmetic Sharpe Ratio vs the geometric Sharpe Ratio? Is one more correct? Or is one better in certain circumstances?
1
vote
0answers
12 views

Fitting High Frequency Indicators

I have a high frequency time series of the bid and ask prices of a stock recorded on every tick. For each data point I also have a certain indicators that predict the future movement of the price. The ...
4
votes
1answer
93 views

What's Risk-Neutral in an Interest Rate Model?

In Shreve II, on p. 265 he states the Hull-White interest rate model as $$ dR(u) = \left( a(u) - b(u)R(u)\right) dt + \sigma(u)d\tilde{W}(u), $$ and then mentions "...$\tilde{W}(u)$ is a Brownian ...
3
votes
1answer
448 views

The greeks: where do they come from?

I’m studying the BSM model and having a look at the greeks. I was reading Derivatives, by Paul Wilmott, and he gives the closed form solutions without making the reader see where these solutions come ...
2
votes
1answer
24 views

Why can't you arb skew by buying options with low implied vol and selling high implied vol in the same month and dynamically hedging?

there's something I've been trying to understand for a while now and I just can't quite understand with regards to skew. In the same month, why can't you buy a option that have low implied vol on the ...
5
votes
0answers
27 views

Are there references about liquidation, transaction, market impact costs in portfolio optimization

I am looking for some references treating of what I would call liquidation cost market impact cost transaction cost(*) in the usual "portfolio optimization problem under linear constraints". Let ...
2
votes
0answers
11 views

Matlab Portfolio Optimization with bid ask spread

I'm trying to find the optimal portfolio of options and stock which minimizes the standard deviation of the portfolio returns but also taking into consideration the bid and ask prices of the assets. ...
2
votes
1answer
43 views

How can one value a Bermuda option?

A Bermuda option allows early exercise at predefined dates, e.g. at maturity equal to $t_1$, $t_2$, $t_3$,...; hence , would its value be the sum of 3 discounted European options with 1-year ...
12
votes
2answers
5k views

How to derive the implied probability distribution from B-S volatilities?

The general problem I have is visualization of the implied distribution of returns of a currency pair. I usually use QQplots for historical returns, so for example versus the normal distribution: ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Aggregate interactive brokers data in matlab

I am using matlab and interactive brokers API. I am getting real time data using tickerID = ib.realtime({ct},'233',@(varargin)ibEventRealTimeData(varargin{:})); where ib is the interface to ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

How can one get broker order data?

Is there any chance to get order data from any broker with a label from which account it came from? The accounts can be anonymized, i just need to identify an account's orders sent. Any help will ...
2
votes
1answer
36 views

Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from IV surface

I'm looking for an excel example (not a copy of Dupire's eqn) of how to convert an IV surface to a local vol surface. If unsuccessful I'll work through Dupire's eqn but would be helpful to look at an ...
2
votes
0answers
33 views

Hedging - calculating option prices using implied volatility surface

To hedge a strategy is it accurate "enough" to price an option using an implied vol curve vs moneyness (strike/spot) assuming sticky delta? The moneyness can be read off the chart, its corresponding ...
1
vote
2answers
23 views

Using IRR to calculate future value of cashflow

Discounting a cashflow using given forward rates will result in the following present value: PV = 102.875 = ${5\over (1+3\%)}$ + ${5\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)}$ + ${105\over (1+3\%)(1+4\%)(1+5\%)}$ where ...
1
vote
1answer
24 views

Finding the Interest Compounded with Bank Advertising Yield

A bank is advertising 9.5% accounts that yield 9.84% annually. How often is the interest compounded. Answer is Quarterly. I've been trying to look for the formula for this; it doesnt seem to be ...
4
votes
0answers
29 views

Pricing an American call under the CGMY model

I am pricing an American call under the CGMY model ($0 < Y < 1$) with strike $K$ at grid point $(x_i,\tau_i)$ where $x_i=x_{min}+i\,\Delta x $ for $i=0,1,...N$ and $\Delta ...
4
votes
1answer
52 views

Sharpe Maximization under Quadratic Constraints

When doing Sharpe optimization $$ \max_x \frac{\mu^T x}{\sqrt{x^T Q x}} $$ there is a common trick (section 5.2) used to put the problem in convex form. You add a variable $\kappa$ such that $x = ...
3
votes
1answer
53 views

Why $W_{t}^3$ is not a martigale?(by Definition)

If $W_t$ be a wiener process then,how can i show that $W_{t}^{3}$ is not a martingale by definition?
1
vote
0answers
3 views

The difference in sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model.

The question is that I want to know whether there is difference in the applying of sign bias test in detecting the exist of asymmetric effects and the adequacy of symmetric GARCH model. In the ...
2
votes
0answers
12 views

Yield for valuation of illiquid corporate bond

I am trying to value a illiquid corporate bond issued at a discount to face value by a privately held company in India. The corporate bond is a sinkable bond (amortizing principle) with coupon rate of ...
1
vote
1answer
31 views

Pricing employee stock options

ESOs are typically priced using the black-scholes model, but with an additional parameter for for the employee turnover rates . An example ...
1
vote
0answers
15 views

Major categories of tradable securities and the ETF's that track them?

I'm just starting to learn about quantitative finance and I'm overwhelmed by the amount of tradable securities out there. I'm seeing all these things like VXX, TLT, TMF, SPY, SPXL, HYG, VWEHX and so ...
3
votes
1answer
63 views

Ho-Lee Model; Please explain

I'm having trouble with the Ho-Lee model for short rates and differentiating between how to find the values for the free parameter λ versus using the model to predict future rates. The Ho-Lee model ...
6
votes
4answers
185 views

If I have found a way to predict stocks trend with 58% accuracy, is it good?

Say I have found a way through technical analysis to predict how stocks would behave with 58% accuracy, how good is this percentage?
1
vote
1answer
89 views

Spread over LIBOR on a Equity Swap

Does anyone how banks determine the spread over LIBOR on a Equity Swap? Example: Party A pays the return on SPTR to Party B Party B pays 1M LIBOR + 40 bps to Party A Does anyone know how the 40 ...
4
votes
2answers
505 views

BDT model implementation

I am looking for a nice and readable description of how to implement BDT model: $d log(r(t)) = [\theta(t)-\frac{\sigma'(t)}{\sigma(t)}log(r(t))]dt + \sigma(t) dW$. I assume I already have ...
11
votes
5answers
2k views

Why is the VIX futures market usually in a state of contango?

I'm a VIX newbie and I'm trying to understand why the VIX futures market is usually in a state of contango. All I can figure is that the sellers of VIX futures contracts demand high "prices" (because ...
4
votes
1answer
81 views

Need for Binomial Representation Theorem

In some texts (e.g. Baxter & Rennie, Shreve I) the binomial model is first constructed using the usual backward induction argument, and it is concluded that by no-arbitrage the time $t$ value of a ...
3
votes
1answer
46 views

How can I calculate $Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right)$

How can I calculate? \begin{align} Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right) \end{align} Thank you for your attention.
1
vote
1answer
59 views

Why there are almost no book for revenue analytic?

Why there are almost no book for revenue analytic? By revenue analytic, it is meant to be predicting the revenue of a firm in the future
3
votes
1answer
185 views

US options market/microstruture research

Can someone point out where to find up to date market/microstruture research in the options market?
1
vote
0answers
19 views

order routing for a fill

Lets assume a FIFO rules in futures, I buy a contract and id like to sell it. Should I estimate the possibilite of orders on opposite side would be filled first? If I watch new orders incoming at new ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Compounded Quarterly [on hold]

Money borrowed today is to be paid in 6 equal payments at the end of 6 quarters. If the interest is 12% Compounded Quarterly. How much was initially borrowed if quarterly payment is $2000 Answer is ...
13
votes
5answers
8k views

Are there any good tools for back testing options strategies?

There are all kinds of tools for backtesting linear instruments (like stocks or stock indices). It is a completely different story when it comes to option strategies. Most of the tools used are ...
3
votes
0answers
54 views
+100

Model a floating rate BBB yield curve

Background: We want to design a compensated prepayment liability index to define an amount a bond buyer would need to receive in a redemption prior to the nominal maturity of a bond. Ideally we'd ...
1
vote
1answer
107 views

Forward Curves and Par Yield Curves

I'm recently reading a research paper on the yield curve by Salomon brothers and in it it states that when the forward curve is above the par yield curve, it is seen as cheaper. If for example, the ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Test .mql4 (meta trader 4 editor) when the fx market offline

I am coding some simple .mql4 program, you know, the fx market is offline on weekend, and the market will be not shown in Meta trader 4 platform. I wanna test my program in meta trader 4 on weekend. ...
7
votes
3answers
171 views

Option Pricing Model Calibration In Practice

I'm curious how an option pricing model like the Heston model is calibrated in practice. Here's how I imagine it happens: Let's say I have access to the most recent option prices on a given stock ...
3
votes
1answer
138 views

How to estimate CVA by valuing a CDS of the counterparty?

I'm trying to estimate CVA of one of my derivatives by valuing a credit default swap (CDS) of my counterparty. However, I don't know how to set up the CDS deal (notional amount, maturity, etc.). ...
1
vote
1answer
61 views

Completeness and Hedging Question

A question in some private notes I'm struggling to work through (exam. prep.). (iii) is where I hit a wall with my understanding & I'm lost thereafter. Any help/clarification gratefully received. ...
2
votes
2answers
73 views

How to select optimal look back period for statistical arbitrage?

Is it possible to estimate the optimal look back period for OLS from which we test if residuals are stationary? Almost all papers that I read use random look back periods of 100 days, 252 days, 500 ...
5
votes
0answers
38 views

Does price of american (put) option exhibit smooth pasting in time direction under B-S model?

Let us consider the BS model and let $f(s,t)$ denote the price of an American put option with $t$ to expiry, then it is known the solution of the optimal stopping (when it is risk neutral) related to ...
3
votes
1answer
266 views

VaR mapping - Forward Foreign Currency Contract

I have a question about VaR mapping for FX forwards. Please bear with me while I outline the problem. Philippe Jorion's book discusses VaR mapping; a means to break down complex instruments into ...
4
votes
1answer
76 views

Boundary conditions of PDE from SV model with stochastic interest rate

The PDE for the American put option price $P(S,\sigma ,r,t)$ is \begin{align*} 0 =& P_t+P_SS(r-\delta)+P_\sigma a(\sigma)+P_r\alpha (r,t) \\ +& \frac{1}{2}P_{SS}S^2\sigma ^2 + ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

How should I use central banks rates in order to compute 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD

Good morning, I would like to compute a 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD. For that, I have historical data on EURUSD spot price, and I know that theoretically, when maturity is T we have : ...
5
votes
1answer
171 views

What are the main market efficiency measures in the stock market?

I'm going to test for the effect of the change in market efficiency on the stock market portfolio, and, I want to know what are the main measures known in the academic literature in order to compare ...

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