14
votes
3answers
254 views

Regression model when samples are small and not correlated

I received this question during an onsite interview for a quant job and I'm still scratching my head on how to solve this problem. Any help would be appreciated. Mr Quant thinks that there is a ...
10
votes
5answers
4k views

Best way to store hourly/daily options data for research purposes

There are quite a few discussions here about storage, but I can't find quite what I'm looking for. I'm in need to design a database to store (mostly) option data (strikes, premiums bid / ask, etc.). ...
4
votes
3answers
532 views

Why should there be an equity risk premium?

After years of mathematical finance I am still not satisfied with the idea of a risk premium in the case of stocks. I agree that (often) there is a premium for long dated bonds, illiquid bonds or ...
0
votes
1answer
38 views

Why Is Bond Time Value Risk Not Considered in Bond Immunization?

I know bond portfolio immunization includes duration and (if the hedging period is longer) convexity matching. These are equivalent to taking the first and second partial derivatives of the bond ...
0
votes
1answer
18 views

Which close price should we use for machine learning?

I am building a machine learning model using historical prices and I am using data from yahoo finance. Currently yahoo finance data have two close prices one normal close price(close) and other ...
5
votes
3answers
478 views

Debunking risk premium via “hedging” argument? (or why even in the real world $\mu$ should equal $r$)

Since I began thinking about portfolio optimization and option pricing, I've struggled to get an intuition for the risk premium, i.e. that investors are only willing to buy risky instruments when they ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

financial mathematics bond related problem [on hold]

Joe must pay liabilities of 1,000 due 6 months from now and another 1,000 due one year from now. There are two possible investments: 1) A 6-month bond with face amount of 1,000, an 8% nominal annual ...
0
votes
1answer
16 views

Is this representation of the put-call parity correct? (Implied dividend estimation)

I am looking at implied dividend yields to be obtained from the put-call parity and have come across the following answer: Implied dividend estimation It states that $$ PV(div) = P - C + (S - K) + ...
2
votes
2answers
169 views

Understanding the solution of this integral

The following integral represents an expected value of a geometric brownian motion for $S_T>K$ (i.e. part of the Black-Scholes call option price): $$\int_{z^*} ...
0
votes
2answers
34 views

Multivariate Ito problem $M_t=\frac{X_t}{Y_t}$

I am analyzing a problem given in the lecture slides published here (Slide 7-8 Example of Multivariate Ito’s Lemma). Can anybody explain how the $M_t$ was calculated out of the Ito formula. I ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

Validation of unrealized P&L calculation [on hold]

Given I am long EUR/USD $10$m (in EUR) at $1.3500$ and if now the marked to market value is $1.3470$, then would the unrealized P&L be \$ $30,000$? The initial position in dollars is EUR $10$ ...
0
votes
0answers
9 views

Validation of an outright bid/ask computation

Given that the spot USD/CAD (for example) is $1.6120/25$ and six month forward swaps are $27/26$. What would the outright price be? I notice that bid of swap is larger than ask, that implies that is ...
1
vote
2answers
24 views

Implied Volatility as proxy for instantaneous volatility

In many papers and book I have found a reasoning that it is well summarized in this paper as "The first proxy we use is an unadjusted Black-Scholes proxy in which the implied volatility of a ...
3
votes
4answers
136 views

Black-Scholes formula proof, without stochastic integration

I've looked into many books at my academic library, and very often it goes like this: Brownian motion Then, stochastic integration (Itô's formula etc.) Application: Black-Scholes formula for price ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Calculating the YTM of a bond with only a calculator [on hold]

How can you solve something like the following, just by using calculator (basically not using a computer): A seven year bond has coupon 5% (p.a.) and current price is 101.46% of face value. What is ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

True yield question [on hold]

First of all, is there a different between yield to maturity and the true yield of a bond. And then, how would the following be computed: There is a new issue of 180 day US T-bill with a discount ...
0
votes
1answer
15 views

Why is the Risk Free Rate 1 over Contingent Claim Prices?

Reading Asset Pricing by John Cochrane (2005), in his second chapter he defines the risk free rate as: Rf = 1 / sum [pc(s)] Where pc(s) are state contingent claims, where s is the state of nature ...
2
votes
1answer
24 views

Fees on derivatives

Since it's obviously not at their fair value that derivatives are priced, how do investment banks compute the fees that they add on top of the risk neutral price ?
4
votes
1answer
401 views

comparing total returns from various data vendors

I need to use various data sources to cover all of my data, and I am concerned by the discrepancies in total returns. Data vendors were helpful, but their simple documentation did not help resolve why ...
4
votes
1answer
85 views

How are Quandl monthly S&P500 earnings estimates derived?

Can someone explain how the monthly earnings estimates are derived for S&P500? Quandl sources multpl.com, who state: ...
0
votes
1answer
19 views

Overpricing Bermudan swaption using Shifted LMM

I am trying to model a callable range accrual note linked to the EUR CMS spread, 20Y-10Y, with cap and floor. The note is Bermudan, callable starting year 3, every 3 years till maturity at 30 year. We ...
0
votes
0answers
9 views

calculate 6 month change in TED spread

I have a basic question if someone could help me out how would I calculate the 6 month change in TED spread. I have a monthly time series of TED spreads.
0
votes
0answers
9 views

Where can I find CMS swap trading prices?

I am writing a paper about CMS swap. To do so, I'd like to compare different theoretical pricing methods of these instruments to the "real prices" i.e. prices used in the marketplace. But I don't ...
1
vote
1answer
26 views

Old CBOE SPX options data: listing and expdate issue

I can't figure out the logic behind SPX option data for 2008-2009 years. First, all traditional SPX options have exp_date on the third Saturday of each month. How can it be? Why not Friday? Second, ...
2
votes
2answers
107 views
+50

Options Data Sources

I am using Option Metrics to study a couple of things related to options. However, Option Metrics is quite limited in terms of scope (mainly it's US equities). I was wondering two things: 1) Are ...
4
votes
2answers
64 views

Realized “efficient” frontier. Is this reasonable?

I have performed some out-of-sample analysis of mean-variance optimization with monthly rebalancing. Studying the "realized efficient frontier", I am worried that something is wrong. Since the ...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

Second Moment of Stock Process

I have a stock process which I have decided to model as $$S_T=S_t\exp((r-q-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)(T-t)+\sigma(W_T-Wt))-D_T$$ where $D_T$ is a cash dividend at time $T$. This dividend is known. I then ...
11
votes
2answers
263 views

Deriving the definition of stochastic integrals with respect to Ito processes from first principles

When I first encountered the definition of integrals with respect to Ito processes (Shreve's Stochastic Calculus for Finance Vol II), I didn't think twice. However, I wanted to see if the definition ...
3
votes
3answers
38 views

Perpetual American Put Supermartingale property

Discounted price process of an american put (perpetual) has a $dt$ part in it, which is negative if the price at time $t$ is less than the optimal exercise price. This is the only thing that drags the ...
2
votes
2answers
808 views

ex ante tracking error correlation between funds

I have two portfolio's called Comb & Global. They both have the same investable universe lets says 3000 stocks & are measured against the same benchmark. So it is possible that both funds hold ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

measuring portfolio performance using monte carlo simulation

I have a financial portfolio comprising standard asset classes such as equities, bonds, and commodities. I developped a strategy (optimized) and I include it in the financial portfolio. I want to ...
4
votes
4answers
2k views

Where can I get historical fundamental data for multiple companies in a single CSV file?

Summary I seek an explicit reference to a source that gives me a fixed URL, e.g. http://example.com/?isin=US1912161007 or ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

serial correlation, Fama MacBeth (1973) procedure incorporating momentum

I have a question regarding the use of the Fama-MacBeth (1973) procedure on panel data. I am investigating the cross sectional determinants of expected REIT return following the procedure from: Chui, ...
0
votes
2answers
23 views

Combos on close SPX

I am wondering if anyone has any information on how combos on close trade. I've been looking at the BTIC (http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/btic-block-trades.html) and was wondering if ...
11
votes
4answers
9k views

Central Index Key (CIK) of all traded stocks

Is there a way by which I can get a list of CIK of all registered stocks at the SEC?
1
vote
1answer
181 views

how can we know the residual return will be uncorrelated with the market return

I was reading that if we know a portfolios beta we can break the excess return on that portfolio into a market component and a residual component. ...
1
vote
0answers
22 views

Interplay of statistical factors (PCA) and market factors (value, momentum, low vol, …)

Is there any research done on the interplay between statistical factors (as a result of principle component analysis PCA) and the market factors (especially value, size, low vol, momentum, quality)? ...
11
votes
1answer
514 views

Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also the short term EURIBOR has ...
0
votes
2answers
27 views

How do companies forecast revenue and earning estimates for a quarter or year in advance?

I'm sure there are models and they have low and high estimates. But how to do they decide on the percentage growth? A bit of art + science?
1
vote
0answers
29 views

calculating long short portfolios currency exposure

I have calculated the currency exposures of a long short portfolio simply by summing the weights of each stock. However I was told that I need to incorporate the dollar borrowing (short dollars), I ...
8
votes
2answers
162 views

Stochastic Calculus Rescale Exercise

I have the following system of SDE's $ dA_t = \kappa_A(\bar{A}-A_t)dt + \sigma_A \sqrt{B_t}dW^A_t \\ dB_t = \kappa_B(\bar{B} - B_t)dt + \sigma_B \sqrt{B_t}dW^B_t $ If $\sigma_B > \sigma_A$ I ...
0
votes
1answer
32 views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot ...
6
votes
1answer
758 views

How to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio

Anyone have a clue how to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio? Let's say I want to compare the Relative strength for these: EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund EWD ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
6
votes
5answers
291 views

Thoughts on how quantitative hedge funds use machine learning to invest in the stock market (algorithms, examples of data, etc.)

I believe there are several post on this general topic but I thought I would start my own thread. I'm a former fundamental hedge fund investor (i.e. modeling a company's financials, forecasting the ...
0
votes
2answers
53 views

Portfolio return for assets held for different lengths of time

How does one calculate the return on a portfolio if the assets in that portfolio were held for varying periods of time? For Example: $t_0$ Buy AAPL at 100 $t_5$ Buy MSFT at 20 $t_1$$_0$ Sell MSFT at ...
4
votes
1answer
54 views

What are the answers to these questions on card deck and option pricing?

here are 3 questions I have some trouble dealing with. Your help will be greatly appreciated! 1 - We have a deck card: 26 red, 26 black. we play a game: you draw a card from the deck without putting ...
0
votes
2answers
14 views

How can you find change in working capital and capital expenditures without a balance sheet?

I'm working with the following information trying to work through a valuation exercise and I'm absolutely stuck. How can I find ∆WC and CAPX with this information?
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Ledoit-Wolf, expected order of optimal shrinkage intensity

I have a question regarding the optimal shrinkage intensity derived in the Ledoit-Wolf method. Specifically, I'm referring to their version concerned with the target defined as the single index factor ...
4
votes
2answers
267 views

Where can I get equivalent of 3 months libor or swap historical data?

Please note: I have already checked your standard "Historical data sources" link, but it does not have the data I need: I am looking for 5 years of libor/swap data for major currencies. Daily, or ...

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