# All Questions

97 views

### Best simplified way to model volatility in returns of an investment in a risky fixed income asset

I am currently working on a project where I have analyzed a certain category of fixd income instruments, and I now have the gross aggregate yield as well as the theoretical gross-aggregate ...
12 views

### Constructing NS-Svensson parameters with zero coupon AND coupon bonds

I am in the process of calculating sovereign zero coupon yield curves using the NS-Svensson parameter for a number of countries. Due to data constraints, I would like to use the information from price ...
153 views

### Math background required to understand geometric brownian motion

What mathematical concepts are required before I can understand what exactly is a Geometric Brownian motion as applicable to stock prices? I mean which branches of probability, calculus, statistics ...
155 views

### How google finance calculates beta of a stock

How google finance calculates beta of a stock - What is the proxy for the market? - What is the time period it uses for regression?
24 views

### Risk budgeting for Non linear Portfolios

I am using this question to compute optimal weights following a risk budgeting approach. The problem is I am using non-linear portfolios (options,equity,fixed income,fx). What I am looking for is ...
21 views

### Tools/R-code to create gain/loss-asymmetry plots

The gain/loss asymmetry is a well known stylized fact: It basically states that real financial time series take longer for going up than going down. To detect it a heavy statistical machinery is ...
62 views

### Calibration Merton Jump-Diffusion

Consider the following SDE $dV_t = rV_tdt +\sigma V_t dW_t + dJ_t$ where $J_t$ is a Compound poisson process with log-Normal jump size $Y_i$. How am I supposed to calibrate this model to CDS ...
191 views

### Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Dear Stackexchange users, given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also ...
39 views

### Orthogonal Regression/PCA

I am doing orthogonal regression. My X matrix consists of returns on a broad market index, value index, growth index, a few sectors,.....(my Y is the returns on an equity fund) I am regressing the Y ...
26 views

### Estimate volatility in forecast

I have a model with a rolling forecast. In each time step $t$, I predict the price for the next periods, e.g. $\hat{p}(t, t+1)$ and $\hat{p}(t, t+2)$. If I start in $t=0$ and arrive at $t=2$, I ...
28 views

### How difficult/easy it is to migrate from CME FAST to CME MDP3.0?

Has anyone gone through this migration? Just wanted to have an idea of the amount of effort required.
27 views

### Delta hedging cost of exotic options?

I'm simulating dynamic delta hedging for up-and-out call option. For plain vanilla call options, I heard that the option price is the expected value of the accumulated delta hedging cost. Does it also ...
38 views

### FORECASTING Model AR(1) in an Autoregressive Form The Pi´s Parameters

Ive been implementing a little exercise to obtain the first 2 forecasting points of an AR(1) process. And i want to have the forecasting ponts using the three forms: Im folowing this pdf ...
15 views

### calibration of Gaussian two factor short rate model

I am trying to calibrate the gaussian two factor short rate model whose dynamics is given by r(t)=x(t)+y(t)+phi(t) Now to calibrate the model to term structure ...
16 views

### Merton Jump Diffusion Model: Influence of lambda

I use Monte Carlo to simulate sample paths of Merton's jump diffusin model. By plotting a histogram of the log returns and using kerneldensity to approximate the density function I try to look at the ...
243 views

### Question on Barrier Option and Skew

If you bought an Equity Call Option with a Down-and-In Barrier, are you Long Skew or Short Skew? Please provide explanation as well. Thanks.
380 views

### Empirical copula

I am trying to find the empirical copula linking two random variables $X$ and $Y$. I have some data available but it's limited with respect to the variable $Y$ and I am not convinced it's enough data ...
40 views

### Garch models and assumption of stationarity ?

I found big inconsistency in the GARCH models and their underlying assumption of stationarity. GARCH models require that data must be stationary, where stationary means both mean and variance are ...
868 views

### Monte Carlo simulating Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process

The CIR process is given by the SDE $$\mathrm dr_t = \theta(\mu-r_t)\mathrm dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}\mathrm dW_t$$ where $W_t$ is a Brownian motion. I am interested in finite-difference schemes of ...
29 views

### Transforming coupon bond returns to ZC bond returns

I am interested in aggregated Amihud ratios measures over bond groups. For a large panel data set with daily bond prices and volumes I have calculated already Amihud ratios per ISIN/day. Naive ...
119 views

### Semi-variance/Downside Risk, what about the rest of the covariance matrix?

I just bumped into a rather interesting article from wikipedia : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Downside_risk where they define the semi-variance also called Downside risk, which bascially only ...
994 views

### How can I calculate Fama-French betas for a particular stock?

For a particular stock, what's the simplest way to calculate betas for the Fama-French factors SMB and HML?
202 views

### Can Gaussianity of returns depend on the time frame?

I would be interested in knowing if the fact that returns are Gaussian is disproved on all time frames, or if, for example, the 5 minute intra-day time frame could exhibits Gaussian returns assuming ...
1k views

### Tools/R code for predicting Dragon-Kings

The theory of the so called Dragon-Kings, esp. by Didier Sornette (ETH Zürich), basically states that financial crises and crashes are predictable (contrary to the theory of black swans). The ...
293 views

### How is stock data objectively different to this random walk?

I have a random walk that is generated as so using python, numpy, and matplotlib ...
8k views

### Is “eoddata” a good data source?

Not sure if this is a relevant question for site, but I am looking to move to www.eoddata.com as my data source. If anyone has used it, can you tell me how the data quality is ? I am currently ...
21 views

### how to convert notional to nominal of bond future to ctd bond

I want to know if you can easily convert a notional of a bond futures contract into the nominal of the ctd bond if you have the conversion factor. For example you have 1000 notional of a futures ...
65 views

### Rebalancing portfolio weights

I have a matrix of returns and weights for every time period. ...
114 views

### Why $N(d_1)$ and $N(d_2)$ are different in Black & Scholes

I'm struggling to understand the meaning of $d_1$ and $d_2$ in Black & Scholes formula and why they're different from each other. As per the formula, $$C = SN(d_1) - e^{-rT}XN(d_2)$$ which ...
26 views

### Gain/loss-asymmetry in artificial financial markets?

The gain/loss asymmetry is a well known stylized fact: It basically states that real financial time series take longer for going up than going down. My question Are you aware of any artificial ...
41 views

### Impact of big order on price

What is known about the question: If someone buys or sells a huge amount of some asset how the price would change ? Of course, it depends on the kind of assets and other context. My main interest is ...
59 views

### Legitimate input parameters for Nelson Siegel Svensson model

I had previously asked this question and have come to better understand the answer with regards to setting the input parameters for the Non-Linear Optimization problem that provides the NSS ...
23 views

### Quantitative methods for Fund Managers [on hold]

I might be wrong, but from what I've seen most Fund Managers are CFA guys with little quantitative background. They rely way more on market experience than cold numbers. Is there such a thing as a ...
19 views

### delta of a swaption using Bringo

I struggeling with calculating the delta of a swaption. In the interest rate case I usually mess around with the multiple cash flows over time so that the discounting is more complex than in the ...
42 views

### Connection between implied volatily and implied probability

I am reading some lecture notes about Black-Scholes (BS) option pricing. Since the BS-formula is not supported by observed data because of the dependence of the implied volatility on the strik and ...
44 views

### How to learn QuantLib-python at first?

In my project, I have to get the delta of up and out call option (with vol surface). I found out that QuantLib might help me on that. Since my main language is python and I don't know well about C++, ...
68 views

### Jump-Diffusion Processes

This last quarter of college for senior project, I will be doing research on the application of jump-diffusion processes to pricing derivatives. I was wondering if anyone could recommend any resources ...
44 views

### About the boundary conditions of the Black-Scholes-Merton PDE

I have a question about the solution of the Black-Scholes PDE for the European call option when I read the book Stochastic Calculus for Finance II of Steven E.Shreve. Let $c(t,x)$ be the value of the ...
23 views
+50

### Bayesian logit model in Psychometric or Behavioural Testing for Credit Scoring in Developing Countries

A lot of parameters in one title, I know. So there's credit scoring but not using credit history. Then there's using a Bayesian logit model. Then there's doing so in a developing country such as Haiti ...
307 views

### Understanding $N(d_1)$ and how to use the stock itself as the numeraire?
Assume the stock price follows a geometric Brownian motion Then in Black-Scholes pricing model, $N(d_2)$ is the risk-neutral probability that the option expires in-the-money. However, it is said that ...