0
votes
1answer
81 views

Analysing FX Data

When analysing currencies, the data always comes in pairs so it is hard to normalise a multivariate time series of data e.g. if I have GBPvsUSD, EURvsUSD and CADvsUSD then changes in the US economy ...
1
vote
3answers
141 views

Estimate of fx trading volume

I understand that there are no official figures of fx trading volume per currency, but are there any good estimates? Is there any fx exchange that is particularly forthcoming with its volume data, ...
1
vote
1answer
30 views

Correlation Multiple Currencies

If i have a portfolio of stocks from different currencies and i want to generate a correlation matrix from the stocks, how is the correct procedure ? Imagine a portfolio which the base currency is ...
2
votes
2answers
105 views

How to classify stocks by their volatility?

I would like to hear other possible ways of classifying Stocks by the Volatility of their returns. Assuming that I want to characterize each stock as Low, Medium or High Volatility Stock and assuming ...
0
votes
3answers
82 views

How to create a model or formula for evaluating trade opportunities

I want to build a formula to produce a score for a potential trade based on 4 variables, time, return, liquidity of security, and probability of failure. For a set of potential trades I first ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

Fixed volatility portfolio with max returns creates skewed results

I am trying to create a portfolio of only four components using the mean-variance optimization (MVO). I am setting up my problem such that I want to maximize the expected returns with a fixed vol ...
3
votes
3answers
65 views

Modelling currency exchange rates timeseries data across re-denomation dates

I am working with data for an exotic currency, that has been re-denominated a couple of times during the twenty years of data that I have. What is the best way of 'normalising' the data, so that I ...
2
votes
2answers
43 views

Algorithm to detect the aggressor side of a trade

Most of the exchanges provide aggressor side property of trades (e.g. Tag=5797 AggressorSide on CME) in their raw data. But many data providers do not provide this information via their datafeed ...
2
votes
0answers
23 views

State Space models with Short Time Series

My problem is that I have a state space model that I estimate using the Berndt–Hall–Hall–Hausman (BHHH) algorithm. The state space model is relatively simple in that the hidden part follows a pure ...
1
vote
2answers
167 views

Why is that a risk averse consumer buys the optimum insurance when there is actuarially fair insurance?

I think I understand the fact that when marginal utilities of the same function are equal (a consequence of the actuarially fair insurance), the independent variables in it must be equal -- right? But ...
4
votes
0answers
47 views

Explicit solution SDE

I have the following SDE: $$dY_{t}=A\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{1}+B\left(\frac{W_{t}^{1}}{\sqrt{t}},\frac{Y_{t}}{\sqrt{t}}\right)dW_{t}^{2}$$ where ...
-3
votes
0answers
25 views

Reference on risk measures

I want some reference book on risk measures and their comparisons. Thanks in advance.
0
votes
0answers
28 views

Which is the better risk sensitive measure?

Consider the two following optimization problem 1) $$ \min_{\theta} \ln E_{\theta}[ e^{X}]$$ 2) $$ \min_{\theta} E_{\theta}[ X]$$ with the constraint $$ Var_{\theta}[X] <c$$ Is it true that ...
4
votes
1answer
60 views

Nested volatility

The introduction VIX options makes the concept of "volatility of volatility" a real life concept. The idea of "nested volatility" seems interesting, and I am wondering if there are any academic ...
0
votes
1answer
21 views

Contribute to Finance related projects [on hold]

I am currently a student and in the future would like to work as a software developer for a financial institution such as Bloomberg, Factset etc. I was looking to contribute to some open source or ...
2
votes
4answers
285 views

Implementing A 50/50 Prediction Model Strategy

Reworded the question for clarity (see edits for original post): How can one knowingly foresee where a 50/50 prediction model will be profitable? For previous posts: I understand that if I have a ...
1
vote
2answers
53 views

CVA/CDVA - Worsened Credit Quality implies profit?

In the book Counterparty Credit Risk, Collateral and Funding by Brigo et al I found the following: credit quality of investor WORSENS $\Rightarrow$ books POSITIVE MARK TO MKT credit quality of ...
1
vote
2answers
44 views

Art market specificities

I am looking for some reference on the art market in light of quantitative finance. I am interested in some things: The market in general, how is it compared to financial market ? What about common ...
-3
votes
1answer
1k views

Is there a piratebay for data(bases)? (here, talking about historical financial data) [closed]

I would like to, for example, access (and later, upload), for example, historical financial data for the S&P500. If a piratebay for databases existed, maybe we could freely share information that ...
3
votes
1answer
60 views

How does US banks ensure that other country's banks aren't counterfeiting USD?

I have had this question for a long time. For example, if I wire 50M USD from China to the US, does the Chinese bank physically deliver 50M USD cash to the US bank? or is it just changing a number in ...
3
votes
2answers
267 views

Delta hedging frequency for plain vanilla European options under trading costs

I am looking for methods to select points in time when delta hedging plain vanilla European options under trading costs. It is easy to come up with ad hoc ideas such as Time-based: for example at ...
0
votes
2answers
112 views

Intermarket analysis - related time series?

I'm about to embark on training a neural network on daily forex data, with a view to obtaining a predictive network. I'm also interested in using data other than the forex currency pair data itself, ...
4
votes
2answers
61 views

How does this follow from the separating hyperplane theorem?

This is from Pliskas book in mathematical finance. I do not know what was best to write the question so I included the pages from the book. He has not written what form of the separating hyperplane ...
1
vote
1answer
101 views

How to develop your own interest rate model?

How can you develop your own interest rate model? What must be take cautiously before making one? Also what is the regulation that one mustfollow? Also what is some common properties that models ...
4
votes
3answers
1k views

Pairs trading: Question on non-negative profits, size of the positions and trading signals

I'm trying to backtest Pairs Trading but have become a bit confused on the different methods of selecting pairs, how to look for trading signals and what size of the positions to take in the assets. ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

List of dates at which the NYSE was closed from 2005 to 2014?

I'm doing research on historical price movements on the New York Stock Exchange. Because the NYSE is closed on weekends, on holidays, and sometimes because of special events, special care needs to be ...
2
votes
1answer
47 views

Portfolio Optimization - n risky assets

I'm currently implementing a CAPM model in Excel: A portfolio of n risky assets when n=6 (in this case) A riskless borrowing rate of 8% and riskless lending rate of 3% I'm given the expected return ...
1
vote
1answer
46 views

is there an accepted method for quantifying risk of inaccuracy of nascent trm systems?

Have a somewhat meta question here. I am part of a trading risk management implementation project. I also manage day to day risk reporting to management and the trading desks. Our implementation was ...
3
votes
2answers
33 views

Risk Neutral Pricing Necessary Condition

Suppose that I have an option on a single stock expiring at time $T$ and I replicate the payoff of this derivative by investing in the stock market and the money market. So this condition reads $$X(T) ...
5
votes
1answer
212 views

Pricing options under restricted domain

How would I price an option when the underlying security is unable to trade above a certain price? I assumed this would be as simple as restricting the limits of integration of the PDF to B (the ...
1
vote
1answer
65 views

forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate

Question about forward vs spot simply-compounded spot interest rate.Some definitions $P(a,b)$ a zero coupond price at time $a$ and maturity $b$ $L(a,b)$ simply compounded spot interest rate set at ...
1
vote
2answers
138 views
+50

M&A hedging an equity portfolio against an index

Quick Note This question was already posted under the userID user8170. Reason being I could not access my account. Now I am able to login to my account I am reposting the question here and will ...
4
votes
3answers
233 views

selecting test data for neural networks

I have been working on a neural network based on certain technical indicators. As people familiar with neural networks would know after developing a hypothesis, the developer is also supposed to ...
5
votes
1answer
144 views

How to price a Swing Option?

I'm working in the commodity market and I've to price Swing Options with MATLAB, preferably with finite element. Has anyone already priced these kind of derivatives? I'm thinking about using the ...
1
vote
1answer
24 views

Methods for “prompt month equivalent” exposure in commodities forwards/futures markets

It is common in commodities markets to hold many positions, both long and short, across a range of contract months beginning in the prompt month (today, September) to five or more years out. In ...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

Why we substitute volatility into other financial models? [closed]

why are we often substitute volatility into other financial models? volatility is $\sigma_T=\sigma\sqrt{T}$ What kind of behavior does volatility have compare to other possible alternative choice ...
2
votes
1answer
95 views

What is the reasoning to derive this financial model called the Vasicek Model?

The model specifies that the instantaneous interest rate follows the stochastic differential equation $$\mathrm{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\: \mathrm{d}t + \sigma \: \mathrm{d}W_t$$ where $W_{t}$ is a Wiener ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

multi factor equity model exposures not as expected

I'm researching an equity multi factor model. It contains three factors, say A, B & C. The factors are weighted as such, ...
10
votes
5answers
4k views

Using linear regression on (lagged) returns of one stock to predict returns of another

Suppose I want to build a linear regression to see if returns of one stock can predict returns of another. For example, let's say I want to see if the VIX return on day X is predictive of the S&P ...
2
votes
1answer
49 views

hedging with a 3 month fx forward every month

I think this is a bit odd question. Let us say I want to hedge my fx exposure every month but using 3 month forwards . How can I do that ? Is it not easy just to use 1 month forwards ? I recalculate ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Doubt on risk cost criterion

I want to minimize some kind of risk sensitive cost. But, I am confused what cost criterion should I use. I am aware of only expected exponential utility. I want to know what are the other such ...
5
votes
1answer
377 views

Testing the validity of a factor model for stock returns

Consider the following m regression equation system: $$r^i = X^i \beta^i + \epsilon^i \;\;\; \text{for} \;i=1,2,3,..,n$$ where $r^i$ is a $(T\times 1)$ vector of the T observations of the dependent ...
0
votes
2answers
53 views

Infinite autocorrelation - Unit root?

I have a time series of gold prices, on which I want to build an ARIMA model. The series is autocorrelated and if I can difference as often as I want, it always is. First: data: d1gold Dickey-Fuller ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views

Cholesky Decomposition on Correlation Matrix for Correlated Asset Paths

I found a matlab example for modelling correlated asset paths: http://www.goddardconsulting.ca/matlab-monte-carlo-assetpaths-corr.html In this model the author uses the matlab code chol() in order to ...
0
votes
2answers
95 views

How is the price of a bond actually determined?

How the price of a bond is actually determined? Is it the supply-demand that determines the price first and then the YTM is calculated on the back of this for that bond. Or is it that the changes to ...
2
votes
1answer
125 views

Volatility of Futures

Apparently: Under a constant interest rate, the futures price is given by a deterministic time function times the asset price (I think I understand this). This means that the volatility of the ...
0
votes
3answers
65 views

What is the effect of dividend yield being greater than the risk-free rate to American options pricing?

Even though dividends are discrete, literature often makes the assumption of continuous dividends (mostly in the case of indices but the individual stocks as well). The dividend yield denoted by q is ...
2
votes
1answer
49 views

Approximation of different volatilities

Suppose I model the forward swap rate lognormal $$dS_t = \sigma_{ln}S_tdW_t$$ On the other hand we could model it simply by a normal assumption: $$dS_t = \sigma_{n}dW_t$$ I would like to know if ...
3
votes
1answer
77 views

multiperiod optimization using R

I'm interested in multistage optimization problems. Are there any good R packages around to solve such problems over time? I'm not at all an expert in it, so maybe someone knows a good paper / lecture ...
20
votes
8answers
2k views

How to design a custom equity backtester?

I was thinking about writing my own backtester and I realize I have to make some assumptions. So I was hoping I could post what I am planning on doing and hopefully some of you can give me some ideas ...

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