0
votes
0answers
3 views

Copulas and default probability

Assume a basket of 3 credits, each with some unconditional default probability ${q_i}(t) = \Pr [{\tau _i} \le t]$. Consider the joint CDF $H$ of the default times is given by $H(t,t,t) = \Pr [{\tau ...
4
votes
1answer
91 views

How are Quandl monthly S&P500 earnings estimates derived?

Can someone explain how the monthly earnings estimates are derived for S&P500? Quandl sources multpl.com, who state: ...
0
votes
0answers
5 views

Estimating time-varying tail dependence for Archimedean copulas

Patton (2006) defines the upper tail dependence coefficient for a time-varying bivariate SJC copula as $$\tau^u_t=\Lambda \left(\omega_u + \beta_u \tau^u_{t-1}+\alpha_u ...
0
votes
1answer
10 views

Beta = 1 and 0. Type of portfolios

I read in E. Quian's "Quantitative Equitity Portoflio Management" the following: A traditional long-only portfolio [with unit beta] would have most of its risk in the market risk. However, a zero ...
8
votes
4answers
888 views

Strategy Risk and Portfolio Allocation Model (copy from nuclear phynance)

Here is a very interesting question that I found at Nuclear Phynance (original author: Strange); I though it is so interesting that it is worthwhile to ask it here: I have $N$ strategies, across a ...
0
votes
0answers
9 views

Portfolio with a prearranged pay-off curve

My question has been motivated by the following topic: Is Behavioral Finance relevant to quants? I have begun searching relevant optimization option's portfolio models which can describe a ...
1
vote
2answers
54 views

Correlation between asset A and Portfolio X (which contains A)

After a few hours trying to solve this I give up! I need help. I need to calculate the BETA of an asset with respect to a portfolio that contains this asset. I have the volatility and correlations ...
4
votes
2answers
71 views

Realized “efficient” frontier. Is this reasonable?

I have performed some out-of-sample analysis of mean-variance optimization with monthly rebalancing. Studying the "realized efficient frontier", I am worried that something is wrong. Since the ...
1
vote
1answer
91 views

Second Moment of Stock Process

I have a stock process which I have decided to model as $$S_T=S_t\exp((r-q-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)(T-t)+\sigma(W_T-Wt))-D_T$$ where $D_T$ is a cash dividend at time $T$. This dividend is known. I then ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

wishart stochastic volatility models

Stochastic volatility models assume that volatility follow a random process.In the emerging market the volatility tend to be high. why is it that the wishart stochastic volatility model fit well the ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

Selection of optimal backtesting parameters

Suppose I backtest some strategy on in-sample data while varying two parameters, say $X$ and $Y$. $X$ can take the values $\{3,6,9,12,15,18\}$ while $Y$ can take $\{10,15,20,25,30\}$. I want to select ...
2
votes
2answers
851 views

ex ante tracking error correlation between funds

I have two portfolio's called Comb & Global. They both have the same investable universe lets says 3000 stocks & are measured against the same benchmark. So it is possible that both funds hold ...
-4
votes
1answer
144 views

Is there an API to perform request about stocks and financial derivatives? [closed]

Is there an API to make a request such as: all the companies which thier P/E ratio is greater than 50 ? I know I can crawl google finance and have it locally on my ...
0
votes
2answers
41 views

long fra and a short ed future with same fixing dates, is convexivity negative or positive?

If you are long a FRA (forward rate agreement) and short a ED (Eurodollars) future with the same fixing dates, do you have positive convexity or negative convexity? Why? According to the following ...
1
vote
1answer
47 views

Can a momentum strategy be cast as a multilinear regression model?

Disclaimer: the question is similar to Can momentum strategies be quantitative in nature? and (to an extent) What is the expected return I should use for the momentum strategy in MV optimization ...
12
votes
1answer
580 views

Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also the short term EURIBOR has ...
8
votes
2answers
175 views

Stochastic Calculus Rescale Exercise

I have the following system of SDE's $ dA_t = \kappa_A(\bar{A}-A_t)dt + \sigma_A \sqrt{B_t}dW^A_t \\ dB_t = \kappa_B(\bar{B} - B_t)dt + \sigma_B \sqrt{B_t}dW^B_t $ If $\sigma_B > \sigma_A$ I ...
0
votes
1answer
90 views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot ...
3
votes
1answer
51 views

Could someone teach me how to construct the portfolios by compute (like using R, Excel or Eviews)

Recently, I am doing my dissertation that covers asset pricing theory. The empirical test of Fama 3 factors model is an important part of this dissertation. Please let me review the fama model. Fama ...
6
votes
1answer
831 views

How to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio

Anyone have a clue how to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio? Let's say I want to compare the Relative strength for these: EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund EWD ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Which is better for quantitative finance, a computer science PhD or an applied mathematics PhD? [on hold]

In the world of quantitative finance which of the following would be more highly regarded or useful when it comes to applying for jobs: A computer science PhD focused on machine learning used to ...
1
vote
1answer
98 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

Special term for 'intersection' of option price

Suppose, I have written two ordered lists: $S_{call}= (\textbf{8000, 8050, 8100}, 8150, 8200, 8250)$ and $S_{put} = (7850, 7900, 7950, \textbf{8000, 8050, 8100})$. Entities are correspond to strike ...
1
vote
0answers
28 views

Bond Duration with Bond portfolio returns

if I have given CRSP bond portfolio returns with different maturities (1m-12m, etc), how is it possible to compute the Future price and the duration? Beside that I do also have the ...
1
vote
1answer
36 views

Using R with princomp to create hedge baskets

I am experimenting to try to find better ways to hedge some of our equity portfolios. It's easy enough to use R to get a PCA breakdown of exposure for a portfolio but I can't figure out how to then ...
2
votes
4answers
136 views

Merton model riskless self-financing derivation

Suppose $dA_t = A_t[\mu dt+\sigma dW_t]$ (assets' value) under the physical measure, plus the other assumptions of the Merton model. Suppose further that debt and equity are tradeable assets that ...
0
votes
2answers
16 views

How can you find change in working capital and capital expenditures without a balance sheet?

I'm working with the following information trying to work through a valuation exercise and I'm absolutely stuck. How can I find ∆WC and CAPX with this information?
5
votes
1answer
32 views

Who pays for sovereign ratings?

Does the "issuer-pay" model hold also for sovereign credit ratings? Do States pay for having their bond being rated?
4
votes
2answers
293 views

Where can I get equivalent of 3 months libor or swap historical data?

Please note: I have already checked your standard "Historical data sources" link, but it does not have the data I need: I am looking for 5 years of libor/swap data for major currencies. Daily, or ...
0
votes
1answer
23 views

Time series of European sovereign credit ratings by the Big Three?

I would need time series, from 2000 to 2015 (if possible) of sovereign credit ratings by Moody's, S&P and Fitch. Could you suggest me a source or provide me such a dataset? Thank you very much!
5
votes
1answer
7k views

How to simulate correlated Geometric brownian motion for n assets?

So I'm trying to simulate currency movements for several currencies with a given correlation matrix. I have the initial price, drift and volatility for each of the separate currencies, and I want to ...
1
vote
2answers
27 views

How to take care of newly auctioned yield/price in fixed income data

This is a financial data cleaning question. I have raw price and yield data for US cash treasury across the curve. In the time-series there are jumps on the day after the treasury auction results come ...
3
votes
2answers
51 views

What is the effect of mean-reversion on an upper barrier knock-out call option?

Consider a mean-reverting normal model for an underlying $dX^{(1)}_t=-\kappa X^{(1)}_tdt+\sigma^{(1)} dW^{(1)}_t$, for fixed time-independent constants, $\kappa$ (mean-reversion) and $\sigma^{(1)}$ ...
3
votes
0answers
23 views

What approaches are there for keeping local and remote order books in sync?

Scenario: developing a custom application which defines a structured workflow for manual order submission to Bloomberg EMSX; it should minimize own persisted state and rely on the remote order book as ...
0
votes
1answer
48 views

Preparation for interview: influx of power of the moon

I am preparing myself for an interview for a quantitative analyst position and one of the sample questions asked in previous examinations was: "Suppose the moon were to disintegrate, and fall to ...
0
votes
1answer
56 views

Stress Testing for VaR

I am trying to perform stress testing for VaR and have taken into consideration two methods:- 1. Sensitivity analysis 2. Historical scenario analysis. According to the Derivatives Policy group we ...
2
votes
1answer
168 views

Do we need Feller condition if volatility process jumps?

It is fairly known that in affine processes, as Heston model \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} dS_t &= \mu S_t dt + \sqrt{v_t} S_t dW^{S}_{t} \\ dv_t &= k(\theta - v_t) dt + \xi \sqrt{v_t} ...
4
votes
1answer
115 views

What is the heat-map method of calculating VaR?

I'm familiar with the historical full revaluation, VcV, and Delta-gamma methods, but a client keeps talking about a heat-map method and I'm not sure what he's talking about. Any ideas?
0
votes
2answers
135 views

Step By Step method to calculating VaR using MonteCarlo Simulations

In trying to find VaR for 5 financial assets with prices over a long period of time(2000 days worth of data) how would I do the following: Carry out monte-carlo simulation in order to find a VaR ...
0
votes
2answers
66 views

Is there a way to meaningfully generate daily returns from monthly?

I have a set of 7 investments in a portfolio and I need to optimize the weightings based on some exposures to various markets/styles/economic factors. I was hoping to do some sort of simple exposure ...
0
votes
1answer
214 views

Can I use PyAlgoTrade for Forex?

Is it possible to use PyAlgoTrade for Forex related algorithms? If it is, please point me in the right direction on how to get PyAlgoTrade to work on Forex data.
0
votes
1answer
43 views

Deduce expected exposure profile from option/structure delta?

I am thinking about whether there exists a relationship between the delta of an option (or any structured derivative) and it's expected positive/negative exposure? An intuitive question would be ...
0
votes
1answer
27 views

Error using ghyp-distribution function

I want to fit multivariate GH distribution on my data, and then generate simulations for that distribution. Using the instructions given in ghyp package, I wrote following lines of code in R. ...
0
votes
2answers
47 views

Conditional probability of geometric brownian motion

I created paths using GBM to implement The stochastic mesh method. But the method requires the conditional distribution, given some S(t) the probability of S(t+1). I've searched and can't find this ...
0
votes
2answers
34 views

In an example of “call options”

The following is an excerpt from Introduction to the Mathematics of Finance by Roman: As a more concrete example, suppose that IBM is selling for $\$100$ per share at this moment. A $3$ month ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Interest rates - Swaptions implied volatility - Volatility anchoring with Black and with normal volatilities

In a LMM+ with displacement factor a volatility anchoring technique is used, i.e. a long term volatility assumptions is applied, derived from historic time series. Should I adjust this historic ...
3
votes
2answers
133 views

SABR Implied Volatility and Option Prices

I am trying to understand the SABR model. Specifically, I am having difficulty to understand how to calibrate the model parameters, that is, initial variance, volatility of variance, exponent for ...
0
votes
0answers
38 views

Cointegration for forex using ARMA model to forecast the spread

I am working on an automatized quantitative strategy that use cointegration in Forex. I am backtesting this strategy in Python. Please see below the python file: ...
5
votes
1answer
173 views

Calibration Merton Jump-Diffusion

Consider the following SDE $dV_t = rV_tdt +\sigma V_t dW_t + dJ_t$ where $J_t$ is a Compound poisson process with log-Normal jump size $Y_i$. How am I supposed to calibrate this model to CDS ...

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