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There are some companies that don't require that much "art" when forecasting their earnings. One example is regulated utilities - they earn the amount that the regulator allows them to earn with not much volatility. Another more volatile example is pure play mining companies (like Antofagasta) - they have two main moving parts - mining volume and commodity ...


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Interesting question - Definitely one that is a blend of art and science and doesn't lend itself to a tidy formula however, I think I can give you an idea of a few broad methods and concepts. Whether a firm's sales lend themselves to more quantitative vs qualitative type of models largely depends on their individual characteristics and the particular stage ...


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It is very difficult to outperform the "random walk without drift" benchmark. The forward rate is not a particularly good predictor as it is often biased. Nevertheless some economists claim it is possible. Here is a literature review (Rossi 2013): http://crei.cat/people/rossi/Rossi_ExchangeRatePredictability_Feb_13.pdf From reading this it would seem that ...



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