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It might help to think of the two as special cases of $$S_{i+1}-S_i = \sigma (c+S_i)^\beta \epsilon$$ which looks like a Constant Elasticity of Variance extension. Taking squares of both sides and then logs will (nearly) linearise it, allowing you to carry some basic estimation using OLS. The parameter $c$ will control the lower bound and can impose some ...


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As a short summary and adaption of the question: You better redefine $\hat{r}_i= \frac{S_{i-1}}{S_1}-1$ and $\hat{S}_i = (1+\hat{r}_i)S_0$. The above definition of $\hat{S}_i$ yields a sample of potential values for $S$ for the future day. This approach is usually applied in historical simulation. The aim here is to use information of the past about the ...


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The formula is given in your link. For the real world probability without jump: $$x_t = x_{t-1} e^{-\eta \Delta t} + \hat{x}(1-e^{-\eta \Delta t}) +\sigma \sqrt{\frac{1-e^{- 2 \eta \Delta t}}{2 \eta}} N(0,1) $$ where: $x_t$: price $x_{t-1}$: PreviousPrice $\hat{x}$: long term mean (a parameter) $\Delta t$: Time step (one fraction) $\eta$: ...


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1) The reversion speed $\eta$ is just a scaling factor >0 to control the sensitivity to mean deviations, it has no unit as such. 2) There are various simulation formulas in your reference link. Can you please specify which of these you want to simulate?


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GBM is defined as $$ S_t = S_{t-1}\exp\left( \left(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2} \right)dt + \sigma dW_t\right)$$ So, in your notation, assuming your daily parameters: $$ S_{new} = S_{previous}\cdot\exp\left( \left({drift} - \frac{{volatility}^2}{2} \right)days + volatility \,\sqrt{days}\,N(0,1)\right)$$ So your formula was incorrect. The youtube you quote is ...



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