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finance PhD student


Jan
31
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May
30
revised How to perform risk factor calculation?
Added subscript i to alpha
May
30
comment How to perform risk factor calculation?
I think all of the theories have zero intercepts (i.e., only one risk-free rate)? Empirically you include the intercept to avoid forcing $\alpha_i = 0$ so that you can test if there is a return not correlated with the risk factors.
Mar
26
awarded  Nice Answer
Jan
31
awarded  Yearling
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awarded  Nice Answer
Nov
30
comment zero-sum active management riddle
(As well, I would guess that the Roll critique of these pricing models is particularly strong in these less-sophisticated markets.)
Nov
30
comment zero-sum active management riddle
@QuantGuy -- Other than the case of value-weighted portfolios and value-weighted market factor (i.e., CAPM), I don't know of a requirement for $\sum_i w_i \alpha_i = 0$ and $\sum_i w_i \beta_i = 1$, where $w_i$ is the value weighting for each portfolio $i$.
Nov
29
comment How to generate a random price series with a specified range and correlation with an actual price?
How? Try AAPL and MSFT. There are about 5000 more.
Nov
28
answered How to generate a random price series with a specified range and correlation with an actual price?
Nov
28
answered zero-sum active management riddle
Nov
27
reviewed Approve suggested edit on How to use Itô's formula to deduce that a stochastic process is a martingale?
Nov
27
comment Make assumption about future stock price: is the option with best return fairly clear?
@Ray -- Please check out John Hull's book on options, futures, and other derivatives. It is very approachable and will help you frame a better question that we can answer.
Nov
18
comment Convexity of BS Equation for Call and Put
My first stop is checking $Call(\cdot, \lambda \sigma^2_1 + (1 - \lambda) \sigma^2_2) \leq \lambda Call(\cdot, \sigma^2_1) + (1 - \lambda)Call(\cdot, \sigma^2_2)$.
Nov
14
comment How to check if a timeseries is stationary?
@Dail -- There are a variety of tests, but Wald tests that all coefficients are jointly zero is probably the easiest. I searched for how to do this in R, but wasn't too successful. You will likely have to grab a text book and code the tests yourself. (I switched to Stata for most analyses because hypothesis testing is so much easier).
Nov
14
comment How to check if a timeseries is stationary?
@SKRX -- Yes, thanks. I should have included more commentary. He asked how to fit a GARCH model in R, so I gave some code. Once he determines the best-fitting GARCH model with ll, ic, and ssr, he can perform joint tests on the GARCH model coefficients.
Nov
14
comment How GARCH/ARCH models are useful to check the volatility?
The plots are helpful, but to determine if the GARCH model fits, you should use statistics. Look at the log-likelihood, sum-of-squared-residuals, and information criteria across various specifications to see which fits best. Then perform joint test of the GARCH coefficients. If you fail to reject that all coefficients are jointly zero, then you don't need a GARCH model.
Nov
14
comment How GARCH/ARCH models are useful to check the volatility?
fitted.values has +/- sigt (why isn't clear to me). You want to plot the positive sigt versus some time index. Something like this: y <- arch_model$fitted.values[, 1] then x <- seq(1, length(y)) then plot(x, y).